Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2009
Coastal Flood Warning 3, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Oct 16, 2009, 4:09 PM EDT for 7 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, Sussex County, Delaware. It was in force for 44 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 16, 2009, 4:09 PM EDT (20:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 18, 2009, 11:58 AM EDT
- In force
- 44 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Kent County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 52 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 448 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 191 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 565 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WHUS41 KPHI 162009 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 409 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-170415- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0003.091016T2009Z-091017T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091017T0600Z-091017T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 409 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE FRIDAY MORNING. THE STEADY NORTHEAST WIND WILL MAINTAIN THE LEVEL OF THE WATERS IN THE BACK BAYS AND THE CONTINUED FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO TIDES REACHING ABOUT THE SAME HEIGHTS THIS EVENING ...EVEN THOUGH THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE IS SLIGHTLY LOWER. THE BACK BAYS IN PARTICULAR MAY BE SLOW TO DRAIN AFTER THE HIGH TIDE. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE NORTH OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE FOR SATURDAY MORNING IS HIGHER THAN THIS EVENING...SO THE FLOOD POTENTIAL SATURDAY MAY BE HIGHER AS WELL. REMEMBER TO MOVE YOUR VEHICLE AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TODAY. THE FRIDAY EVENING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT BETWEEN 630 PM AND 730 PM EDT...AND THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM EDT. AGAIN...HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE FRIDAY EVENING AND SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES...POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS ARE ARE 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED EAST TO NORTHEAST WIND INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-170415- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.091017T0000Z-091017T0600Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 409 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND WILL RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS EVENING ALONG THE UPPER PARTS OF DELAWARE BAY. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 1000 AND 1100 PM EDT THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. DO NOT LEAVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$
9 follow-up statements
000 WHUS41 KPHI 170123 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 923 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-170830- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.A.0003.091017T0600Z-091017T1600Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.A.0004.091017T1600Z-091018T1600Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091017T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 923 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY. THE PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND WILL MAINTAIN HIGH WATER LEVELS IN THE BACK BAYS. THE CONTINUED FLOW WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO TIDES REACHING ABOUT THE SAME HEIGHTS FRIDAY EVENING AS WHAT WAS OBSERVED FRIDAY MORNING, EVEN THOUGH THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE IS SLIGHTLY LOWER. THE BACK BAYS IN PARTICULAR MAY BE SLOW TO DRAIN AFTER THE HIGH TIDE. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL ORGANIZE OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT, AND THEN MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING. THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE FOR SATURDAY MORNING IS HIGHER THAN THIS EVENING, SO THE FLOOD POTENTIAL SATURDAY MAY BE HIGHER AS WELL. AS A RESULT, THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL NOON SATURDAY. THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. FOR THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES, POSSIBLE TIDE HEIGHTS AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY, AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY, AND AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND INTO SUNDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO BEACH EROSION, ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS, AND TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT PROPERTY. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER, AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-170700- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091017T0700Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 923 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND WILL RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TONIGHT UP THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER. HIGH TIDE WILL OCCUR AROUND 100 AM SATURDAY AT PHILADELPHIA. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-170700- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091017T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 923 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT SATURDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND WILL RESULT IN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TONIGHT ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR AROUND 1100 PM FRIDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ GORSE
000 WHUS41 KPHI 170652 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 252 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-172000- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.A.0004.091017T1600Z-091018T1600Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 252 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OFF THE CAROLINA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH TODAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE, THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 AM AND 800 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT A SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND INTO SUNDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-172000- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091017T2000Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 252 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY LAST EVENING AND WILL DO SO AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ONCE AGAIN LATER THIS MORNING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR AROUND 1100 AM TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-172000- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091017T2000Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 252 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT ON THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER. ADDITIONAL TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE WHICH WILL OCCUR WILL OCCUR AROUND 100 PM THIS AFTERNOON AT PHILADELPHIA. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ RPW
000 WHUS41 KPHI 171806 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 206 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-180300- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 206 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH LATER TODAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. WHILE THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE CYCLE IS LOWER THIS EVENING, THE ONSHORE FLOW IS PREVENTING THE TIDE FROM FULLY DRAINING. WIDESPREAD MINOR WITH AREAS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 PM AND 830 PM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AM AND 900 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SATURDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND INTO SUNDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH FOR GOOD ON SUNDAY AND THE NORTHWEST EITHER SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WITH ALL OF THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. && $$ MDZ008-012-015-019-020-180100- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0100Z/ CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- 206 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND HAS PRODUCED SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS ARE SLOWLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST. TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WHICH ALSO IS THE HIGHER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF THE DAY. SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 430 PM AND 730 PM TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT PARK OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. PLEASE DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-180300- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 206 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY THIS MORNING AND WILL DO SO AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ONCE AGAIN LATE THIS EVENING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR AROUND 1130 PM TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-180300- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 206 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT ON THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT WHICH WILL OCCUR WILL AROUND 200 AM SUNDAY. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ GIGI/MEOLA
000 WHUS41 KPHI 171829 CCA CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 229 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-180330- /O.COR.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 229 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTH LATER TODAY INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. WHILE THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE CYCLE IS LOWER THIS EVENING, THE ONSHORE FLOW IS PREVENTING THE TIDE FROM FULLY DRAINING. WIDESPREAD MINOR WITH AREAS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING EXPECTED ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 PM AND 830 PM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY...AROUND 8.0 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.0 TO 7.5 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AM AND 900 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND INTO SUNDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH FOR GOOD ON SUNDAY AND THE NORTHWEST EITHER SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WITH ALL OF THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. && $$ MDZ008-012-015-019-020-180100- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0100Z/ CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- 229 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND HAS PRODUCED SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE WESTERN SIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. WINDS ARE SLOWLY SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST. TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE WHICH ALSO IS THE HIGHER ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE OF THE DAY. SOME MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY WITH THE NEXT HIGH TIDE. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE BAY WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 430 PM AND 730 PM TODAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT PARK OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. PLEASE DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-180330- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 229 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY THIS MORNING AND WILL DO SO AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ONCE AGAIN LATE THIS EVENING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR AROUND 1130 PM TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-180330- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 229 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING OVERNIGHT ON THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT WHICH WILL OCCUR WILL AROUND 200 AM SUNDAY. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ GIGI/MEOLA
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180000 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 MDZ008-012-015-019-020-180100- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0100Z/ CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE- 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. THE CURRENT HIGH TIDE CYCLE HAS COMPLETED AND TIDAL FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TONIGHT. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY MORNING IS ASTRONOMICALLY LOWER AND AT THIS POINT WE ARE NOT EXPECTING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING TO OCCUR. $$ DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-180800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ORGANIZING OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. WHILE THE ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDE CYCLE IS LOWER THIS EVENING... THE ONSHORE FLOW IS PREVENTING THE TIDE FROM FULLY DRAINING. WIDESPREAD MINOR WITH POCKETS OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING ARE CURRENTLY OCCURRING TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY MORNING. THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDE IS OCCURRING ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 700 PM AND 830 PM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SATURDAY NIGHT HIGH TIDES... 6.5 TO 7.0 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND AROUND 7.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AM AND 900 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND INTO SUNDAY WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION... ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH FOR GOOD ON SUNDAY AND THE NORTHWEST EITHER SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WITH ALL OF THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-180800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY THIS MORNING AND WILL DO SO AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ONCE AGAIN LATE THIS EVENING. HIGH TIDE ALONG THE UPPER BAY WILL OCCUR AROUND 1130 PM TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-180800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 800 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ON THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT WHICH WILL OCCUR WILL AROUND 200 AM SUNDAY. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ GIGI
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180338 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1138 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-180830- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1138 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE NORTHEAST TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE SUNDAY MORNING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON SUNDAY. WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED SUNDAY MORNING. THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AM AND 900 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING THROUGH MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION... ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH SUNDAY AND THEN NORTHWEST EITHER SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING WITH THE SUBSEQUENT HIGH TIDES BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016-180800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 1138 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING AND AGAIN THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDAL DEPARTURES TO DIMINISH AND LOWER THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-180800- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 1138 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EDT SUNDAY. A PERSISTENT NORTHEAST WIND PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ON THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL TIDAL FLOODING IS LIKELY DURING THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE WHICH WILL OCCUR WILL AROUND 200 AM SUNDAY. THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED DURING THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE. WINDS WILL THEN SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTH LATE TONIGHT OR SUNDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE TIDAL DEPARTURES TO DIMINISH AND LOWER THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ RPW
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180809 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 409 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-180915- /O.EXP.KPHI.CF.Y.0026.000000T0000Z-091018T0800Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 409 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. AS WINDS SWING SLOWLY FROM NORTHEAST TO NORTH AND THEN TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT, TIDAL DEPARTURES IN THE DELAWARE RIVER WILL BE SLOWLY LOWERING. WHILE WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN QUITE HIGH, NO ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED. $$ DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-181600- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 409 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY. LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND MOVE SLOWLY UP THE COAST TODAY. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER LEVELS QUITE HIGH AND PROLONG THE POTENTIAL FOR TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON TODAY. ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDE OCCURS ALONG THE OCEANFRONT BETWEEN 730 AM AND 900 AM. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY OCCURS UP TO A FEW HOURS LATER. PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE SUNDAY MORNING HIGH TIDES... AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS AND ATLANTIC CITY... 8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE MAJOR CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THAT THE SUSTAINED ONSHORE WIND WILL KEEP TIDAL WATERS FROM DRAINING. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING. BUT WITH RESIDUAL WATER LEVELS SLOW TO RECEDE, ADDITIONAL MINOR FLOODING COULD OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING, AND POSSIBLY EVEN MONDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. && $$ RPW
000 WHUS41 KPHI 181318 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 918 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-182130- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0027.091018T1600Z-091019T1600Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 918 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EDT MONDAY... LOW PRESSURE OFF THE DELMARVA COAST WILL INTENSIFY AND SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP WATER LEVELS QUITE HIGH AND PROLONG THE THREAT OF MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING THROUGH THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE THIS MORNING. THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDE ALONG THE OCEANFRONT IS OCCURRING NOW. HIGH TIDE ALONG ADJACENT BACK BAYS AND DELAWARE BAY WILL OCCUR LATER THIS MORNING. THE PREDICTED TIDE HEIGHTS FOR THE THIS MORNINGS HIGH TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...AROUND 7.5 FEET MLLW AT SEASIDE HEIGHTS...8.0 TO 8.5 FEET MLLW AT SANDY HOOK AND CAPE MAY...AND 7.5 TO 8.0 FEET MLLW AT ATLANTIC CITY...REHOBOTH BEACH AND BREAKWATER HARBOR. THE HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THIS WILL LESSEN THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING. BUT WITH RESIDUAL WATER LEVELS SLOW TO RECEDE...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING... AND POSSIBLY TOMORROW MORNING. THEREFORE...A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON EDT TOMORROW. A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY FOR THE CURRENT HIGH TIDE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. UNDER NO CIRCUMSTANCES SHOULD VEHICLES BE DRIVEN ON BARRICADED ROADWAYS. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-182000- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0027.091018T1318Z-091018T2000Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 918 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH WINDS ARE TURNING MORE TOWARD THE NORTH THIS MORNING...RESIDUAL WATER IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY AND THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. ROADWAYS SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED. AS WINDS CONTINUE TO TURN TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHWEST THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL DIMINISH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ KRUZDLO
000 WHUS41 KPHI 181558 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1158 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-190000- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-091018T1600Z/ /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0027.091018T1600Z-091019T1600Z/ KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1158 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT MONDAY. WINDS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT. THIS WILL DIMINISH THE THREAT FOR WIDESPREAD MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING. BUT WITH RESIDUAL WATER LEVELS SLOW TO RECEDE...MINOR FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING... AND AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING. HIGH WATER LEVELS COMBINED WITH WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SURF AND BEACH EROSION. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-182000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-091018T2000Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 1158 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN THOUGH WINDS HAVE TURNED MORE TOWARD THE NORTH LATE THIS MORNING...RESIDUAL WATER IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ALONG THE UPPER PORTIONS OF DELAWARE BAY AND THE TIDAL SECTION OF THE DELAWARE RIVER AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. ROADWAYS SUCH AS THE ADMIRAL WILSON BOULEVARD MAY BE IMPACTED. AS WINDS CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS...THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL DIMINISH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS. DO NOT LEAVE OR DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE IN AN AREA THAT IS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING. && $$ KRUZDLO
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Oct 16, 3:49 PM EDT, 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 16, 3:49 PM EDT, 20 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
349 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
A COASTAL LOW WILL DEVELOP OFF THE CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY AND
TRACK NORTHEAST ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THIS LOW WILL IMPACT
OUR WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN
FROM THE WEST EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
TONIGHT WILL BE THE BREAK BETWEEN SYSTEMS BUT PLENTY OF MOISTURE
REMAINS AROUND THE REGION AND WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH EDGING IN FROM
THE SOUTHEAST WE CAN NOT RULE OUT ANY LINGERING LIGHT SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT IN
THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH LESS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE CHILLY TONIGHT WITH 30S NORTH AND
WEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND 40S SOUTH AND EAST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
THE NEXT COASTAL LOW FORMS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT AND SLOWLY
STARTS MAKING ITS WAY TOWARD OUR AREA. THERE IS A CONSIDERABLE
AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY STILL WITH THE WAY THE MODELS HANDLE THE
STORM AND WITH PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS BUT IT LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY
BE A GENERAL CONCENSUS FORMING WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF. THE
PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.
WE HAVE DECIDED AT THIS POINT TO RAISE A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING FOR CARBON, MONROE AND
SUSSEX COUNTIES. THE WET SNOW FALLING ON TREE BRANCHES FULL OF
LEAVES AND POWER LINES CAN CAUSE PROBLEMS THROUGHOUT THESE AREAS.
THE UPPER TROUGH PUSHES EAST ACROSS OUR AREA, DEEPENING AS IT MOVES
ON ITS WAY. THIS TROUGH FINALLY STARTS TO CLOSE OFF ON LATE
SUNDAY AS IT MOVES FARTHER AWAY FROM OUR AREA. HOWEVER, THIS IS
NOT BEFORE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION HAS FALLEN ACROSS OUR REGION.
CHANCES FOR MORE PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS WE HEAD
TOWARD DAYBREAK. OVERALL, SUNDAY WILL START TO SEE IMPROVEMENT ALL
AROUND THE REGION.
ONCE AGAIN WINDS WILL PICK UP AS THE SYSTEM NEARS OUR AREA. THE
WINDS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA BUT WILL ADD TO THE
WIND CHILL MAKING IT FEEL COLDER THAN IT REALLY IS OUT.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO WHAT WE HAD TODAY
WITH MOST PLACES IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S /SOUTHERN DELAWARE MAY
REACH THE LOWER 50S AGAIN/. LOWS ON SATURDAY NIGHT WILL FALL INTO
THE 30S/40S ACROSS THE REGION. SUNDAY WILL BE THE VERY START OF A
RETURN TO A WARMING TREND. ALTHOUGH, TEMPERATURES WILL STILL
REMAIN IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S N MUCH OF THE AREA /30S IN THE
NORTHERN AREAS/.
THE PROBABILITIES GIVEN BELOW ARE BASED ON A COMBINATION OF
STATISTICAL THEORY, OUR SNOWFALL FORECASTS OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
WINTERS, AND THE MOST LIKELY SNOWFALL TOTALS FOR THIS POTENTIAL
STORM. THE PERIOD OF EXPECTED SNOWFALL IS SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.
====================================================================
PROBABILITY (PERCENT) OF REACHING OR EXCEEDING
THE FOLLOWING STORM-TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS (INCHES)
====================================================================
STATION 2IN 4IN 6IN 9IN 12IN
====================================================================
MPO 75 55 35 10 5
ABE <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
PHL <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
ACY <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
GED <5 <5 <5 <5 <5
====================================================================
PROBABILITIES ARE ROUNDED TO THE NEAREST 5 PERCENT.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THERE IS LIGHT AT THE END OF THIS RECENT ACTIVE TUNNEL AS THE
BEGINNING OF THIS TIME FRAME WINDS DOWN A PERIOD OF ACTIVE AND
GLOOMY WEATHER. IT APPEARS THAT THE LESS CLOSED LOW SOLUTION FROM
THE SHORT TERM MAY STILL BE THE WAY TO GO. THIS IS MORE IN LINE WITH
THE GFS AND ECMWF DEPICTION OF THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. IT APPEARS
THAT THE NAMS SLOWER AND MUCH MORE WRAPPED UP SOLUTION IS OVERDONE,
THEREFORE WE LEANED MUCH MORE TOWARD THE PROGRESSIVE SOLUTIONS. HPC
WENT THIS ROUTE AS WELL, BASICALLY GOING MORE WITH THE GFS AND GEFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN. THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO SHOW ENERGY IN THE
SOUTHERN PART OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH, WHICH KEEPS IT MORE
AMPLIFIED/ELONGATED LONGER INSTEAD OF WRAPPING IT UP INTO A CLOSED
LOW. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ORIENTATION IS ANTICIPATED TO STILL
BE A POSITIVE TILT, THIS IS THE MAIN FACTOR PRECLUDING TO MUCH
CLOSING OFF OF A MIDLEVEL CENTER. THIS MOSTLY ALLOWS THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH TO MOVE ACROSS OUR AREA MONDAY, HOWEVER THE SURFACE LOW AND
DEFORMATION AXIS IS ANTICIPATED TO BE OFF THE COAST. THEN, AS
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING TAKES PLACE IN THE WEST, DOWNSTREAM RIDGING
WILL BE SHUNTED EASTWARD, ALLOWING THE AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
MOVING OFF THE EAST COAST TO BE COMPLETELY KICKED OUT.
BASED ON THE ABOVE, THE COASTAL LOW FROM THE SHORT TERM IS FORECAST
TO BE EAST OF CAPE COD AT 12Z MONDAY. AS THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING
SLIDES EASTWARD, A SURFACE HIGH WILL BUILD INTO OUR AREA LATER
MONDAY AND LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE STILL LOOKS TO BE A
BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR NORTH, HOWEVER GIVEN THE MIDLEVEL RIDGING IN
PLACE, THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD REMAIN TO OUR NORTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. THE SURFACE HIGH LOOKS TO GRADUALLY SLIDE TO OUR EAST LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY, AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED
UPPER-LEVEL ENERGY DIVES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND TOWARD THE OHIO
VALLEY. THIS BOUNDARY AND SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO BE IN THE OHIO
VALLEY FRIDAY, HOWEVER A SURFACE HIGH SLIDING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
CANADA COULD PUSH THE AFOREMENTIONED BAROCLINIC ZONE INTO AT LEAST A
PORTION OF OUR CWA. SINCE WE LEANED TOWARD THE MORE PROGRESSIVE
GUIDANCE, WE PAINTED IN A DRY MONDAY. AS A BOUNDARY COULD BE LURKING
NEARBY, WE WENT WITH SOME SLIGHT CHC AND LOW CHC POPS LATE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. AS THE HEIGHTS RISE, TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
UNDERGO A MODERATING TREND ESPECIALLY FROM TUESDAY ON.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
CONDITIONS AS OF EARLY THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO
THE EVENING HOURS...WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN WINDS/CIGS/VSBYS
POSSIBLE AROUND SUNSET. THE AREA IS CURRENTLY BETWEEN WX SYSTEMS AND
CONSEQUENTLY THERE IS NOTHING TO CAUSE MUCH CHANGE. AREAS OF LIGHT
RAIN DRIZZLE AND FOG WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTN. WINDS WILL
CONTINUE OUT OF THE NE THRU THIS AFTN AND EVE.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE IS FCST TO DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE AREA TONIGHT AND
THEN MOVE NORTHEAST...REMAINING OFFSHORE...ON SATURDAY. THIS SHOULD
BRING SOME INCREASE IN NE WINDS AND RAIN FOR SAT...WITH GENLY POOR
FLYING CONDS CONTINUING.
OUTLOOK...
THIS SLOW MOVING WX PATTERN WILL RESULT IN POOR FLYING CONDITIONS
THAT PERSIST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY. SOME
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT OR MONDAY. TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY LOOK GOOD WITH VFR WEATHER.
&&
.MARINE...
FOR THE TIME BEING WE WILL STICK WITH A SCA FOR ALL OUR COASTAL
WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY AS WINDS CONTINUE GUSTING FROM THE NE AT OR
NEAR SCA CRITERIA...AND SEAS REMAIN QUITE HIGH. SITN FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS IN NOT VERY CLEAR...AS ANOTHER LOW PRES IS FCST TO
DEVELOP OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BUT ITS NOT CLEAR HOW INTENSE OR
HOW CLOST TO THE COAST IT WILL BE. HAD ORIGINALLY THOUGHT GALES
MIGHT DEVELOP ON SATURDAY...BUT NOW IT SEEMS THE MAIN DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE LATER ON SAT NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LOW CUTS OFF.
DECIDED FOR NOW NOT TO GO WITH A GALE WATCH BUT ONE MAY BE NEEDED
LATE FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND/OR SUNDAY.
WINDS/SEAS WILL CONTINUE SMWHT ROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY BUT
SHOULD GRADUALLY CALM DOWN BY TUE AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM FINALLY
PULLS AWAY TO THE E.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
MINOR TO MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS EVENING WITH
HIGH TIDE ON THE OCEAN FRONT. THE BACK BAYS WILL LIKELY ALSO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING AS WATER IS SLOW TO DRAIN BETWEEN TIDES DUE TO
THE SUSTAINED NE WIND. THUS A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ISSUED
FOR THIS EVENING. HEAVY WAVE ACTION WILL CONTINUE TO ADD TO THE
PROBLEMS...ALTHO WAVE HEIGHTS OFFSHORE HAVE SUBSIDED A LITTLE TODAY.
THE NEXT HIGH TIDE OCCURS TOMORROW MORNING AND IS HIGHER
ASTRONOMICALLY THAN THIS EVENING. IF THE NE WINDS CONTINUE OR
INCREASE THERE WOULD BE A GOOD CHANCE FOR MORE COASTAL FLOODING
TOMORROW...BUT WE WILL STICK WITH A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR NOW DUE
TO UNCERTAINTY IN THE WIND FORECAST.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
020>027.
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING FOR NJZ001.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY FOR NJZ016.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING FOR DEZ002>004.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR ANZ430-431-
450>455.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...MEOLA
SHORT TERM...MEOLA
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...AMC
MARINE...AMC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AMCHazardous weather outlook, Oct 16, 3:52 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 NJZ001-PAZ054-055-172000- SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE- 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY... BUT OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ007>010-015-017>019-PAZ060>062-067>071- 172000- CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON- SOMERSET-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS- LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY... BUT OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-172000- KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... ...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WARNING. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY... BUT OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ001-NJZ016-172000- NEW CASTLE-SALEM- 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY... BUT OCCASIONAL LIGHT RAIN WILL OCCUR THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-172000- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 352 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT SUNDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. THE COASTAL LOW WILL CONTINUE TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR AREA TODAY... BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY AND ROUGH SEAS WILL PERSIST. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. ANOTHER COASTAL LOW WILL AFFECT OUR REGION SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. GUSTY WINDS AND OCCASIONAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2:55 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | PHI | 4 days | |
| Oct 16, 3:40 PM EDT | Winter Storm Watch | PHI | Sussex | 12 hr |
| Oct 16, 4:09 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester, Salem | 36 hr |
Nearby
Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2009Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2009Every coastal flood warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.