Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Advisories in 2009
Coastal Flood Advisory 21, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood advisory at Sep 15, 2009, 2:52 PM EDT for 10 counties in New Jersey; Kent County, New Castle County, Sussex County, Delaware; Delaware County, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 16, 2009, 3:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 35 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 15, 2009, 2:52 PM EDT (18:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 16, 2009, 3:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 18, 2009, 1:46 AM EDT
- In force
- 35 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Counties Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Delaware County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA
The radar
The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 6.9 hours before the alert went out and 99 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1187 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 11 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 21 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WHUS41 KPHI 151852 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 252 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY... NJZ012>014-020-026-161100- /O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090917T1600Z/ MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN- 252 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON EDT THURSDAY. TRANQUIL PERIOD OF LATE WILL CHANGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HIGH COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL CAUSE A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED TIDAL LEVELS ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTH JERSEY COAST BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES MAY EXACERBATE THE DEGREE OF TIDAL FLOODING. HOWEVER, AT THIS TIME WE ARE ONLY ANTICIPATING THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. THIS ADVISORY IS INITIALLY FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS, BUT MAY BE EXTENDED FARTHER SOUTH TO DELAWARE DEPENDING ON THE DEVELOPING GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ MEOLA/EBERWINE
11 follow-up statements
000 WHUS41 KPHI 160132 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 932 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY... NJZ012>014-020-026-160945- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090917T1600Z/ MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN- 932 PM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON EDT THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM WEDNESDAY TO NOON EDT THURSDAY. THE TRANQUIL PERIOD OF LATE WILL CHANGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS DOWN FROM THE NORTH. THIS HIGH COMBINED WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO OUR SOUTH WILL CAUSE A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASED TIDAL LEVELS ALONG THE CENTRAL AND NORTH JERSEY COAST BEGINNING LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE ALSO EXPECTED AND THIS IN COMBINATION WITH THE HIGHER THAN NORMAL TIDES MAY EXACERBATE THE DEGREE OF TIDAL FLOODING. HOWEVER... AT THIS TIME WE ARE ONLY ANTICIPATING THAT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WILL OCCUR. THIS ADVISORY IS INITIALLY FOR THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS... BUT MAY BE EXTENDED FARTHER SOUTH TO DELAWARE DEPENDING ON THE DEVELOPING GRADIENT BETWEEN THE TWO AFOREMENTIONED SYSTEMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$
000 WHUS41 KPHI 160601 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 201 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY... DEZ003-004-NJZ022>025-027-162015- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 201 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING NORTHEAST WIND WILL CAUSE INCREASED TIDES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ NJZ012>014-020-026-162015- /O.EXT.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090918T0100Z/ MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-COASTAL OCEAN- 201 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. A DEVELOPING NORTHEAST WIND WILL CAUSE INCREASED TIDES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ RNS
000 WHUS41 KPHI 161532 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1132 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY... DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-162345- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1132 AM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. A NORTHEAST WIND WILL CAUSE INCREASED TIDES THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ TFG
000 WHUS41 KPHI 161841 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 241 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT... DEZ002-NJZ021-170200- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T2200Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 241 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT THURSDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY, WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT THURSDAY NIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE INCREASED TIDES THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-170200- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.090916T1900Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 241 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE INCREASED TIDES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON WILL CAUSE MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ RPW/TFG
000 WHUS41 KPHI 170144 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 944 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE FROM THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY NIGHT... DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-171000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 944 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THURSDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THURSDAY. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THURSDAY EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE INTO THURSDAY EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-171000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 944 PM EDT WED SEP 16 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT THURSDAY NIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT THURSDAY NIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON ARE CURRENTLY PRODUCING MINOR TIDAL FLOODING THIS EVENING. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ RPW
000 WHUS41 KPHI 170626 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 226 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COAST... ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AS WELL AS NEAR DELAWARE BAY AND THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER INTO TONIGHT... DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-172000- /O.EXB.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 226 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 1 TO 1.5 FEET HAVE PUSHED UP THROUGH DELAWARE BAY AND INTO THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. THIS HAS CAUSE SOME MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR AROUND HIGH TIDE. DUE TO THE CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND THE SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON, ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 226 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 226 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 226 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL PEOPLE ENTER THE SURF. LIFEGUARDS ARE REPORTING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXISTING IN THE SURF. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$
000 WHUS41 KPHI 171455 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1055 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COAST... ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AS WELL AS NEAR DELAWARE BAY AND THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER INTO TONIGHT... DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 1055 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES OF 1 TO 1.5 FEET HAVE PUSHED WATER UP THROUGH THE DELAWARE BAY AND INTO THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. THIS HAS CAUSED SOME MINOR FLOODING TO OCCUR AROUND HIGH TIDE. DUE TO THE CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TIDES AND THE SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON, ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH TONIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 1055 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE INTO THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 1055 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-172000- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 1055 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO THIS EVENING. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THROUGH THIS EVENING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL PEOPLE ENTER THE SURF. LIFEGUARDS ARE REPORTING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXISTING IN THE SURF. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$
000 WHUS41 KPHI 171936 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 336 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COAST... ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTS AS WELL AS NEAR DELAWARE BAY AND THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER INTO TONIGHT... DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-180100- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 336 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT AS NORTHEAST WINDS PUSH WATER UP THE DELAWARE BAY AND INTO THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE LAST NIGHT AND MAY OCCUR AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. THE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE DUE TO THE PROLONGED NORTHEAST WIND FLOW AND THE SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ003-NJZ012-013-020-022-023-027-180100- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 336 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO TONIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TIDAL DEPARTURES TO LOWER AND THUS LESSEN THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-180100- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 336 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WELL INTO THE NIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TIDAL DEPARTURES TO LOWER AND THUS LESSEN THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-180100- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY- COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- 336 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES INTO TONIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TIDAL DEPARTURES TO LOWER AND THUS LESSEN THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS MEANS DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING CONDITIONS EXIST FOR ALL PEOPLE ENTERING THE SURF. LIFEGUARDS ARE REPORTING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS EXISTING IN THE SURF. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ RPW/VM
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180116 CFWPHI COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 916 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER TONIGHT... DEZ003-004-NJZ012>014-020-022>027-180230- /O.EXP.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0100Z/ INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH- EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON- 916 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. NORTHEAST WINDS AND SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON BROUGHT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING DURING THE PAST THREE HIGH TIDE CYCLES.WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TIDAL DEPARTURES TO LOWER AND THUS LESSEN THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. $$ DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-180400- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 916 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS NORTHEAST WINDS PUSH WATER UP THE DELAWARE BAY AND INTO THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE LAST NIGHT AND IS EXPECTED AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. THE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE DUE TO THE PROLONGED NORTHEAST WIND FLOW AND THE SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$ DEZ002-NJZ021-180400- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 916 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WELL INTO THE NIGHT. THESE HIGHER TIDES COMBINED WITH SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON PRODUCED MINOR TIDAL FLOODING WITH PREVIOUS HIGH TIDES. ADDITIONAL MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE LATE THIS EVENING. DIMINISHING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME OFFSHORE LATE TONIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW TIDAL DEPARTURES TO LOWER AND THUS LESSEN THE THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180348 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 1148 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 DEZ002-NJZ021-180500- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0400Z/ KENT-CUMBERLAND- 1148 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. MINOR FLOODING WAS OBSERVED AROUND THE HIGH TIDE EARLIER THIS EVENING, BUT THE TIDE WAS RECEDING SO THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-180700- /O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 1148 PM EDT THU SEP 17 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EDT FRIDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS NORTHEAST WINDS PUSH WATER UP THE DELAWARE BAY AND INTO THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER. MINOR FLOODING OCCURRED AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE LAST NIGHT AND IS EXPECTED AGAIN AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT. THE ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE DUE TO THE PROLONGED NORTHEAST WIND FLOW AND THE SEASONAL HIGHER TIDES ASSOCIATED WITH THE NEW MOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE. && $$
000 WHUS41 KPHI 180546 CFWPHI URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 146 AM EDT FRI SEP 18 2009 DEZ001-NJZ016>018-PAZ070-071-180700- /O.CAN.KPHI.CF.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090918T0700Z/ NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 146 AM EDT FRI SEP 18 2009 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this coastal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood advisory went out at Sep 15, 3:22 AM EDT, 11 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 15, 3:22 AM EDT, 11 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
322 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
A SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY MORNING FOLLOWED
BY A STRONGER COLD FRONT TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL THEN STALL TO
OUR SOUTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE RIDE
ALONG IT. ANOTHER COLD FRONT FROM THE GREAT LAKES IS FORECAST TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE UNITED STATES FOR THE
WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO LOSE ITS GRIP OVER THE WEATHER
TODAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL CAUSE A COLD
FRONT TO CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. TODAY WILL HAVE ANOTHER PARTLY
SUNNY AND WARM DAY WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. RAIN SHOWERS
ARE NOT EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT NEARING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY OCCUR WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
TONIGHT. A NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW OF MOIST AIR WILL DEVELOP
BEHIND THE FRONT. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND BKN-OVC
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.
SHOWERS OR A LIGHT RAIN WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL
BE BELOW NORMAL WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 60S ACROSS THE NORTH AND
LOW 70S SOUTH ON WED AND MOSTLY MID TO UPPER 60S EVERYWHERE ON
THU.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ANOTHER WET FORECAST PERIOD IS EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE
LONG TERM. WHILE CONFIDENCE ABOUT MORE MEASURABLE RAIN IS QUITE HIGH
THE INTERACTION OF THE TWO SEPARATE STREAMS WILL MAKE FCSTG THE
DETAILS LOWER THAN AVERAGE.
OUR CWA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE FAVORABLE ENTRANCE REGION OF
THE H2.5 JET. MONDAYS 12Z MODEL RUNS WERE SHOWING A MUCH
STRONGER NORTHERN STREAM AND MORE OF A LEFT BEHIND SOUTHERN
STREAM. EVEN SO MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHERN STREAM (AND ITS QUITE
RICH WITH 17C 850MB DEW POINTS) IS STILL EXPECTED TO BE INGESTED
WITHIN THE NORTHERN STREAM TROF.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS NEW ENGLAND LIKE LAST WEEK IS GOING TO
COMPLICATE THE FORECAST BECAUSE AT LOWER LEVELS IT WILL BRING IN
DRIER AIR. ONCE IT MOVES OFFSHORE A SECOND COLD FRONT SHOULD THEN
LIFT AND SWEEP AWAY THE MOISTURE MAYBE JUST IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND.
THERE ARE MODEL TIMING DIFFERENCES AS TO HOW QUICKLY DOES THIS FRONT
MOVE OFFSHORE WITH THE ECMWF AMONG THE FASTER MODEL SOLUTIONS AND
THE 06Z GFS AMONG THE SLOWEST. THE 12Z GFS OP RUN DID SPEED THIS
PROCESS ALONG. WE WILL SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE FOR NOW AND FOLLOW THE
MODEL TRENDS WITH SUBSEQUENT RUNS.
SO FOR NOW WE WILL CARRY THE HIEST POPS THU AND THU NGT WHERE
THERE IS BEST MODEL CONSENSUS AND THEN CARRY LOWER POPS AROUND
THEM. WE WILL KEEP THE WEEKEND DRY WITH GREATER CONFIDENCE ABOUT
SUNDAY BEING DRY THAN SATURDAY AT THIS JUNCTURE. FASTER TO DRY
FASTER TO BRING THE NEXT PCPN SHOT FOR NEXT WEEK. THE 00Z ECMWF
DOES SO ON MONDAY, BUT WITH THE OTHER MEDIUM RANGE MODELS BEING
DRY, WELL KEEP MONDAY PCPN FREE FOR NOW.
TEMPS SHOULD AVERAGE BELOW NORMAL BECAUSE OF THE CLOUDS AND PCPN
INTO FRIDAY AND THEN BECAUSE OF THE CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FOR NEXT
WEEKEND. WE BASICALLY STAYED BELOW MOS GUIDANCE FOR THIS REASON.
&&
.AVIATION /07Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF PATCHY FOG EARLY THIS MORNING WHEN VSBY COULD DROP TO
3-5 MI. ISOLATED AREAS MIGHT EVEN DROP TO IFR, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO
LOW TO INCLUDE IN ANY TAFS.
SATL SHOWED SOME CLOUDS TO THE N/E OF PHL, BUT THE ONE MODEL THAT
FORECASTED THIS, ALSO DISSIPATED THE MOISTURE BY MORNING. THEREFORE,
THESE CLOUDS WHICH LOOK LIKE THEY WERE AROUND 6 THSD FT, WONT BE
INCLUDED IN ANY FCST AS THEY APPEAR TO BE BETWEEN TAF SITES.
DURING THE DAY, A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH AND
WITHIN THE UPPER FLOW, HIGH CLOUDS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION BY
EVENING. DAYTIME HEATING MAY FOR SOME CU THIS AFTN BUT CLOUDS SHOULD
ONLY BE FEW-SCT BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE EVENING. THE COLD FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT, ALLOWING WINDS TO SHIFT TO N AND THEN
NE. CLOUDS WILL THICKEN AND LOWER TO A MIDDLE CLOUD DECK.
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW 10 KT THROUGH TONIGHT.
OUTLOOK...
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE ON WEDNESDAY WITH
POSSIBLE MVFR CONDITIONS IN RAIN. THIS UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
SCA HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COASTAL WATERS N OR LITTLE EGG INLET
BEGINNING WED AFTERNOON AND OVER THE WATERS TO THE SOUTH OF LITTLE
EGG INLET AND FOR THE LOWER PART OF DEL BAY BEGINNING WED EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PREVAIL TODAY WITH TRANQUIL CONDITIONS. HOWEVER,
A COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION TONIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. THE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE FRONT
TO THE SOUTH AND THE HIGH TO THE NORTH WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASED
NE FLOW TO DEVELOP WED AFTN AND NIGHT AND THAT IS THE REASON FOR THE
EXPECTED SCA CONDITIONS AS WINDS INCREASE TO 25 KT, MAINLY IN GUSTS.
ALONG WITH THE NE WINDS, SEAS WILL INCREASE TO 4 TO 7 FT AND RAIN IS
LIKELY TO DEVELOP WED AFTN AND CONTINUE WED NIGHT.
BY THURSDAY, THE HIGH SHOULD BUILD FARTHER SOUTH OVER THE REGION
ALLOWING THE WINDS TO DECREASE A BIT, BUT 5 FT SEAS ARE STILL
EXPECTED ON THE OCEAN. SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE FRIDAY AND
FINALLY DROP BELOW 5 FT FRI NIGHT. RAIN REMAINS LIKELY INTO FRIDAY.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT SHOULD CROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY
MORNING FOLLOWED BY IMPROVED WEATHER BEHIND THE FRONT.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY
FOR ANZ431-452>455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY
FOR ANZ450-451.
&&
SYNOPSIS...OHARA
NEAR TERM...OHARA
SHORT TERM...OHARA
LONG TERM...DELISI/IOVINO
AVIATION...STAUBER
MARINE...STAUBERHazardous weather outlook, Sep 15, 2:46 AM EDT, 12 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 246 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055- 060>062-067>071-160700- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD- QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET- MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER- CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA- 246 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ431-452>455-160700- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 246 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ450-451-160700- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- 246 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT THURSDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-160700- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- 246 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2:24 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | PHI | 3 days |
Nearby
Coastal Flood Advisories in New Jersey, 2009Coastal Flood Advisories in Delaware, 2009Coastal Flood Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2009Every coastal flood advisory in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.