Severe Thunderstorm Warning 424, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
336 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...
ACTIVE WX PATTERN TO CONT AS SFC BOUNDARY MOVES BACK AND FORTH
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WE MAINTAIN SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW
OVER THE AREA.

SFC FRONT STALLS JUST SOUTH OF I-44 CORRIDOR THIS AFTN BEFORE
LIFTING BACK NORTH TONIGHT. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD BE A FOCUS FOR A
FEW TSTMS LATER TODAY AND THIS EVENING. INITIATION LOOKS TO TAKE
PLACE ACROSS WEST TEXAS... JUST SOUTHWEST OF CWA AND THEN FARTHER
NORTHEAST ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST OK INTO SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.
ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY TRY TO FILL IN NEAR THE SFC FRONT ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FOR A WHILE THIS EVENING BEFORE ONCE AGAIN
DISSIPATING. SOUNDINGS WOULD SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAT BURST
TYPE SIGNATURES WITH STRONG WINDS... ESPECIALLY ACROSS WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.

LATER TONIGHT AS LLJ BECOMES ESTABLISHED COULD SEE STORMS DEVELOP
ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA... WHICH WOULD THEN MOVE INTO KS AS LOW
LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT RETREATS NORTH AND FRONT CONT TO LIFT NORTH
OUT OF THE AREA.

MUCH OF TUE SHOULD REMAIN DRY... WITH POSSIBLE EXCEPTION POSSIBLY
BEING NORTH CENTRAL OK IF THE FRONT HANGS UP THERE AS MORNING NAM
SUGGESTS. OTHERWISE CAP SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTION ALONG DRYLINE ACROSS
WESTERN OK TUE AFTN. SFC FRONT MAKE ANOTHER MOVE SOUTH ON WED WITH
SUPPORT OF UPPER WAVE MOVING OUT OF SOUTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS MAY WEAKEN CAP AND PROVIDE ENOUGH FORCING TO
INITIATE CONVECTION EARLY ON WED... AND POSSIBLE MORE WIDESPREAD
CONVECTION. THIS WILL CONT WED NIGHT AS MID LEVEL WAVE MOVES
ACROSS.

SFC FRONT THEN SAGS SOUTH TOWARD THE RED RIVER FOR LATTER PART OF
THE WEEK KEEPING HIGHER CHANCES LIMITED TO SE/E PORTIONS OF OK. MID
LEVEL RIDGING THEN TRIES TO BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
POSSIBLY LIMITING PRECIP CHANCES FOR A TIME OVER THE WEEKEND BEFORE
RIDGE FLATTENS OUT AND ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  69  90  73  90 /  30  30  20  40
HOBART OK         69  95  72  93 /  30  20  20  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  72  96  74  94 /  30  10  20  20
GAGE OK           62  92  66  83 /  30  30  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     67  88  72  85 /  20  40  30  40
DURANT OK         71  93  74  92 /  30  10  10  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

32/30

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
420 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009

TXZ088-082145-
BAYLOR TX-
420 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BAYLOR COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 15 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BOMARTON AT
421 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN BAYLOR COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

MAXWELL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
446 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009

TXZ088-082215-
BAYLOR TX-
446 PM CDT MON JUN 8 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR BAYLOR COUNTY.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WESTOVER AT
446 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING SMALL HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND GUSTY WINDS.

STORM INTENSITY IS INCREASING AND SEVERE WEATHER MAY DEVELOP RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN BAYLOR COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY.
LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER
CONDITIONS.