Severe Thunderstorm Warning 302, NWS Norman, OK

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
930 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-061000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
930 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

LOCATION...
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS SOUTH AND EAST OF A HOLDENVILLE...TO PAULS
VALLEY...TO DUNCAN... TO WICHITA FALLS...TO SEYMOUR LINE.

TIMING...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME NUMEROUS ACROSS SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS LATE TONIGHT. THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

IMPACTS...
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN FAR SOUTHERN
OKLAHOMA NEAR THE WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS
OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVERNIGHT AS A
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET INTENSIFIES AND INTERACTS WITH A WARM
FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. INSTABILITY AND SHEAR WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE
MAIN THREATS...WITH A CHANCE FOR TORNADOES IN FAR SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
CLOSEST TO THE FRONT. IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE
WEATHER...FLOODING RAINS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MAY 6.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...70 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAINFALL HAS LEFT THE GROUND SATURATED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST VERSION OF THIS PRODUCT FOR MORE INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO EXIT SOUTHEAST PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT LEAST SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
WILL OCCUR EACH DAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND... WITH SEVERE STORMS
POSSIBLE.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WITH EACH EPISODE OF RAINFALL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD... MOST OF
THE RAIN WILL RESULT IN RAPID RUNOFF AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. MAINSTEM
RIVER FLOODING MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH REPEATED RAINFALL.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

CJS/II

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
227 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

OKZ039>041-046-060800-
MURRAY OK-GARVIN OK-CARTER OK-STEPHENS OK-
227 AM CDT WED MAY 6 2009

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR CARTER...GARVIN...MURRAY AND
STEPHENS COUNTIES.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER PERNELL AT 227 AM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH. ANOTHER STORM WAS JUST NORTHEAST OF TURNER FALLS.
THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN... AND SMALL HAIL.  STORM
INTENSITY WAS INCREASING... AND THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE.

PEOPLE IN CARTER...GARVIN...MURRAY AND STEPHENS COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR WARNINGS AND REMAIN
ALERT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS.

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