Severe Thunderstorm Warning 221, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
309 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGHLIGHTS WILL BE CONTINUED INTO TONIGHT. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE
IN FORECAST PACKAGE...WITH ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT AND
ALONG FRONT TOMORROW. TOMORROW NIGHT INTO TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE
DOWN-TIME FOR ACTIVE WEATHER BEFORE PICKING BACK UP MID TO LATE WEEK.
OUTSIDE OF SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS...FLOODING /BOTH AREAL AND
MAIN-STEM/ WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LIKELY IN SOME AREAS. FOCUS APPEARS TO SHIFT TO
SOUTHERN PARTS OF OKLAHOMA MONDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN MID-LATE WEEK
PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  64  73  52  70 /  60  40  40  10
HOBART OK         62  76  51  67 /  60  30  40  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  67  79  57  74 /  60  50  50  20
GAGE OK           55  69  42  67 /  50  10  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     62  72  50  69 /  80  30  10  10
DURANT OK         67  78  63  75 /  60  70  70  40

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR OKZ004>030-033>040-044-
     045.

     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR OKZ004>018-021-022.

TX...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM CDT MONDAY FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

30/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1122 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-271200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1122 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING... WITH A MODERATE
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO THE EAST OF THE HIGH RISK WHICH
COVER MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA INCLUDING ALL OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS. CITIZENS ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS SHOULD
PAY EXTRA ATTENTION TO DEVELOPING WEATHER THROUGH TONIGHT AND REVIEW
SEVERE WEATHER SAFETY PROCEDURES.

LOCATION...
THE HIGH RISK IS WEST OF A LINE FROM BLACKWELL... TO CRESCENT... TO
EL RENO... TO LAWTON... TO FREDERICK AND HOLLIS. THE MODERATE RISK
IS EAST OF THE HIGH RISK AREA AND WEST OF A LINE FROM CHANDLER... TO
PAULS VALLEY... TO RINGLING. THE MODERATE RISK INCLUDES ALL OF
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A SLIGHT RISK COVERS THE REMAINDER OF THE
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

TIMING...
THE MOST LIKELY TIME FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM NOON
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

IMPACTS...
THE SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS AND WIND GUSTS TO 75 MPH. TORNADOES ARE ALSO A CONCERN IN
THE HIGH AND MODERATE RISK AREAS.

RECOMMENDED ACTIONS...
STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS SHOULD PLAN FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS FROM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
A DRY LINE LOCATED ACROSS THE CENTRAL TEXAS PANHANDLE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE TO NEAR THE WESTERN OKLAHOMA BORDER BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A
COLD FRONT WILL ALSO BE LOCATED FROM AN AREA OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE NORTHEAST ACROSS KANSAS. STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THESE BOUNDARIES AS A
STRONG UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES.
STRONG WIND FIELDS AND HIGH AMOUNTS OF INSTABILITY WILL LEAD TO
THESE STORMS QUICKLY BECOMING SEVERE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
AND DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...AND TORNADOES

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 500 AM CDT MONDAY APR 27.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...100 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLOODING CONCERNS ACROSS PORTIONS
OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FLOOD
WATCH IS IN AFFECT FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE ON MONDAY AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE UNSTABLE AIRMASS NOW PRESENT OVER THE
AREA. A BREAK IN THE ACTION IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EVERY DAY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA
ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AS A RESULT OF RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. THOUGH
EXACT AREAS CANNOT BE DEFINED AT THIS POINT...MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF
HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY COULD CAUSE FLOODING IN OTHER
AREAS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM
MONDAY MORNING.

30

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
604 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     HAIL             VERNON                  34.15N 99.29W
04/26/2009  E2.50 INCH       WILBARGER          TX   PUBLIC

            DELAYED SECOND HAND REPORT. GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL COVERING
            THE GROUND NEAR VERNON...WITH A FEW TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL
            STONES.

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
621 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0553 PM     HAIL             2 E GOODLETT            34.34N 99.85W
04/26/2009  E0.75 INCH       HARDEMAN           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAMERS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
635 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             2 N COOPERTON           34.89N 98.88W
04/26/2009  E1.75 INCH       KIOWA              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

LAMERS

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