Small Craft Advisory 21, NWS New York, NY

463 
WHUS71 KOKX 131215
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH TONIGHT...

.AS INTENSE LOW PRESSURE EAST OF NOVA SCOTIA MOVES FARTHER AWAY
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS IN
ITS WAKE WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH TONIGHT.

ANZ355-140015-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-090213T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
TODAY...THEN DECREASE ONLY SLIGHTLY TONIGHT TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 25 KT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-140015-
/O.CAN.KOKX.GL.W.0008.000000T0000Z-090213T1700Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST SATURDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WITH CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 8
FT WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 4 TO 6 FT DURING THIS AFTERNOON...AND TO
3 TO 5 FT TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-140015-
/O.CAN.KOKX.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1400Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T0100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE LOW WATER
ADVISORY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST
THIS EVENING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING. THESE OFFSHORE WINDS ARE NO LONGER
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOW WATER CONDITIONS AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW
TIDE THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ340-140015-
/O.CAN.KOKX.LO.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-090213T1400Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE LOW WATER
ADVISORY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT. THESE OFFSHORE WINDS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE LOW WATER CONDITIONS AROUND THE TIMES OF LOW TIDE 
THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-140015-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
715 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
TODAY. GUSTS SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY TO 25 KT TONIGHT. 
THESE CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GOODMAN

945 
WHUS71 KOKX 132053
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
353 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...KEEPING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY
DIMINISH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

ANZ338-140200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T0200Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
353 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE
INTO EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-141100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1600Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT WILL
CONTINUE BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA
LATE SATURDAY MORNING. 

SEAS ON OCEAN WATERS WILL ALSO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FT BEFORE
SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN TO 2 TO 4 FT
SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-141100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
353 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-141100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 KT WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS

014 
WHUS71 KOKX 140022
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
722 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...KEEPING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

ANZ338-141100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
722 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT WILL CONTINUE
TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT LATE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-141230-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1600Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
722 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST
SATURDAY. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 KT WILL CONTINUE
BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA LATE
SATURDAY MORNING.

SEAS ON OCEAN WATERS WILL ALSO RANGE FROM 4 TO 6 FT BEFORE
SUBSIDING TO 3 TO 5 FT OVERNIGHT...THEN TO 2 TO 4 FT
SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-355-141100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
722 PM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
SATURDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY.

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

818 
WHUS71 KOKX 141100
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
600 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

...GUSTY WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

.HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST UNITED
STATES...KEEPING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS
EARLY THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

ANZ335-338-355-141200-
/O.EXP.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
600 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING. 

WINDS ACROSS WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND NEW YORK HARBOR..AS
WELL AS THE ATLANTIC OCEAN SOUTH BETWEEN SANDY HOOK AND FIRE
ISLAND INLET HAVE DIMINISHED TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS. WHILE A FEW
STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS.

$$

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-141600-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1600Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
600 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS OF 25 KT WILL CONTINUE
BEFORE DIMINISHING BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA LATER THIS MORNING.

SEAS ON OCEAN WATERS REMAIN 3 TO 5 FT OVERNIGHT...THEN SUBSIDE TO
2 TO 4 FT SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

232 
WHUS71 KOKX 141554
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1054 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

...IMPROVING CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF TODAY...

.SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST
OF THE DAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES THIS AFTERNOON.

ANZ330-340-345-350-353-141700-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0021.000000T0000Z-090214T1600Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1054 AM EST SAT FEB 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY. 

WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE DAY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
406 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL TRACK INTO THE
NORTH ATLANTIC TODAY. A DRY AND SEASONABLY COOL PATTERN WILL SETTLE
IN THEREAFTER UNTIL THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...WHERE THE
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...
STLT AT 8Z PLACES DEEP LOW PRES E OF NOVA SCOTIA. UPPER LVL LOV
SHOWS UP OVER NRN QUEBEC. WINDS ARE STILL GUSTING 20-30KT. THIS IS
KEEPING TEMPS UP. HAVE THEREFORE TRENDED TOWARDS THE LAV DATA FOR
AM TEMPS. CLOUD COVER IS DEEPEST ACROSS WRN ZONES WITH MOSITURE
FLOW FM THE GREAT LAKES...BOTH UPPER AND LOWER.

&&

.SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
MAINLY A TEMP AND CLOUD FCST THRU SUN. H5 CLOSED LOW SE OF HUDSON
BAY WILL TRACK SEWD INTO NB. THIS LOOKS TO PRODUCE ENOUGH
SUBSIDENCE TO ERODE ANY RESIDUAL CLOUD COVER. MOISTURE FEED ON IR
WILL BE STRAIGHT INTO THE CWA FM THE GREAT LAKES SO NWRN ZONES
RUN THE GREATEST RISK OF LESS CLOUD EROSION. NAM 2M AND MET MUCH
COOLER THAN THE MAV DESPITE SIMILAR LLVL LAPSE RATES. WENT CLOSER
TO THE MAV FOR HIGHS WITH WARMER START TEMPS THIS AM WHICH THE MAV
HAS A BETTER HANDLE ON.

WLY FLOW ALOFT SAT AND SUN WITH NO MOISTURE TO WORK WITH SO
MAINTAINED A DRY FCST. BLEND OF THE MAV AND NAM 2M TEMPS. CLOSER
TO THE MET COLDER SECTIONS OF ERN LI DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIODS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CONTINUED THE DRY FCST TIL WED AFTN. H5 TROF TRACKS THRU MON WITH
PERHAPS A BACKDOOR FRONT SLIDING THRU...BUT PCPN LOOKS TO BE OCEAN
EFFECT SO E AND S OF THE CWA ATTM.

MAIN SYSTEM TO WATCH IS WED NIGHT THRU THU. THE 00Z GFS IS FASTER
THAN BOTH THE 00Z ECMWF AND MOST OF THE 00Z GFS ENSEMBLES. THE
SLOWER SOLNS ARE ALSO DEEPER. SOME MEMBERS INCLUDING THE ECMWF
DROP THE PRESSURE INTO THE 965-975 RANGE. TRENDED THE OFFICIAL
FCST SLOWER...AND INCREASED POPS ON THU. STILL VERY FAR OUT SO
THERE IS A HIGH AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY...BUT THE TREND IS FOR
SOMETHING TO DEVELOP AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NERN WHICH COULD
BE OF THE SIGNIFICANT VARIETY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
GUSTY WNW WINDS 20-30 KT WITH GUSTS 30-40 KT...HIGHEST AT COASTAL
TERMINALS...WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH OVERNIGHT TO 15-20 KT WITH GUSTS
25-30 KT BY THE MORNING PUSH. GUSTINESS WILL DIMINISH AT ALL
TERMINALS...AND SUSTAINED WINDS SHOULD DIMINISH TO AROUND 10 KT BY
00Z SAT AT ALL BUT THE NYC TERMINALS...WHICH SHOULD DIMINISH TO
AROUND 10 KT TOWARD THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD. VFR CIGS AROUND 5 KFT
SHOULD SCATTER BY ABOUT 11Z.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
VFR. GUSTY N WINDS POSSIBLE MON AND MON NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
PEAK WINDS APPEAR TO BE JUST UNDER GALE FORCE ON THE OCEAN AT 08Z...
BUT AS AIR TEMPS COOL CLOSER TO SEA SURFACE TEMPS TOWARD DAYBREAK...
THINK WINDS MAY INCREASE FOR A TIME AND MAINTAIN GALE FORCE GUSTS
THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING IF NOT ALL MORNING...SO GALE WARNING
THERE REMAINS STATUS QUO. ELSEWHERE...STILL SEEING SOME NEAR SHORE
GUSTS CLOSE TO 35 KT ON WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND ATTM...BUT THINK
THEY WILL DIMINISH SHORTLY AND WILL REPLACE GALE WARNING WITH SCA
FOR TODAY FOR THE SOUND/HARBOR/BAYS. THEREAFTER...SCA CONDITIONS
SHOULD CONTINUE INTO EARLY THIS EVENING ON THE HARBOR/WESTERN
SOUND/SOUTH SHORE BACK BAYS...THROUGH TONIGHT ON THE EASTERN
SOUND/BAYS...AND INTO AT LEAST SAT MORNING ON THE OCEAN AS INTENSE
LOW PRESSURE E OF NOVA SCOTIA MOVES FARTHER OUT INTO THE
NORTH ATLANTIC.

A DEVELOPING LOW WILL PASS WELL TO THE S LATE MON...AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS SYSTEM AND HIGH PRESSURE TO THE W MAY RESULT
IN SCA CONDITIONS LATE MON INTO EARLY TUE. INCREASING S-SE FLOW
AHEAD OF AN INCIPIENT COASTAL STORM COULD ALSO BRING SCA CONDITIONS
TO THE OCEAN AND THE EASTERN SOUND/BAYS LATE WED AFTERNOON INTO
WED NIGHT.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE WALLKILL AT GARDINER ROSE TO AROUND ACTION STAGE OVERNIGHT BUT
HAS SINCE FALLEN. HAVE EXTENDED THE FFA UNTIL NOON TO ALLOW FOR A
VISUAL ASSESSMENT OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS ACROSS ORANGE COUNTY
THIS MORNING. NO PCPN IS EXPECTED THRU TUE.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WATER LEVELS COULD STILL FALL TO AROUND 2 FT BELOW MLLW ACROSS NY
HARBOR...WESTERN LI SOUND AND THE LI BAYS DURING THE LOW TIDE CYCLE
THIS MORNING...SO WILL MAINTAIN LOW WATER ADVISORY THERE BUT DROP
FOR THE THE EASTERN SOUND AND WESTERN OCEAN WATERS. NGM FORECAST
DEPARTURES FOR STAMFORD/BRIDGEPORT APPEAR HIGH FOR SUBSEQUENT LOW
TIDE CYCLES...SO FURTHER LOW WATER PROBLEMS ARE NOT EXPECTED ATTM.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR NYZ067.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR ANZ335-338-
     340-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ335-
     338-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SATURDAY FOR ANZ330-340.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMC
NEAR TERM...JMC
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...JMC
AVIATION...PFM
MARINE...BG
HYDROLOGY...JMC
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

CTZ007>012-NYZ078>081-140415-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS AND ANY
DAMAGE FROM THE WINDS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OVERNIGHT.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ067-140415-
ORANGE-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ005-006-NJZ002>006-011-NYZ068>077-140415-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-
EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-140415-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ355-140415-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LOW WATER ADVISORY.
   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-140415-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1108 PM EST THU FEB 12 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MALOIT