Small Craft Advisory 13, NWS New York, NY

765 
WHUS71 KOKX 280306
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN NEW
ENGLAND BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE. AS THE
LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES NEAR THE BAY OF FUNDY...VEERING WINDS FROM
SOUTH TO WEST WILL INCREASE OVER THE OCEAN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. GUSTS
MAY REACH GALE FORCE ON THE OCEAN EAST OF FIRE ISLAND INLET
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

ANZ350-353-281515-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1100Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0003.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY DAWN AS LOW PRESSURE DRAWS CLOSE
TO THE COASTAL WATERS. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT CAN BE
EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO LINGERING 5 TO 10 FT SEAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND VEER TO THE WEST AT 25 TO 30 KT AS
THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES NEAR THE BAY OF FUNDY. GUSTS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 40 KT OVER THE WATERS EAST OF FIRE
ISLAND INLET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ345-355-281515-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1100Z-090129T1100Z/
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY TO
6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY DAWN AS LOW PRESSURE DRAWS CLOSE
TO THE COASTAL WATERS. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT CAN BE
EXPECTED.

IN ADDITION TO LINGERING 5 TO 10 FT SEAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AND VEER TO THE WEST AS THE LOW
RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES NEAR THE BAY OF FUNDY. GUSTS MAY APPROACH
GALE FORCE...POSSIBLY OVER THE EASTERN SOUND AND PECONIC AND
GARDINERS BAY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-281515-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1100Z-090128T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
1006 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE BY DAWN AS LOW PRESSURE DRAWS CLOSE
TO THE COASTAL WATERS. WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT CAN BE
EXPECTED. WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
TRACKS JUST NORTH OF THE LONG ISLAND SOUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

645 
WHUS71 KOKX 280904
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN
NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE. AS THE
LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...VEERING
WINDS FROM SOUTH TO WEST WILL INCREASE OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MOST OF THE WATERS.

ANZ350-282200-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1100Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T1100Z-090129T1100Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0003.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS
TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY
THIS EVENING. 

WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT
AS THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. 

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FT LATER TODAY...AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-282200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1400Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0003.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY.
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS
THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
EVENING.

WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT
AS THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. 

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FT LATER TODAY...AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-345-282200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1400Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE
APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-282200-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1400Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
KT LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH
GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE
APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-282200-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
KT LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH THIS EVENING AS LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO
NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-282200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1500Z-090129T1500Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
404 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY. 


EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
LATER THIS MORNING...THEN WILL TURN SOUTH THIS EVENING AS LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO
NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FT LATER TODAY AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS

205 
WHUS71 KOKX 281251
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
751 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN
NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE. AS THE
LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...VEERING
WINDS FROM SOUTH TO WEST WILL INCREASE OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MOST OF THE WATERS.

ANZ330-335-340-345-353-290100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1251Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
751 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM
EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
EVENING. A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
BEFORE TURNING SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT
TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-
AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FT ON THE OCEAN AND TO 3
TO 4 TO 6 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND LATER TODAY...PERSISTING THROUGH
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-290100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
751 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
KT BEFORE TURNING SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS THE
APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
EVENING.

WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT
AS THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FT LATER TODAY...AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-290100-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T1251Z-090129T1500Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
751 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT
BEFORE TURNING SOUTH THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARDS
THE APPALACHIANS BY MID-AFTERNOON...THEN TO NEW ENGLAND BY THIS
EVENING.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FT LATER TODAY AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-290100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T2300Z-090129T1100Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
751 AM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL TURN SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH
GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS EVENING AS LOW PRESSURE RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES
AS IT TRACKS TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS

083 
WHUS71 KOKX 282225
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS...

.AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS NORTHEAST TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN
NEW ENGLAND BY THIS EVENING...EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE. AS THE
LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES...VEERING
WINDS FROM SOUTH TO WEST WILL INCREASE OVER THE WATERS TONIGHT.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON MOST OF THE WATERS.

ANZ330-335-340-345-291030-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2225Z-090129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY.  

NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 10 TO 15 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
BEFORE TURNING WEST AT 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT ON LONG ISLAND SOUND
TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ353-291030-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090128T2300Z/
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0006.090128T2225Z-090129T1700Z/
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT...WILL TURN
WEST AT 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 KT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING. IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 7 TO 10 FT TONIGHT
BEFORE SUBSIDING ON THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-291030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1700Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY. 

EASTERLY WINDS WILL RANGE FROM TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 KT BEFORE TURNING SOUTH AT 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
TONIGHT.

WINDS WILL RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT TONIGHT
AS THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.

IN ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 9 FT LATER TODAY...AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ338-291030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.090128T2225Z-090129T1100Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT
TONIGHT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-291030-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090129T1700Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
525 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
THURSDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT...WILL TURN WEST
TONIGHT AND INCREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35
KT...BEFORE DIMINISHING DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. IN
ADDITION...SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 7 FT TONIGHT AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KT ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MALOIT

274 
WHUS71 KOKX 290350
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK TOWARDS NOVA SCOTIA OVERNIGHT WHILE
INTENSIFYING. WESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT ON
THE COASTAL WATERS. 

ANZ338-291100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
NEW YORK HARBOR-
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS AROUND 35 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH THURSDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ355-291100-
/O.UPG.KOKX.SC.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-090129T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH THURSDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO
9 FT TONIGHT AS WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-340-345-291100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT...THEN DIMINISH THURSDAY MORNING.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 3 TO 5 FT ON EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AS
WELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-291600-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-090129T1700Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1050 PM EST WED JAN 28 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY. 

WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...THEN DIMINISH.

SEAS WILL BUILD TO 6 TO 11 FT AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KT ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
114 PM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
COLD AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES AS ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY
WORKS ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE LATE
TONIGHT. LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
TENNESSEE VALLEY TUESDAY NIGHT WILL PASS JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND
BY WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE MOVING EAST OF CAPE COD AFTER MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TO THE
INTERIOR AND RAIN ALONG THE COAST WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY
WEATHER RETURNS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
ZONES AND GRIDS FOR TODAY LOOK GOOD...SO NO CHANGES AT THIS TIME.
ANY CHANGES TO HEADLINES WILL BE MADE WITH THE LATE AFTERNOON
FORECAST PACKAGE. OTHERWISE...ARCTIC HIGH PRES WILL SLOWLY WORK
ITS WAY ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. COLD AND DRY WEATHER REMAINS IN
THE FORECAST...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES NOT QUITE REACHING THE
FREEZING MARK. CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH DEEPENING LOW PRES OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE
EXCEPTION BEING SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS AS
THE HIGH MOVES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE ABOUT 8 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
27/00Z OPERATIONAL GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT
WITH THE 26/12Z ECMWF. LOW PRES TRACKS INTO THE TN VALLEY BY THIS
EVENING...THEN SLOWLY WORKS ITS WAY UP THE APPALACHIANS WED BEFORE
PASSING EITHER OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND WED EVENING
BEFORE PASSING OVER CAPE COD AFTER MIDNIGHT WED NIGHT. 27/00Z NAM
HAS THE LOW PASSING A BIT FURTHER NORTH...AND EMPHASIZES THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SECONDARY LOW OFF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA WED
MORNING. 27/00Z ECMWF HINTS AT THIS DEVELOPMENT AS WELL. THE
PROBLEM WITH THE 00Z ECMWF IS THAT THE TRACK OF THE SECONDARY LOW
IS WELL INLAND...AND CREATES A MUCH WARMER SOLUTION AS COMPARED TO
THE COLDER GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN. EVEN THE NAM...WHICH IS WARMER THAN
THE GFS/UKMET/CANADIAN IS NOT AS WARM AS THE 00Z ECMWF. SO THIS
POSES A PROBLEM...FOLLOW GENERAL CONSENSUS AND GO WITH A COLDER
SOLUTION...OR FOLLOW THE ECMWF...WITH MORE RAIN AND LESS SNOW/ICE.
THE ECMWF HAS BEEN THE SUPERIOR MODEL SO FAR THIS WINTER SEASON...
SO IT IS HARD TO DISCOUNT IT...BUT THIS IS THE FIRST RUN THAT IS
NOTABLY WARMER. ONE OTHER ASPECT THAT IS NOT QUITE SHOWING UP IN
THE 00Z ECMWF IS THE IMPACT OF THE DEPARTING HIGH. THIS IS A
STRONG...COLD 1036 MB HIGH AND THINK IT WILL BE SLOWER TO DEPART
THAN MODEL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING. 00Z ECMWF HAS STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS OVER THE AREA BY 00Z THU (HARD TO TELL WHAT WINDS WILL BE AT
18Z WED...AS ECMWF IS IN 12 HR INCREMENTS)...AND 00Z GFS HAS STIFF
EASTERLY WINDS AT 18Z WED. THINK THE POTENTIAL FOR COLD AIR
DAMMING WILL BE MORE PRONOUNCED THAN THE MODELS ARE INDICATING...
ESPECIALLY IF WINDS ARE MORE NORTHEASTERLY THAN ARE SHOWING. THIS
WILL MAKE IT HARDER FOR A CHANGE TO RAIN...AND THINK MOST AREAS
ACROSS THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY WILL NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE 20S ON
WED.

ALL THAT BEING SAID...WILL LOOK FOR SNOW TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...BECOMING HEAVY AT TIMES DURING THE WEDNESDAY MORNING
COMMUTE. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 4 TO 7 INCHES ACROSS
THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR CT...AND 3 TO 5 INCHES
ELSEWHERE WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO PUSH NORTH LATE WED
MORNING...ALLOWING SNOW TO MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. ALONG
COASTAL LOCATIONS...A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE...THEN SFC TEMPS WILL WARM INTO THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 30S. PRECIP WILL THEN CHANGE OVER TO PLAIN
RAIN...AND PLAIN RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NYC/EASTERN
NJ/COASTAL CT AND LONG ISLAND UNTIL PRECIP TAPERS OFF BY MIDNIGHT.

FURTHER INLAND...MORE SIGNIFICANT ICING WILL OCCUR AS TEMPS WILL
STRUGGLE TO REACH THE FREEZING MARK. HIGHS ACROSS ORANGE/PUTNAM
AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTIES MAY NOT EVEN GET OUT OF THE 20S...AND
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF SLEET/FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED. ANYWHERE
FROM A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE...WITH A QUARTER TO A THIRD OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE
ACROSS ORANGE/PUTNAM/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD/NORTHERN NEW HAVEN
COUNTIES.

CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN EXACTLY WHAT WILL HAPPEN ACROSS THE
REGION...AS THE LATEST ECMWF CANNOT BE DISCOUNTED. SHOULD THE
27/00Z ECMWF VERIFY...MANY AREAS COULD GET A PROLONGED PERIOD OF
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN.

AS SUCH...WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING WINTER STORM WARNINGS. WILL
CONTINUE TO CARRY THE WINTER STORM WATCH FOR PARTS OF NORTHEAST
NJ...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND INTERIOR CT AS NOT ONLY SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS COULD REACH WARNING CRITERIA...BUT SOME LOCATIONS
COULD REACH WARNING CRITERIA ON ICE ACCUMULATION AS WELL. WILL
ALSO GO AHEAD AND ADD BERGEN AND EASTERN PASSAIC TO THE WATCH.

WILL ALSO GO AHEAD AND HOIST WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES FOR THE
REST OF THE REGION. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WED MORNING
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH WARNING CRITERIA...AND ANY ICE THAT
FALLS LATE WED MORNING/EARLY WED AFTERNOON WILL NOT REACH WARNING
CRITERIA AS WELL. THESE LOCATIONS INCLUDE NEW YORK CITY...PARTS OF
NORTHEAST NJ...COASTAL CT (WHICH IS REMOVED FROM THE WATCH) AND
LONG ISLAND.

THE LOW DEPARTS BY MIDNIGHT WED NIGHT...THEN GUSTY NW WINDS WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REGION LATE WED NIGHT AND THU. COLD/DRY WEATHER
RETURNS FOR THU.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
A PROGRESSIVE YET HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER TROF TRANSLATES OFF THE
EASTERN SEABOARD FRI INTO SAT. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
CYCLOGENESIS WELL OFFSHORE ON FRI...SPARING THE REGION ANOTHER BOUT
OF WINTRY WEATHER. LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH
BYPASSES THE AREA TO THE NORTH FRI NIGHT...SENDING ANOTHER SHOT OF
POLAR AIR INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE BOTH ALOFT
AND AT THE SFC BUILDS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD ON SAT...THEN
OFFSHORE ON SUN. ANOTHER AMPLIFYING TROF DESCENDS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON MON WITH A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
A CONTINUATION OF AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE
EXPECTED DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR CIGS AND VSBY WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MIDNIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES SLOWLY NE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST.

SNOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND MOVE NE
ACROSS THE AREA.

CIGS AND VSBY ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE TO MVFR FROM 05Z TO 09Z
FROM W TO E...THEN TO LIFR FROM 08Z TO 11Z.

MAX HOURLY SNOWFALL RATES COULD APPROACH 1/2 TO 1 INCH PER HOUR
FROM 08Z TO 15Z.

AS THE APPROACHING LOW MOVES NE...WARMER AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE
RAPIDLY N CAUSING SNOW TO CHANGE RAPIDLY TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST
14Z-15Z AND FREEZING RAIN INLAND. UP TO 1/3 OF AN INCH OF ICE
ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE AT KSWF 16Z-19Z. ALTHOUGH THE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE OF THIS PRECIP CHANGE IS HIGH...TIMING COULD BE OFF BY
UP TO 2 HOURS.

AS THE LOW MOVES NEARLY OVERHEAD...THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG OVER A FRESH SNOW PACK DURING WED
AFTERNOON...WHICH IS ONLY HINTED BY THE FCST MODELS.

OUTLOOK FOR 00Z THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AS THE LOW INTENSIFIES
RAPIDLY AND MOVES OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WED NIGHT...STRONG W
WINDS WILL DEVELOP AS CIGS AND VSBY IMPROVE TO VFR. SUSTAINED
SPEEDS MAY REACH 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT AS TEMPS FALL BACK
BELOW FREEZING EVERYWHERE. OTHERWISE...MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL WITH VFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS THIS MORNING AND INTO THIS
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST TONIGHT AS A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. WINDS AND SEAS ON
THE WATERS WILL REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TODAY AND
INTO TONIGHT...HOWEVER A FEW GUSTS COULD APPROACH 25 KTS FOR A
TIME LATE TONIGHT EAST OF MORICHES INLET AS THE GRADIENT INCREASES
WITH THE APPROACH OF THE LOW. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE
TONIGHT AND IMPACT VISIBILITIES IN ALL THE AREA WATERS.

THE LOW TRACKS THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS AND TO THE SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY COAST WEDNESDAY. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE TRACK
OF THE LOW WHICH WILL IMPACT THE WEATHER ACROSS THE WATERS. AS
WARMER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO
PLAIN RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON. WITH THE
LOW PASSING NEAR THE WATERS WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THE DAY.

THE LOW WILL TRACK THROUGH THE AREA WATERS WEDNESDAY EVENING AND
WINDS SHIFT TO THE WEST. WIND GUSTS AND SEAS...MAINLY ON THE OCEAN
WATERS...WILL INCREASE TO SMALL CRAFT LEVELS BEHIND THE LOW. RAIN
WILL TAPER OFF AND END BY LATE IN THE EVENING WITH THE LOW MOVING
INTO THE GULF OF MAINE. THE TIMING OF THE WIND SHIFT AND INCREASE
IN GUSTS AND SEAS WILL DEPEND ON THE TRACK OF THE LOW WHICH
REMAINS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.

WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AROUND SMALL CRAFT LEVELS INTO
THURSDAY MORNING ON THE OCEAN WATERS AND SEAS MAY NOT SUBSIDE
UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY.

SCA CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY FRI NIGHT INTO SAT WITH COLD ADVECTION
AND A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRES OVER THE GULF
COAST STATES LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE. WEST WINDS AND SEAS
SUBSIDE SAT NIGHT INTO SUN WITH THE RIDGE AXIS APPROACHING AND
MOVING ACROSS THE WATERS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
STORM SYSTEM AFFECTING THE AREA TONIGHT INTO WED NIGHT COULD
DELIVER 1 TO 1.25 INCHES LIQUID EQUIVALENT QPF...MUCH OF IT IN
THE FORM OF WINTRY PRECIP.

AREA RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL REMAIN ICE COVERED INTO THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK. RIVER GAGE FLUCTUATIONS ARE LIKELY DUE TO THE ICING.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR CTZ009>012.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR CTZ005>008.
NY...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NYZ071>081.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR NYZ067>070.
NJ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR NJZ005-006-011.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR NJZ002>004.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MPS
NEAR TERM...MPS
SHORT TERM...MPS
LONG TERM...DW
AVIATION...GC
MARINE...MET
HYDROLOGY...MPS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY
414 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

CTZ005>008-NJZ002>004-NYZ067>070-281000-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
414 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION REPORTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ009>012-NJZ005-006-011-NYZ071>081-281000-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ESSEX-HUDSON-UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
QUEENS-NASSAU-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
414 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
MIDNIGHT EST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION REPORTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-281000-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
414 AM EST TUE JAN 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOW AND ICE
ACCUMULATION REPORTS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

MPS