Severe Thunderstorm Warning 29, NWS New York, NY

000 
WWUS51 KOKX 262206
SVSOKX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
606 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

NJC003-013-017-031-039-NYC005-047-061-081-085-087-119-262230-
/O.CON.KOKX.SV.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090626T2230Z/
HUDSON NJ-BERGEN NJ-ESSEX NJ-UNION NJ-ROCKLAND NY-BRONX NY-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN) NY-KINGS (BROOKLYN) NY-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND) NY-PASSAIC NJ-WESTCHESTER NY-QUEENS NY-
606 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT
FOR QUEENS...WESTCHESTER...PASSAIC...RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)...KINGS
(BROOKLYN)...NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)...BRONX...ROCKLAND...UNION...
ESSEX...BERGEN AND HUDSON COUNTIES...

AT 603 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY 
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS 
OF 60 MPH...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS
IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM FRIDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

&&

LAT...LON 4050 7424 4059 7421 4059 7446 4065 7441
      4067 7446 4074 7438 4086 7432 4090 7434
      4090 7428 4098 7429 4117 7392 4110 7372
      4098 7364 4086 7380 4079 7376 4057 7397
      4062 7404 4070 7401 4067 7407 4059 7405
TIME...MOT...LOC 2204Z 281DEG 28KT 4115 7365 4082 7414

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
322 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT. A BROAD AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE THEN BUILDS INTO THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
FOR THE WEEKEND...THEN SLIDES OFFSHORE BY MONDAY. ANOTHER SLOW
MOVING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL IMPACT THE
AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...ENSURING UNSETTLED
WEATHER.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
WITH PLENTY OF INSTABILITY IN PLACE...SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PASS
ACROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT. PLENTY OF LEFTOVER
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF
PATCHY FOG. CONVECTION WILL DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AND COVERAGE.

REGARDING TEMPERATURES...FOLLOWED MOS BLEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
CLOSED UPPER LOW AND ASSOCIATED COLD POOL OVER THE AREA SATURDAY
WILL SLOWLY PASS TO THE EAST AS NEXT CLOSED LOW DIGS ACROSS THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. WOULD EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO
DEVELOP SATURDAY...BUT DRIER BOUNDARY LAYER WILL KEEP CAPES DOWN
SOMEWHAT IN SPITE OF COLD AIR ALOFT.

DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION WANES SATURDAY EVENING...AND EXPECT
SLIGHTLY LESS COVERAGE ON SUNDAY AS CWA REMAINS BETWEEN WEAKENING
LOW...AND UPSTREAM LOW. WEAK RIDGING BETWEEN.

MINIMAL POPS STILL WARRANTED THROUGH MONDAY AS MODELS DO OUTPUT
SCT CONVECTION IN PERSISTENT UNSTABLE AIRMASS. AGAIN...COVERAGE
QUITE LOW...SO MANY LOCATIONS SHOULD REMAIN DRY.

AS FOR TEMPS...UNDERCUT MAVS AND LEANED TOWARD COOLER MET NUMBERS
DUE TO CONVECTION AND CLOSED UPPER LOW PARKED OVER THE NORTHEAST.
FEEL TEMPS REMAIN BELOW NORMAL.

A SLIGHT WARMUP POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND MONDAY...NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
UNSETTLED WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH AT
LEAST CHANCE POPS EACH DAY FOR RAIN SHOWERS. A LARGE CUTOFF LOW OVER
THE GREAT LAKES WILL SLOWLY SHIFT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
WEEK. SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THIS LOW PROVIDE CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS AND PERIODS OF SHOWER ACTIVITY. CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP
HIGH TEMPS AT OR NEAR CLIMATOLOGY...MAINLY IN THE 70S AND LOWER 80S.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON CONVECTION ACROSS THE TERMINALS LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS SHORT WAVE NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY
MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. CLUSTERS OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NRN PA AND
SRN TIER OF NY WILL DROP SE AND CROSS NYC AREA TERMINALS 21-01Z.
SUB-VFR EXPECTED WITH LOCALIZED GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ACROSS ALL
TERMINALS. STRONG TO LOCALIZED SEVERE CONVECTION WITH FREQUENT
LIGHTNING EXPECTED.

IFR CEILINGS ACROSS COASTAL CT AND LI WILL MIX OUT TEMPORARILY AS
CONVECTION MOVES APPROACHES. WESTERLY WINDS OF 10-15 KT IN THE
MIXED LAYER. FOG/HAZE WILL REDEVELOP QUICKLY OVERNIGHT. PLENTY OF
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS WILL LIKELY BRING VLIFR CONDS
ACROSS COASTAL TERMINALS EARLY MORNING HOURS AND MAY LINGER
THROUGH MID MORNING SAT...ESPECIALLY AT KGON.

OUTLOOK /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
SAT-TUE:...VFR...WITH SUB VFR POSSIBLE IN SCT TSRA/SHRA.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. LATEST
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE NEAR 5 FOOT SEAS IN A SE SWELL. WAVE WATCH
SEEMS TOO HIGH INITIALLY...SO UNDERCUT OUTPUT BY A FOOT. FEEL SEAS
REMAIN BELOW 5 FT...AS WIND DRIVEN WAVES NEGLIGIBLE.

COLD FRONT SLOWLY PASSES ACROSS THE WATERS TONIGHT. AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE REMAINS IN THE WATERS VICINITY FOR QUITE SOME TIME.

UNSETTLED WEATHER THE MAIN THREAT FOR MARINE INTERESTS OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
WITH PWATS AROUND 1.5 INCHES THIS EVENING...ANY THUNDERSTORM COULD
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING MINOR FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS AND SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS GIVEN RECENT
RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION). AREA WIDE EXPECT BASIN AVERAGE
AMOUNTS OF 0.25 TO 0.75 INCHES FROM CONVECTION AHEAD OF THE COLD
FRONT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. RELATIVELY WET PERIOD SATURDAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS DAILY...MOST AREAS WILL
NOT RECEIVE RAIN EVERY DAY...BUT THOSE THAT DO COULD RECEIVE
0.25-0.5 INCHES. MAIN IMPACT WILL BE TO KEEP AREA WATER TABLES
FROM RECEDING FROM RELATIVELY HIGH CURRENT LEVELS.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...BC
AVIATION...IRD
MARINE...BC/PW
HYDROLOGY...PW

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
247 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-CTZ005>012-NJZ002>006-011-
NYZ067>081-271345-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-
NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-BERGEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-ESSEX-
HUDSON-UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-QUEENS-NASSAU-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
247 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 517 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

CTZ009-NJZ003-NYZ071>073-262130-
BERGEN-BRONX-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN
WESTCHESTER-
443 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

...DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRONX...EASTERN BERGEN...NEW
YORK (MANHATTAN)...SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD AND WESTCHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 442 PM EDT...SATELLITE IMAGERY AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THUNDERSTORMS WERE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING
NEAR BERGENFIELD...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  6 MILES NORTH OF EAST TREMONT BY 450 PM.
  NEAR BRONXVILLE BY 455 PM.
  NEAR BRONXVILLE BY 500 PM.
  NEAR SCARSDALE BY 505 PM.
  4 MILES SOUTH OF HARRISON BY 510 PM.
  NEAR RYE BY 515 PM.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS UP
TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. IN ADDITION...VERY HEAVY
RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1.5 INCHES AN HOUR...IS
OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. THIS COULD CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS... AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN
HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. MOVE
TO SAFE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.

MALOIT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
445 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MIDDLETOWN              41.45N 74.42W
06/26/2009                   ORANGE             NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER COVERING PORTIONS OF ROUTE 17

&&

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
451 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     HAIL             WATERBURY               41.56N 73.04W
06/26/2009  E0.75 INCH       NEW HAVEN          CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
456 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             PORT JERVIS             41.38N 74.69W
06/26/2009  E0.88 INCH       ORANGE             NY   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
513 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 PM     HAIL             4 NW CHESHIRE           41.55N 72.95W
06/26/2009  E0.88 INCH       NEW HAVEN          CT   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
518 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             EASTCHESTER             40.96N 73.81W
06/26/2009  E1.00 INCH       WESTCHESTER        NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

JMC