Severe Thunderstorm Warning 291, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1103 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION THAT WAS
LYING ACROSS TN AND INTO NE MS THIS MORNING ALLOWED SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NORTHERN CUMBERLAND
PLATEAU AND SOUTHWEST VA AT MID MORNING. PARTS OF THE PLATEAU HAVE
RECEIVED OVER ONE INCH OF RAIN AND ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY INCREASE
INTO THE AFTERNOON WITH HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBILITY OF A FEW SEVERE
STORMS WITH HIGH MOISTURE AMOUNTS AND MODERATE INSTABILITY. UPDATE
OUT SOON TO RAISE QPF AMOUNTS AND INCREASE POPS NORTH FOR THE REST
OF TODAY. HWO UPDATED TO ADD HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE THREAT.
&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

TD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
952 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-121400-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
952 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009 /852 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LEFTOVER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OVERNIGHT THUNDERSTORMS THAT EXTENDS
FROM CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI NORTHEAST INTO EASTERN TENNESSEE SHOULD BE
A FOCUS FOR AFTERNOON AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS AS
HEATING MAKES FOR A UNSTABLE AIRMASS. THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AS
AN UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP A CHANCE FOR
CLUSTERS OF STORMS TO FORM WITH A FEW PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL. ALSO VERY HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS IN THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
HELP FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL WITH LOCALIZED
FLOODING ALSO POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TD

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1131 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

TNZ014-037>039-069-070-111630-
CLAIBORNE-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-JEFFERSON-KNOX-UNION-
1131 AM EDT TUE AUG 11 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE AFFECTING CLAIBORNE...GRAINGER...
HAMBLEN...JEFFERSON...KNOX AND UNION COUNTIES...

AT 1131 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR MAYNARDVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

IN ADDITION TO SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY
LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES PRIMARY KILLERS ASSOCIATED WITH
THUNDERSTORMS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE
ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN

DH

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