Severe Thunderstorm Warning 236, NWS Morristown, TN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...REMAINS OF A STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO BE STRETCHED NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
MRX CWA.  WITH THIS...WILL CONTINUE TO SEE CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG IT AND PROVIDE OCCASIONAL SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO
THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT.  INITIALLY...MAIN TRACK WILL LIE ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PART OF THE CWA...THEN THROUGH THE DAY THE BOUNDARY MAY
SAG A BIT SOUTHWESTWARD.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
U.S. WILL STRENGTHEN EARLY IN THE EXTENDED...KEEPING THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIAN REGION IN NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT.  THE STALL
BOUNDARY OVER THE AREA WILL BECOME MORE NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED FOR
TUESDAY AND CONTINUE TO CARRY OCCASIONAL CONVECTION THROUGH THE
AREA.  THE BOUNDARY WILL SLOWLY DISSIPATE MID WEEK AS THE CENTRAL
U.S. RIDGE CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND EXPAND EAST INTO OUR AREA.
THIS SHOULD SUPPRESS CONVECTION OVER OUR AREA AND LEAD TO GENERALLY
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY. WEATHER EXPECTED TO BECOME
UNSETTLED ONCE AGAIN DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE EXTENDED AS THE
STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE DECREASE AND ANOTHER WEAKENING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DROPS INTO THE AREA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN  94  72  92  70  92 /  30  20  20  10  10
KNOXVILLE AIRPORT, TN    90  70  89  67  88 /  40  30  20  10  10
OAK RIDGE, TN            92  69  91  68  90 /  40  30  20  10  10
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN   87  64  88  64  86 /  30  20  20  10  10

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

MJB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
530 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009

NCZ060-061-TNZ012>018-035>047-067>074-081>087-098>102-VAZ001-002-
005-006-008-231000-
CHEROKEE-CLAY-SCOTT TN-CAMPBELL-CLAIBORNE-HANCOCK-HAWKINS-
SULLIVAN-JOHNSON-MORGAN-ANDERSON-UNION-GRAINGER-HAMBLEN-
NORTHWEST COCKE-COCKE SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTHWEST GREENE-
SOUTHEAST GREENE-WASHINGTON TN-UNICOI-NORTHWEST CARTER-
SOUTHEAST CARTER-ROANE-LOUDON-KNOX-JEFFERSON-NW BLOUNT-
BLOUNT SMOKY MOUNTAINS-NORTH SEVIER-SEVIER SMOKY MOUNTAINS-
SEQUATCHIE-BLEDSOE-RHEA-MEIGS-MCMINN-NORTHWEST MONROE-
SOUTHEAST MONROE-MARION-HAMILTON-BRADLEY-WEST POLK-EAST POLK-LEE-
WISE-SCOTT-RUSSELL-WASHINGTON-
530 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009 /430 AM CDT MON JUN 22 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST NORTH
CAROLINA...EAST TENNESSEE AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS EAST TENNESSEE. LOCALIZED RAINFALL
AMOUNTS NEAR TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM IS
POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
346 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009

TNZ035-067-220845-
MORGAN-ROANE-
346 AM EDT MON JUN 22 2009

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE AFFECTING MORGAN AND ROANE
COUNTIES...

AT 345 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9 MILES WEST OF WARTBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH PER HOUR...MAY OCCUR WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADWAYS...AND POSSIBLE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT
DRIVE THROUGH WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN

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