Alert archive / Alabama / Small Craft Advisories in 2009

Small Craft Advisory 48, NWS Mobile, AL

November 30, 2009

NWS Mobile, AL issued this small craft advisory at Nov 30, 2009, 4:51 AM CST. It took effect at Dec 1, 2009, 12:00 AM CST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 30, 2009, 4:51 AM CST (10:51 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 1, 2009, 12:00 AM CST
Expired
Dec 1, 2009, 9:00 PM CST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

382 
WHUS74 KMOB 301051
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
451 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...MARINE WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST TO DETERIORATE TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT

.A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO SINK INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
BY TONIGHT AND STALL. ON THE WEST END OF THE GULF FRONT...LOW PRESSURE IS
FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY AND STRENGTHEN AS
IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW APPROACHES LATE TUESDAY...WINDS BECOME
STRONG WITH A STRONG EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHERLY FETCH RESULTING IN
HIGH SEAS. ALTHOUGH THE LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW SUGGESTS THAT WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONG AS WELL THEN.


GMZ650-655-670-675-301900-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T0600Z-091201T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091201T1800Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
451 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON
CST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST
TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

OFFSHORE FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT
WITH SEAS BUILDING. AS THE WESTERN GULF LOW STRENGTHENS AND
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO A RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE BECOMING LIKELY. SEAS BUILD...BECOMING 10 TO 15 FEET NEAR
SHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WELL OFFSHORE...SEAS LOOK TO RANGE
FROM 13 TO 18 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEA AND WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL
CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-301900-
/O.NEW.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T1800Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
451 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST TUESDAY. A
GALE WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS GALE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

OFFSHORE FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
AS THE WESTERN GULF LOW STRENGTHENS AND APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO A RANGE FROM 25 TO
30 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE BECOMING LIKELY. WAVES
COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 FEET ESPECIALLY OVER THE ENTRANCE OF MOBILE
BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
878 
WHUS74 KMOB 301902
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
102 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...MARINE WEATHER CONDITIONS FORECAST TO DETERIORATE TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT

.A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO SINK INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL
GULF BY TONIGHT AND STALL. ON THE WEST END OF THE GULF FRONT...
LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF TUESDAY
AND STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST INTO THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW APPROACHES LATE
TUESDAY...WINDS BECOME STRONG WITH A STRONG EASTERLY AND THEN
SOUTHERLY FETCH RESULTING IN HIGH SEAS. ALTHOUGH THE LOW LIFTS
NORTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE LARGE WIND FIELD
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW SUGGESTS THAT WESTERLY WINDS WILL BE
STRONG AS WELL THEN.

GMZ650-655-670-675-010315-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T0600Z-091201T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091201T1800Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
102 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO NOON CST TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON CST TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

OFFSHORE FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT
WITH SEAS BUILDING. AS THE WESTERN GULF LOW STRENGTHENS AND
APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO A RANGE FROM 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS TO GALE FORCE BECOMING LIKELY. SEAS BUILD...BECOMING 10 TO
15 FEET NEAR SHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. WELL OFFSHORE...
SEAS LOOK TO RANGE FROM 13 TO 18 FEET TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS SEA AND WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING
SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-010315-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T1800Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
102 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST
TUESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CST
TUESDAY. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. 

OFFSHORE FLOW IS FORECAST TO INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. AS THE WESTERN GULF LOW STRENGTHENS AND APPROACHES
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO A RANGE FROM 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
GALE FORCE BECOMING LIKELY. WAVES COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 FEET
ESPECIALLY OVER THE ENTRANCE OF MOBILE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$
581 
WHUS74 KMOB 010421
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1021 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL A GALE WARNING GOES
INTO EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA MAINLY FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...

.A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE MARINE AREA WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
EASTERLY ON TUESDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM
THE WESTERN GULF. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD AND
MOVE ACROSS COASTAL MISSISSIPPI AND INTO ALABAMA TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS INCREASING TO GALE FORCE OVER THE MARINE
AREA AND BECOMING SOUTHERLY. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG
TO SEVERE OVER THE MARINE AREA MOSTLY EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT CONTINUING
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS AND SEAS WILL SUBSIDE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM BUILDS
INTO THE AREA.

GMZ650-655-670-675-011230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T0600Z-091201T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091201T1800Z-091203T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091201T2100Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1021 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM TUESDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
3 PM CST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY AND INCREASE ON TUESDAY
WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE. WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE FURTHER
TO AROUND GALE FORCE WITH HIGHER GUSTS TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS
GRADUALLY DECREASE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME
NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT. SEAS BUILD TO 14 TO 18 FEET WELL
OFFSHORE AND 11 TO 15 FEET BY WEDNESDAY...THEN SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY
NIGHT TO 7 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS
SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE
AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF
GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-011230-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.091201T0600Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KMOB.GL.A.0003.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
1021 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST TUESDAY...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM TUESDAY TO NOON CST
WEDNESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
CST TUESDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY ON TUESDAY WITH GUSTS TO
GALE FORCE BY TUESDAY EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT
TUESDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND BECOME NORTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.  WAVES COULD RANGE
FROM 3 TO 4 FEET ESPECIALLY OVER THE ENTRANCE OF MOBILE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND
PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS
WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF
GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS
SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
306 
WHUS74 KMOB 011202
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
602 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL A GALE WARNING GOES
INTO EFFECT FOR THE MARINE AREA MAINLY FROM MID AFTERNOON TODAY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME EAST THEN
SOUTHEAST AS A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA. WINDS
INCREASING TO GALE FORCE OVER THE MARINE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR
EVENING AND CONTINUING OVERNIGHT...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. OFFSHORE WAVE HEIGHTS BUILDING TO AROUND 15 FEET THIS
EVENING AND REMAINING 10 TO 15 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE OVER THE MARINE AREA
MOSTLY EARLY TONIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY. WINDS
DIMINISHING SLOWLY DURING THE DAY THURSDAY WITH SEAS SUBSIDING BELOW
7 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

GMZ650-655-670-675-012015-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091201T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091201T2100Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
602 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS AFTERNOON. 

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY THEN
SOUTHEAST DURING THE DAY WITH GUSTS TO GALE FORCE BY LATE AFTERNOON.
THE WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISH WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THEY BECOME
NORTHWEST. SEAS BUILD TO 12 TO 16 FEET BY TONIGHT...SUBSIDING WEDNESDAY
NIGHT TO 7 TO 11 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-012015-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
602 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
CST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
CST WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME EASTERLY TODAY WITH GUSTS TO GALE
FORCE BY THIS EVENING WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTHERLY OVERNIGHT.  THE
WINDS GRADUALLY DECREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...BECOMING NORTHWEST BY
THURSDAY MORNING. MOBILE BAY CONDITIONS ROUGH TO VERY ROUGH TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY. WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE BAY COULD RANGE FROM 3 TO 4 FEET
ESPECIALLY OVER THE ENTRANCE OF MOBILE BAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
468 
WHUS74 KMOB 012016
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
216 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT TO 60 NM FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE BAY FROM 900 PM TONIGHT
UNTIL NOON ON WEDNESDAY...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE BAY UNTIL 900
PM TONIGHT BEFORE GALE CONDITIONS...

.A VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM WITH SLIGHTLY
LOWER WINDS SPEEDS EXPECTED OVER INLAND BAYS AND SOUNDS. SEAS WILL
RANGE FROM 12 TO 16 FEET LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OUT TO 60 NM
THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST.

GMZ650-655-670-675-020430-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091201T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091201T2100Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
216 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM.SEAS WILL RANGE
FROM 12 TO 16 FEET LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OUT TO 60 NM THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-020430-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
216 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
CST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
CST WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
9 PM CST THIS EVENING. 

A VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER MOBILE BAY LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET OVER EXPOSED AREAS OR OVER THE LOWER END OF MOBILE BAY WILL
ALSO BE LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
952 
WHUS74 KMOB 012031 CCA
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
224 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA OUT TO 60 NM FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 
MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

...A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE BAY FROM 900 PM TONIGHT
UNTIL NOON ON WEDNESDAY...

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOBILE BAY UNTIL 900
PM TONIGHT BEFORE GALE CONDITIONS...

.A VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM WITH SLIGHTLY
LOWER WINDS SPEEDS EXPECTED OVER INLAND BAYS AND SOUNDS. SEAS WILL
RANGE FROM 12 TO 16 FEET LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OUT TO 60 NM
THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF
COAST.

GMZ650-655-670-675-020445-
/O.COR.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091201T2100Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091201T2100Z-091203T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
224 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

.VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 30 TO 40 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER THE ADJACENT GULF WATERS OUT TO 60 NM. SEAS WILL RANGE
FROM 12 TO 16 FEET LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT OUT TO 60 NM THEN
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE
LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES WELL NORTH OF THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ630-020445-
/O.COR.KMOB.SC.Y.0048.000000T0000Z-091202T0300Z/
/O.COR.KMOB.GL.W.0006.091202T0300Z-091202T1800Z/
MOBILE BAY-
224 PM CST TUE DEC 1 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
CST WEDNESDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING UNTIL NOON
WEDNESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
THIS EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

A VERY STRONG SOUTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE MARINE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN
BECOME MOSTLY SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT...IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING INLAND ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI ALABAMA COAST
LATER THIS EVENING. WINDS 25 TO 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS WILL
BE LIKELY OVER MOBILE BAY LATE THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SEAS 3 TO
5 FEET OVER EXPOSED AREAS OR OVER THE LOWER END OF MOBILE BAY WILL
ALSO BE LIKELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 29, 11:36 PM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 29, 11:36 PM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1136 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

.AVIATION (06Z ISSUANCE)...CEILINGS STEADILY LOWER THROUGH TOMORROW
MORNING AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND DROP TO NEAR 2.5KFT BY
MIDDAY.  INCLUDED LIGHT FOG DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT AT THE THREE TAF
SITES THEN ENDING BY 13Z.  THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH 17-20Z AND
INCLUDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR MODERATE SHOWERS AND CEILINGS NEAR
1.5KFT.  LAYER LIFTED CEILINGS NEAR 2.5KFT FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT THEN VFR CONDITIONS DEVELOP MONDAY EVENING. /29

** PREVIOUS DISCUSSION **

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...TONIGHT WE SEE WEAK
ISENTROPIC FORCING BRINGING A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN BEFORE SUNRISE
OVER THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND POSSIBLY INTERIOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA ZONES. APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE RAIN
AS EARLY AS TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST ZONES WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
MONDAY. DECREASING RAIN LATE MONDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER
ROUND TUESDAY.  HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND
COULD REACH 6 TO 8 INCHES ESPECIALLY WITHIN 60 TO 80 MILES OF THE
COAST.

MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG COASTAL ZONES TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY. THE PROBLEM CONTINUES TO
BE VEXING FOR LATE TUESDAY AS GFS AND ECMWF OUTPUTS ARE AT ODDS WITH
EACH OTHER. AS STATED YESTERDAY, THEY MAY BE BOTH RIGHT WITH MAIN
CENTER MAY BE WEST WITH TRIPLE POINT OF A WARM OCCLUSION NEAR MOBILE
BAY. STRONGER ONSHORE WIND IS SHOWN GUSTING TO NEAR WIND ADVISORY
CRITERIA, AND IF THE WARM FRONT MOVES ASHORE PER THE EURO IT WOULD
MIX DOWN HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR TO THE SURFACE. THAT WOULD INDEED RISK
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. BUT AS SEEN IN THE CALCULATIONS FOR GFS, THE
LOW WOULD BE AT A COASTAL CROSSING BETWEEN DAUPHIN ISLAND AND GULF
SHORES LATE TUESDAY BETWEEN SUNDOWN AND MIDNIGHT. HIGH TIDE IS 1.8 FT
AT 8 PM TUESDAY WITH A RANGE OF 2.3 FEET PER ASTRONOMICAL
PREDICTIONS. THERE IS A SIGNIFICANT RISK OF COASTAL FLOODING TUESDAY,
BUT WE WILL NOT KNOW MUCH MORE UNTIL CONFIDENCE BUILDS IN THE MODEL
CALCULATIONS ESPECIALLY ON WIND. AT THE POSITION INDICATED FOR
ARRIVAL ASHORE, THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT IS STEEP ENOUGH TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY EVENING TO CREATE A PROBLEM WITH ONSHORE WIND DRIVING
WATER ASHORE. THIS IS ESPECIALLY TRUE IN MOBILE BAY AND OTHER LARGE
SHALLOW BAYS. GFS CONTINUES FASTER AND EURO CONTINUES SLOWER, TO THE
WEST, STILL IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA. LATER CALCULATIONS WOULD BE ABLE TO
DEFINE THE RISK MORE CLOSELY.

AS FOR RAIN CHANCES AND AMOUNT, THE EURO AND GFS ARE STILL
SUFFICIENTLY CLOSE IN AGREEMENT WITH THEIR RESPECTIVE RAINFALL
OUTPUTS THAT HEAVY RAIN SHOULD BE CONSIDERED LIKELY TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT, TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. CURRENTLY THE FORECAST IS
JOINED TO THE GFS TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW.

/ 77

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...NO CHANGES. RESIDUAL RAIN
ENDING WEDNESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY THURSDAY MORNING WITH COOLER AIR
RETURNING.

&&

.MARINE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES RESULTS IN A
CONTINUED LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW THROUGH TONIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST AND MOVE ACROSS THE MARINE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING MONDAY
NIGHT. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 15-20 KT RANGE MONDAY NIGHT...
BUT THERE IS CERTAINLY A POSSIBILITY OF A PERIOD OF SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 20 KT AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES MAY BECOME NECESSARY. NOT ENOUGH
CONFIDENCE ON THIS SHIFT TO ISSUE ONE AT THIS TIME.

THE FRONT THEN STALLS OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY TUESDAY WITH A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER THE WESTERN
GULF. WHILE GUIDANCE STILL DIFFERS SOMEWHAT ON TIMING AND TRACK OF
THE LOW...WE ARE CONFIDENT IN THE GENERAL IDEA OF A DEEPENING LOW
MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH A 1020+ MB HIGH POSITIONED OFF THE CAROLINA
COAST...A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL EXIST OVER THE
MARINE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TUESDAY AFTN
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS
POINTING AT THE POTENTIAL FOR GALE CONDITIONS TUESDAY NIGHT AND HAVE
WORDED THE POSSIBILITY IN THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST. HAVE ALSO
BUMPED UP THE SEAS FORECAST TO A RANGE OF 8-13 FEET OFFSHORE. SOME
GUIDANCE HAS SEAS AS HIGH AS 15-17 FT...AND WE WILL HAVE TO MONITOR
THIS POTENTIAL. TIDES ALSO EXPECTED TO RUN 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY ONSHORE AND WITH THE
SPRING TIDE CYCLE AT ITS PEAK...COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN.
ONE OTHER HAZARD WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS OVER THE OPEN WATERS.

A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW AND
ITS ATTENDANT COLD FRONT PULL OFF WELL TO THE NORTHEAST. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS WILL LIKELY BE MAINTAINED THROUGH THURSDAY. 34/JFB

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE.
LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST
OF TODAY WITH ONLY PASSING MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. MID LEVEL
CLOUDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT...WHICH MAKES FOG POTENTIAL UNCERTAIN. KEPT
AN MVFR VSBY MENTION AT THE TERMINALS FOR THE EARLY MORNING. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH FORM THE NORTHWEST TOMORROW...NEARING MOB/BFM BY
18Z AND PNS A FEW HOURS AFTER. A FEW SHOWERS ALONG WITH BROKEN CIGS
OF 3-5 KFT EXPECTED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. 34/JFB &&

.FIRE WEATHER...APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE RAIN AS EARLY
AS TONIGHT IN NORTHWEST ZONES WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY.
DECREASING RAIN LATE MONDAY WILL BE FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER ROUND
TUESDAY. HEAVIEST RAIN WILL BE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND COULD
REACH 6 TO 8 INCHES ESPECIALLY WITHIN 60 TO 80 MILES OF THE COAST.
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS ALONG COASTAL ZONES TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY. MINIMUM HUMIDITY IN THE
40S AND 50S MOST OF THE WEEK. RH UNLIKELY TO DESCEND TO LESS THAN 35
PERCENT UNTIL FRIDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      57  67  46  60 /  10  70  20  70
PENSACOLA   57  69  49  61 /  05  60  20  60
DESTIN      57  69  51  60 /  05  50  20  60
EVERGREEN   49  64  39  59 /  10  70  05  50
WAYNESBORO  51  62  39  56 /  30  80  05  60
CAMDEN      51  63  36  57 /  20  80  05  40
CRESTVIEW   49  69  44  63 /  05  50  10  50

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 29, 3:55 PM CST, 12 hours 56 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
355 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-302200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
355 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA
AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

A MODERATE TO STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS IS EXPECTED
OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MONDAY NIGHT IN THE WAKE OF A FRONTAL
PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ARE ADVISED TO EXERCISE CAUTION.

A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF ON TUESDAY AND
DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITH
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE LATE TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. SOME OF THE RAIN COULD BE HEAVY AND SEVERAL INCHES OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY CLOSER TO THE COAST. THIS HEAVY RAIN
COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. OVER THE
MARINE AREA...CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO WORSEN WITH WINDS
INCREASING CLOSE TO GALE FORCE BY TUESDAY NIGHT. THE DURATION OF A
STRONG EASTERLY AND THEN SOUTHERLY FETCH RESULTS IN SEAS BUILDING TO
AROUND 8 FEET NEAR SHORE...UPWARDS TO AROUND 13 FEET WELL OFFSHORE.
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK THAT SOME OF THE STORMS OFFSHORE AND ALONG
THE IMMEDIATE COAST COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES ARE FORECAST AS WINDS INCREASE AND TAKE ON A
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TUESDAY NIGHT. THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK OF
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING LATE TUESDAY...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WEST END
OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...AROUND THE WESTERN SHORES OF MOBILE BAY...AND
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST FROM FORT MORGAN TO FORT PICKENS.

STAY TUNED FOR ADDITIONAL FORECASTS AND UPDATES FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE ON THIS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.

IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH A MODERATE OFFSHORE
FLOW AND MODERATE SEAS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE
WEATHER WILL NOT BE REQUIRED THROUGH MONDAY.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 30, 4:51 AM CSTGale WatchMOB18 hr
Nov 30, 5:39 AM CSTCoastal Flood WatchMOB15 hr
Nov 30, 12:30 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBBaldwin, Mobile2 hr
Nov 30, 3:54 PM CSTFlash Flood WatchMOBButler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw, Escambia and 3 more43 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alabama, 2009Every small craft advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.