Alert archive / Alabama / Small Craft Advisories in 2009

Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS Mobile, AL

February 16, 2009

NWS Mobile, AL issued this small craft advisory at Feb 16, 2009, 9:10 AM CST. It was in force for 110 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Feb 16, 2009, 9:10 AM CST (15:10 UTC)
Expired: Feb 16, 2009, 11:00 AM CST
In force: 110 min
Issued by: NWS Mobile, AL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 15, 2:25 PM CST, 18 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 2:25 PM CST, 18 hours 45 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
225 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2009

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WITH
WEAK LOW RIDING EAST WILL STAY OFFSHORE AS AREA WINDS FINALLY SETTLE
ON A GENERAL NORTHERLY DIRECTION BY THIS EVENING. AS THE CENTER OF
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...DRIER AIR
WILL WILL SPILL OVER THE AREA FOR A FEW DAYS. EARLY AFTERNOON SHOWED
SOME LIGHT RAIN EAST OF I-65 BUT THAT SHOULD BE GONE BY LATE
AFTERNOON. AM COUNTING ON THE DRIER NORTHERLY FLOW TO ARRIVE BEFORE
NIGHTFALL...OTHERWISE MAY BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF FOG AS GROUND IS DAMP
AND DEW POINT DEPRESSIONS LOW...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN ZONES.
MAY BE A LAST MINUTE DECISION ON PATCHY FOG. OTHERWISE NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES NEXT FEW DAYS WITH NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHING TUESDAY. AS
THE GREAT LAKES HIGH CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHEAST...A LEE SIDE LOW
DEVELOPS OVER THE SOUTHER PLAINS AND MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST...THIS
OPENS UP THE GULF WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLIMBING TO NEAR
1.50 INCHES BY MID WEEK. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS COLD
FRONT NEARS...SOME STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE AS A MODERATE LOW LEVEL
JET APPROACHES...MAIN AXIS SHOULD BE NORTH OF FORECAST AREA. ANY
SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD BE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY IF WE
MANAGE MORE SURFACE HEATING THAN WE ANTICIPATE. /11

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING...CONDITIONS WILL BE IMPROVING AS THE FRONT SWEEP THE
PRECIPITATION TO THE EAST WEDNESDAY EVENING. ABOUT THE ONLY CHANGE
TO THE EXTENDED WAS TO CUT BACK ON THE CLOUDS LATE IN THE WEEK. NEW
15/12Z TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE(MOS) IS COMING IN ABOUT 4 TO 8 DEGREES
LOWER LATE IN THE WEEK AND A BIT DRIER. NO CHANGES TO MAX AND MIN
MADE AT THIS TIME. /11

&&

.AVIATION...18Z ISSUANCE...IFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE FOR A BRIEF TIME
THROUGH 21Z WITH THINNING AND A DECREASE IN OPAQUENESS AFT 21Z.
SCATTERED -SHRA COULD LOWER VSBY BRIEFLY TO MVFR RANGE THROUGH MID
AFTN SE OF INTERSTATE 65. VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AFT 00Z. /10

&&

.MARINE...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES AWAY TONIGHT...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE NATIONS HEARTLAND. THIS RESULTS IN AN INCREASE
IN NORTHERLY WINDS AND A BUILD IN SEAS IN THE SHORT TERM. LATEST
GRIDDED WIND FORECASTS CALLS FOR SPEEDS TO BARELY TOUCH ADVISORY
CRITERIA LATER TONIGHT FOR THE 20 TO 60 NM ZONES AND WILL ISSUE ON
THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE FOR THESE AREAS. OTHERWISE...SMALL CRAFT WILL
NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION TONIGHT CLOSER TO SHORE. THE HIGH MOVES
INTO THE SOUTHEAST U.S. FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK WITH ONSHORE
FLOW COMING UP TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM SWINGS EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE STRONG
SOUTHERLY FETCH BY MID WEEK SUPPORTS A HIGHER SEA STATE THEN...THAN
THE ONE TONIGHT. THERE IS MODEL RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY INDICATING
FRONTAL PASSAGE WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH A TRANSITION TO A MODERATE TO
STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW IN ITS WAKE. SEAS REMAIN UP THROUGH THURSDAY
BEFORE LOWERING IN HEIGHT FRIDAY...WHEN HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AXIS
MOVES OVER AND BRINGS LIGHTER WIND CONDITIONS THEN. /10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES FOR MONDAY...HUMIDITY
RETURNS TUESDAY IN ADVANCE OF WEDNESDAYS RAIN. DRIER AGAIN THE LAST
HALF OF THE WEEK. /11

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      39  62  40  62 /  05  00  05  20
PENSACOLA   40  63  42  64 /  05  00  05  10
DESTIN      44  63  43  62 /  05  00  05  10
EVERGREEN   36  61  34  64 /  05  00  05  10
WAYNESBORO  35  59  34  61 /  05  00  05  20
CAMDEN      36  59  33  62 /  05  00  05  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 6 PM MONDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY TO 6 AM MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PASCAGOULA MS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 15, 3:29 PM CST, 17 hours 41 minutes before

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Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alabama, 2009 Every small craft advisory in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.