Small Craft Advisory 1, NWS Mobile, AL

872 
WHUS74 KMOB 061535
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
935 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
9 PM CST WEDNESDAY.

.SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING
STRONG AND CONTINUING THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
REMAIN STRONG BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS SUSTAINED FOLLOWING A COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OR ABOVE POSSIBLE IN
THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO BETWEEN
8 AND 12 FEET OVERNIGHT.

GMZ630-062345-
/O.EXA.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.090106T1800Z-090108T0300Z/
MOBILE BAY-
935 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS INTO THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS FOLLOWING A
FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING. BAY WATERS WILL BECOME ROUGH AS THE
WINDS INCREASE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ650-655-670-675-062345-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.090106T1800Z-090108T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
935 AM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON...WINDS BECOMING WESTERLY AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS FOLLOWING A
FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO
BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET BY TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

632 
WHUS74 KMOB 062134
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
334 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY.

.SOUTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...
BECOMING STRONG AND CONTINUING THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
WEST AND REMAIN STRONG BETWEEN 20 AND 30 KNOTS SUSTAINED FOLLOWING A
COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE TONIGHT. GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OR ABOVE POSSIBLE
IN THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SEAS WILL BUILD TO
BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET OVERNIGHT.

GMZ630-650-655-670-675-070545-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0300Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
334 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY 20 TO 30 KNOTS
FOLLOWING A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD
TO BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET BY TONIGHT AND REMAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

358 
WHUS74 KMOB 070409
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1009 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST WEDNESDAY
FOR THE OFFSHORE PORTION OF THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTAL
WATERS...AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM WEDNESDAY FOR MOBILE BAY AND THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...

.STRONG ONSHORE WINDS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ADVANCING FROM THE WEST
WILL SWITCH TO THE WEST AS THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE MARINE AREA
OVERNIGHT. THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL SUBSIDE DURING WEDNESDAY AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THE MARINE AREA.

GMZ630-650-655-071215-
/O.EXT.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090107T1900Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
1009 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS NEAR 20 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 5 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT THEN
SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS
SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ670-675-071215-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0300Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1009 PM CST TUE JAN 6 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
WEDNESDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL BECOME WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS
OVERNIGHT THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 15 KNOTS BY THE MID AFTERNOON
HOURS ON WEDNESDAY. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8 AND 10 FEET TONIGHT THEN
SUBSIDE TO 4 TO 6 FEET WEDNESDAY EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS
SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

928 
WHUS74 KMOB 070949
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
349 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
TONIGHT FOR THE OFFSHORE PORTION OF THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS...AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM TODAY FOR
MOBILE BAY AND THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...

.A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF DESTIN...LEAVING AN INCREASING
WESTERLY WIND ACROSS THE MARINE AREA.  THE STRONG WESTERLY WINDS
WILL DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES TO THE MARINE
AREA. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BY THIS EVENING OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS. 

GMZ630-650-655-071600-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090107T1900Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
349 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WESTERLY WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. SEAS BETWEEN 5 TO 8 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5
AS THE WINDS DIMINISH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ670-675-071600-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0300Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
349 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
DAY...DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD TO
BETWEEN 7 AND 10 FEET THIS MORNING...THEN SLOWLY SUBSIDE LATER
TONIGHT AS THE WINDS DIMINISH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

286 
WHUS74 KMOB 071515
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
915 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
TONIGHT FOR THE OFFSHORE PORTION OF THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN FLORIDA 
PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS...AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM TODAY FOR
MOBILE BAY AND THE NEAR SHORE WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

.A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED EAST OF DESTIN...LEAVING A STRONG WEST TO
NORTHWESTERLY WIND ACROSS THE MARINE AREA. THE STRONG WINDS WILL
DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE BY THIS EVENING OVER THE FAR OFFSHORE WATERS.

GMZ630-650-655-071900-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090107T1900Z/
MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
915 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM CST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

WESTERLY WINDS AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS WILL DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. SEAS FROM 5 TO 7 FEET WILL SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO 3 TO 5 FEET
LATE TODAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

GMZ670-675-072315-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0300Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
915 AM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...
DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING. SEAS FROM 8 AND 10 FEET WILL 
SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 5 FEET LATER TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

635 
WHUS74 KMOB 071939
MWWMOB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
139 PM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST
TONIGHT FOR THE OFFSHORE PORTION OF THE ALABAMA AND WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTAL WATERS...

.STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST. SEAS FROM 7
TO 10 FEET WELL OFFSHORE WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 5 FEET THIS
EVENING. 

GMZ670-675-080300-
/O.CON.KMOB.SC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-090108T0300Z/
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
139 PM CST WED JAN 7 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING. 

NORTHWESTERLY WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
DIMINISH AND BECOME MORE SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH THIS EVENING. SEAS
FROM 7 TO 10 FEET WILL ALSO SLOWLY SUBSIDE TO AROUND 5 FEET THIS
EVENING AS WELL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 20 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1146 PM CST MON JAN 5 2009

.AVIATION...FOR THE 06Z ISSUANCE...SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 10 KNOTS OR
SO WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR GRADUALLY LOWERING STRATUS OVERNIGHT.
WILL INCLUDE A TEMPO GROUP FOR VISIBILITIES DROPPING TO AROUND 1
MILE WITH CEILINGS DOWN TO 300 FT IF WINDS MANAGE TO DECOUPLE
SOMEWHAT LATER TONIGHT.  CEILINGS RISE WITH MIXING ON TUESDAY AND
SHIFTED THE PROB30 GROUP LATER A BIT FOR MAINLY EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.  WENT WITH PREVAILING THUNDERSTORMS AT 23Z
FOR MOB AND BFM AND 01Z AT PNS THEN ADDED A TEMPO GROUP FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND MUCH LOWER VISIBILITIES WITH HEAVY THUNDERSTORMS AS THE
SQUALL LINE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. /29

** PREVIOUS DISCUSSION **

.UPDATE...FAIRLY SHARP THERMAL GRADIENT MARKS A STALLED SURFACE
FRONTAL ZONE POSITIONED FROM THE MID ATLANTIC...SOUTHWEST THROUGH
CENTRAL ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI AND LOUISIANA TO OFF THE TEXAS COAST.
EAST OF THIS BOUNDARY...THE FORECAST AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS. FIRST ITEM IS FOG. SOUTHERLY
FLOW IS A LITTLE BIT HIGHER ALONG THE COAST THAN WHAT WE OBSERVED 24
HOURS AGO. THIS IS MITIGATING FOG FORMATION. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
DEGREE OF SURFACE MOISTURE WITH DEWPOINTS NEAR 66 DEGREES AND WATER
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE COAST AROUND 59 DEGREES...COULD SEE SOME PATCHY
ADVECTIVE FOG CREEPING NORTHWARD OVER THE SOUTHERN ZONES AND HAVE
ADDED THIS TO THE GRIDDED FORECAST FOR TONIGHT. PROBABILITIES OF
PRECIPITATION FORECAST TO INCREASE DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS TUESDAY
ESPECIALLY OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST ZONES AS THESE AREAS ARE CLOSER TO
THE FASTER HIGH LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW AND POTENTIAL OF BETTER LIFT
FROM MID LEVEL IMPULSES PASSING THROUGH THESE AREAS. WILL NOT MAKE
ANY CHANGES TO NIGHTTIME LOWS ON THIS UPDATE.

SECOND ITEM IS AN UPDATE TO THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...PROVIDING
SPECIFICS ON TIMING THE PASSAGE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY.
MAKE SURE WEATHER RADIOS ARE IN GOOD WORKING ORDER AND SET TO TONE
ALERT FOR POTENTIAL WATCHES AND WARNINGS THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE
DAY.

RECENT RAINS RECEIVED OVER THE LAST WEEK MAINLY EAST OF INTERSTATE
65 FROM CENTURY FLORIDA TO EVERGREEN ALABAMA AND LITTLE IN THE WAY
OF DRY WEATHER HAS CAUSED ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE LEVELS TO BE HIGH.
THUS...RAINS WE EXPECT ON TUESDAY COULD LEAD TO RUNOFF AND POTENTIAL
FLOODING OVER LOW LYING AREAS AND THOSE AREAS SUBJECT TO POOR
DRAINAGE OF STORM WATER. CONSIDERING THIS...FLASH FLOOD WATCHES
REMAIN IN EFFECT BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR ZONES NORTH OF THE
IMMEDIATE COAST. /10

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      63  74  53  61 /  30  80  90  10
PENSACOLA   63  74  54  64 /  20  40  90  20
DESTIN      64  74  57  62 /  10  40  80  20
EVERGREEN   59  74  51  58 /  30  70  90  20
WAYNESBORO  59  68  46  56 /  60 100  90  20
CAMDEN      59  73  50  57 /  60  90  90  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CHOCTAW...CLARKE...CONECUH...
     COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...UPPER BALDWIN...
     UPPER MOBILE...WASHINGTON...AND WILCOX.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND
     INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...GREENE...PERRY...STONE...AND
     WAYNE.

GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...RESEND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
621 PM CST MON JAN 5 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-
062300-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
621 PM CST MON JAN 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK INCREASES THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. A WAVE
OF FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BRINGING AN INCREASINGLY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INTENSIFY TO SEVERE LEVELS OVER SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI BY MID TO LATE MORNING TUESDAY. STORMS WILL BE
ORGANIZING INTO A SQUALL LINE...SPREADING EASTWARD INTO SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA DURING THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. THE LINE THEN
ADVANCES EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR AND ACROSS THE WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE TUESDAY EVENING.

STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS SUGGEST THAT SUFFICIENT SHEAR WILL BE IN
PLACE...SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE LATEST AVAILABLE DATA
SUGGESTS THAT THE ENVIRONMENT ALONG AND NORTH OF A BRANTLEY ALABAMA
TO WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI LINE APPEARS THE MOST FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED
TORNADIC THUNDERSTORMS. ALONG THE COASTAL ZONES...STRAIGHT LINE
DAMAGING WINDS APPEAR TO BE THE MAIN THREAT. IN ADDITION TO THE
SEVERE WEATHER...STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS.

STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS OVER THE COASTAL AND OFFSHORE WATERS TUESDAY
AND BUILDING SEAS WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALLER
MARINE CRAFT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT...STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AND
HIGH SEAS WILL CAUSE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT SINKS SOUTH
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE FRONT MOVING SOUTH OF THE MARINE AREA
LATER ON SATURDAY...A STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW BRINGS A RETURN TO HIGH
SEAS AND HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR MARINE NAVIGATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTIVATION FOR SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS EXPECTED TO BE REQUIRED ON TUESDAY.