Severe Thunderstorm Warning 258, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 011618
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1118 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FLC091-011645-
/O.CON.KMOB.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-090801T1645Z/
OKALOOSA FL-
1118 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY...

AT 1116 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS OVER 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS 12 MILES NORTH OF
VALPARAISO...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CRESTVIEW...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER...
  RURAL EASTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY THROUGH 1145 AM CDT

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

LAT...LON 3046 8639 3042 8643 3039 8640 3041 8651
      3043 8649 3042 8643 3045 8642 3049 8645
      3047 8649 3046 8653 3043 8655 3047 8671
      3065 8667 3076 8640 3074 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 1617Z 235DEG 13KT 3069 8649

$$

000 
WWUS54 KMOB 011631
SVSMOB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1131 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

FLC091-011641-
/O.CAN.KMOB.SV.W.0258.000000T0000Z-090801T1645Z/
OKALOOSA FL-
1131 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN OKALOOSA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER EASTERN OKALOOSA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED TO 
BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. 

LAT...LON 3046 8639 3042 8643 3039 8640 3041 8651
      3043 8649 3042 8643 3045 8642 3049 8645
      3047 8649 3046 8653 3043 8655 3047 8671
      3065 8667 3076 8640 3074 8638
TIME...MOT...LOC 1631Z 235DEG 13KT 3072 8644

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
523 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS HAS
SETTLED SOUTHWARD TO NEAR THE COAST THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE THE
ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REMAINS VERY MOIST WITH PW
VALUES ABOVE 2 INCHES. THE SHEAR AXIS ALONG WITH THE SEA BREEZE WILL
SERVE TO FOCUS SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. THEY WILL LIKELY TAKE LONGER TO DEVELOP THAN
WHAT OCCURRED ON FRIDAY WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OCCURRING DURING
THE AFTERNOON. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY THREATS. SOME OF THE
STRONGER STORMS COULD PRODUCE WINDS GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. HIGH TEMPS
WILL AGAIN REACH THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL
REMAIN IN THE MID 70S. 13/JC

TODAYS WET MICROBURST RISK: MODERATE.

(SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BE MOVING EAST
ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY...AND THIS COMBINED WITH CONTINUED
ABUNDANT LOLVL MOISTURE...DAYTIME HEATING AND LINGERING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES AND THE SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION WILL AGAIN RESULT IN
CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY. EXPECT A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF CONTINUED SHRA/TSRA SUNDAY NIGHT. ON MONDAY...UPPER
DYNAMICS ARE EXPECTED TO BE WEAKER...BUT THE SAME LOLVL FOCUSES
WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED GOOD CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS. NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...SURFACE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN
SOUTH OF THE REGION OUT OVER THE GULF BUILDS NORTH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN STATES THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD...WHILE THE UPPER
TROF THAT HAS PERSISTED OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY FLATTENS
OUT A BIT AS MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS OUT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION. WHILE LOLVL ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL REMAIN HIGH...THESE CHANGES
WILL BRING A RETURN TO A MORE TYPICAL SCATTERED DIURNAL PCPN PATTERN
WITH LOW END CHANCE POPS DURING THE DAY AND SLIGHT CHANCE AT BEST
OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
THE YEAR. 12/DS

&&

.AVIATION (12Z ISSUANCE)...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY
THIS MORNING WITH VCTS BY LATE MORNING. MVFR CIGS/VSBYS EXPECTED IN
AND NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. 13/JC

&&

.MARINE...A SFC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHT TO OCCASIONALLY MODERATE ONSHORE
WIND FLOW THROUGH THE FCST PERIOD. SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 2 FEET
WITH THE MENTION OF HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES NEAR SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...THAT WILL BE MORE LIKELY CLOSER TO SHORE. 13/JC

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HEADLINES. AIR VERY MOIST THROUGH DEEP LAYER WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FIRE DANGER MINIMAL.
12/DS

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      89  74  91  73 /  50  30  40  20
PENSACOLA   89  76  89  74 /  50  30  40  20
DESTIN      88  78  86  76 /  50  30  50  20
EVERGREEN   89  71  87  70 /  70  40  60  20
WAYNESBORO  89  70  89  70 /  60  60  60  20
CAMDEN      90  71  88  70 /  60  50  60  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-021200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
500 AM CDT SAT AUG 1 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...AND THE
COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP
THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY. WHILE SOME OF THE STORMS COULD
CONTAIN BRIEF WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP EACH DAY AND LINGER INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE WIND GUSTS OVER 35 MPH AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS...ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGERS IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE REQUIRED AT THIS TIME.