Alert archive / Alabama / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 63, NWS Mobile, AL

September 21, 2009Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama

NWS Mobile, AL issued this river flood warning at Sep 21, 2009, 11:02 AM CDT for Choctaw County, Clarke County, Washington County, Alabama. It took effect at Sep 23, 2009, 4:09 AM CDT. It was in force for 9 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 21, 2009, 11:02 AM CDT (16:02 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 23, 2009, 4:09 AM CDT
Expired
Oct 1, 2009, 8:59 PM CDT
In force
9 days
Issued by
NWS Mobile, AL
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Washington County, AL

The river

Written for the forecast point Tombigbee River near Coffeeville Dam (CLDA1). The gauge peaked at 37.71 ft at Sep 26, 2009, 7:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate2530354009/2109/2209/2309/2409/2509/2609/2709/2809/2909/3010/0110/0210/03
Action stage
24 ft
Minor stage
29 ft
Moderate stage
40 ft
Major stage
47 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02469761, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS44 KMOB 211602
FLWMOB
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL 
1102 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009



...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING FOR THE
FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA... 

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING
  CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.HEAVY RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AS A RESULT...RIVER
LEVELS ARE FORECAST TO RISE AND A FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT.  IT IS
EMPHASIZED THAT THE FOLLOWING FORECAST IS BASED ON THE EXPECTED RAINFALL DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  IF LESS RAINFALL OCCURS...IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO REVISE
THIS STAGE FORECAST DOWNWARD.

SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-221602-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0063.090923T2230Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T2230Z.090926T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS...21.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 31.5 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
  THEREAFTER.
* AT 29 FEET, OVERFLOW OF FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS.
$$

ALC023-025-129-221602-
/O.NEW.KMOB.FL.W.0064.090925T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090925T2100Z.090927T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS...16.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET 
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 24.9 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE
  THEREAFTER.
* AT 24.0 FEET...FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL
  OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
14 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 221553
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1053 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON
  COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-231553-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.090923T1012Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1012Z.090926T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 09AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.0 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 34.7 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 29 FEET, OVERFLOW OF FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS.
$$

ALC023-025-129-231553-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.090924T1100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1100Z.090927T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1053 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 27.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE THEREAFTER.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELAND OCCURS AND CATTLE
  NEEDS TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 230304
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1004 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-240304-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.090923T0909Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T0909Z.090925T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 9PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.6 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 34 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-240304-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0064.090924T1100Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1100Z.090927T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1004 PM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM THURSDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 8PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.7 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 27 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING.


$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 231622
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1122 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE
AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-241622-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1610Z.090925T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 10AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 33.9 FEET BY FRIDAY MORNING.
* AT 29.0 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO
  BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

ALC023-025-129-241622-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.090924T0840Z-000000T0000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T0840Z.090926T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1122 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM EARLY TOMORROW UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE
* AT 08AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO
  NEAR 26.7 FEET BY FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURE LAND OCCURS AND
  CATTLE NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 241611
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1111 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE
 AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER.

SAFETY MESSAGE...
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-251611-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090929T1030Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090926T1800Z.090929T0430Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 10AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.9 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* AT 29 FEET, OVERFLOW OF FARM AND PASTURE LAND BEGINS.

$$

ALC023-025-129-251611-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-090929T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1537Z.090927T0000Z.090929T0600Z.NO/
1111 AM CDT THU SEP 24 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* FROM LATE THIS MORNING UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 08AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.9 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE
  TO NEAR 26.0 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 250418
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1118 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-260418-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090929T1030Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090926T1800Z.090929T0430Z.NO/
1118 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 10PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.9 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.


$$

ALC023-025-129-260418-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-090929T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090927T0600Z.090929T0600Z.NO/
1118 PM CDT THU SEP 24 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 251444
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
944 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-261444-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-090929T2034Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090926T1200Z.090929T1434Z.NO/
944 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 32.9 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-261444-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-090929T2230Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090926T1800Z.090929T1630Z.NO/
944 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25.9 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
AT 24.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 270210
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
910 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-280210-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091001T0824Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T1800Z.091001T0224Z.NO/
910 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 33.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

ALC023-025-129-280209-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091001T0959Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0000Z.091001T0359Z.NO/
910 PM CDT SAT SEP 26 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.5 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 280121
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
821 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-290121-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0900Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091002T0300Z.NO/
821 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 33.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.

$$

ALC023-025-129-290121-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091001T1800Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0600Z.091001T1200Z.NO/
821 PM CDT SUN SEP 27 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 4PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 26.4 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 290122
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
822 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-300122-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0000Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091001T1800Z.NO/
822 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING 
* AT 7PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC023-025-129-300122-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091001T2000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091001T1400Z.NO/
822 PM CDT MON SEP 28 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 4PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THURSDAY MORNING.

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 300104
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
804 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES.
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-010104-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091002T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 32 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-010104-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091002T0600Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091002T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT TUE SEP 29 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 4PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 301401
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
901 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE
AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 

.EARLIER HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO CREATE MINOR FLODDING ALONG THE
TOMBIGBEE RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-011401-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091002T0000Z.NO/
901 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-011401-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091002T0959Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091002T0359Z.NO/
901 AM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING.


$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 010150
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
850 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-020150-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0600Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091002T0000Z.NO/
850 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.
AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-020149-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091002T0959Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091002T0359Z.NO/
850 PM CDT WED SEP 30 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 4PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 25.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 011527
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1027 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...

  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AND COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-020300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0300Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091001T2100Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


$$

ALC023-025-129-021200-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091002T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091002T0600Z.NO/
1027 AM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.


$$
000 
WGUS84 KMOB 020159
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
859 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND 
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES.

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC023-025-129-020229-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0063.000000T0000Z-091002T0300Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090923T1750Z.090927T0800Z.091001T2054Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.2 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
AT 29 FEET, PASTURELAND IN THE AREA WILL BECOME FLOODED AND LIVESTOCK NEED TO 
BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-021200-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-091002T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090924T1447Z.090928T0100Z.091002T0600Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU OCT 01 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  TOMORROW.
AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  CATTLE IN LOW LYING AREAS MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 21, 11:00 AM CDT, 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 21, 11:00 AM CDT, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...MESOSCALE UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1100 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

.MESOSCALE UPDATE...THE MORNING HAS STARTED OFF WITH A BROKEN LINE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM SOUTHWEST OF CAMDEN TO
SOUTH CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY. WHILE HARD TO DISCERN ANY SUBSTANTIAL
BOUNDARY...THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE A WEAK SFC CONVERGENCE ZONE THAT
HAS SETUP...WHICH IS ALIGNED WELL TO THE ACTIVITY SEEN ON RADAR.
THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PROLIFIC RAIN PRODUCERS...IN SOME CASES
PRODUCING RAINFALL RATES OF 3 TO 4 INCHES AN HOUR WHICH HAS PROMPTED
FLOOD ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ALREADY THIS MORNING. THIS IS TO BE
EXPECTED WITH PRECIPTABLE WATERS AT OR ABOVE 2 INCHES ACROSS THE
AREA.

EXPECT THE COVERAGE OF STORMS TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS A 70 KT
JET OVER EAST CENTRAL TX NOSES INTO THE REGION...ENHANCING THE UPPER
LEVEL DIVERGENCE ACROSS THE REGION. ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING THE SAME EXCESSIVE 3 TO 4 INCH
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES WE HAVE ALREADY SEEN TODAY. THIS COMBINED WITH
LIKELY TRAINING OF STORMS IN A DEEP SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW REGIME WILL
RESULT IN A THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING. WILL LEAVE THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH AS IS SINCE IT IS PLACED IN AREA THAT HAS SEEN THE MOST
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS. HOWEVER...LOCALIZED
FLOODING IS STILL A CONCERN ELSEWHERE AS THE ENTIRE CWA HAS SEEN A
GOOD DEAL OF RAIN OVER THE PAST WEEK OR SO.

OVERALL FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO MAJOR UPDATES WILL BE
REQUIRED. /JFB

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF ISSUANCE...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AGAIN THIS
AFTN WHICH WILL BRING CIGS/VSBYS TO THE MVFR/IFR RANGE AT TIMES.
OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH
A SCATTERED TO BROKEN VFR CU DECK ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON.
CONVECTION WILL TAPER OFF THIS EVENING...WITH LOW STRATUS AND FOG
DEVELOPING PRIOR TO SUNRISE TUESDAY. ANOTHER DAY OF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ANTICIPATED FOR TUESDAY. /JFB

/PREVIOUS DISCUSSION ISSUED 630 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009/

.SHORT TERM...TODAY AND TONIGHT...LATEST UPPER AIR MAP ANALYSIS
SHOWS THE DEEP SOUTH INFLUENCED BY SOUTHWEST FLOW AS A TROF OF LOW
PRESSURE ENCOMPASSES THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES. AT THE
SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MID ATLANTIC WAS NOSING SOUTHWEST
INTO THE SOUTHEAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH TONIGHT. AN
ASSESSMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL MOISTURE INDICATES PWAT 2.1 INCHES IN
PLACE OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS SHOWS THE
COLDEST CLOUD TOPS/BETTER ORGANIZATION AND COVERAGES OF TSTMS WERE
NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA AND
NORTHERN GEORGIA. THIS IS WHERE THE HIGH LEVEL FLOW IS MORE
DIFFLUENT AND LIFT IS MAXIMIZED. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE COURSE OF
THE DAY...WE REMAIN ON THE FAVORED ACTIVE...EAST SIDE OF THE CENTRAL
STATES TROF...WHERE MID LEVEL IMPULSES EJECT NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION. THESE IMPULSES INTERACT WITH DEEP MOISTURE AND
DESTABILIZATION...RESULTING IN AN INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHWRS/TSTMS
DURING THE COURSE OF THE DAY. WE CARRY NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD
COVERAGES IN THE FIRST PERIOD. HEAVY RAINS=>LOCALIZED FLOODING OF
LOWER LYING AREAS AND ACROSS POORLY DRAINED URBAN AREAS IS QUITE
POSSIBLE. WILL NEED TO MONITOR CLOSELY THOSE AREAS THAT MAY SEE
TRAINING OF TSTMS. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE SHOW SOME OF OUR NORTHERN
COUNTIES ONLY NEED 2 TO 2.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A 1 HOUR TIME TO
CREATE POTENTIAL PROBLEMS.

DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ALONG WITH SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER
PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVER THE LAST SEVEN
DAYS. DUE TO THIS RAINFALL...ANTECEDENT SOIL MOISTURE IS HIGH AND
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN NUMEROUS OCCURRENCES OF FLOODING
OVER LOWER LYING ROADS AND ACROSS AREAS THAT NORMALLY HAVE PROBLEMS
WITH DRAINAGE OF STORM WATER DURING HEAVY RAIN EPISODES. FORECASTERS
FEEL THIS THREAT WILL BE ACROSS
CHOCTAW...WASHINGTON...CLARKE...WILCOX AND MONROE COS SO AS TO GO
AHEAD AND ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH.  THIS WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT
FROM 21.15Z TO 22.03Z. THE RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...CONTAINING DAMAGING WINDS IS MINIMAL. LITTLE CHANGE
IN TEMPERATURES. /10

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A 500 MILLIBAR HIGH PRESSURE AREA
WILL DRIFT OVER THE FORECAST AREA. NORMALLY THE CHANCE OF CONVECTION
WOULD BE LIMITED WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD...BUT THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW IS EAST TO NORTHEAST AND QUITE MOIST WITH PRECIPTABLE WATER
VALUES UP OVER TWO INCHES. WE DO HAVE LOWER POPS FOR TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY BUT STILL IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE AND WITH STEERING
WINDS ON THE LIGHT SIDE AS THE UPPER HIGH ARRIVES...COULD BE SOME
ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN. HEAT INDICES WILL BE UP BETWEEN 95 AND 100 FROM
LATE MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON EXCEPT IN AREAS WHERE RAIN BRINGS A
BRIEF BREAK. A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE APPROACHING THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE
UPPER HIGH. THE HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE
OVER THE WESTERN COUNTIES CLOSER TO THE DECAYING FRONT. /11

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) WHATS LEFT OF THE WEDNESDAY
COLD FRONT SHOULD BE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA BY SATURDAY. THE FRONT
WILL BE LITTLE MORE THAN A CONVERGENCE ZONE BY LATE WEEK...BRINGING
A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. FRIDAY MAY TURN OUT TO BE THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK WITH THE DISSIPATING FRONT JUST TO THE WEST. CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE A BIT ON SATURDAY WITH THE
UPPER HIGH SLIPPING SOUTH AND SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW KEEPING THE
DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. /11

&&

.MARINE......HIGH PRESSURE NOSES SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
THIS WEEK. WILL ALSO BE WATCHING AN EASTERLY WAVE PASSING WEST
ACROSS THE GULF AS WELL. A LIGHT SOUTHEAST FLOW EARLY IN THE
WEEK...BECOMES MORE EAST AND NORTHEAST MID TO LATE WEEK. SEAS 2
FEET...POSSIBLY 3 FEET WELL OFFSHORE WHERE THE NORTHEAST FETCH
BECOMES ESTABLISHED. MARINERS WILL HAVE TO PLAN FOR SHWRS/TSTMS.
/10

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NOT A LOT TO SAY HERE...HOT AND HUMID WITH SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...MORE NUMEROUS IN THE LATE MORNINGS AND
AFTERNOONS. NO LOW HUMIDITY IN SIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTH TO
NORTHEASTERLY...OCCASIONALLY EAST TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MOST
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      87  74  88  73 /  60  30  40  20
PENSACOLA   86  75  88  74 /  60  30  40  20
DESTIN      86  76  88  76 /  60  30  40  20
EVERGREEN   86  70  89  69 /  80  30  60  30
WAYNESBORO  88  69  90  69 /  80  30  40  30
CAMDEN      87  70  89  69 /  80  30  50  30

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 10 AM MONDAY TO 10 PM MONDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: CHOCTAW...CLARKE...MONROE...WASHINGTON AND WILCOX.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 21, 5:20 AM CDT, 5 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
520 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-221200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
520 AM CDT MON SEP 21 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INLAND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI AND THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES...HIGH IN THE ATMOSPHERE...INTERACTS WITH A
TROPICAL AIR MASS THAT HAS BEEN IN PLACE FOR DAYS. CONSIDERING THIS
ALONG WITH DAYTIME INSTABILITY...AN INCREASED COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IS ANTICIPATED.

DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ALONG WITH SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT 4 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER
PORTIONS OF THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA OVER THE LAST SEVEN
DAYS. DUE TO THIS RAINFALL...SOIL MOISTURE IS HIGH. ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN NUMEROUS OCCURRENCES OF FLOODING OVER LOWER
LYING ROADS AND ACROSS AREAS THAT NORMALLY HAVE PROBLEMS WITH
DRAINAGE OF STORM WATER...DURING HEAVY RAIN EPISODES. IN
FACT...FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE SHOW THAT THE INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
COUNTIES ONLY NEED 2 TO 2.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A ONE HOUR TIME TO
CREATE POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD FLOODING PROBLEMS. GIVEN THIS POTENTIAL
TODAY AND THE RAINS THAT HAVE ALREADY FALLEN...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
IS IN EFFECT FOR CHOCTAW...WASHINGTON...CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX
COUNTIES.

THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS...IS MINIMAL IN THE NEAR TERM.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE...MAINLY EARLY
MORNINGS TO EARLY EVENINGS. AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE
WEEK...THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD MOVE SLOWER...RESULTING IN
ISOLATED POCKETS OF HEAVY RAIN. THE RISK REMAINS FOR LOCALIZED
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...BOTH IN RURAL AND
URBAN SETTINGS.

THE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS....IS MINIMAL DURING THE OUTLOOK.

SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS AND SPOTTER NETWORKS
FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE REQUIRED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 21, 4:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Monroe, Washington, Wilcox39 hr
Sep 21, 9:48 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBMobile117 min
Sep 21, 10:11 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile87 min
Sep 21, 10:37 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryMOBClarke, Monroe, Wilcox3 hr
Sep 21, 11:02 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningMOBChoctaw, Clarke, Washington11 days
Sep 21, 11:23 AM CDTMarine Weather StatementMOB4 hr
Sep 21, 4:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMOBCovington116 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Alabama, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.