River Flood Warning 42, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 031404
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA...OKALOOSA AND SANTA
  ROSA COUNTIES. 
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC003-FLC033-040400-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090404T0400Z/
/BRPF1.1.ER.090328T1320Z.090401T1600Z.090403T2200Z.NO/
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 7AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
AT 13.0 FEET, RIVER BEGINS TO LEAVE ITS BANKS AT THE PARKING LOT OF ADVENTURES 
UNLIMITED AND THREATENS SEVERAL PERMANENTLY PARKED TRAVEL TRAILERS.  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-041403-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090405T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090403T1800Z.090404T1800Z.NO/
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 27.3 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
AT 27.0 FEET, FLOODING OF FARMLAND IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR AND CATTLE SHOULD BE 
MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND IF THIS HAS NOT ALREADY BEEN DONE.  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-041403-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19.0 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-041403-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090404T1500Z/
/BAKF1.2.ER.090328T1215Z.090329T0930Z.090404T0900Z.NO/
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW.
AT 12.0 FEET, FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND LOWLANDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER
DROPS BELOW 12 FEET.  

$$

FLC091-041403-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-090407T0900Z/
/CRVF1.3.ER.090328T1745Z.090330T0600Z.090407T0300Z.NO/
904 AM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 9.5 FEET BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
AT 10.0 FEET, SOME FLOODING OF TRAILERS NORTH OF THE OKALOOSA CORRECTIONAL 
INSTITUE OCCURS AS THE RIVER RISES ABOVE 10 FEET  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 040125
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
825 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-050125-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090405T0600Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090404T0600Z.090405T0000Z.NO/
825 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL REMAIN NEAR 27.6 FEET UNTIL EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 27 FEET, FLOODING OF FARMLAND IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR AND CATTLE SHOULD 
  BE MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$

ALC053-FLC033-050125-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090405T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM CDT FRI APR 03 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.2 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING AND 
  REMAIN NEAR 19.2 FEET UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO FALL.
* AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
  GROUND.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 041415
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES.
  
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
  
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
  
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES.
   
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES.
   
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  
  MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT AFFECTING BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES.
   
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THESE RIVERS. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC097-051415-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.2.ER.090402T1401Z.090407T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 5.4 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

ALC003-097-051414-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.090401T0734Z.090405T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14 FEET BY TOMORROW MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC023-025-129-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090409T0234Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090327T1320Z.090402T1900Z.090408T2034Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
 

$$

ALC023-025-129-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090409T0430Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090327T2130Z.090403T0100Z.090408T2230Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC025-099-131-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090406T0700Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.090328T0303Z.090401T1700Z.090406T0100Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 46.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW EVENING.

$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090407T0900Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090405T0600Z.090407T0300Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

$$

ALC053-FLC033-051414-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090406T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.4 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.  

$$

FLC091-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-090407T0600Z/
/CRVF1.3.ER.090328T1745Z.090330T0600Z.090407T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY EVENING.

$$

MSC039-041-111-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090407T0600Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.090327T1820Z.090401T1645Z.090407T0000Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 23 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY EVENING.

$$

MSC039-041-153-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090407T1536Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.090327T0802Z.090402T2030Z.090407T0936Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY MORNING.
 

$$

MSC039-041-059-051414-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090407T1330Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.090328T1000Z.090402T2200Z.090407T0730Z.NO/
915 AM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.


$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 050217
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
917 PM CDT SAT APR 04 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA AND FLORIDA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
  
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY.
   
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-060217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090407T1200Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090405T0600Z.090407T0600Z.NO/
917 PM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING 
* AT 8 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 28 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
AT 28 FEET, FLOODING OF FARMLANDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER LEVEL 
FALLS BELOW 17 FEET AND CONTINUES TO DROP.  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-060217-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090406T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
917 PM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 19 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.  

$$

FLC091-060217-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-090406T1200Z/
/CRVF1.3.ER.090328T1745Z.090330T0600Z.090406T0600Z.NO/
917 PM CDT SAT APR 04 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING 
* AT 9 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
AT 8.5 FEET, LOWLAND FLOODING IN THE AREA WILL DIMINISH AS THE RIVER DROPS BELOW
8 FEET.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 051439
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AND NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND
  WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX COUNTIES.
  
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES.
   
  SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
  
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES.
   
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 
  
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  
  MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT AFFECTING BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES. 
  
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.LAST WEEKS HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE TO KEEP SOME AREA RIVERS ELEVATED.

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC097-061439-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.090402T1401Z.090405T1415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
* AT 4.0 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-097-061438-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.090401T0734Z.090405T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-061438-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090409T1800Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090327T1320Z.090402T1900Z.090409T1200Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-061438-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090409T1630Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090327T2130Z.090403T0100Z.090409T1030Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC025-099-131-052300-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-090405T2300Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.090328T0303Z.090401T1700Z.090405T1700Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 42.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NO FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 43.0 FEET, FLOODING OF AGRICULTURAL LANDS WILL BEGIN TO GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS 
THE RIVER DROPS BELOW 40 FEET.  HOWEVER SOME OVERFLOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL THE 
LEVEL DROPS BELOW 27 FEET.  

$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-061438-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090406T2100Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090405T0300Z.090406T1500Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
*AT 28.0 FEET, FLOODING OF FARMLANDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER LEVEL 
FALLS BELOW 27 FEET AND CONTINUES TO DROP.  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-061438-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090405T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON THEN BEGIN 
  FALLING.


$$

FLC091-060600-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-090406T0600Z/
/CRVF1.3.ER.090328T1745Z.090330T0600Z.090406T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.

$$

MSC039-041-111-060330-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090406T0330Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.090327T1820Z.090401T1645Z.090405T2130Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL THIS EVENING 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 19 FEET, FLOODING OF LOWLANDS AND AGRICULTURAL LAND WILL SUBSIDE AS THE 
WATER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 18 FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-061438-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090410T1500Z/
/LEKM6.2.ER.090327T0802Z.090402T2030Z.090410T0900Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING.

$$

MSC039-041-059-061438-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090407T2159Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.090328T1000Z.090402T2200Z.090407T1559Z.NO/
939 AM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 9AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY LATE TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 24 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS AND THE OLD BUSINESS SECTION OF MERRILL WILL 
SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 23 FEET.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 060052
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA AND FLORIDA...
 
  MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT AFFECTING BALDWIN AND MOBILE COUNTIES.
   
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES. 
  
  BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND AFFECTING MOBILE COUNTY. 
  
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

ALC097-070052-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0041.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SARA1.1.ER.090402T1401Z.090405T1415Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BAYOU SARA AT SARALAND
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 4 FEET
AT 4 FEET, FLOODING OF STREETS BEGINS AND BECOMES WIDESPREAD EAST OF THE 
RAILROAD WHEN THE LEVEL REACHES 5 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-097-070051-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-090410T0600Z/
/BCKA1.1.ER.090401T0734Z.090404T1900Z.090410T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MOBILE RIVER AT BARRY STEAM PLANT
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT 
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY EVENING.
AT 12 FEET, CONSIDERABLE OVERFLOW OF LOWLANDS IN THE AREA WILL OCCUR AND A FEW
COUNTY ROADS WILL BECOME FLOODED.  

$$

ALC023-025-129-070051-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-090409T1300Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.090327T1320Z.090402T1900Z.090409T0700Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-070051-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-090409T1200Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.090327T2130Z.090403T0100Z.090409T0600Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 28.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.

$$

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-070051-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090407T0300Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090405T0300Z.090406T2100Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING 
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
AT 28 FEET, FLOODING OF FARMLANDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER LEVEL 
FALLS BELOW 17 FEET AND CONTINUES TO DROP.  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-070051-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.090329T0525Z.090406T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
752 PM CDT SUN APR 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 19 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 19.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
AT 19 FEET, LOW LYING PASTURES WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE MOVED TO HIGHER
GROUND.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 061509
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
1009 AM CDT MON APR 06 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN ALABAMA...
FLORIDA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA AND OKALOOSA 
  COUNTIES.

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

ALC039-053-FLC033-091-061539-
/O.CAN.KMOB.FL.W.0042.000000T0000Z-090407T0300Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.090403T0730Z.090405T0300Z.090406T1230Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT MON APR 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON 
* AT 9AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.0 FEET 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
750 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

AVIATION UPDATE [12Z] WRAPAROUND CLOUDS HAVE ERODED FROM THE FRONT
THEREFORE WE TOOK OUT MENTION OF CLOUD DECK IN THE TAFS.

***********PREVIOUS************

.SHORT TERM...FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT... ASIDE FROM A POSTFRONTAL
CLOUD DECK EARLY TODAY SKIES WILL BE CLEAR WITH MINIMAL WEATHER.
USED MOS GUIDANCE WITH LITTLE OR NO TWEAKING...EXCEPT FOR THE CLOUD
DECK. AVN DISCUSSION GERMANE TO CLOUD COVER. /77

FOR SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...YET ANOTHER DEEP SYSTEM OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS ADVANCES EASTWARD TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY BY 18Z SUNDAY AND BRINGS A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA BY SUNDAY EVENING.  AN INCREASING RETURN FLOW HAS PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES INCREASING TO 1.25 TO 1.5 INCHES OVER THE FORECAST
AREA.  MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A WEAK CAP NEAR 750 MB AND ALSO A DEEP
DRY LAYER ALOFT FROM 800-550 MB.  THE CAP WILL INHIBIT CONVECTION
INITIALLY BUT WILL BE OVERCOME THANKS TO UNSEASONABLY WARM
TEMPERATURES.  THE WARM DAYTIME TEMPERATURES YIELDS SURFACE BASED
CAPES OF 1500-2200 J/KG.  ONCE THE CONVECTION TAPS THE ELEVATED DRY
LAYER WITH WET BULB ZERO HEIGHTS OF 9-10K...SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT
WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS.  THE 850 MB FLOW IS NOT PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS
SYSTEM ALTHOUGH THERE IS DECENT VEERING WITH HEIGHT FROM THE SURFACE
TO 850 MB.  THIS YIELDS 0-1 KM HELICITIES THAT GENERALLY REMAIN WELL
BELOW 150 M2/S2.  THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE GULF RETURNS
NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT AND IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE ONSHORE DURING
THE DAY ON SUNDAY AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT WHICH WILL
CERTAINLY PROVIDE FOR A ZONE OF ENHANCED HIGHER HELICITIES.  AS FAR
AS TIMING IS CONCERNED...EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP
DURING THE MORNING OVER THE AREA WITH A SQUALL LINE MOVING THROUGH
ALONG OR JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING.  HAVE STAYED WITH CHANCE RANGE POPS FOR NOW GIVEN
UNCERTAINTIES.  SPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR THE FORECAST AREA ON
SUNDAY BUT WILL HOLD OFF FOR NOW ON ADDING SEVERE STORMS TO GRIDS
AND FORECAST PACKAGE WORDING AS THIS IS A DAY 3 EVENT AND LET THE
DAYSHIFT REASSESS.  WENT WITH A BLEND OF MET AND MAV FOR SUNDAY'S
HIGHS. /29

&&

.LONG TERM...FOR MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A DEEP NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
FOLLOWS FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF SUNDAY'S SYSTEM
WITH A SURFACE RIDGE MOVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.  THE GFS/ECMWF AND GEM ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT
ON THIS PATTERN WHICH SUPPORTS UNSEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES MONDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.  WENT SLIGHTLY ABOVE MEX GUIDANCE IN SOME
SPOTS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT TO BETTER BLEND WITH
NEIGHBORS.  A RETURN FLOW SETS UP ON WEDNESDAY AS THE NEXT VIGOROUS
SYSTEM ADVANCES ACROSS THE PLAINS.  THE GFS/ECMWF AND GEM ARE IN
REMARKABLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE ASSOCIATE SURFACE LOW ADVANCING TO
THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  WENT WITH
CHANCE POPS FOR THURSDAY IN ANTICIPATION FOR A LINE OF CONVECTION TO
BE MOVING THROUGH AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
THE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE GFS HAS
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISING TO 1.75 INCHES ON THURSDAY WITH A
STRONG 65 KNOT 850 JET PRODUCING ABUNDANT FAVORABLE SHEAR.  THE
DAYTIME PASSAGE ALSO PORTENDS DECENT SURFACE BASED CAPES ALTHOUGH
THE GFS IS RATHER LIMITED AT THE MOMENT WITH CAPES TOPPING OUT NEAR
600 J/KG DUE TO A MOIST ADIABATIC PROFILE AND A CAP NEAR 700 MB.
SPC DOES NOT HAVE THE AREA OUTLOOKED DURING THIS PERIOD SO WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR NOW. /29

&&

.AVIATION...12Z ISSUANCE...CONTINUE WITH VFR CONDITIONS EXCEPT EARLY
IN PERIOD. DRY AIR CONTINUES TO MINIMIZE LIKELIHOOD OF CLOUDS ABOVE
700 MB. WRAPAROUND LOW TO MID DECK CLOUDS MOVING INTO WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI AT THE MOMENT AS IR IMAGERY INDICATES CLOUD TOPS NEAR
FREEZING JUST BELOW A FRONTAL INVERSION NEAR 700 MB. JAN SOUNDING
GERMANE. SURFACE OBS SHOW SEVERAL LEVELS OF CLOUDS FL020 TO FL040.
CROSS SECTION SHOWS THETA-E DOWNSLOPE ALONG FLOW AXIS WITH RH
DECREASING RAPIDLY FROM NEAR SATURATION TO 20% FROM 850 TO 700MB.
ALL FIGURES APPROXIMATE. BELIEVE CLOUD DECK WILL ERODE AWAY DUE TO
ISENTROPIC COMPRESSIVE HEATING. LEADING EDGE MOVING SE 15 KT WHICH
WOULD AFFECT THE REGION NEAR SUNRISE BUT EXPECT RAPID CLEARING
THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. DO NOT BELIEVE THE FEATURE WILL GET MUCH PAST
MOBILE BAY UNTIL BURNOFF EFFECT TAKES OVER. /77

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH MIDDAY.
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM FOR OFFSHORE MAY BE
CANCELLED EARLY. FOR WEEKEND...SOUTH WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE
AHEAD OF A FRONT COMING FROM THE WEST TO PASS BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
STRONG OFFSHORE WIND AND BUILDING SEAS WILL COME WITH IT AND
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT WILL LAST THROUGH MIDWEEK.
DETERMINED THAT SOUTH WIND 20 TO 25 KT WITH 200 MILE SOUTH FETCH AND
24 HR DURATION WOULD BUILD SEAS 7 TO 9 FEET PER BRETSCHNEIDER
METHOD...AND NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 KT WOULD PROBABLY LOP OFF A BIT OF
THE ONSHORE SEAS FOR A SHORT TIME. HOWEVER...EXPECTING FETCH LIMITED
RE-DEVELOPMENT OF 7 TO 9 FEET...AGAIN PER BRETSCHNEIDER...USING
FETCH 70 OR 80 MILES AND DURATION 10 HR. /77

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...DRIER AIR FLOWS INTO THE REGION TODAY THEN MOISTURE
INCREASES SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS THE PLAINS SYSTEM ADVANCES
TO NEAR THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.  DESPITE UNSEASONABLY WARM
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AND THE DRIER AIR TODAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  HOWEVER...IN THE
EXTENDED RANGE ON MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MUCH DRIER AIR FLOWS
INTO THE REGION AND LOOKS TO SET UP FOR THREE DAYS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES DROPPING BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...AND POSSIBLY OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS
WELL ON TUESDAY. /29

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      75  52  77  62 /  00  05  10  20
PENSACOLA   74  54  76  64 /  00  05  05  20
DESTIN      72  56  74  64 /  00  05  05  10
EVERGREEN   72  48  80  57 /  00  05  05  20
WAYNESBORO  73  45  78  55 /  00  05  10  20
CAMDEN      70  47  79  57 /  00  05  05  20

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM...
     COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20
     NM...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM...
     AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM FRIDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     MOBILE BAY.

&&

29 EVERSOLE
77 DALY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
707 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-041100-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
707 AM CDT FRI APR 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS MORNING ON THE
COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

A COLD FRONT ADVANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.  SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND THERE IS
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

THE MARITIME COMMUNITY WILL BE AFFECTED BY SOUTH WINDS AND SEAS
INCREASING OVER THE WEEKEND AHEAD OF THE STRONG COLD FRONT
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
SUNDAY BRINGING A STRONG OFFSHORE WIND TO 30 KNOTS AND SEAS TO 10
LATE SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SOME AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

THERE WILL BE AN INCREASED RISK OF WILDFIRES OVER THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH SUNDAY BUT MAY BE
REQUIRED ON SUNDAY.