River Flood Warning 119, NWS Mobile, AL

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 171932
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
132 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE FOLLOWING RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-041-053-181932-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.091218T0300Z-091220T1305Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091218T0300Z.091218T1800Z.091220T0705Z.NO/
132 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING
* AT 12PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 36.3 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  38.0 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
AT 37.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW-LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 180314
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA AND MISSISSIPPI...
 
  MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY.
 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN COUNTY. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON 
  COUNTIES. 
  TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY AFFECTING CHOCTAW...CLARKE AND WASHINGTON COUNTIES. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 
  YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN AFFECTING COVINGTON COUNTY. 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING COVINGTON...ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  LEAF NEAR MCLAIN AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND PERRY COUNTIES. 
  CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND WAYNE COUNTIES. 
  PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL AFFECTING GEORGE...GREENE AND JACKSON COUNTIES. 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN FLORIDA...

PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES. 
ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 
BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER AFFECTING OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA COUNTIES.
SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW AFFECTING OKALOOSA COUNTY. 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

MSC039-041-111-190314-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0095.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MCLM6.2.ER.091213T1722Z.091216T2200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE LEAF NEAR MCLAIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.5 FEET 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 18 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 24.3 FEET BY .
* AT 25 FEET, FLOODING OF COUNTY ROADS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE LEVEL DROPS BELOW 24 
  FEET.  

$$

MSC039-041-059-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0104.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MRRM6.2.ER.091215T0415Z.091219T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PASCAGOULA AT MERRILL
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 25 FEET BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* AT 25.0 FEET, FLOODING OF SOME RESIDENCES IN THE AREA WILL LIKELY OCCUR AS THE 
  LEVEL RISES ABOVE 25 FEET.  

$$

ALC053-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0120.091218T0455Z-091220T1800Z/
/BWMA1.1.ER.091218T0455Z.091219T1200Z.091220T1200Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE MURDER CREEK AT BREWTON
* FROM TONIGHT UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.3 FEET 
* NONFLOOD FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 
  22.3 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY
  SUNDAY MORNING.
* AT 22 FEET, FLOODING OF PERSIMMON AND ANN STREETS WILL BEGIN AS THE CREEK 
LEVEL RISES ABOVE 22 FEET.  

$$

ALC003-FLC033-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-091221T0500Z/
/BRPF1.2.ER.091215T1528Z.091217T0200Z.091220T2300Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
  

$$

ALC023-025-129-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-091221T1912Z/
/CLDA1.1.ER.091212T0925Z.091216T1100Z.091221T1312Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR COFFEEVILLE DAM
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 34.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC023-025-129-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-091222T2000Z/
/LRYA1.1.ER.091212T2245Z.091216T2100Z.091222T1400Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER NEAR LEROY
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 27.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 28 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
* THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC047-099-131-180830-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0112.000000T0000Z-091218T0830Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.091215T2302Z.091216T0400Z.091218T0230Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 66.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND NONFLOOD FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING.
* AT 66 FEET, FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD AND CATTLE SHOULD BE 
MOVED TO HIGHER GROUND.  

$$

ALC039-041-053-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.091218T0257Z-091220T1400Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091217T2300Z.091219T0000Z.091220T0800Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 38.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC025-099-131-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.1.ER.091214T1855Z.091218T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 47 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 47.1 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC039-053-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.091215T1238Z.091218T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.1 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON 
  THEN BEGIN FALLING.

$$

ALC053-FLC033-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.091214T0915Z.091216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 170 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY SATURDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC039-053-FLC091-113-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0121.091219T0430Z-091221T0130Z/
/BAKF1.1.ER.091219T0430Z.091219T1800Z.091220T1930Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACKWATER RIVER NEAR BAKER
* FROM TOMORROW LATE EVENING UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.5 FEET BY SATURDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW 
  FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.


$$

FLC091-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0122.091219T0400Z-091222T1200Z/
/CRVF1.1.ER.091219T0400Z.091220T0000Z.091222T0600Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SHOAL RIVER NEAR CRESTVIEW
* FROM TOMORROW LATE EVENING UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET 
* NO FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8 FEET
* FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW LATE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 8.8 FEET BY SATURDAY EVENING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8 FEET, SOME MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL OCCUR.  

$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-190313-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-091220T0600Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.091217T0348Z.091218T1800Z.091220T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.1 FEET BY TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT 14 FEET, SOME HOUSES IN OLD MILLIGAN WILL BECOME FLOODED AND SOME 
EVACUATIONS COULD BECOME NECESSARY.  

$$

MSC039-041-153-190313-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0096.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LEKM6.1.ER.091213T1016Z.091217T1300Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
914 PM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CHICKASAWHAY AT LEAKESVILLE
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 20 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO A STAGE OF 24.3 FEET BY TUESDAY EVENING.


$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 181507
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK AFFECTING BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN AFFECTING COVINGTON...OKALOOSA AND SANTA ROSA 
  COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-041-053-191507-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091220T0712Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091217T2300Z.091219T0000Z.091220T0112Z.NO/
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 39.2 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.


$$

ALC003-FLC033-191506-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0110.000000T0000Z-091220T0200Z/
/BRPF1.2.ER.091215T1528Z.091217T0200Z.091219T2000Z.NO/
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE PERDIDO RIVER NEAR BARRINEAU PARK
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY TOMORROW. 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

ALC039-053-191506-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-091223T1630Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.091215T1238Z.091219T0000Z.091223T1030Z.NO/
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.6 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC053-FLC033-191506-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.091214T0915Z.091216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.3 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC039-FLC091-113-191506-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0118.000000T0000Z-091219T1800Z/
/MLGF1.1.ER.091217T0348Z.091218T0331Z.091219T1200Z.NO/
907 AM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES
FOR
  THE YELLOW RIVER AT MILLIGAN
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON 
* AT 8AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TOMORROW MORNING.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 190315
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
915 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-041-053-200315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091220T0800Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091217T2300Z.091218T2115Z.091220T0200Z.NO/
915 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT 
* AT 8PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.8 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 39.2 FEET BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TOMORROW. 
  THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING.
* AT 37 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND PASTURELAND WILL OCCUR.

$$

ALC039-053-200315-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-091224T0000Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.091215T1238Z.091219T0200Z.091223T1800Z.NO/
915 PM CST FRI DEC 18 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING 
* AT 8PM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY EARLY 
  AFTERNOON.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 191456
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009
 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM AFFECTING DALLAS...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM AFFECTING CLARKE...MONROE AND WILCOX 
  COUNTIES. 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC047-099-131-201456-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0123.000000T0000Z-091224T1715Z/
/MRFA1.1.ER.000000T0000Z.091221T0600Z.091224T1115Z.NO/
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR MILLERS FERRY DAM
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 70.7 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 66.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 72.5 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE 
  RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.

$$

ALC039-041-053-200830-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091220T0830Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091217T2300Z.091218T2115Z.091220T0230Z.NO/
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 7AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 38.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 38.2 FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.


$$

ALC025-099-131-201456-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0106.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CLBA1.2.ER.091214T1855Z.091222T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ALABAMA RIVER NEAR CLAIBORNE DAM
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 47.9 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 42.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 49.2 FEET BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THEN
  BEGIN FALLING.


$$

ALC039-053-201456-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-091224T1536Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.091215T1238Z.091220T0000Z.091224T0936Z.NO/
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES 
FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.2 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.4 FEET BY THIS EVENING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE THURSDAY MORNING.


$$

ALC053-FLC033-201456-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.091214T0915Z.091216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 8AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.

$$

000 
WGUS84 KMOB 200119
FLSMOB
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE, AL
719 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS AFFECTING COVINGTON...CRENSHAW AND ESCAMBIA 
  COUNTIES. 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN ALABAMA...FLORIDA...
 
  CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON AFFECTING COVINGTON AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES. 
  ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY AFFECTING ESCAMBIA COUNTY. 

.RECENT HEAVY RAINS HAVE CAUSED SIGNIFICANT RISES ALONG THE RIVERS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE... 
STAY TUNED TO DEVELOPMENTS BY LISTENING TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

&&

ALC039-041-053-200938-
/O.EXT.KMOB.FL.W.0119.000000T0000Z-091220T0938Z/
/RVFA1.1.ER.091217T2300Z.091218T2115Z.091220T0338Z.NO/
719 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT RIVER FALLS
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT 
* AT 6PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 37.4 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND IS FORECAST TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 37.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT.
AT 37.0 FEET, FLOODING OF LOW-LYING FARM AND PASTURELANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
OCCUR.  

$$

ALC039-053-210119-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0103.000000T0000Z-091224T1536Z/
/BWTA1.1.ER.091215T1238Z.091220T0000Z.091224T0936Z.NO/
719 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CONECUH RIVER AT BREWTON
* UNTIL THURSDAY MORNING 
* AT 6PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 27.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THURSDAY MORNING.
AT 32.0 FEET, FLOODING OF SECONDARY ROADS AND COUNTY ROADS WILL GRADUALLY 
SUBSIDE AS THE RIVER LEVEL DROPS BELOW 21 FEET.  FLOODING OF LOW LYING FARM AND 
PASTURELANDS WILL CONTINUE.  

$$

ALC053-FLC033-210118-
/O.CON.KMOB.FL.W.0097.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CTYF1.1.ER.091214T0915Z.091216T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
719 PM CST SAT DEC 19 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ESCAMBIA RIVER NEAR CENTURY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE 
* AT 7PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.6 FEET 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 17.0 FEET
* THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.7 FEET BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING THEN 
  BEGIN FALLING.
AT 23.0 FEET, WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF PASTURE AND FARM LANDS IN THE AREA WILL 
CONTINUE. WATER BEGINS TO REACH MYSTIC SPRINGS ROAD, WORLEY ROAD, BAMER HOLLEY 
LN AND RIVER BEND ROAD. APPROXIMATELY 5 HOMES BECOME ISOLATED IN THE MCDAVID AND
MOLINO AREAS. PUBLIC BOAT RAMPS AT MYSTIC SPRINGS AND FAIRGROUND RD ARE 
SUBMERGED.  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1031 AM CST THU DEC 17 2009

AVIATION UPDATE...MOVED RAIN COMMENCEMENT UP ABOUT 2 OR 3 HOURS AND
LOWERED CIGS SIGNIFICANTLY. OTHERWISE VISBY CAN BE AS LOW AS A HALF
MILE IN PRECIP AND FOG OR MIST.

PUBLIC UPDATE...CLEANED UP MORNING WORDING WITH A FEW OTHER MINOR
EDITS.

*****************************PREVIOUS*********************
.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...MORE RAINFALL...LOCALLY
HEAVY...WILL BE SPREADING INTO THE REGION LATE TODAY AND ESPECIALLY
TONIGHT AND INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON FRIDAY. UNFORTUNATELY...THE
AREAS THAT WE EXPECT THE HEAVIER RAINFALL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING
WILL BE THE SAME AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER
THIS WEEK. SOME LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES
OF ALABAMA SAW UP TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN...WITH A LARGE AREA
GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A WIGGINS...LUCEDALE...CITRONELLE...
MONROEVILLE...GREENVILLE LINE RECEIVING AT LEAST 4 INCHES AND IN
SOME INSTANCES 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL. THIS EARLIER RAINFALL
RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD AREAL AND RIVER FLOODING...SOME OF WHICH
STILL CONTINUES. AS A RESULT...WE WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
VALID FOR TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY FROM STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES OF
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEASTWARD INTO ALABAMA ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF
I-65...AND FOR ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. WE EXPECT AN
ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL OVER THAT AREA...WITH THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA LIKELY RECEIVING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.
AS IS USUALLY THE CASE...LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.

ALL OF THIS ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL DEVELOP IN ASSOCIATION WITH A
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
EARLY THIS MORNING THAT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE GULF...AND BE APPROACHING THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COASTLINE BY AROUND MIDDAY FRIDAY. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THIS SCENARIO...WITH ALL SOLUTIONS SPREADING RAINFALL INTO THE FCST
AREA BY THIS EVENING AS THE LOW APPROACHES. THE TRACK OF THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA OVER THE GULF...AND AS A RESULT
RAINS SHOULD BE MORE OF A STEADY STRATIFORM VARIETY AS ISENTROPIC
LIFTING MATERIALIZES NORTH OF THE LOW. BUT SOME ISOLATED EMBEDDED
HEAVIER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY FOR
THE COASTAL COUNTIES. ONE SAVING GRACE WITH THIS SYSTEM VERSUS THE
ONE WE HAD EARLIER IN THE WEEK IS THAT THIS ONE WILL BE MOVING MUCH
MORE QUICKLY ACROSS THE FCST AREA. THIS FASTER MOVEMENT SHOULD
RESULT IN LESS RAINFALL THAN WHAT WAS EXPERIENCED EARLIER IN THE
WEEK...BUT STILL WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE AT LEAST SOME ADDITIONAL
FLOODING CONCERNS. STAY TUNED.

IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN...A BREEZY NORTHEASTERLY TO NORTHERLY WIND
FLOW WILL ACCOMPANYING THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW PRESSURE AREA. WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS AND FINALLY RAIN BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND WITH
THE NORTHEASTERLY WIND FLOW...EXPECT TEMPS TODAY TO BE IN THE MID TO
UPPER 50S MOST AREAS. MIN TEMPS TONIGHT MAINLY IN THE 40S...EXCEPT
FOR A FEW LOWER 50S ALONG THE BEACHES.  12/DS

BY FRIDAY MORN...WITH SEVERAL GROUPS OF SHORTWAVE ENERGY SWIRLING
AROUND/NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS...THE SURFACE LOW MOVES ONSHORE
EAST OF KDTS. THIS IS A BIT FARTHER NORTH THAN YESTERDAYS GUIDANCE
WAS ADVERTISING...WITH THE PATH TAKING THE LOW ONSHORE NORTH OF
KTBW. AS THE MAIN SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS CONTINUES TO
MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST...GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO ADVERTISE MORE ENERGY
DIVING SOUTHEAST OVER THE PLAINS...SEEMINGLY SLOWING THE SOUTHEASTERN
SYSTEM DOWN A BIT AND PROLONGING A BIT LONGER. HAVE BUMPED POPS UP A
BIT FROM GUIDANCE AS A RESULT. WITH THE RAIN HANGING ON LONGER...HAVE
BUMPED TEMPS DOWN A BIT FROM GUIDANCE...WITH THE GREATEST EFFECT OVER
THE EASTERN PARTS OF THE FA. HAVE LEFT SOME RUMBLES IN THE FORECAST
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN QUARTER OF THE FA FOR FRIDAY MORNING...WITH
GUIDANCE ADVERTISING ENOUGH INSTABILITY FOR SUCH. AGREE WITH GUIDANCE
WITH ANY RUMBLING TO BE OVER BY NOONTIME FOR THE ENTIRE FA.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING THE PLAINS
SHORTWAVE STALLING OVER TENN/NRN AL/NRN MS/NRN GA FRIDAY...THEN
WHIPPING ITS WESTERN TAIL AROUND THE SOUTH-SIDE OF THE MAIN SYSTEM.
GFS PUSHES COOLER AIR FATHER SOUTH WITH THIS MANEUVER...RESULTING IN
COOLER TEMPS...ESPECIALLY THE CLOSER ONE GETS TO THE GULF COAST. GFS
ENSEMBLES SUPPORT THE GFS SOLUTION...SO HAVE WENT THAT DIRECTION FOR
THE FORECAST FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT ON)FOR SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SUNDAY...GUIDANCE IS ADVERTISING MORE SHORTWAVE ENERGY DIVING
SOUTHEAST OVER THE PLAINS...CONTINUING TO MAINTAIN AN UPPER TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THAT HAS SET UP BY THE END OF THE SHORT
TERM...WITH A RIDGE CENTERED WEST OF THE ROCKIES. SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS PUSHED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF COAST BY SUNDAY
NIGHT...EASING THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW PRESENT OVER THE LATTER HALF
OF THE WEEK...BEGINNING OF WEEKEND. ECMWF HAS THIS SURFACE LOW
CENTERED FARTHER EAST THAN THE GFS...RESULTING IN LIGHTER FLOW...BUT
AT THE LIGHT LEVELS IN BOTH...THIS IS PRETTY MUCH MOOT.

BY MONDAY MORNING...SOME LITTLE DIFFERENCES START TO APPEAR. GFS IS
ADVERTISING A MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER PATTERN THAN THE ECMWF...THOUGH
BOTH HAVE AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN CONUS...RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN...WITH MORE ENERGY ALONG/OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS COAST.
INTO WEDNESDAY...THE GFS CONTINUES OT KEEP A MORE AMPLIFIED
PATTERN...WITH THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS ENERGY DIVING
SOUTHEAST...ENDING UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS BY WEDNESDAY
MORN...WHILST THE ECMWF WEAKENS ANY ENERGY DIVING SOUTH AND KEEPING A
MORE ORGANIZED UPPER LOW OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CONUS...MEANDERING IT
SLOWLY EAST. BY CHRISTMAS...GFS HAS A LARGE CLOSED LOW SWIRLING
AROUND OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS...WITH THE ECMWF ADVERTISING IT ENERGY
STRONG OUR OVER THE NORTHERN CONUS...WITH GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW OVER
THE CONUS. HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE WITH THE SOLUTION FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEK AS A RESULT.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z ISSUANCE)ALTHOUGH HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS HAVE
THICKENED...CIGS AND VSBY WILL REMAIN VFR AT TAF SITES THROUGH THIS
MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. HOWEVER...AS A WESTERN GULF
LOW PRESSURE AREA BEGINS TO MOVE TOWARD THE AREA LATE TODAY...CIGS
WILL BEGIN TO LOWER TO A BLEND OF LOW END MVFR TO IFR CATEGORIES BY
AROUND 00Z FRIDAY. RAINFALL ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE BY
AROUND 00Z...AND ESPECIALLY THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
AROUND 18Z FRIDAY AT MOST LOCATIONS. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR
LIFR/VLIFR VSBYS IN LOCALLY +RA MAINLY AFTER 03Z FRIDAY. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE FAR WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST ACROSS THE GULF
AND WILL BE APPROACHING THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE COASTLINE BY
AROUND MIDDAY FRIDAY. A STRONG NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST TODAY
AND EARLY TONIGHT AS THE LOW APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. STRONG FLOW
WILL BECOME MORE NORTHERLY ON FRIDAY AS THE LOW MOVES OFF TO THE
EAST OF THE MARINE AREA...THEN BECOME MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND
DIMINISH OVER THE WEEKEND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL FRIDAY NIGHT. A LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED DURING THE
EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT INCREASING COVERAGES
OF RAIN WITH EMBEDDED HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
MARINE AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY. 12/DS

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A SYSTEM PASSING OVER SOUTHERN REGIONS OF THE FA
LATER TODAY INTO FRIDAY WILL BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN...KEEPING
MOISTURE LEVELS HIGH INTO THE WEEKEND. AFTER THIS SYSTEM
PASSES...DRIER NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BE RE-ESTABLISHED...DRYING THE
AREA OUT INTO THE COMING WEEK. GUIDANCE KEEPS RH LEVELS FROM DROPPING
MUCH BELOW 40 PERCENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND WITH THE COPIOUS
QUANTITIES OF RAIN WE HAVE/WILL RECEIVE...SO NO REASON TO DISAGREE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      54  46  55  38  56 /  40  90  70  05  00
PENSACOLA   55  50  54  40  57 /  40  90  70  05  05
DESTIN      59  56  56  44  59 /  30  90  80  05  05
EVERGREEN   55  46  50  36  52 /  20  90  80  05  05
WAYNESBORO  52  43  54  35  52 /  30  90  70  05  05
CAMDEN      57  45  50  34  50 /  20  90  80  10  10
CRESTVIEW   55  51  53  36  56 /  30  90  80  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...
     ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...MONROE...UPPER
     BALDWIN...AND UPPER MOBILE.

FL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...
     COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...
     AND INLAND SANTA ROSA.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 6 PM THURSDAY TO NOON FRIDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: GEORGE...AND STONE.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20
     NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT
     20 NM...MOBILE BAY...WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...AND WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO
     PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

12/16

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
640 AM CST THU DEC 17 2009

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078-
079-181200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-
LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-
COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY-
GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
640 AM CST THU DEC 17 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RAINFALL...LOCALLY HEAVY IN SOME LOCATIONS...WILL BE SPREADING INTO
THE REGION TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF MOVES
TOWARD THE AREA. UNFORTUNATELY...THE LOCATIONS THAT WILL LIKELY
RECEIVE THE HEAVIER RAINFALL TONIGHT WILL BE THE MANY OF THE SAME
AREAS THAT RECEIVED THE HEAVY RAINFALL EARLIER THIS WEEK. SOME
LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN BALDWIN AND ESCAMBIA COUNTIES OF ALABAMA HAVE
ALREADY RECEIVED UP TO LOCALLY 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE PAST THREE
DAYS...WITH A LARGE AREA GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
WIGGINS...LUCEDALE...CITRONELLE...MONROEVILLE...GREENVILLE LINE
RECEIVING AT LEAST 4 INCHES...AND IN SOME CASES 4 TO 6 INCHES OF
RAINFALL. THIS EARLIER RAINFALL RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD AREAL AND
RIVER FLOODING...SOME OF WHICH CONTINUES THIS MORNING. AN ADDITIONAL
2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED OVER THAT SAME AREA TONIGHT
AND EARLY FRIDAY...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY RECEIVE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.
SOILS ARE SATURATED DUE TO THE EARLIER RAINS...AND ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUNOFF AND CAUSE MORE FLOODING PROBLEMS...AS
WELL AS ACT TO EXACERBATE ANY EXISTING FLOODING PROBLEMS ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA...INCLUDING AREA RIVERS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA
AND ALL OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE....REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD
WARNING ISSUED BY NWS MOBILE. THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF
UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW MUCH RAIN WILL OCCUR AND WHERE THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST RAIN SETS UP...SO STAY TUNED.

SEVERAL AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING...SOME OF
WHICH EXPERIENCING MODERATE FLOODING PROBLEMS. FOR THE VERY LATEST
RIVER STAGES AND FORECASTS IN THE WFO MOBILE HYDROLOGIC SERVICE
AREA...REFER TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICES
WEBPAGE.

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND MODERATE SEAS WILL MAKE FOR
HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL MARINE CRAFT TODAY AND TONIGHT...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. REFER TO THE MARINE WEATHER
WARNING MESSAGE FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL MARINE CRAFT ARE FORECAST TO PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING DUE TO HIGH SEAS AND STRONG WINDS. SEE THE
LATEST COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS ON WIND
DIRECTION...SPEED AND SEAS AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES NORTHEAST
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF.

RAIN WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA TO THE EAST BY MIDDAY FRIDAY...WITH
COLDER AND DRIER HIGH PRESSURE THEN BEING THE DOMINANT WEATHER MAKER
INTO THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. A FREEZE IS POSSIBLE MAINLY NORTH
OF THE COAST...SUNDAY...MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS. MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 20S OVER
INTERIOR LOCATIONS TO THE LOWER TO MID 30S ALONG THE COAST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

CONTINUED ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT IS
REQUESTED DUE TO THE WIDESPREAD NATURE OF ONGOING RIVER FLOODING.