Alert archive / Alabama / Flash Flood Watches in 2009
Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Mobile, AL
NWS Mobile, AL issued this flash flood watch at Mar 30, 2009, 3:23 PM CDT for 5 counties in Alabama; George County, Stone County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 31, 2009, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 17 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2009, 3:23 PM CDT (20:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 31, 2009, 7:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Apr 1, 2009, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 17 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Mobile, AL
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Butler County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Escambia County, AL, George County, MS, Stone County, MS
The radar
The Mobile radar (KMOB), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 218 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1752 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 57 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -15 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 40 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WGUS64 KMOB 302023 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 323 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE ALREADY EXISTENT FLOOD PROBLEMS AND BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WHICH WAS INUNDATED BY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. AS OF NOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THESE AREAS...AN AVERAGE OF AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALIZED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS OF UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. THIS NEW HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS STILL EVOLVING AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED..AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED FARTHER NORTH. ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-310430- /O.NEW.KMOB.FF.A.0003.090331T1200Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA- COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE... BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP... PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE... DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON... MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA... BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON... GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH... NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 323 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA... BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON...CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA... COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE ALREADY EXISTENT FLOOD PROBLEMS AND BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WHICH WAS INUNDATED BY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. AS OF NOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THESE AREAS...AN AVERAGE OF AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALIZED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS OF UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. THIS NEW HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS STILL EVOLVING AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED..AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED FARTHER NORTH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
5 follow-up statements
000 WGUS64 KMOB 310407 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1107 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE ALREADY EXISTENT FLOOD PROBLEMS AND BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WHICH WAS INUNDATED BY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. AS OF NOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THESE AREAS...AN AVERAGE OF AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALIZED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS OF UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. THIS NEW HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS STILL EVOLVING AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED..AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED FARTHER NORTH. ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-311215- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0003.090331T1200Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA- COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE... BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP... PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE... DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON... MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA... BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON... GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH... NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 1107 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON... CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AS WELL AS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS THE REGION. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL AGGRAVATE ALREADY EXISTENT FLOOD PROBLEMS AND BE A MAJOR CONCERN ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WHICH WAS INUNDATED BY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS... STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. AS OF NOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THESE AREAS...AN AVERAGE OF AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALIZED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS OF UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. THIS NEW HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT IS STILL EVOLVING AND WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED..AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED FARTHER NORTH. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 311235 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 735 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS A MAJOR CONCERN FOR THE WATCH AREA DUE TO MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 3.5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS POSSIBLY UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-312100- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA- COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE... BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP... PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE... DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON... MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA... BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON... GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH... NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 735 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON... CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT ACROSS THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS A MAJOR CONCERN FOR THE WATCH AREA DUE TO MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 3.5 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...RAINFALL TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND OUTSIDE OF THE WATCH AREA...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LOWER WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS POSSIBLY UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 312120 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 420 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 65 THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA. AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL EXACERBATE THE FLOODING SITUATION DUE TO MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAIN LATE LAST WEEK. ANY MORE RAIN COULD CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS... STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. FOR SOUTH ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...RAIN TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. MSZ078-079-010530- /O.EXA.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 420 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...GEORGE AND STONE. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA. AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL EXACERBATE THE FLOODING SITUATION DUE TO MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAIN LATE LAST WEEK. ANY MORE RAIN COULD CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS... STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...RAIN TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION ESPECIALLY FLOODING AT NIGHT AFTER HAVING GONE TO BED. MOTORISTS AS WELL ARE VULNERABLE ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-010530- /O.CON.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE- UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA- COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE... BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...ANDALUSIA...OPP... PRICHARD...SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE... DAPHNE...FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON... MOLINO...PENSACOLA...FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA... BELLVIEW...ENSLEY...MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON... GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW...WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH... NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE...EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 420 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN ALABAMA...BUTLER...CONECUH...COVINGTON... CRENSHAW...ESCAMBIA...LOWER BALDWIN...LOWER MOBILE...UPPER BALDWIN AND UPPER MOBILE. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * .ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM WIGGINS MISSISSIPPI TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA. AS AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL EXACERBATE THE FLOODING SITUATION DUE TO MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM HEAVY RAIN LATE LAST WEEK. ANY MORE RAIN COULD CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS... STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. FOR EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE...RAIN TOTALS THROUGH TONIGHT WILL GENERALLY BE 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES POSSIBLE. FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI ...RAIN TOTALS WILL GENERALLY BE AROUND 2 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION ESPECIALLY FLOODING AT NIGHT AFTER HAVING GONE TO BED. MOTORISTS AS WELL ARE VULNERABLE ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 010112 FFAMOB URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 812 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR STONE AND GEORGE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... .THE BAND OF HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRHOPE ALABAMA TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA...AND EXTENDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST ACROSS THAT AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING...AND THEN TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. THE SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. ALZ056>059-061>064-FLZ001-MSZ078-079-010215- /O.CAN.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-ESCAMBIA-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN- LOWER MOBILE-LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-STONE-GEORGE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...EVERGREEN...GREENVILLE...LUVERNE... BRANTLEY...ATMORE...BREWTON...EAST BREWTON...PRICHARD... SARALAND...BAY MINETTE...TILLMANS CORNER...THEODORE...DAPHNE... FAIRHOPE...FOLEY...SPANISH FORT...CENTURY...FLOMATON...MOLINO... WIGGINS...LUCEDALE 812 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE BAND OF HEAVY RAIN HAD MOVED SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRHOPE ALABAMA TO ANDALUSIA ALABAMA...AND HAS ENDED ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR THESE AREAS. $$ ALZ060-FLZ002>006-010500- /O.EXT.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COVINGTON-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 812 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA... COVINGTON. IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...COASTAL ESCAMBIA...COASTAL OKALOOSA...COASTAL SANTA ROSA...INLAND OKALOOSA AND INLAND SANTA ROSA. * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT * HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL PERSIST ACROSS THAT AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING...AND THEN TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN COULD FALL ACROSS WATCH AREA THIS EVENING. THE SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL CREATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION ESPECIALLY FLOODING AT NIGHT AFTER HAVING GONE TO BED. MOTORISTS AS WELL ARE VULNERABLE ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. TURN AROUND DONT DROWN. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$
000 WGUS64 KMOB 010515 FFAMOB FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1215 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED... .THE PERSISTENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...AND ANY REMAINING RAIN WILL FURTHER TAPER OFF THROUGH DAYBREAK AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. ALZ060-FLZ002>006-010615- /O.EXP.KMOB.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-090401T0500Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ COVINGTON-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA-COASTAL SANTA ROSA- INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANDALUSIA...OPP...PENSACOLA... FERRY PASS...BRENT...WEST PENSACOLA...BELLVIEW...ENSLEY... MYRTLE GROVE...JAY...PACE...MILTON...GULF BREEZE...CRESTVIEW... WRIGHT...FORT WALTON BEACH...NICEVILLE...DESTIN...SEMINOLE... EGLIN AFB...VALPARAISO 1215 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED... THE PERSISTENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED ACROSS THE AREA...AND ANY REMAINING RAIN WILL FURTHER TAPER OFF THROUGH DAYBREAK AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 30, 4:24 AM CDT, 10 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 30, 4:24 AM CDT, 10 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
424 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009
.SHORT TERM...MORE SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE FOR THE AREA
TODAY AS DEEP LAYER RIDGING SHIFTS EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA IN
RESPONSE TO A SYSTEM SLOWLY ADVANCING ACROSS THE PLAINS. A RETURN
FLOW DEVELOPS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT WITH UPPER
THEN MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS SPREADING INTO THE AREA. ISENTROPIC LIFT
WILL INCREASE ALOFT OVERNIGHT...BUT WILL STAY WITH A DRY FORECAST
THROUGH TONIGHT AS DRY AIR BELOW 750 MB WILL RESULT IN VIRGA RATHER
THAN SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN THAT WOULD OTHERWISE DEVELOP. MINOR TO MAJOR
FLOODING CONTINUES ON SEVERAL RIVERS IN SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
REFER TO THE ADVANCED HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) WEB SITE
FOR THE LATEST STATUS ON AREA RIVERS:
AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/INDEX.PHP?WFO=MOB
/29
.LONG TERM TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SEVERAL SYSTEMS TO IMPACT THE
AREA DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE. FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE MOVING
EAST...APPROACHING THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND GULF COAST
BY TUESDAY EVENING. THERE REMAINS SOME SPREAD AMONGST THE MEDIUM RANGE
MODELS ON THE FORMATION AND TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE
FRONT. THE 30/00UTC RUN OF THE GFS HAS SHIFTED A LITTLE MORE
SOUTHWARD WITH THE LOW TRACK...NOW ACROSS THE HEART OF THE CWA
TUESDAY EVENING...WHICH IS ALSO SIMILAR TO THE NAM. THE UKMET AND
ECMWF HAS THE LOW MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHERN GULF...BEFORE
LIFTING IT OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THE
DIFFERENCES IN THE GUIDANCE ON LOW TRACK/POSITION...THE ORIENTATION
OF THE MODEL QPF FIELDS ARE MORE SIMILAR BUT WITH DIFFERING AMOUNTS.
GIVEN THE NEW DATA...A SOUTHEASTWARD ADJUSTMENT TO THE AXIS OF
HEAVIEST RAINS HAS BEEN MADE. IT APPEARS THE RAINS WILL ADD UP MORE
TO THE SOUTHEAST OF INTERSTATE 65. ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...A
BLEND OF THE GUIDANCE NOW SUGGESTS 2 TO POSSIBLY 4 INCH AMOUNTS
OCCURRING FROM TUESDAY TO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WILL SEE WHAT BEARING
THE NEW RAINFALL COMING UP WILL HAVE ON OUR RIVER SYSTEM FORECAST
POINTS...WHICH ARE EXPERIENCING FLOODING PROBLEMS. THE CURRENT
FORECAST SUGGESTS PROBLEMS COULD LINGER FOR AWHILE LONGER OVER
PORTIONS OF THE REGION. TO OUR EAST...OVER SOUTHERN GEORGIA/NORTHERN
FLORIDA...RAINS COULD ADD UP TO 3 TO 6 INCHES EARLY IN THE OUTLOOK.
THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY/TUESDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND OFFSHORE WHERE THE BEST
INSTABILITY WILL RESIDE. LOOKING AT THE MASS FIELDS AND WIND PROFILES
IN THE GFS...ANOTHER PERIOD OF SEVERE WEATHER IS POSSIBLE LATE
THURSDAY AS NEXT COLD FRONT AND STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM
PIVOTS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN STATES. AS FAR AS THE WEEKEND...BECOMING
MORE UNSETTLED YET AGAIN AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM/FRONT ADVANCES
EASTWARD OUT OF THE PLAINS. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FORECAST TO BE 4 TO
7 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO WHILE DAILY HIGHS NEAR NORMAL ON AVERAGE. /10
&&
.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. CLEAR
SKIES GIVE WAY TO SCATTERED CIRRIFORM CLOUDS TODAY WHICH BECOME
OVERCAST WITH A BROKEN ALTO DECK FOLLOWING LATER TONIGHT. LIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS VEER TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
TONIGHT. PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT REMAINS A CONCERN BUT INCREASING
UPPER TO MID CLOUDS TONIGHT SHOULD MITIGATE FOG DEVELOPMENT
OVERNIGHT SO HAVE LEFT OUT MENTION OF FOG AT THIS TIME. /29
&&
.MARINE...THE SURFACE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES AND NORTHEAST
GULF SHIFTS INTO THE ATLANTIC THROUGH TONIGHT AS A SYSTEM ADVANCES
ACROSS THE PLAINS. LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA VEER
AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY THEN INCREASE GRADUALLY OVERNIGHT AS
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS DUE TO THE ADVANCING PLAINS SYSTEM.
THE ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT THEN MOVING THROUGH LATER TUESDAY
NIGHT. EXPECT THAT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED FOR THE
MARINE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THE STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW SUBSIDES
WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A SURFACE HIGH BUILDS INTO THE AREA AND THE
FRONT STALLS EAST OF THE AREA. THEN A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS AS
THE STALLED FRONT RETURNS NORTHWARD AS A WARM FRONT...IN RESPONSE TO
NEXT SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THIS SECOND SYSTEM
ADVANCES EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COASTAL STATES WITH A STRONG
ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE MARINE AREA ON THURSDAY...FOLLOWED
BY A STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. THE OFFSHORE FLOW SUBSIDES FRIDAY MORNING WITH A
LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW FOLLOWING FOR THE REST OF THE DAY AS YET ANOTHER
SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE PLAINS. /29
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...THE LATEST GRIDDED HUMIDITIES INDICATE 4 TO 5 HOURS
OF VALUES BELOW 35 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE INTERIOR WESTERN
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THIS MEETS CRITERIA FOR A RED FLAG WARNING FOR
THOSE ZONES. NO HEADLINES EXPECTED TUESDAY AS APPROACHING LOW BRINGS
INCREASED MOISTURE...SHOWERS/TSTMS OVER THE REGION. /10
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 73 57 71 55 / 05 10 90 80
PENSACOLA 70 55 69 58 / 00 10 90 90
DESTIN 70 57 68 60 / 00 10 80 90
EVERGREEN 73 46 69 54 / 00 10 70 90
WAYNESBORO 73 51 71 49 / 00 10 80 70
CAMDEN 71 47 69 52 / 00 10 70 80
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 5 PM MONDAY FOR THE
FOLLOWING ZONES: INLAND ESCAMBIA...INLAND OKALOOSA...AND
INLAND SANTA ROSA.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 30, 12:40 PM CDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 1240 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-GMZ630-650-655-670-675-MSZ067-075-076-078- 079-311200- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-UPPER MOBILE-UPPER BALDWIN-LOWER MOBILE- LOWER BALDWIN-INLAND ESCAMBIA-COASTAL ESCAMBIA-INLAND SANTA ROSA- COASTAL SANTA ROSA-INLAND OKALOOSA-COASTAL OKALOOSA-MOBILE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WAYNE-PERRY- GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 1240 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND THE ADJACENT GULF COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY ALONG AREA BEACHES AND THERE IS AN INCREASED RISK OF WILDFIRES OVER THE INTERIOR PORTION OF THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE. A MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE WIND FLOW WILL DEVELOP WELL OFFSHORE TONIGHT WHICH MAY RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. ALTHOUGH NO RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT...SOME AREAS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE AREAL FLOODING NEAR RIVERS...STREAMS AND LOW LYING AREAS. EVERYONE SHOULD BE ALERT FOR FLOODING AS THEY TRAVEL ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND BRING PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS AND ALSO THE LIKELIHOOD OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE... EXTREME SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...AS WELL AS PARTS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. THE SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE RATHER LIMITED AT THIS TIME...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS IN THE AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE MORE NUMEROUS STORMS WILL BE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AS WELL AS ALONG AND EAST OF I-65 IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. BY LATE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS...A MORE ORGANIZED SQUALL LINE WILL DEVELOP JUST IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...AND WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FCST AREA DURING TUESDAY EVENING AND VERY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS...ESPECIALLY WITH THE SQUALL LINE WILL BE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. THE MORE MAJOR CONCERN WITH THIS EVENT WILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA THAT WERE INUNDATED BY HEAVY RAINFALL LATE LAST WEEK. ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY EXACERBATE FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG AREA RIVERS...STREAMS AND OTHER FLOOD PRONE AREAS. AS OF NOW...IT DOES APPEAR THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE CONFINED TO THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...AND INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 65. IN THE AREAS JUST MENTIONED...AN AVERAGE OF AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAINFALL COULD OCCUR...WITH LOCALIZED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 5 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LESS WITH AVERAGES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES AND LOCALIZED TOTALS UP TO AROUND 3 INCHES. THIS NEW HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED...AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A THIRD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AND BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. STRONG WINDS OVER THE MARINE AREA FROM TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AGAIN FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING MAY RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR SEVERE WEATHER MAY BECOME NECESSARY ON TUESDAY. PLEASE SEE THE ACCOMPANYING GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOUND AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HWO/INDEX.PHP.
The office that day
Everything else NWS Mobile, AL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 6:07 AM CDT | Red Flag Warning | MOB | 11 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Alabama, 2009Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2009Flash Flood Watches in Florida, 2009Every flash flood watch in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.