Wind Chill Watch 1, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
830 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009

.DISCUSSION...

...WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPS AND BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS LIKELY
WEDNESDAY NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

...BOATING CONDITIONS POOR THRU THURSDAY...IMPROVING THIS WEEKEND...

TONIGHT...SKC WITH COLD HIGH PRES OVER THE BREADTH OF THE GOMEX
AND MARITIME LOW WELL OFF TO THE NE COMBINING TO PRODUCE LIGHT-MDT
WESTERLY WINDS WITH TEMPS MAINLY IN THE 40S. WINDS WILL REMAIN IN
THE 5-10MPH RANGE MUCH OF THE NIGHT AS TEMPS FALL INTO THE 30S
AREAWIDE. BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW SUFFICIENT TO KEEP LOW LEVELS MIXED
SO FROST STILL NOT EXPECTED...ESP GIVEN THE LOW TDS ATTM. HOWEVER
...SOME WIND PROTECTED LOCATIONS MAY GET DOWN TO AROUND 32 DEGREES.

THE NARROW BAND OF CLOUDS ACROSS ASCD WITH REINFORCING COLD FRONT IS
THINNING RAPIDLY OVER AL/GA AND EXPECT THESE TO BE LONG GONE BY THE
TIME THE FRONT ARRIVES EARLY WED MORNING. NW SURGE EXPECTED TO REACH
NRN CWA RIGHT AROUND SUNRISE...AND WITH WDSPRD MIN TEMPS IN THE 30S
...DONT SEE ANY REASON TO BACK OFF ON THE WIND CHILL ADV ATTM.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR/SKC. NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 25 KNOTS
AFTER 14Z WED.

&&

.MARINE...WNW WINDS STILL ZIPPING AT 20P25KT AT AREA BOUYS...THOUGH
OFFSHORE COMPONENT IS KEEPING SEAS ON THE LOW SIDE CLOSE TO SHORE...
AND HAVE EVEN DROPPED OFF TO 8-10FT WELL AWAY FROM THE COAST AFTER
PEAKING AROUND 14FT EARLY THIS MORNING. WITH WINDS REMAINING RIGHT
AT THE CUSP OF SCA...WILL MAINTAIN WORDING FOR WINDS INCREASING
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CONDS TO ONLY GET WORSE BEHIND EARLY MORNING FROPA.
WITH STRONG COLD ADVECTION...VERY GUSTY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE OCCURRING OFFSHORE.

&&

.CLIMATE...

RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY MORNING FEBRUARY 5TH...

            LOCATION        RECORD  YEAR
            DAYTONA BEACH   26F     1996
            ORLANDO INTL   26F     1996
            MELBOURNE       29F     1996
            VERO BEACH      30F     1996

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN
     LAKE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     HARD FREEZE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-
     SOUTHERN LAKE.

     FREEZE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING
     FOR INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-
     MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM THURSDAY FROM FLAGLER BEACH
     TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM THURSDAY FROM FLAGLER BEACH
     TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

CRISTALDI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
445 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-041100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
445 PM EST TUE FEB 3 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 30S AREAWIDE TONIGHT BUT
REMAIN ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL
PRODUCE WIND CHILLS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S ACROSS NORTHERN LAKE
AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES...TO THE MID 30S IN MARTIN COUNTY.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT BEHIND
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL PASS THROUGH CENTRAL FLORIDA. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BOTH THE NEAR SHORE AND
OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A HARD FREEZE
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...AND A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE REST OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF WIDESPREAD
FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL PRODUCE HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WITH STRONG WINDS WILL PRODUCE A HIGH FIRE
DANGER WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

KELLY/CRISTALDI