Red Flag Warning 53, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 290955
RFWMLB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
455 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

FLZ041-291100-
/O.CAN.KMLB.FW.W.0053.091229T1700Z-091229T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-
455 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS CANCELLED THE RED
FLAG WARNING. MIN RHS ARE EXPECTED BETWEEN 30 AND 35 PERCENT FOR
LESS THAN FOUR HOURS.

$$

FLZ058-292200-
/O.EXA.KMLB.FW.W.0053.091229T1700Z-091229T2200Z/
OKEECHOBEE-
455 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL EXIST OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
FOR FOUR HOURS OR MORE OVER THE INTERIOR OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH WILL
SHIFT TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. 

&&

$$

FLZ044>046-053-144-292200-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0053.091229T1700Z-091229T2200Z/
NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-SOUTHERN LAKE-
455 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 5 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON. 

A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL EXIST OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA
TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS
FOR FOUR HOURS OR MORE OVER THE INTERIOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY.

&&

$$
15

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
131 PM EST MON DEC 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
...COLDER TEMPS TONIGHT WITH WIND CHILL VALUES NEAR TO BELOW
FREEZING...
...ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER THREAT TUESDAY AFTERNOON OVER MAINLY NORTH
AND WEST OF ORLANDO...

TONIGHT...A SURGE OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT WITH NW WINDS REMAINING AROUND 10 MPH OVER MOST
LOCATIONS. TEMPS WILL BE MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S
OVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR...EXCEPT UPPER 30S OVER MORE URBAN AREAS
INCLUDING ORLANDO AND KISSIMMEE. NORMALLY COLDER/WIND SHELTERED
LOCATIONS OVER LAKE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTY WILL SEE MIN TEMPS
NEAR FREEZING WITH PATCHY FROST POSSIBLE. ALONG THE COAST FROM
BREVARD COUNTY TO THE TREASURE COAST LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
30S/AROUND 40...EXCEPT OVER MARTIN COUNTY WHICH WILL HAVE VALUES
IN THE LOW 40S. COLDER TEMPS COMBINED WITH THE ELEVATED WINDS
WILL GENERATE EVEN COLDER WIND CHILL VALUES FROM THE UPPER 20S
OVER THE NORTHERN LAKE AND VOLUSIA TO LOW 30S TOWARDS OKEECHOBEE
AND SAINT LUCIE COUNTIES. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT
LATE TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TUES.

TUESDAY...EXPECT WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY/SUNNY WEATHER.
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 50S OVER LAKE AND NRN VOLUSIA
COUNTIES TO MID 60S ALONG THE TREASURE COAST. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO
VEER TO THE N/NE AND REMAIN NEAR TO AROUND 10 MPH.

TUE NIGHT...HIGH CENTER FORECAST TO BECOME SITUATED OVER THE MID
ATLC SEABOARD BY DAYBREAK WED. RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL BE
MITIGATED BY DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AT THE COAST AND
RATHER STOUT 10 TO 15 KT WINDS @ H925 BY TUE EVENING. TEMPS ABOVE
40 ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA WITH SOME COLDER READINGS IN THE UPR
30S ONLY WEST OF INTERSTATE FOUR.

MODIFIED PREV DISC...
WED-THU...DEVELOPING SFC LOW OVER THE WRN GULF WED FCST TO MOVE
TWD THE FL PANHANDLE BY THU MORNING AND RIDE NE THROUGH THE DAY
PULLING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE PANHANDLE LATE THU. CURRENT FCST
LIS/CAPE LOOK MARGINAL FOR THUNDER BUT WILL KEEP A SMALL WINDOW
MAINLY THU AFTN INTO EARLY EVENING AS PREFRONTAL MOISTURE
APPROACHES THE AREA AHEAD OF THE FRONT. LATER THU NIGHT...NRN
STREAM TROUGH AND DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NE U.S. COAST
HELP DRIVE SOME A DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS THE NRN PENINSULA BY
MORNING. HIGHS WILL BE WARM THU IN THE 75-80 DEG RANGE...AND IN
THE 50S THU NIGHT.

FRI-MON...A DEEP MID-UPR CLOSED LOW WILL SET UP OVER THE NE US
THIS WEEKEND WITH A DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND FRI NIGHT.
THIS WILL ALLOW FAIRLY STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION (GUSTY NORTHWEST
WINDS) ACROSS THE PENINSULA FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THE COLD
FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE SRN
PENINSULA FRI AFTN WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN ITS WAKE FOR
FRI NIGHT-SAT NIGHT. HIGHS WILL BE ONLY BE IN THE 50S SATURDAY AND
MUCH OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY WITH LOWS 35-40 FRI NIGHT AND IN THE
30S SAT NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. COLD WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED
FRI/SAT NIGHTS AND THEN NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR NRN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA SAT AND SUN NIGHTS. THE BELOW NORMAL TEMPS
SHOULD EXTEND INTO NEXT MONDAY AS THE SFC HIGH DRAWS CLOSER TO THE
PENINSULA.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. GUSTY NW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE TONIGHT TO AROUND
10 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...
NW WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE TO AROUND 20 KTS OFFSHORE
TONIGHT AS SURGE OF DRIER/COLDER AIR CONTINUES TO BUILD DOWN OVER
THE AREA. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH TUES AS THEY VEER
TO THE N/NE TO AROUND 10-15 KTS LATE IN THE AFT. ELEVATED
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BUILD SEAS TO 7-9 FT OFFSHORE WITH SCA
REMAINING IN EFFECT FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS. NEARSHORE SMALL CRAFT
WILL STILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION WITH WIND SPEEDS AROUND 15-20
KTS AND SEAS 4-6 FT TONIGHT. OVER THE SOUTHERN NEARSHORE WATERS 7
FT SEAS BEGIN TO BUILD IN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUES SO A SCA WILL
BE WARRANTED OVER THE AREA AS WELL.

MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AT MIDWEEK WITH DIMINISHED WINDS.
ANOTHER FRONT APROACHING ALTE THURSDAY OR EARLY FRIDAY WILL BUILD
WINDS AND SEAS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
THE DRIER AND COLDER AIRMASS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN TONIGHT
WILL CREATE LOWER RH VALUES TOMORROW AFT...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NRN
INTERIOR FROM INT VOLUSIA TO NW OSCEOLA COUNTY. RH VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE UPPER 20/LOW 30S OVER THIS AREA FOR 4-5 HOURS. A RED FLAG
WARNING WILL NOW BE IN EFFECT FOR THIS REGION DURING THE AFT HOURS
TUES. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS
WEEK BEHIND THE NEXT FRONT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  36  59  43  68 /   0   0  10  10
MCO  39  61  43  72 /   0   0  10  10
MLB  41  62  48  72 /   0   0  10  10
VRB  41  64  49  73 /   0   0  10  10
LEE  35  59  41  70 /   0   0  10  10
SFB  37  61  43  72 /   0   0  10  10
ORL  40  61  46  71 /   0   0  10  10
FPR  41  64  49  73 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EST TUESDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 5 PM EST TUESDAY FOR INLAND
     VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-NORTHWEST OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-
     SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST TUESDAY FOR WATERS FROM
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY FOR COASTAL
     WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM.

&&

SHORT TERM...WEITLICH
LONG TERM....PENDERGRAST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
523 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-282200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
523 AM EST MON DEC 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AS REINFORCING COLDER AIR OVERSPREADS THE AREA. WINDS
MAY GUST 25 TO 30 MPH ACROSS LAKE...VOLUSIA...SEMINOLE...ORANGE...
OSCEOLA AND BREVARD COUNTIES.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE MID AND UPPER 30S
ACROSS MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TONIGHT. NORMALLY COLDER
LOCATIONS IN LAKE AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES MAY APPROACH FREEZING.
ALONG THE TREASURE COAST TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. IN ADDITION...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WILL
PRODUCE COLD WIND CHILL VALUES RANGING FROM THE UPPER 20S TO THE
LOWER 30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. A WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS LIKELY
TO BE ISSUED LATER TODAY. PATCHY FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE IN WIND
PROTECTED AREAS.

IF USING A SPACE HEATER...MAKE SURE TO KEEP ALL FLAMMABLE
MATERIALS SUCH AS BLANKETS...PILLOWS AND CURTAINS WELL AWAY FROM
THE HEATING ELEMENT. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONSIDER BRINGING COLD
SENSITIVE PLANTS INDOORS TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
A MODERATE LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELL WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY. ALWAYS
SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 20 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE TONIGHT OVER THE OFFSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS.
SEAS WILL RESPOND BY BUILDING TO 6 TO 9 FEET. A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER
THE NEARSHORE ATLANTIC WATERS FOR WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
KNOTS AND FOR HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS NEAR INLETS POSED BY A MODERATE
LONG PERIOD INCOMING SWELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY FALL TO NEAR CRITICAL LEVELS
ACROSS PORTIONS OF INTERIOR COUNTIES TUESDAY.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MUCH COLDER AIR IS FORECAST TO OVERSPREAD EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
NEXT WEEKEND. FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF ORLANDO
SUNDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

KELLY