Red Flag Warning 27, NWS Melbourne, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 020754
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
254 AM EST MON MAR 2 2009

...NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND A RECENT COLD FRONT WILL BRING A VERY 
DRY AIRMASS TO CENTRAL FLORIDA TODAY WITH SIMILAR DRY CONDITIONS
CONTINUING ON TUESDAY.

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-022300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0027.090302T1700Z-090302T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.A.0021.090303T1600Z-090303T2200Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
254 AM EST MON MAR 2 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURATIONS OF 4 HOURS OR MORE WILL RESULT IN
FIRE CONTROL PROBLEMS TODAY. WINDS WILL ALSO BE RELATIVELY STRONG
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL STRONGER GUSTS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL PROMOTE THE RAPID
SPREAD OF ANY NEW OR ONGOING FIRES.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-022300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0027.090302T1700Z-090302T2300Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
254 AM EST MON MAR 2 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY DURATIONS OF 4 HOURS OR MORE WILL RESULT IN
FIRE CONTROL PROBLEMS TODAY. WINDS WILL ALSO BE RELATIVELY STRONG
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL STRONGER GUSTS.

$$

SEDLOCK

000 
WWUS82 KMLB 021925
RFWMLB

RED FLAG WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
225 PM EST MON MAR 2 2009

FLZ041-044>046-053-058-144-032300-
/O.UPG.KMLB.FW.A.0021.090303T1600Z-090303T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KMLB.FW.W.0028.090303T1600Z-090303T2300Z/
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-090302T2300Z/
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-OSCEOLA-OKEECHOBEE-
SOUTHERN LAKE-
225 PM EST MON MAR 2 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. 

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING NORTH OF THE AREA ON TUESDAY WILL KEEP
A DRY NORTHERLY FLOW OVER THE INTERIOR. MINIMUM RHS ARE EXPECTED
TO DROP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT...WITH LONG DURATIONS OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY EXPECTED BELOW 35 PERCENT.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS... AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAY CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

FLZ047-054-059-064-141-147-022300-
/O.CON.KMLB.FW.W.0027.000000T0000Z-090302T2300Z/
SOUTHERN BREVARD-INDIAN RIVER-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
NORTHERN BREVARD-
225 PM EST MON MAR 2 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 25 AND 35 PERCENT
THIS AFTERNOON FOR AROUND FOUR HOURS.

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS... AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...MAY CREATE EXPLOSIVE
FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
150 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

...GUSTY WINDS...COLD TEMPS AND LOW WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT BEHIND A
COLD FRONT...
...MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN HAZARDOUS ON AREA LAKES AND THE ATLC
WATERS..

.DISCUSSION...

CURRENTLY...COLD FRONT IS CLEARING MARTIN COUNTY EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON WITH 1 PM TEMPS RANGING FROM 50 DEGS AT TITUVILLE TO 82 AT
STUART. SKIES WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR ACROSS NRN SECTIONS THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON WITH GRADUAL CLEARING ACROSS SRN SECTIONS INTO THE LATE
AFTERNOON HOURS. LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 6 PM WITH
SUSTAINED WEST WINDS 20-25 MPH AND GUSTS AS HIGHEST AT 35-40 MPH

TONIGHT...STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH W WINDS BECOMING NW
OVERNIGHT. BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE AFTER SUNSET WITH NW
WINDS 10-15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER 30S TO
AROUND 40 OVER MUCH OF E CENTRAL FL WITH SOME MID 30S ACROSS FAR NRN
SECTIONS IN NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS. THE COMBINATION OF THE NW WINDS
AND COLD TEMPERATUERES WILL ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO DROP INTO THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 30S DURING THE LATE NIGHT HOURS AND WILL RAISE A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY FOR ALL OF E CENTRAL FL EXCEPT MARTIN COUNTY WITH
LOWEST WIND CHILLS IN THE MID 30S.

MONDAY...LOW LEVEL COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES ON MONDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS UP THE ERN SEABOARD AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS TWD THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST. AFTER A COLD START...HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO
REACH 60 ACROSS THE FAR NORTH AND MID-UPR 60S ACROSS OKEECHOBEE AND
MARTIN COUNTIES. NW WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT...DEEPENING LOW OFF THE DELMARVA WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
NORTHEAST. P-GRAD WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN BUT WITH SFC RIDGE STILL WELL
TO THE NW OVER THE UPPER MISS VLY COLD ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE.
GUIDANCE VALUES HAVE COME IN A BIT LOWER THAN PREVIOUS...AND HAVE
LARGELY FOLLOWED. MOST AREAS WILL HAVE TEMPS IN THE 30S BY TUE
MORNING AND EXPECT SOME FREEZING TEMPS POSSIBLE IN USUAL COLDER
LOCATIONS NORTH AND WEST OF I 4. GRADIENT WINDS SHOULD PREVENT TEMPS
FROM COMPLETELY BOTTOMING TO FCST DEW PTS. REGARDLESS IT WILL BE A
VERY COLD NIGHT FOR MARCH.

TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...AS EAST COAST UPPER TROF LIFTS AND SLIDES
OFF THE COAST SFC RIDGE MOVES INTO THE SE US. COLD ADVECTION SHUTS
DOWN AND BY LATE IN THE DAY LOW LEVEL FLOW DEVELOPS A SLIGHT ONSHORE
COMPONENT. STILL...TUESDAY WILL HAVE SIMILAR TEMPS AS MONDAY DUE TO
SUCH A COLD START. TUESDAY NIGHT WILL AGAIN BE UNSEASONABLY COLD
WITH SOME MODIFICATIONS TO THE AIRMASS TAKING PLACE ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE TREASURE COAST. NORTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS WILL HAVE MINS
SIMILAR TO MONDAY NIGHT BUT WITH PROTECTED RURAL AREAS HAVING THE
COLDEST READINGS AS GRADIENT WIND SPEEDS DROPS OFF AND MORE OF A
NIGHTTIME DRAINAGE FLOW SETS UP.

WEDNESDAY...AIRAMSS WILL MODIFY ACROSS ENTIRE AREA AS RIDGE SLIDES
OFF THE GA COAST AND WIND FLOW BECOMES NE. TEMPS WILL CLIMB 5 TO 6
DEGREES HIGHER THAN PREV DAYS...BUT WILL STILL BE 3 OR 4 DEGREES BLO
CLIMO.

THU-SUN...MID/UPR RIDGE WILL SLOWLY BUILD EWD FROM THE GOMEX AND
OVER FL INTO NEXT WEEKEND...WITH SFC HIGH PRES RIDGE SAGGING SWD
ACROSS FL AND REMAINING THERE INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THIS WILL CONTINUE
STRETCH OF DRY WX WITH TEMPS MODERATING BACK TO CLIMO (L50S/M-U70S)
BY THU...AND EVENTUALLY ABOVE FROM FRI THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...GUSTY W/WNW WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 00Z WITH GUSTS
TO 30-35 KNOTS AT AREA TERMINALS. GUSTS WILL DECREASE THIS EVENING
TO 20-25 KNOTS AND AROUND 20 KTS AFT 06Z. SKIES EXPECTED TO BECOME
CLR-SCT THIS EVENING...THOUGH SOME MARINE STRATOCU OFF THE GULF MAY
AFFECT KLEE WITH SOME BRIEF VFR BKN CIGS OVERNIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES INTO MONDAY MORNING WITH W
WINDS 20-30 KNOTS BECOMING NW OVERNIGHT. WINDS SHOULD DECREASE TO
15-20 KNOTS OFFSHORE ON MONDAY BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED IN THE
GULF STREAM. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT ON THE OPEN ATLANTIC WATERS OVERNIGHT. RECREATIONAL SMALL
CRAFT OPERATORS MAY WANT TO POSTPONE TRIPS TO THE OFFSHORE AND GULF
STREAM WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...A VERY DRY AIRMASS AND NW WINDS TO 10-15 MPH ON
MONDAY WILL SPELL LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH BELOW 35 PERCENT SO HAVE
UPGRADED FIRE WX WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING MONDAY AFTERNOON.

TUESDAY...DRY AND COLD AIR FULLY IN PLACE. DESPITE A COLD START TO
THE DAY...DEWPOINTS NEAR 30 WILL ALLOW RH DURATION VALUES TO BE MET
AT LEAST OVER THE INTERIOR. FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF THE INTERIOR. REFINEMENT OF THE WATCH AREA MAY NEED TO BE
MADE AS ONSHORE FLOW MAY ONLY DEVELOP LATE IN THE DAY AND EFFECT
ONLY THE VERY NEAR COASTAL AREAS WITH HIGHER MOISTURE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  38  59  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  40  63  37  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  41  64  37  62 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  42  64  38  64 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 12 PM TO 6 PM EST MONDAY FOR COASTAL
     VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD-
     NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM EST MONDAY
     FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA-INDIAN RIVER-INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN
     BREVARD-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-
     SOUTHERN BREVARD-SOUTHERN LAKE-ST. LUCIE.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-OKEECHOBEE-
     ORANGE-OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST MONDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
     FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE OUT 20 NM-
     COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20
     NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO
     SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
     WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET
     20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

VOLKMER/BLOTTMAN

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1130 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-012145-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
1130 AM EST SUN MAR 1 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE TREASURE COAST THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A LIGHTNING STORM. THE FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH BY LATE AFTERNOON ENDING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES.

...HIGH WIND IMPACT...
GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT TO 20 TO 25
MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY
WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THROUGH 6 PM THIS EVENING. BOATERS
SHOULD USE CAUTION ON LARGER INLAND LAKES...ESPECIALLY WITH SMALL
CRAFT UNDER SAIL. MOTORISTS IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES SHOULD KEEP A
FIRM GRIP ON THE WHEEL...TO STAY IN YOUR LANE. THOSE WITH OUTDOOR
UMBRELLAS OR LIGHT LAWN FURNITURE EXPOSED TO THE WIND MAY WANT TO
MOVE THEM TO A WIND PROTECTED AREA.

...EXCESSIVE COLD IMPACT...
WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL USHER IN UNSEASONABLY
COLD AND DRIER AIR THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S LATE TONIGHT ALONG
AND NORTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR. SOUTHWARD FROM HERE TEMPERATURES
WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. SUSTAINED WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT WILL CREATE WIND
CHILL READINGS LATE OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY MORNING IN THE
UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 DEGREES ACROSS NORTH LAKE AND NORTH VOLUSIA
COUNTIES. ACROSS OKEECHOBEE COUNTY AND THE TREASURE COAST...WIND
CHILL READINGS INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 30S WILL BE COMMON.

...MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
FAST MOVING SHOWERS WILL MOVE OFF OF THE EAST COAST INTO THE
INTRACOASTAL WATERS AND ATLANTIC WATERS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A
FEW STRONGER CELLS MAY CONTAIN WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO 45 KNOTS.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
MARINE CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY THIS AFTERNOON AS A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA ATLANTIC WATERS.
WEST WINDS WILL BECOME SUSTAINED 20 KNOTS NEAR SHORE AND 25 TO 30
KNOTS OFFSHORE. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL BE FELT OVER
OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD AWAY FROM THE
COAST TO 7 TO 8 FEET AND HIGHER IN THE GULF STREAM BY TONIGHT.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
STRONG AND GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL POSE A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE INTO MONDAY.

MUCH COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

AN ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST BOTH MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AREAWIDE AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES MAY REACH CRITICAL
LEVELS. GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY MONDAY. SIMILAR
LOW RH CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE ACROSS THE INTERIOR INTO WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

VOLKMER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
948 AM EST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0928 AM     TSTM WND GST     SANFORD                 28.79N 81.28W
03/01/2009  M45 MPH          SEMINOLE           FL   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            39 KNOTS FROM 270 DEGREES. ANOTHER GUST TO 36 KNOTS, 41
            MPH AT LEESBURG AIRPORT FROM 280 DEGREES AT 0911 EST.

&&

MRT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1103 AM EST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1025 AM     TSTM WND GST     CAPE CANAVERAL          28.39N 80.60W
03/01/2009  M43 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            USAF WIND TOWER AT 51 FEET

&&

MRT