Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
842 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009

.DISCUSSION...

AIR MASS OVER AREA A LITTLE DRIER IN THE LOWER LEVELS THIS MORNING
AS DISPLAYED ON XMR MORNING SOUNDING WITH PWATS DOWN TO 0.67 INCH.
LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW WILL PUSH CU ONSHORE...ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN
SECTIONS BUT OVERALL LESS CLOUD COVER THAN OCCURRED ON WED WITH
PRESENCE OF THE DRIER AIR.  MAX TEMPS REACHING MID 70S...EXCEPT
IMMEDIATE COASTAL SECTIONS FROM BREVARD NORTHWARD WHERE ONSHORE
BREEZES AND COOL SURF TEMPS WILL HOLD MAXES IN THE LOWER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR.
&&

.MARINE...NO SIG CHANGES WITH LATE MORNING CWF PACKAGE.
(PREVIOUS) HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO OUR NORTH WILL CONTINUE AN
EASTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE WATERS THRU TONIGHT. PRES GRAD LOOKS A
LITTLE TIGHTER ACROSS SOUTHERN WATERS SO EXPECT SLIGHTLY STRONGER
WINDS...AROUND 15 KNOTS...ALG AND OFFSHORE THE TREASURE COAST. SEAS
3-4 FT NEARSHORE AND 4-5 FT OFFSHORE. NO CAUTION HEADLINES BUT CONDS
NOT IDEAL FOR SMALL CRAFT.

MARINE CONDITIONS DETERIORATE FROM SCEC OFFSHORE LEGS ON SUN...TO
SCA WITH SEAS TO 7 FEET OFFSHORE LEGS POST FRONTAL SUN NITE THRU TUE
MORN. NW WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS NEARSHORE LEGS AND 20 KNOTS OFFSHORE
LEGS SUN NITE/MON AND IN OPPOSITION TO GULF STREAM.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...(PREVIOUS) EAST WINDS HAVE ACTUALLY ADVECTED IN
DRIER AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. AS A RESULT...
EXPECT A MORE FIRE SENSITIVE DAY ESP ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS WITH
MIN RH VALUES NEAR 35 PERCENT AND WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH WITH A FEW
HIGHER GUSTS POSS. MIN RH VALUES NEAR THE COAST WILL REMAIN ABOVE 40
PERCENT BUT WINDS WILL BE A BIT STRONGER. ALTHOUGH NO RED FLAG
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED...POTENTIAL IS HIGHER TODAY FOR ANY NEW OR
ONGOING FIRES TO SPREAD MORE RAPIDLY. HAVE DRAWN A MODERATE THREAT
IN THE GRAPHICAL HWO.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.

&&

GLITTO/SPRATT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
455 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-262200-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
455 AM EST THU FEB 26 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WEATHER AND OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES. IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...SWIM
PARALLEL TO THE BEACH UNTIL OUT OF THE PULL OF THE CURRENT...AND
THEN SWIM BACK TO SHORE. ALWAYS SWIM WITHIN SIGHT OF A LIFEGUARD.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND A CONTINUED HIGH DROUGHT INDEX WILL
POSE A MODERATE FIRE DANGER ACROSS INTERIOR COUNTIES TODAY.
ALTHOUGH HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE HIGHER CLOSER TO THE COAST...
WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND CAPABLE OF RAPIDLY SPREADING ANY NEW OR
EXISTING FIRES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE WEEKEND. MARINE CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO DETERIORATE THIS
WEEKEND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT FORECAST TO SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA
SUNDAY. HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

KELLY