Coastal Flood Statement 3, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH AND CENTERED OVER THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES WILL KEEP A EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL
BECOME BREEZY ALONG MUCH OF THE COAST UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON WHILE FARTHER INLAND WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 15
MPH. SATELLITE SHOWING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES OVER THE AREA THIS
MORNING. SHOULD EVENTUALLY SEE SOME SCT CU DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
MAKING FOR PARTLY SUNNY SKIES. DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD IN
FROM THE EAST KEEPING THE AREA PRECIP FREE. COULD SEE A FEW LIGHT
SPRINKLES DEVELOP OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND MOVE ONSHORE ALONG
THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON BUT THEY WILL BE VERY ISOLATED SO WILL
KEEP POPS OUT OF THE FORECAST. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MID 70S ALONG
THE COAST WITH UPPER 70S/NEAR 80 INLAND. NO CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE
CURRENT FORECAST AS FORECAST PRODUCTS LOOK ON TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. E/SE
WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE COAST
WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15-20 KTS AND GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHANGES NEEDED TO CURRENT MARINE FORECAST. SCEC
HEADLINES WILL CONTINUE FOR SEAS UP TO 6 FT FOR ALL OF THE COASTAL
WATERS EXCEPT FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OFF OF VOLUSIA COUNTY. E/SE
WINDS WILL BE AROUND 15 KTS TODAY WITH 15-20 KTS OVER THE SOUTHERN
OFFSHORE WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NORTHERN INTERIOR SECTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
WILL LIKELY SEE NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS TODAY WITH MIN RH AROUND
35 TO 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AND SFC WINDS INCREASING UP TO 15
MPH. ALONG THE COAST ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP RH VALUES ABOVE
CRITICAL LEVELS HOWEVER WINDS WILL BE MORE BREEZY AROUND 15 TO 20
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR NORTHERN
INTERIOR COUNTIES...ESPECIALLY THOSE AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF I-4
FOR ANY POSSIBLE SHORT FUSE RED FLAG WARNINGS FOR THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

WEITLICH/VOLKMER

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
502 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2009

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-242100-
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE
OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN
INLET OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO
60 NM OFFSHORE-
WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE-
INLAND VOLUSIA-NORTHERN LAKE-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-COASTAL VOLUSIA-
SOUTHERN LAKE-NORTHERN BREVARD-
502 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
WEATHER AND OCEAN CONDITIONS WILL PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES.

A RIP CURRENT IS A NARROW CHANNEL OF WATER FLOWING RAPIDLY
OUTWARD FROM THE SURF ZONE WHICH CAN CARRY EVEN THE STRONGEST
SWIMMERS INTO DEEP WATER. IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT...REMAIN CALM
AND SIGNAL FOR HELP. SWIM PARALLEL TO THE COAST UNTIL THE PULL
OF THE CURRENT SUBSIDES...THEN RETURN TO SHORE. DO NOT TRY TO SWIM
BACK TO SHORE AGAINST THE CURRENT SINCE THIS WILL CAUSE EXHAUSTION
WHICH IS WHAT CAUSES MOST RIP CURRENT DROWNINGS. FOR ADDITIONAL
SAFETY...SWIM ONLY AT BEACHES WHERE LIFEGUARDS ARE PRESENT AND
NEVER SWIM ALONE.

...WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR OFFSHORE WATERS AND
OVER THE SOUTHERN NEAR SHORE LEGS. EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN
TO 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THESE AREAS WITH SEAS 5 TO 6 FEET COMBINING
FOR LESS THAN IDEAL SMALL CRAFT BOATING CONDITIONS.

...FIRE WEATHER IMPACT...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND EAST WINDS WILL PRODUCE A MODERATE FIRE
DANGER ACROSS LAKE COUNTY AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF VOLUSIA AND
ORANGE COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. A LOWER FIRE DANGER EXISTS TOWARD
THE EAST COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN HAZARDOUS FOR SMALL CRAFT
MUCH OF THIS WEEK. A LARGE LONG PERIOD NORTHEAST SWELL IS FORECAST
TO IMPACT THE SURF ZONE BEGINNING THURSDAY AND ENHANCE THE RIP
CURRENT THREAT LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

SEDLOCK