Tornado Warning 16, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

000 
WWUS52 KMHX 072136
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
536 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

NCC061-072200-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090507T2200Z/
DUPLIN NC-
536 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR DUPLIN
COUNTY...

AT 535 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WALLACE...MOVING 
EAST AT 30 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

&&

LAT...LON 3471 7799 3472 7801 3472 7807 3480 7808
      3484 7781 3471 7778
TIME...MOT...LOC 2136Z 262DEG 26KT 3475 7797

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
332 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONT WILL LINGER WEST OVER CENTRAL NC AND WILL DISSIPATE FRIDAY.
ANOTHER FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA SATURDAY AND MOVE OFFSHORE
SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL LINGER OFFSHORE THROUGH MONDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WILL REMAIN OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. A FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE
THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
LN OF STORMS HAS MV OFFSHORE THIS EARLY AFTN. SW LO LVL FLO UNDR
CLRG SKIES. QUESTION IS...HAS THE AMS BEEN WORKED OVR ENUF TO SPPRS
ANY FURTHER ACTVTY THIS AFTN. WK UPR TROF WL MV THRU WI ANTHR S/WV
TNGT. CUD SEE SUM SHWRS LTR TNGT AS THIS ENERGY SWINGS THRU. WL HV
DCRSG CHCS AFT MIDNGT AS TROF EXITS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
ZNL FLO AT 5H ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVR THE AREA ON FRI. SERIES OF WK
S/WVS WL MV THRU THE FLO INTO THE WKEND. HARD TO KEY ON ANY OF THESE
S/WVS AND TIMING WL BE DIFFICULT TO DETERMINE. GFS/NAM/SREF ALL
FAIRLY DRY IN THE FRI THRU SAT TM PD. HARD TO RULE OUT ANY PCPN IN
THIS TYPE OF PATTERN. WL CARRY SCHC. BEST LUKG S/WV IN MDLS WL BE
FRI AFTN. HI TEMPS WL RMN IN THE 80S FRI AND SAT WI SW LO LVL FLO
CONTG.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
MDLS SHOWG A S/WV MVG THRU THE ZNL FLO WL PUSH A FRNT THRU THE AREA
SAT NGT. FRNT WL BE S OF AREA BY SUN. ANTHR SURGE WL PUSH THRU SUN
AFTN AND NGT. 5H FLO TO BCM MR AMPLIFIED OVR THE ECST MON AND A WV
FRMS ON THE FRNT TO OUR S. CUD SEE SUM OVRRNNG PCPN FRM THIS WV MON
AND MON NGT. HI PRES BOTH AT THE SFC AND ALFT WL BLD IN TUE NGT.
THIS RDG WL MV OFFSHR THU. HI TEMPS IN THE 70S BHND THE FRNT ON MON
WL CLIMB BACK INTO THE LWR 80S BY THU.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 330 PM THURSDAY...EXPECTING DIURNAL STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS TO BEGINNING FIRING WITH CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION OF
THE ATMOSPHERE THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO WEAKEN
LATE EVENING AS ATMOSPHERE STABILIZES. A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT
COULD HELP TO SUSTAIN WEAKER CONVECTION OVERNIGHT BUT NOT
EXPECTING THE COVERAGE LIKE LAST NIGHT. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE A
VFR TAF THROUGH 08Z THEN INDICATE SOME LOW CLOUDS/FOG LATE AS
WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH.

THE ATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE AND SUPPORTIVE OF
MAINLY AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS THROUGH SUNDAY. A FRONT WILL CROSS
THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT WITH LOW PRESSURE FORMING ALONG IT MONDAY
CONTRIBUTING TO A CONTINUED RISK OF SHOWERS OR STORMS. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA TUESDAY WITH DRIER/STABLE AIR.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 330 PM THURSDAY...WILL EXTEND ADVISORIES FOR THE
SOUNDS/NORTHERN WATERS THROUGH MID EVENING BASED ON CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE AFTER WEAK UPPER
DISTURBANCE PASSES. WINDS FOR THE MOST PART SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 20
KT FRIDAY (BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN 4-6 FT SO THE ADVISORIES WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE WATERS SOUTH OF OREGON INLET) THEN BEGIN TO
INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY AS THE NEXT
SHORTWAVE APPROACHES AND INTERACTS WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT TO
THE WEST. THE GFS HAS WINDS TO 30 KT BUT LOOKED TO BE SUFFERING
FROM GRID SCALE FEEDBACK SO WILL CAP WINDS T 25 KT AND SEAS AT 8
FT. WINDS AND WAVES WILL SUBSIDE SUNDAY AS THE FRONT STALLS OVER
THE SOUTHERN WATERS AND THE GRADIENT RELAXES. A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO FORM ALONG THE FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT INTO
MONDAY WITH INCREASING NORTHERLY FLOW TO 15 G 20 KT. WILL FORECAST
SEAS TO 3-5 FT TO COINCIDE WITH THIS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE WATERS ON TUESDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS LESS THAN 4
FT.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR AMZ135-
     150.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR AMZ152-154-156-
     158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CGG
NEAR TERM...CGG
SHORT TERM...CGG
LONG TERM...CGG
AVIATION...JME
MARINE...JME

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
425 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>094-080830-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
425 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS
...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

NCZ095-098-103-104-080830-
CARTERET-ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
425 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS
...HOWEVER AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED
FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS FROM CAPE HATTERAS TO CAPE
LOOKOUT TODAY...WITH A MODERATE RISK FROM DUCK TO CAPE HATTERAS
AND FROM CAPE LOOKOUT TO SURF CITY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.