Storm Warning 6, NWS Medford, OR

227 
WHUS76 KMFR 311625
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
825 AM PST THU DEC 31 2009

PZZ356-010530-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
825 AM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY.

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING TO 30 TO 35 KT THEN
RISE TO 35 TO 45 KT IN THE MID TO LATE MORNING...CONTINUING INTO
THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM CAPE
SEBASTIAN NORTH FROM MID MORNING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING TO 30 KT WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KT.

SEAS CURRENTLY NEAR 10 FEET AT 12 SECONDS WILL QUICKLY RISE TO
15 TO 18 FEET THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 TO 16 FEET TONIGHT...THEN LARGE
WESTERLY SWELL OF 20 TO 23 FEET WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ376-010530-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1800Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
825 AM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SATURDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SATURDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO 35 TO 45 KT WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 50 KT. THESE STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...THEN GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING TO
30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KT.

SEAS CURRENTLY NEAR 10 TO 12 FEET AT 12 SECONDS WILL QUICKLY RISE
TO 16 TO 19 FEET THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 TO 16 FEET TONIGHT...THEN LARGE
WESTERLY SWELL OF 20 TO 23 FEET WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR WIND MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 23 TO
33 KNOTS ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-010530-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
825 AM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SATURDAY...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM PST
SATURDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING TO 35 TO 45 KT WITH
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 KT...WITH STRONG WINDS CONTINUING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE
EVENING TO 30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 35 KT.

SEAS CURRENTLY NEAR 10 TO 12 FEET AT 12 SECONDS WILL QUICKLY RISE
TO 17 TO 20 FEET THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 TO 16 FEET TONIGHT...THEN LARGE
WESTERLY SWELL OF 20 TO 23 FEET WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO ALL
VESSELS. ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

&&

$$

PZZ350-010530-
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
825 AM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
SATURDAY...
...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

A STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING. A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY.

SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE EARLY THIS MORNING TO 30 TO 35 KT THEN
RISE TO 35 TO 45 KT WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 50 KT IN THE MID TO
LATE MORNING...CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING TO 30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
TO 35 KT.

SEAS CURRENTLY NEAR 10 FEET AT 12 SECONDS WILL QUICKLY RISE TO
16 TO 19 FEET THIS MORNING CONTINUING INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE
HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE FROM CAPE ARAGO SOUTH BUT WILL EXTEND ACROSS
THE ENTIRE ZONE BY MID DAY THURSDAY. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND
15 TO 16 FEET TONIGHT...THEN LARGE WESTERLY SWELL OF 20 TO
23 FEET WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY...PERSISTING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A STORM WARNING MEANS THAT CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO ALL
VESSELS. ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALL CRAFT.

&&

$$

407 
WHUS76 KMFR 312337
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
337 PM PST THU DEC 31 2009

PZZ370-011245-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SR.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
337 PM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY...

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4
AM PST FRIDAY. THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4
AM PST SATURDAY.

SOUTH GALES 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF NEW YEARS
DAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA...PARTICULARLY AS ONE NEARS CAPE BLANCO.

VERY STEEP COMBINED SOUTHWEST SEAS OF 17 TO 21 FEET WILL SUBSIDE
ONLY A COUPLE OF FEET OVERNIGHT. STEEP WEST-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL
THEN BUILD AND BECOME DOMINANT DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF NEW
YEARS DAY. COMBINED SOUTHWEST THROUGH WEST SEAS WILL REACH 20 TO
25 FEET ON NEW YEARS DAY...PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ350-011245-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SR.W.0006.000000T0000Z-100101T0300Z/
/O.EXB.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
337 PM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
SATURDAY...

THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4
AM PST FRIDAY. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4
AM PST SATURDAY.

SOUTH GALES 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF NEW YEARS
DAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE
AREA...PARTICULARLY NEAR THROUGH SEVERAL MILES NORTH OF CAPE
BLANCO.

VERY STEEP COMBINED SOUTHWEST SEAS OF 17 TO 21 FEET WILL SUBSIDE
ONLY A COUPLE OF FEET OVERNIGHT. STEEP WEST-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL
THEN BUILD AND BECOME DOMINANT DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF NEW
YEARS DAY. COMBINED SOUTHWEST THROUGH WEST SEAS WILL REACH 18 TO
23 FEET ON NEW YEARS DAY...PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ356-011245-
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
337 PM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST
SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY. A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY.

SOUTH GALES 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF NEW YEARS
DAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST NORTH OF BROOKINGS.

VERY STEEP COMBINED SOUTHWEST SEAS OF 12 TO 17 FEET WILL SUBSIDE
ONLY A COUPLE OF FEET OVERNIGHT. STEEP WEST-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL
THEN BUILD AND BECOME DOMINANT DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF NEW
YEARS DAY. COMBINED SOUTHWEST THROUGH WEST SEAS WILL REACH 17 TO
22 FEET ON NEW YEARS DAY...PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ376-011245-
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-100101T1200Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0050.000000T0000Z-100102T1200Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
337 PM PST THU DEC 31 2009

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY...

THE GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY. THE
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY. 

SOUTH GALES 35 KNOTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OF NEW YEARS
DAY. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST IN THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
AND AS ONE NEARS CAPE BLANCO.

VERY STEEP COMBINED SOUTHWEST SEAS OF 14 TO 17 FEET WILL SUBSIDE
ONLY A COUPLE OF FEET OVERNIGHT. STEEP WEST-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL
THEN BUILD AND BECOME DOMINANT DURING THE MORNING HOURS OF NEW
YEARS DAY. COMBINED SOUTHWEST THROUGH WEST SEAS WILL REACH 17 TO
22 FEET ON NEW YEARS DAY...PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE
IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN
PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL VESSELS
SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR
TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

LUTZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
928 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

.UPDATE...
AN UPDATE TO THE FORECAST HAS BEEN SENT OUT THIS EVENING...THOUGH
NONE OF THE EXISTING HEADLINES HAVE CHANGED NOR WILL THEY BE
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING. A COUPLE MAY BE ADDED FOR
EAST SIDE WIND FOR THURSDAY...HOWEVER.

THE UPDATES WERE TO INCLUDE AREAS OF FOG...WHICH HAS BEEN REPORTED
TO BE LOCALLY DENSE AT TIMES IN SISKIYOU AND JACKSON
COUNTIES...AND ROAD CAMERAS AND TEMPERATURE PROFILES INDICATE THAT
FOG IS ALSO OCCURRING IN THE HAYES HILL AND SEXTON SUMMIT AREAS.
THIS...IN LARGE PART...IS DUE TO THE MELTING LOW ELEVATION SNOW
FROM THE YESTERDAY IN COMBINATION WITH LOW LEVEL STABILITY AND
RISING DEWPOINTS FROM THE SOUTH. EXPECT THAT THIS FOG WILL CONTINUE
TO BE A HINDRANCE UNTIL WINDS AND PRECIPITATION PICK UP EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

OTHER UPDATES WERE TO REFINE THE PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD...AS WELL AS PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS AND SNOW
LEVELS. SNOW LEVELS ARE CURRENTLY BETWEEN 2500 AND 3000 FEET IN
CALIFORNIA AND EAST OF THE CASCADES AND 3000 FEET TO 3500 FEET
WEST OF THE CASCADES. EXPECT LITTLE CHANGE ON THE EAST SIDE...BUT
ON THE WEST SIDE PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO BEGIN AS LIGHT WET
SNOW DOWN TO 2000 TO 2500 FEET FOR AREAS NEAR THE CASCADES AND
SISKIYOUS. ACCUMULATIONS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ABOVE 3000
FEET...HOWEVER.

MODEL GUIDANCE THIS EVENING INDICATES SOME DETAIL CHANGES WITH THE
PRECIPITATION WITH THE STORM SYSTEM. THE PRIMARY DIFFERENCE IS
THAT THE INITIAL MOISTURE SURGE IS EXPECTED TO FOCUS A BIT NORTH
OF PREVIOUS EXPECTATIONS THROUGH MIDDAY THURSDAY. THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH FLOW OVER THE AREA IS
EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. THIS IS LIKELY TO BE
WHEN MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA GETS THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION.
A SECONDARY NORTHWARD SURGE IS EXPECTED UNDER MAINLY SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST FLOW ON FRIDAY. ALL IN WHAT THESE DETAIL CHANGES
GENERALLY AMOUNT TO IS THAT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL STILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...BUT ARE NOT LIKELY TO BE EXCESSIVE FOR AREA STREAMS
AND RIVERS...IN PART BECAUSE SNOW LEVELS ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN AT
OR BELOW 6000 FEET FOR MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION. DUE TO SNOW
DENSITY CHANGES DUE TO TEMPERATURE EXPECT THAT SNOW AMOUNTS ARE
CLOSE...THOUGH TIMING MAY BE A LITTLE OFF. THE NIGHT SHIFT WILL
REFINE FURTHER.

ONE ELEMENT OF THE FORECAST WE WILL BE LOOKING AT THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT IS THE NEED FOR WIND ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS ON THE EAST
SIDE. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WINDS COULD EASILY GUST 40 TO 80 MPH
OVER MUCH OF KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. LUTZ

&&

.AVIATION...
IFR AND LIFR FOG WILL OCCUR ACROSS MOST VALLEYS AWAY FROM THE
COAST AND UMPQUA BASIN AND WEST OF THE WARNER MOUNTAINS TONIGHT
AS MELTING LOW ELEVATION SNOW...RISING DEWPOINTS...AND MARGINAL
STABILITY COMBINE. THIS FOG WILL LIFT AROUND SUNRISE THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING WITH PLENTY OF PRECIPITATION AND TERRAIN
OBSCURATIONS MOVING IN. LUTZ

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 215 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009/

SHORT TERM...A STRONG EAST PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE
REGIONS WEATHER BEGINNING THURSDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT. A STRONG WARM FRONT WILL FIRST MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION DURING THE DAY THURSDAY PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG GUSTY
WINDS ALONG THE COAST AND MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE CASCADES...SISKIYOUS AND INTO PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA. SNOW LEVELS WILL START OUT ON THE LOW SIDE EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN RISE TO ABOVE PASS LEVEL MOST AREAS LATE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. ONE EXCEPTION WOULD BE THE MT SHASTA
REGION...WHERE LOCAL EFFECTS KEEP THE SNOW LEVEL A LITTLE LOWER.
THE COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH INLAND LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY MORNING.

THE 500MB TROUGH WILL MOVE INLAND FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY
WHICH WILL KEEP OUR WEATHER ON THE UNSETTLED SIDE.

LONG TERM...RATHER CHAOTIC FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL PACIFIC WITH
SPLITTING FLOW ALOFT GIVING RISE TO MODEL SOLUTIONS THAT DIFFER RUN
TO RUN. THUS CONFIDENCE IN DETAILS IS LOW BEGINNING SUNDAY. ALL
MODELS AGREE WITH RIDGING AND A BREAK IN THE WEATHER SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM SHOULD APPROACH THE COAST
SUNDAY. THERE ARE LARGE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND
THE GFS. THE GEM FAVORS THE MORE PROGRESSIVE GFS SOLUTION. I HAVE
FOLLOWED THE GFS RAMPING THE POP UP SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY BUT
KEEPING POPS IN THE CHANCE CATEGORY OWING TO THE LARGE DEGREE OF
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EVOLUTION AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM. BEYOND
MONDAY HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO CLIMO POPS AS WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN UNSETTLED WEATHER ACROSS OUR REGION.  FAIRLY
HIGH SNOW LEVELS THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD.

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY FOR
     ORZ029-ORZ030.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM PST THURSDAY FOR ORZ021-
     ORZ022.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY FOR ORZ027-
     ORZ028.

CA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY FOR
     CAZ083-CAZ084.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY FOR CAZ080-
     CAZ082.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TO 7 PM PST THURSDAY FOR CAZ081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS FROM 1 AM TO
     4 AM PST THURSDAY FOR PZZ356.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 4 AM THURSDAY TO 4 AM PST SATURDAY
     FOR PZZ350-PZZ356.
     GALE WARNING FROM 4 AM TO 7 PM PST THURSDAY FOR PZZ350-PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 AM PST THURSDAY
     FOR PZZ350-PZZ356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 1 AM PST THURSDAY FOR
     PZZ370-PZZ376.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING FROM 1 AM THURSDAY TO 10 AM PST SATURDAY
     FOR PZZ370-PZZ376.
     GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 7 PM PST THURSDAY FOR PZZ370-PZZ376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 1 AM PST THURSDAY
     FOR PZZ370-PZZ376.

BTL/SVEN/RH/DDG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

ORZ021-022-311200-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
OREGON.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 7 PM PST
THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER MESSAGE...PDXNPWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ081-311200-
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 7 PM PST THURSDAY.
SEE WEATHER MESSAGE...PDXNPWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ083-ORZ030-311200-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 6
PM PST THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER MESSAGE...PDXWSWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ORZ027-028-311200-
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
OREGON.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST
TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER MESSAGE...PDXWSWMFR...FOR
SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ082-311200-
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 3500
FEET IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER
MESSAGE...PDXWSWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ080-311200-
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000
FEET IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 6 PM PST THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER
MESSAGE...PDXWSWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

CAZ084-ORZ029-311200-
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN-
202 PM PST WED DEC 30 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM PST TO 6
PM PST THURSDAY. SEE WEATHER MESSAGE...PDXWSWMFR...FOR SPECIFIC
DETAILS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SUGDEN