Small Craft Advisory 2, NWS Miami, FL

847 
WHUS72 KMFL 140316
MWWMFL

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1016 PM EST TUE JAN 13 2009

...STRONG WINDS AHEAD AND BEHIND COLD FRONT THIS EVENING WITH
BUILDING SEAS TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

AMZ610-630-GMZ656-657-676-140430-
/O.CAN.KMFL.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-090114T0400Z/
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 
20 TO 60 NM-
1016 PM EST TUE JAN 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY FOR ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS EXPECT FOR THE
GULF STREAM ATLANTIC WATERS.

THE WINDS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS HAVE DECREASE TO 15 TO 20
KNOTS THIS EVENING. THEREFORE...THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN
CANCELLED FOR ALL SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS EXPECT FOR THE GULF STREAM 
ATLANTIC WATERS.

$$

AMZ650-651-670-671-141100-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-090114T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
1016 PM EST TUE JAN 13 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR THE GULF STREAM ATLANTIC WATERS...

NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY OVER THE ATLANTIC WATERS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR THE GULF STREAM SEAS TO BUILD TO 7 FEET TONIGHT AND
REMAIN AT 7 FEET THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THEREFORE...THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR THE
GULF STREAM ATLANTIC WATERS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

BAXTER

763 
WHUS72 KMFL 140910
MWWMFL

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
410 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...ROUGH SEAS TO CONTINUE IN THE GULF STREAM TODAY...

AMZ650-651-670-671-142000-
/O.CON.KMFL.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-090114T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
410 AM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON. 

ALTHOUGH NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE IN THE
GULF STREAM TODAY...SEAS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED AROUND 7 FEET FOR
MUCH OF THE DAY. SEAS SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE BY LATE AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO
SMALL CRAFT ARE EXPECTED. INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE
OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE
CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

319 
WHUS72 KMFL 142015
MWWMFL

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
315 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

AMZ650-651-670-671-142115-
/O.EXP.KMFL.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-090114T2000Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-
315 PM EST WED JAN 14 2009

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED FOR THE GULF STREAM...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF
STREAM...AS THE GULF STREAM SEAS HAVE FALLEN BELOW 7 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON.

$$

BAXTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
347 AM EST TUE JAN 13 2009

.DISCUSSION...

...MUCH COOLER WEATHER ACROSS SOUTH FL TONIGHT THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK...
...ROUGH MARINE CONDITIONS EXPECTED MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS CONSISTENT REGARDING THE EVOLUTION OF
THE LOCAL WEATHER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EASTERN CONUS UPPER TROUGH
CONTINUES TO DIG TODAY AND SEVERAL REINFORCING SHORTWAVES APPEAR
POISED TO DIVE INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK...SENDING SEVERAL COOL SURGES ACROSS SOUTH FL.

FIRST FOR TODAY...SHORTWAVE OVER THE NE GULF EASILY SEEN ON IR SAT
IMAGERY WILL INDUCE WEAK SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT IN THE NE GULF ALONG
WEAK SFC FRONT TO OUR NORTH. SW FLOW WILL DRAG THE FRONT FURTHER
NORTH THIS MORNING LEAVING THE ENTIRE CWA IN A WARM AND SLIGHTLY
MORE HUMID AIRMASS...AND ANY DENSE FOG OVER THE INTERIOR SHOULD MIX
OUT EARLIER THAN YESTERDAY DUE TO STRONGER SW FLOW. MODEL FCST
SOUNDINGS SHOW WARM MID LEVELS BUT NO INVERSION SO AT LEAST SCT
SHOWERS SEEM TO BE A GOOD BET JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE...WITH A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE EASTERN METRO AREAS WHERE
CONVERGENCE MAY BE ENHANCED DUE TO FRICTIONAL EFFECTS. SW FLOW WILL
BE GUSTY BY LATE MORNING AND IF ENOUGH SUN CAN BREAK THROUGH ANY
SHOWERS TEMPS COULD REACH THE MID 80S ACROSS THE EASTERN METRO
AREAS. UPPER ENERGY AND COLD FRONT SWING THROUGH SOUTH FL BY EARLY
EVENING WITH CLEARING AND A COOLER AIRMASS MOVING IN TONIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE 40S NW INTERIOR TO 50S ELSEWHERE.

SEVERAL COOL CHUNKS OF SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVE SOUTH TOWARDS THE SE
CONUS WED-SAT KEEPING COOLER AIR IN PLACE. LOWS THIS PERIOD WILL DIP
WELL INTO THE 30S ACROSS THE NW INTERIOR TO THE 40S AT NAPLES AND
GENERALLY UPPER 40S TO LOWER 50S ACROSS THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS.
FRIDAY CONTINUES TO APPEAR TO BE THE COLDEST MORNING AND TEMPS COULD
DROP TO NEAR FREEZING IN THE NORMALLY COLDER AREAS OF
GLADES...HENDRY AND INLAND COLLIER COUNTIES...THOUGH CIRRUS
INDICATED BY THE MODELS COULD LIMIT THE LOWER BOUND FOR TEMPS. SOME
FROST MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THESE NORMALLY COLDER SHELTERED
AREAS AS WELL IF IT DOES NOT FREEZE. ELSEWHERE WINDS COULD BE BREEZY
MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH WIND CHILLS IN THE 30S POSSIBLE IN NAPLES
AND 40S IN THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS. HIGH TEMPS THIS PERIOD
WILL RUN 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL DESPITE THE SUNSHINE. LATE
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND SFC HIGH WILL SLIDE SLOWLY EAST OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST BRINGING STRONG NE FLOW BACK ACROSS SOUTH FL. THIS
SHOULD BRING SOME MODERATION IN LOW TEMPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
THOUGH THIS COULD BE OFFSET BY LIKELY LAND BREEZES AT NIGHT...AND
TEMPS WILL STILL RUN SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL. THERE COULD ALSO BE
SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS AND THE CHANCES FOR LIGHT SHOWERS AS
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT LEADS BRINGS MORE MOISTURE IN OFF THE
ATLC. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS INDICATES SW FLOW REDEVELOPING
BRIEFLY AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH/COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY BEFORE THE
NEXT FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.MARINE...
GUSTY SW WINDS 15-20KTS TODAY WILL SHIFT NW-N AT NEAR 20KTS THIS
EVENING WITH A QUICK SPIKE IN SEAS TO 7FT WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE WINDS
WEAKEN WED AFTERNOON. N-NE WINDS OF 20-25KTS APPEAR LIKELY TO
PERSIST THURSDAY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THEN WEAKENING
TO 15-20KTS FOR MUCH OF THE REST OF THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. THIS WILL
LEAD TO A LONG PERIOD OF SEAS OVER 6FT IN THE ATLC AND ROUGH MARINE
CONDITIONS ON ALL LOCAL WATERS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
A DRIER AIRMASS WILL OVERSPREAD SOUTH FL THIS WEEK AS PREVIOUSLY
MENTIONED THE PAST FEW DAYS. IT APPEARS RHS WILL DROP BELOW 35
PERCENT FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD EACH DAY FROM WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY ACROSS
INTERIOR AND WESTERN AREAS. THIS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WX
CONDITIONS AND FORECASTS SHOULD BE MONITORED FOR WATCHES AND/OR
WARNINGS THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  80  51  69  50 / 50 20 0 0
FORT LAUDERDALE  81  57  71  53 / 50 30 0 0
MIAMI            83  58  72  54 / 50 30 0 0
NAPLES           73  53  68  46 / 50 20 0 0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR FLZ063-FLZ066-
     FLZ067-FLZ070-FLZ071-FLZ073.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 PM EST
     WEDNESDAY FOR AMZ650-AMZ651-AMZ670-AMZ671.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR AMZ610-AMZ630.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR GMZ656-GMZ657-GMZ676.

&&

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WX...STRASSBERG
AVIATION...70/DD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
645 PM EST MON JAN 12 2009

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-130900-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
645 PM EST MON JAN 12 2009

...DENSE FOG POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

VISIBILITY: AREAS OF FOG WILL LIKELY DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT
ESPECIALLY ACROSS INTERIOR LOCATIONS AND TOWARD MORNING.
SOME AREAS OF FOG COULD BE DENSE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

A MUCH STRONGER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA
ON TUESDAY NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL
LEAD TO AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST
GULF COAST ON TUESDAY. AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE
RAPIDLY ON TUESDAY NIGHT, MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BEGIN TO
DETERIORATE ON ALL OF THE LOCAL WATERS. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL
PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK, RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION
OF HAZARDOUS SEAS CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY IN THE GULF STREAM. WINDS
WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST, RESULTING IN AN INCREASING THREAT FOR
ATLANTIC COAST RIP CURRENTS BY LATE NEXT WEEKEND.

BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY MORNING, APPARENT TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM 40 TO 45 DEGREES FOR ALL INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTH FLORIDA.
APPARENT TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE 30 TO 35 DEGREE
RANGE OVER THE NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN INTERIOR AREAS ON THURSDAY,
FRIDAY, AND SATURDAY MORNINGS, WITH 35 TO 45 DEGREE APPARENT
TEMPERATURES ANTICIPATED ELSEWHERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.