Red Flag Warning 11, NWS Miami, FL

000 
WWUS82 KMFL 062214
RFWMFL

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
514 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT GLADES, HENDRY, AND COLLIER...

FLZ063-066-069-070-062315-
/O.EXP.KMFL.FW.W.0011.000000T0000Z-090206T2200Z/
GLADES-HENDRY-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
514 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS CONTINUE TO RISE ACROSS THE AREA, AND ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN ABOVE 35% FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING.



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
123 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL NEXT 24 HOURS WITH BKN
STRATOCU STREAMING IN FROM THE ATLANTIC AT THE E CST TERMINALS IN
THE NE LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW. THE WIND ALONG THE E CST WILL BE AT
12KT OR SLIGHTLY HIGHER THROUGH 23Z AND THEN DIMINISH TO LESS THAN
12KT PICKING UP ONCE AGAIN AFT 15Z ON SATURDAY. EXPECT MOSTLY SKC
AT KAPF WITH A NE WIND FLOW AS WELL ALTHOUGH AT A LESSER SPEED.

30/KOB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 815 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009/

UPDATE...A QUICK UPDATE TO DISCONTINUE THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR
NORTHWEST INTERIOR. LATEST SFC OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHWEST INTERIOR HAVE BEGUN TO RISE AND SO
HAVE THE WIND CHILLS. REST OF THE FORECAST PACKAGE STILL ON TRACK.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SOUTH FLORIDA TERMINALS THE
REMAINING MORNING HOURS AND AFTERNOON. THE NNW DRAINAGE FLOW OFF
THE EAST COAST WILL HELP TO KEEP STRATOCU OVER THE ATLANTIC JUST
OFF THE COAST DURING THE MORNING HOURS...BUT AS THE FLOW BECOMES
MORE NORTHEASTERLY THIS AFTERNOON OCCASIONAL CEILINGS IN THE 4 TO
6 KFT RANGE ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EAST COAST TERMINALS.

60

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 338 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009/

.OR IN WIND SHELTERED AREAS...TEMPERATURES COULD EASILY FALL TO
WARNING CRITERIA. SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED. WIND CHILLS RUNNING
AREA-WIDE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S FOR THE MOST PART BUT WIND CHILLS
NW INTERIOR LOWER 30S.

DISCUSSION...HIGH PRES OVER THE SE U.S. MOVES INTO THE ATLC OFF SE
GA TODAY AND TEMPS BEGINS TO MODIFY UPWARDS. BUT FOR THIS
MORNING...A WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM FOR THE
NW AND W CENTRAL INTERIOR AND A FREEZE WARNING...THOUGH VERY TENUOUS
AT THE MOMENT...WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT AS WELL (SEE OPENING
PARAGRAPH). LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL VEER NE BY MID MORNING THEN E BY
TONIGHT AND INTO THE WEEKEND. BY MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK...WINDS
GRADUALLY BECOME S AS THE HIGH PRES CONTINUES TO MOVE E. AS THE COLD
AIR FLOWS S OVER THE GULF STREAM ...SOME SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED
WHICH MAY BRUSH THE EXTREME SE COAST THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD ABATE
BY MORNING. AS WINDS SHIFT AND BRING CLOUDS ONTO THE E COAST THAT
ARE OVER THE ATLC...SOME SPITS MAY OCCUR AS WELL ALONG THE E COAST
LATER TODAY BUT NOT PLACED IN ZONES. BESIDES WARMING UP...IT APPEARS
TO REMAIN DRY FOR THE MOST PART THROUGH THE FORECAST THOUGH SOME
VERY MINIMAL E COAST SHOWERS ALWAYS POSSIBLE BUT NOT ENOUGH TO PLACE
IN ZONE PACKAGE AT THIS TIME AS WELL. A NEARLY DRY WEAK COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE THROUGH S FLA NEXT FRI.

MARINE...WINDS CURRENTLY NNW 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVER THE ATLC AND NNE
AROUND 15 KNOTS ELSEWHERE. WINDS GRADUALLY VEER BUT ALSO GRADUALLY
DECREASE. BUT GULF STREAM SEAS STILL REACT TO THE NORTHERLY FLOW
WITH SEAS ABOVE 7 FEET THROUGH TODAY. ADVISORY WILL CONTINUE IN THE
ATLC WATERS OFF OF MIAMI-DADE COUNTY TONIGHT AS WINDS HIGHER OVER N
PART OF FLA STRAITS. CAUTION ADVISED FOR REMAINDER OF ATLC WATERS
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL VEER E SAT BUT CAUTION WILL REMAIN ATLC WATERS.
THE SPECTER OF RIP CURRENTS RISES AGAIN TODAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND ATLC BEACHES.

FIRE WEATHER...APPEARS ENOUGH DEW POINT RECOVERY OCCURS TODAY TO
KEEP SUSTAINED RH ABOVE WARNING CRITERIA. BUT RH COULD FALL BELOW
35% IN GLADES...HENDRY AND E COLLIER COUNTIES FOR 2 TO 3 HOURS. RH
VALUES CONTINUE AN INCREASING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  56  73  57  74 / -  -  -  -
FORT LAUDERDALE  58  74  61  74 / -  -  -  -
MIAMI            57  75  59  75 / -  -  -  -
NAPLES           49  76  53  78 / -  -  -  -

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR AMZ651-
     AMZ671.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AMZ650-
     AMZ670.

GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
529 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-070130-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
529 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2009

...GULF STREAM SEAS TO NEAR 7 FEET TODAY...
...COOLER TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THE COMBINATION OF NORTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND LATE MORNING LOW TIDES WILL RESULT IN A MODERATE RISK OF
RIP CURRENTS ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COAST BEACHES TODAY.

TEMPERATURES: COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL AGAIN TODAY ACROSS
THE REGION, BUT A WARMING TREND WILL OCCUR OVER THE WEEKEND.

WAVES: THE GULF STREAM SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NEAR 7 FEET
TODAY, THAN AS REGIONAL WINDS BEGIN TO BECOME MORE NORTHEASTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON THE SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE
TO SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE HIGH THAT HAS BEEN GENERATING THE VERY COLD TEMPERATURES OVER
SOUTH FLORIDA WILL SHIFT EAST INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC WATERS THIS
WEEKEND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM BACK TO NEAR
NORMAL THIS WEEKEND...AND INCREASE THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE
EAST COAST BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.