Flash Flood Warning 59, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS54 KMEG 250024
FFWMEG
ARC031-055-075-250230-
/O.EXT.KMEG.FF.W.0059.000000T0000Z-090525T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
723 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

* UNTIL 930 PM CDT

* AT 723 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED VERY HEAVY
  RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THREE TO 5 INCHES
  OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS 
  WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
  INCLUDE RAVENDEN...OAK GROVE HEIGHTS...LAFE...IMBODEN...EVENING
  STAR...DELAPLAINE...COLLEGE CITY...BEECH GROVE AND ANNIEVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT FLASH FLOODING ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3623 9136 3626 9125 3623 9124 3624 9122
      3621 9116 3614 9108 3616 9082 3627 9081
      3626 9032 3620 9032 3619 9018 3610 9031
      3600 9038 3599 9029 3571 9029 3571 9104
      3589 9104 3590 9136

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
329 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO
SWIRL AROUND A TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED OVER
EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS. THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM VERY
SLOWLY MOVES OFF TO THE WEST. CONTINUED WITH HIGH POPS FOR THIS
EVENING AS THE SURFACE LOW WILL BE NEARBY ALONG WITH ABUNDANT
MOISTURE REMAINING OVER THE AREA. SURFACE LOW WILL BE SITUATED
ACROSS CENTRAL ARKANSAS ON MONDAY AS THE MIDSOUTH REMAINS IN A
MOIST AND UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. CONVECTION SHOULD DIE OFF
MONDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING.

AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN OVER THE MIDSOUTH TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AS MAINLY DIURNAL CONVECTION CAN BE EXPECTED OVER
THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS WITH
HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S. NIGHTS WILL GENERALLY BE WARM AND
MUGGY WITH LOWS NEAR 70 DEGREES. THE ABOVE MENTIONED SURFACE LOW
WILL FINALLY CLEAR THE REGION AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE
MIDSOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ACCOMPANY
THIS COLD FRONT HELPING TO PUSH THIS FRONT THROUGH MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY ALONG THE FRONT BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE
IS ABLE TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT/FRIDAY.

BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT IN KEEPING
NEXT WEEKEND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE OHIO VALLEY
AND GREAT LAKES AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLE WITH HIGHS
IN THE LOW TO MID 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

KNS

&&

.AVIATION...

18Z TAFS

TROPICAL SURFACE LOW WAS CENTERED ABOUT 90NM SOUTHWEST OF KMEM AT
17Z...DRIVING NORTHWEST AROUND 10KTS. THE POSITION OF THE LOW PUTS
THE MIDSOUTH IN THE WARM SECTOR THIS AFTERNOON. 12Z NAM MODEL
CONTINUES TO PLACE LOW TO MODERATE INSTABILITY OVER NORTH MS...
THROUGH SOUTHWEST TN... INTO NORTHEAST AR THROUGH 00Z. TAFS WERE
UPDATED EARLIER FOR ADDITION OF THUNDER AND ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS
WERE MADE FOR THE 18Z SCHEDULED ISSUANCE.

LOW MVFR AND IFR CIGS APPEAR IN STORE FOR LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT PERIODS...THROUGH THE GFS LAMP GUIDANCE MAY BE OVERDONE
JUST A BIT. CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE TO SOLID MVFR BY AROUND 15Z MONDAY.

PWB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  69  81  69  84 /  70  80  50  60
MKL  68  80  68  83 /  70  80  40  60
JBR  67  80  67  83 /  90  90  60  60
TUP  68  82  68  84 /  50  70  30  60

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
351 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-252300-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
351 PM CDT SUN MAY 24 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THROUGH
10 PM CDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. HEAVY
DOWNPOURS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY
WINDS UP TO 50 MPH...AND PEA SIZE HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.