Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Memphis, TN

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 090756
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
255 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009

ARC021-055-075-093-121-MOC069-155-TNC045-095-131-091215-
/O.CON.KMEG.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090509T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MISSISSIPPI AR-CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR-GREENE AR-LAWRENCE AR-DUNKLIN MO-
PEMISCOT MO-LAKE TN-OBION TN-DYER TN-
255 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 AM CDT FOR
DYER...SOUTHWESTERN OBION...LAKE...PEMISCOT...DUNKLIN...EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...GREENE...RANDOLPH...CLAY AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...

AT 255 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE VERY HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. OVER THE PAST 2 HOURS
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAINFALL HAS FALLEN 
ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO REELFOOT LAKE
STATE PARK...TIPTONVILLE...RIDGELY...WARDELL...HOLCOMB...SUCCESS...
REYNO...RECTOR...RAVENDEN SPRINGS...POLLARD...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...
PEACH ORCHARD...MCDOUGAL...MAYNARD...KNOBEL...GREENWAY...DATTO...
DALTON...CORNING...BIGGERS AND ATTICA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

.MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE
USUALLY DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS
POWERFUL ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING
FLOODED ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

&&

LAT...LON 3648 9135 3644 8996 3640 8996 3639 8997
      3639 8978 3643 8975 3643 8969 3636 8954
      3643 8954 3642 8940 3625 8919 3602 8919
      3591 8932 3595 8944 3591 8965 3592 9013
      3615 9067 3621 9136 3629 9126 3642 9136

$$

000 
WGUS74 KMEG 091219
FFSMEG

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
718 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009

ARC021-055-075-093-121-MOC069-155-TNC045-095-131-091228-
/O.EXP.KMEG.FF.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090509T1215Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MISSISSIPPI AR-CLAY AR-RANDOLPH AR-GREENE AR-LAWRENCE AR-DUNKLIN MO-
PEMISCOT MO-LAKE TN-OBION TN-DYER TN-
718 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED FOR DYER...SOUTHWESTERN
OBION...LAKE...PEMISCOT...DUNKLIN...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...
GREENE...RANDOLPH...CLAY AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES...THE 
HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH PROMPTED THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WARNING HAS 
DIMINISHED. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

.STAY TUNED TO THIS BROADCAST FOR THE LATEST UPDATES AND INFORMATION.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY...CALL 1 800 4 3 2 0 8 7 5.

LAT...LON 3648 9135 3644 8996 3640 8996 3639 8997
      3639 8978 3643 8975 3643 8969 3636 8954
      3643 8954 3642 8940 3625 8919 3602 8919
      3591 8932 3595 8944 3591 8965 3592 9013
      3615 9067 3621 9136 3629 9126 3642 9136

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1209 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2009

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 821 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009/

UPDATE...

STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS JUST NORTH OF THE CWA ATTM. SHOWERS AND
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER NORTHWEST TENNESSEE STRETCHING
BACK TO THE WEST INTO NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. NO SEVERE STORMS
ATTM...HOWEVER RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY MORNING HOURS. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE FRONT. EXPECT A
SOLID LINE OF CONVECTION STRETCHING FROM OKLAHOMA TO THE MIDSOUTH
BY EARLY MORNING HOURS. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THIS LINE.
SINCE THE MIDSOUTH HAS SEEN A LOT OF RAIN IN THE PAST WEEK...FLASH
FLOODING WILL BE A CONCERN. WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE CWA THROUGH SATURDAY.

KRM

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 255 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009/

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND ACROSS NORTHERN BORDER OF FORECAST
AREA WITH STRONGEST STORM ON WESTERN END OF THIS LINE. AS THESE
STORMS MOVE EAST...WILL BE ABLE TO CLEAR PORTIONS OF TORNADO WATCH
267. DEPENDING ON THE TIMING OF THESE STORMS WILL JUST WAIT UNTIL
WATCH EXPIRES BEFORE ISSUING NEW FORECAST PACKAGE. ONE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
AND INTO SOUTHERN ILLINOIS WITH A SECOND COLD FRONT ACROSS
NORTHERN IOWA THROUGH EASTERN NEBRASKA INTO WESTERN KANSAS. COLD
FRONTS WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT WITH SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA ON SATURDAY BRINGING MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THE CLOUDS AND WET WEATHER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT
JUST SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA PROVIDING FOR A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS FOR SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. COOLER AIR WILL BEGIN
TO MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT WITH TEMPERATURES STRUGGLING TO
GETTING OUT OF THE 60S. RAIN SHOULD BE COMPLETELY OUT OF THE
FORECAST AREA BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. DRY WEATHER RETURNS ON TUESDAY
AS SOUTH WINDS BRING BACK WARMER WEATHER TO THE REGION. ANOTHER
COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND MOVES THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE
COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. AT 04Z THE FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM THE
BOOTHEEL SOUTHWEST INTO THE ARKLATEX WITH VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TAF
SITES. GIVEN RECENT TRENDS HAVE SLOWED DOWN TIMING AND WILL GO WITH
TEMPOS FOR TSRAS AND MVFR CONDITIONS STARTING AT 06Z AT KJBR...10Z
AT KMEM AND KMKL AND 14Z AT KTUP. BY 12Z-15Z THE FRONT WILL START
WORKING SLOWLY SOUTH SHIFTING WINDS FROM SOUTH AT 10 KTS TO
NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 KTS AT KJBR...KMEM AND KMKL. VFR CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AFTER FRONTAL PASSAGE AT THESE TAF SITES THOUGH BRIEF MVFR
CIGS MAY OCCUR THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO PLACE IN TAFS ATTM.
FRONT WILL NOT MAKE IT THROUGH KTUP BEFORE 10/00Z SO KEPT VCTS GOING
DURING THE AFTERNOON THERE. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY MOVE BACK INTO THE
MID SOUTH AFTER 10/00Z THOUGH CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE VFR.

SJM

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  57  68  54  76 /  50  50  60  10
MKL  54  65  51  74 /  40  50  60  10
JBR  54  66  51  74 /  40  40  60  10
TUP  59  71  55  75 /  40  50  60  20

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     CRITTENDEN-CROSS-GREENE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-MISSISSIPPI-
     PHILLIPS-POINSETT-RANDOLPH-ST. FRANCIS.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR DUNKLIN-PEMISCOT.

MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALCORN-BENTON MS-
     CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-DESOTO-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE MS-
     MARSHALL-MONROE-PANOLA-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
     TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-YALOBUSHA.

TN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR CARROLL-CHESTER-
     CROCKETT-DECATUR-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-
     HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-MADISON-MCNAIRY-
     OBION-SHELBY-TIPTON-WEAKLEY.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
834 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>021-048>055-088>092-091200-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-COAHOMA-
CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-DUNKLIN-DYER-
FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-HENDERSON-HENRY-
ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-
MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-PANOLA-PEMISCOT-
PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-RANDOLPH-SHELBY-
ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-
UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
834 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE ENTIRE
MIDSOUTH TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

A COLD FRONT OVER THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY WILL MOVE
INTO THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT...SERVING AS A FOCUS FOR CONTINUED
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER SATURDAY FOR AREAS
MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH
FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE MIDSOUTH. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED OVER ANY PART OF THE MIDSOUTH
TONIGHT AND ON SATURDAY.

KRM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1058 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

ARZ009-MOZ113-090430-
CLAY AR-DUNKLIN MO-
1058 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IS FOR...

  NORTHERN CLAY COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL WAS LOCATED 5
MILES NORTHWEST OF CHALK BLUFF NATURAL AREA AT 1058 PM CDT...MOVING
EAST AT 30 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN CLAY AND DUNKLIN COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOCATIONS NEAR
CAMPBELL...CHALK BLUFF NATURAL AREA...CORNING AND MALDEN...SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1221 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             DELAPLAINE              36.23N 90.73W
05/08/2009  E0.88 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0350 PM     HAIL             5 NNW PARAGOULD         36.12N 90.55W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0405 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NE PARAGOULD          36.11N 90.45W
05/08/2009  E60.00 MPH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0420 PM     HAIL             ARBYRD                  36.05N 90.24W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   PUBLIC

1207 AM     HAIL             3 S KENNETT             36.20N 90.05W
05/09/2009  M0.88 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ACCOMPANIED BY 45 TO 50 MPH TSTM GUST

&&

DSV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1226 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             DELAPLAINE              36.23N 90.73W
05/08/2009  E0.88 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0350 PM     HAIL             5 NNW PARAGOULD         36.12N 90.55W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0405 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NE PARAGOULD          36.11N 90.45W
05/08/2009  E60.00 MPH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0420 PM     HAIL             ARBYRD                  36.05N 90.24W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   PUBLIC

1207 AM     HAIL             3 S KENNETT             36.20N 90.05W
05/09/2009  M0.88 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ACCOMPANIED BY 45 TO 50 MPH TSTM GUST

1222 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NW COOTER             36.09N 89.86W
05/09/2009  E0.50 INCH       PEMISCOT           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WALL CLOUD WITH ROTATION...NO FUNNEL YET

&&

DSV

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1255 AM CDT SAT MAY 09 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0323 PM     HAIL             DELAPLAINE              36.23N 90.73W
05/08/2009  E0.88 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0350 PM     HAIL             5 NNW PARAGOULD         36.12N 90.55W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0405 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NE PARAGOULD          36.11N 90.45W
05/08/2009  E60.00 MPH       GREENE             AR   PUBLIC

0420 PM     HAIL             ARBYRD                  36.05N 90.24W
05/08/2009  E0.75 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   PUBLIC

1206 AM     FLASH FLOOD      6 SW KENNETT            36.18N 90.12W
05/09/2009                   DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            3 TO 4 INCHES OF WATER ON ROADWAY...MAKING IT IMPASSABLE

1206 AM     TSTM WND GST     6 SW KENNETT            36.18N 90.12W
05/09/2009  E70.00 MPH       DUNKLIN            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

1207 AM     HAIL             3 S KENNETT             36.20N 90.05W
05/09/2009  M0.88 INCH       DUNKLIN            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ACCOMPANIED BY 45 TO 50 MPH TSTM GUST

1222 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NW COOTER             36.09N 89.86W
05/09/2009  E0.50 INCH       PEMISCOT           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WALL CLOUD WITH ROTATION...NO FUNNEL YET

1250 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MAYNARD                 36.42N 90.90W
05/09/2009                   RANDOLPH           AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER MAKING HWY 115 IMPASSABLE...AND IS APPROACHING THE
            NEARBY HOUSES...BUT NOT YET FLOODING THE HOUSES

&&

DSV