Red Flag Warning 29, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 081110
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
610 AM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...DAVIS 
MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN
BASIN FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY DRY AIR AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS FOR VERY DRY AIR...
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DEVELOPING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
DAVIS MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PERMIAN BASIN. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR WILL DROP MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO NEAR 10 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.
SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL ALSO BE IN PLACE. A MORE DANGEROUS FIRE
WEATHER SITUATION IS EXPECTED THURSDAY. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER.
IN ADDITION POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING AND CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FUEL DRYNESS WILL
INCREASE THE POTENTIAL SEVERITY OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BY
THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

TXZ074-082100-
/O.EXB.KMAF.FW.W.0029.090408T1800Z-090409T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0030.090409T1800Z-090410T0000Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
610 AM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
9 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT...SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF
20 TO 25 MPH AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL PRODUCE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. 

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS MAY
DEVELOP AND VERY DRY AIR IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE. THESE
CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES
ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON
DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL
IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO
DANGEROUS...WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-258-082100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.FW.W.0029.090408T1800Z-090409T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0030.090409T1800Z-090410T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
610 AM CDT WED APR 8 2009 /510 AM MDT WED APR 8 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ THIS
AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/
THIS AFTERNOON TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO AROUND 10 PERCENT...SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

A POWERFUL LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS MAY
DEVELOP AND VERY DRY AIR IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE. THESE
CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL
RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES
ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON
DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL
IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO 
DANGEROUS...WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ067>070-075-080-082100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0030.090409T1800Z-090410T0000Z/
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
610 AM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. 

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
WESTERN HIGH PLAINS ON THURSDAY. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP
AND VERY DRY AIR IS FORECAST TO BE IN PLACE. THESE CONDITIONS
COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN THE
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES
ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON
DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL
IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO
DANGEROUS...WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 081954
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
254 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT INTO EVENING FOR THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN
BASIN FOR WINDY CONDITIONS...VERY DRY AIR AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS FOR VERY DRY AIR...
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...DAVIS
MOUNTAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN
BASIN. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR 10 PERCENT...AS WELL AS
SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER IS EXPECTED. POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY
WILL LEAD INTO MORE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY.
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO CREATE EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDTITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND A LARGE PORTION OF
SOUTHWEST TEXAS. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
SITUATION WITH CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD. 

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-074-258-090300-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0030.090409T1800Z-090410T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0030.090409T1500Z-090410T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090409T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
254 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009 /154 PM MDT WED APR 8 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 5 TO AROUND 15 PERCENT...SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL
PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL LEAD TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY. INCREASING WINDS AND VERY DRY
AIR WITH HUMIDITIES LESS THAN 10 PERCENT COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH
TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO
THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING
SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS...WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ067>070-075-080-090300-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0030.090409T1800Z-090410T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0030.090409T1500Z-090410T0300Z/
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
254 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS ON THURSDAY. VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY DRY AIR
COMBINED WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO
THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING
SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS...WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ079-081-082-090300-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0030.090409T1500Z-090410T0300Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
254 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY. 

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGH
PLAINS ON THURSDAY. WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY DRY AIR COMBINED
WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES
ONTO THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON
DRIVING SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID
ACTIVITIES THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL
IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO
DANGEROUS...WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.


&&

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 090212
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
912 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION...

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR
ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR VERY DRY AIR...VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

.EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON THURSDAY AS A STRONG UPPER-LEVEL
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA. STRONG MID-LEVEL WINDS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE WILL MIX DOWN TO THE
SURFACE...RESULTING IN VERY STRONG WESTERLY 20 FOOT WINDS. THIS
COMBINED WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AND VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER WILL LEAD TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY.
SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 50
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA WITH EVEN STRONGER
WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES
WILL BE CAPABLE OF EXPLOSIVE GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT. MEMBERS OF
THE FIREFIGHTING COMMUNITY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR EXTREME FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON THURSDAY.

NMZ114-115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-074-258-091015-
/O.CAN.KMAF.FW.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090409T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0030.090409T1500Z-090410T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
912 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009 /812 PM MDT WED APR 8 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS CANCELED THE
RED FLAG WARNING THAT WAS IN AFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A RED
FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 10 PM
CDT /9 PM MDT/ THURSDAY.

POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO EXTREMELY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AS 20 FOOT WINDS
INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING UPPER DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH.
STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS ALONG WITH SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO
THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING
SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS...WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ067>070-075-079>082-091015-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0030.090409T1500Z-090410T0300Z/
WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
912 PM CDT WED APR 8 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM CDT
THURSDAY. 

POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL LEAD TO EXTREMELY
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY AS 20 FOOT WINDS
INCREASE IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING UPPER DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH.
STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS ALONG WITH SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN
EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...DO NOT THROW CIGARETTES ONTO
THE GROUND OR OUT OF A MOVING VEHICLE. KEEP VEHICLES ON DRIVING
SURFACES...AND DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH TALL GRASS. AVOID ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY PRODUCE OUTDOOR FLAMES OR SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW RAPIDLY INTO DANGEROUS...WIND-
DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
222 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...
MUCH WARMER WED AS DEEPENING SFC LOW IN ADVANCE OF STRONG MID/UPPER
TROF PULLS LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE N. HIGH TEMPS WILL BE SOME 10-15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MAKING 85-90 COMMON. 7H MID LEVEL SPEED MAX OF
40KTS WILL MOVE INTO FAR W TX/SE NM IN THE AFTERNOON AND WINDS WILL
INCREASE IN THE GDP MTNS WITH G60 MPH AND WINDS WILL INCREASE ACRS
SE NM PLAINS. 7H HGHT GRADIENT FAVORS 20-30 MPH WHILE DEEP MIXING
SUGGEST G40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. HAVE OPTED TO UPGRADE GDP MTNS TO
HIGH WIND WARNING AND WILL KEEP HIGH WIND WATCH FOR VAN HORN/DAVIS
MTNS. MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE INCREASING MID/HIGH CLOUDS
WED...THICKER CLOUDS WILL BE S OF THE PECOS RIVER AND MAY HAVE TO
SHAVE A FEW DEGREES OFF HIGH TEMPS AND KNOCK DOWN WINDS SOME TOO.
BY 12Z THURSDAY 5H TROF AXIS WILL BE E OF 4 CORNERS REGION AND 7H
WINDS INCREASE DRAMATICALLY WITH SPEED MAX OF 45-65KTS. SPEED MAX IS
PROGGED TO MOVE ON THRU W TX IN THE MORNING BUT THERE WILL STILL BE
AROUND 40KTS IN THE AFTERNOON AND SUBSIDENCE WILL BE INCREASING.
FURTHERMORE THE MSLP GRADIENT LOOKS GOOD...ESPECIALLY IN THE MORNING.
SO WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING LEADING TO A
POTENTIALLY LONG WINDOW FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE PLAINS.
ADVISORIES WILL CERTAINLY BE NEEDED...HIGH WIND WARNINGS MAY BE EVEN
NEEDED FARTHER E INTO LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE TRANS PECOS. 7H
GRADIENT 25-35 MPH G45 MPH ACRS PB...BUT TEND TO THINK THAT IT WILL
BE A LITTLE HIER WITH G50-55 MPH. BLDU WILL BE A CONCERN TOO AND
ADVISORIES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED. TEMPS MAY NOT BE AS COOL AS
THOUGHT YESTERDAY BUT SHOULD BE AT LEAST 5 DEGREES COOLER. WINDS WILL
DECREASE EARLY EVENING THURSDAY. MID LEVEL RIDGING MOVING JUST E
FRIDAY AS ANOTHER LOW DROPS INTO SRN CALIF. WINDS WILL RESPOND AS
EVIDENT IN SE SFC-85H WINDS. LOW LEVEL MSTR WILL TRY TO RETURN BUT
WON/T HAVE CHANCE FRIDAY SO IT WILL STILL BE DRY. LOW LEVEL JET INTO
SAT MORNING WILL BRING HIER DWPNTS BACK INTO PB. TEND TO LIKE THE
HIER DWPNTS ON ECMWF. MODELS HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
UPPER LOW IN AZ SAT MORNING. DRYLINE WILL SET-UP SAT PM...BUT MAY BE
E OF MAF (PER ECMWF). INTO SAT PM GFS SLOWS UP AND AGREE WITH NCEP
THAT BLEND OF THE TWO WILL BE THE WAY TO GO. THIS WILL RESULT IN
LITTLE CHANGE TO ONGOING FCST. MAY SHAVE SOME OFF POPS/WX IN THE
W/S. BEST CHANCE OF RAIN WOULD BE LATE SAT AFTERNOON/SUN MORNING...
STILL N OF THE PECOS RIVER LOOKS BEST AND EVEN BETTER N OF CWFA.
ECMWF SHOVES DRY AIR E INTO THE AFTERNOON AND IF IT VERIFIES SAT
WOULD BE A DRY WEST WIND DAY. DRY SUN BUT COOLER. GENERALLY DRY WITH
INDICATION OF ZONAL MID LEVEL COMPONENT MON/TUE WHICH SUGGEST WARM
TEMPS AND VERY DRY W.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL UPGRADE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS... THE UPPER
TRANS PECOS FOR WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WILL EXPAND THIS WARNING TO
INCLUDE THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN. AN INTENSIFYING
LOW PRESSURE AREA IN THE NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO HIGH PLAINS SHOULD
EASILY PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE
AFOREMENTIONED AREAS WEST OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. IT WILL BE A CLOSE
CALL FURTHER EAST IN THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN AS THE
WIND FIELDS LOOK MORE MARGINAL. HOWEVER DECIDED TO INCLUDE BECAUSE
IT WILL BE CLOSE EITHER WAY WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL BE IN
PLACE...ESPECIALLY WITH HIGH TEMPS NEARING 90. LEFT OUT THE MARFA
PLATEAU AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS AS INCREASING CLOUD COVER (PER
SATELLITE) SHOULD INHIBIT RH/S FROM DROPPING BELOW 15 PERCENT.

CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT THURSDAY IS SHAPING UP
TO BE A POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER DAY. THE MODELS ARE
IN AMAZING AGREEMENT CONCERNING THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER AND
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREAS AND ATTENDANT WIND FIELDS....NOT TO
MENTION THE CLOUD FREE SKY...HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS AND PROGGED RH/S
BELOW 10 PERCENT. IN ADDITION THE SITUATION MAY FURTHER BE
AGGRAVATED BY SUBSIDENCE WHICH WILL AID DOWNWARD MOTION AND DRYING
AND SEVERAL NIGHTS OF POOR RH RECOVERY... AIDING IN CRITICAL FUEL
DRYNESS LEVELS. WILL CONTINUE TO EMPHASIZE THURSDAY THE POTENTIAL
SEVERITY OF THE EVENT IN THE FIRE WEATHER PRODUCTS AND THE
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              45  88  55  78  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                44  86  54  82  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  50  92  58  86  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           52  91  57  83  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          50  83  49  77  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   44  87  50  76  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   33  78  44  75  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    49  89  56  79  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  50  88  57  80  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    44  91  57  84  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...
     GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST
     PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 6 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ...
     SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...
     GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM NOON WEDNESDAY TO 6 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 1 PM CDT /NOON MDT/ TO 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/
     WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...
     HOWARD...LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...REEVES
     COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...VAN HORN AND
     HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
222 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-081200-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
222 PM CDT TUE APR 7 2009 /122 PM MDT TUE APR 7 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...UPPER TRANS PECOS AND
THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO
INCREASING WINDS AND VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER.

THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS
DEVELOPING FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS VERY WINDY CONDITIONS MAY
COMBINE WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER.

WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 35 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY THURSDAY EVENING.

WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 65 MPH ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY ACROSS THE
HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR INCLUDING VAN HORN AREA AND THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS AND THE PERMIAN BASIN. WEST WINDS
MAY GUST AS HIGH AS 45 TO 55 MPH BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND