Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2009

Red Flag Warning 25, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

March 31, 200919 counties in Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 31, 2009, 2:25 PM CDT for 19 counties in Texas. It took effect at Apr 1, 2009, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 16 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2009, 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC)
In effect from
Apr 1, 2009, 7:00 AM CDT
Expired
Apr 1, 2009, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
16 hr
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Counties Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2009-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2009-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -258 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3326 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-258 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 311925
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
225 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR
VERY DRY AIR...WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY FOR VERY DRY AIR... VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.RED FLAG CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DAVIS AND
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AS ELEVATED 20 FOOT WINDS COMBINE WITH
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS. MORE SIGNIFICANT FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE NEXT STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO AFFECT THE
AREA. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE AREA WIDE AS STRONG MID LEVEL
WINDS MOVE INTO THE AREA. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL TO
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREA WIDE. DUE TO PERSISTENT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE TO CAPABILITY
OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH. MEMBERS OF THE LOCAL FIRE WEATHER
COMMUNITY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

NMZ114-TXZ074-258-010330-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1200Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-090401T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
225 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /125 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO 11 PM
CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO
11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH A FEW GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING TONIGHT ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS. VERY DRY AIR WILL ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE...WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE WINDY AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CONTINUED VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
TO PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20
FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 65 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO REMAIN IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS. STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-010330-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1800Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
225 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /125 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 11 PM
CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO
11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ079-081-082-010330-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
225 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 20 TO 
25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THESE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 311936 CCA
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
236 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR
VERY DRY AIR...WINDY CONDITIONS...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY FOR VERY DRY AIR... VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.RED FLAG CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE DAVIS AND
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AS ELEVATED 20 FOOT WINDS COMBINE WITH
CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS. MORE SIGNIFICANT FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE NEXT STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO AFFECT THE
AREA. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE AREA WIDE AS STRONG MID LEVEL
WINDS MOVE INTO THE AREA. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL TO
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREA WIDE. DUE TO PERSISTENT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE TO CAPABILITY
OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH. MEMBERS OF THE LOCAL FIREFIGHTING 
COMMUNITY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

NMZ114-TXZ074-258-010400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1200Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0024.000000T0000Z-090401T0300Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
236 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /136 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO 11 PM
CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO
11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH A FEW GUSTS
OVER 40 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING TONIGHT ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS. VERY DRY AIR WILL ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE...WITH MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE WINDY AND VERY
DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CONTINUED VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
TO PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20
FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 65 MPH.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO REMAIN IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS. STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-010400-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1800Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU-
236 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /136 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO 11 PM
CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/ TO
11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ079-081-082-010400-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
236 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 11 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY. 

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 20 TO 
25 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
THESE WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 010354
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1054 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF WEST
TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY FOR VERY DRY AIR...
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.CRITICAL RED FLAG CONDITIONS HAVE ENDED ACROSS THE DAVIS AND
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THIS EVENING. THUS...THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR
THIS EVENING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  MORE SIGNIFICANT FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY AS
THE NEXT STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO AFFECT THE
AREA. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE AREA WIDE AS STRONG MID LEVEL
WINDS MOVE INTO THE AREA. STRONG DAYTIME HEATING COMBINED WITH
EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL TO
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREA WIDE. DUE TO PERSISTENT
DROUGHT CONDITIONS...ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE TO CAPABILITY
OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH. MEMBERS OF THE LOCAL FIREFIGHTING
COMMUNITY SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

NMZ114-TXZ074-258-011200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1200Z-090402T0400Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1054 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /954 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /6 AM MDT/ TO
11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH... WITH A FEW
GUSTS OVER 40 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH EARLY EVENING
TONIGHT ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS
OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS. VERY DRY AIR WILL ALSO REMAIN IN PLACE...
WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THE
WINDY AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH CONTINUED VERY
HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY. WEST TO SOUTHWEST
20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER
65 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL ALSO REMAIN IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS. STRONG WINDS AND EXTREMELY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND- DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-079>082-011200-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-
MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
1054 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /954 PM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM CDT /9 AM MDT/
TO 11 PM CDT /10 PM MDT/ WEDNESDAY...

WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER TO PROMOTE FAVORABLE
CONDITIONS FOR RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 011040
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
540 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY AND THIS EVENING FOR ALL
OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR VERY DRY AIR...VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE 
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR VERY DRY 
AIR...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PROMOTE VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS AREAWIDE THIS AFTERNOON...AND ALONG WITH GUSTY
WESTERLY WINDS...RESULT IN CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS AREAWIDE.  THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST THROUGH THE
EVENING AS NORTHWEST WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BE NEARLY AS
STRONG AS DURING THE DAY AND RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW DUE TO THE DRY
AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT.  ANY FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE THE
CAPABILITY OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH.  ISOLATED CRITICAL FIRE
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FRIDAY 
AFTERNOON.

NMZ114-TXZ258-012100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0027.090403T1800Z-090404T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1200Z-090402T0400Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
440 AM MDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING. 

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WEST TO
SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS
OVER 75 MPH.  MINIMUM RH/S WILL DROP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND
ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE DANGER...PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND
SPREAD.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

NMZ115-012100-
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0027.090403T1800Z-090404T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-
440 AM MDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO
10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE
WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM MDT
THIS EVENING. 

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO PLAINS TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WEST TO SOUTHWEST
20 FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 60
MPH POSSIBLE.  MINIMUM RH/S WILL DROP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND
ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...PROMOTE RAPID FIRE
GROWTH AND SPREAD.  CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ074-012100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1200Z-090402T0400Z/
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
540 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS TODAY AND THIS EVENING.  WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20
FOOT WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 70 MPH 
POSSIBLE.  MINIMUM RH/S IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...ALONG WITH EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-079>082-012100-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-
MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
540 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
11 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WEST TEXAS 
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING.  WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH POSSIBLE.  MINIMUM
RH/S WILL DROP TO THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO
EXTREME FIRE DANGER...PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 011948
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
248 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR VERY DRY AIR...VERY
WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR VERY DRY
AIR...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.SINGLE DIGIT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ACROSS THE PLAINS WITH 10 TO NEAR
15% ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ALONG WITH THESE HUMIDITIES WILL
RESULT IN CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AREAWIDE.
THESE CONDITIONS WILL LAST THROUGH THE EVENING AS NORTHWEST WINDS
BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BE NEARLY AS STRONG AS DURING THE DAY AND
RECOVERY WILL BE SLOW DUE TO THE DRY AIRMASS BEHIND THE FRONT. ANY
FIRES THAT START WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY OF RAPID SPREAD AND
GROWTH. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS COULD AFFECT THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

NMZ114-115-TXZ258-020500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0027.090403T1800Z-090404T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
148 PM MDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS
EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT
WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 70 MPH WILL CONTINUE IN THE
MOUNTAINS. ACROSS THE PLAINS...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 30 TO 
45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH/S OF
5 TO 15% ALONG WITH EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL PROMOTE RAPID FIRE
GROWTH AND SPREAD. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN ACROSS THESE AREAS FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR.  LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-020400-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090402T0400Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
248 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS
EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS
EVENING. 

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS WEST TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25
TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH/S IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER WILL 
PROMOTE RAPID FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS.  ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$
000 
WWUS84 KMAF 020429
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1129 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR VERY DRY
AIR...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 10 PERCENT...20 FOOT WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER MAY COMBINE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

NMZ114-115-TXZ258-021230-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090402T0400Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0027.090403T1800Z-090404T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1029 PM MDT WED APR 1 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FRIDAY AFTERNOON. 

RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF AROUND 10 PERCENT...20 FOOT WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER...AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER MAY COMBINE TO PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-020530-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0025.000000T0000Z-090402T0400Z/
GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-
1129 PM CDT WED APR 1 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

20 FOOT WINDS BELOW 20 MPH OR RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE 15 PERCENT
CAN BE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

$$

44

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 31, 12:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 12:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1251 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

.DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW...

&&

.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL BACK TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15KTS ACROSS THE
AREA AS A LEE TROUGH DEVELOPS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST
TEXAS. WINDS WILL DECREASE OVERNIGHT AND THEN VEER TO THE WEST AND
INCREASE TO 15 TO 20KTS BY MID MORNING AS A SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO
THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. FEW TO SCATTERED CIRRUS CLOUDS CAN BE EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. VFR CONDITIONS FOR ALL SITES
THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 642 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

DISCUSSION...
12Z AVIATION FORECAST DETAILS PROVIDED BELOW.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS WEST TEXAS THIS
MORNING WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHILE
A LEE TROUGH BEGINS TO TAKE SHAPE ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS. LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL GRADUALLY
BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT SPEEDS OF 10-15 KNOTS...WITH A FEW
GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR WINDS TO BACK MORE
SOUTHERLY DURING THE EVENING WITH SPEEDS DECREASING TO AROUND 10
KNOTS.

21

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 431 AM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

DISCUSSION...
A SERIES OF UA TROUGHS WILL TRAVERSE THE CONUS THROUGH THE NEXT 7
DAYS AS A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN ALOFT PREVAILS.  THIS WILL RESULT IN
SOME COOL DOWNS...BUT MAINLY WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  DRY FUELS AND A CONTINUING LACK OF
RAINFALL WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MORE FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH MUCH
OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  A PACIFIC COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTH OVER THE
REGION THIS MORNING IN THE WAKE OF ONE SUCH UA TROUGH WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO COOL NEAR NORMAL THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON REBOUNDING TO AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL LEVELS.  THE
FLOW ALOFT WILL TIGHTEN AGAIN WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT UA TROUGH
THAT WILL TAKE SHAPE OVER THE FOUR CORNERS REGION.  TEMPERATURES
WILL REBOUND ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO THE DRY AIR OVER THE REGION AND
DOWNSLOPE WINDS.  ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT WILL COVER MORE OF THIS IN THE FIRE
WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW.

EXPECT STRONG WINDS TO OCCUR IN THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS
WEDNESDAY...AND SINCE CROSS SECTIONS YIELDED A MOUNTAIN WAVE
SIGNATURE AND ACCOMPANYING STRONG MID LEVEL WINDS BY 01/12Z...HAVE
MOVED THE HIGH WIND WATCH UP TO THIS TIME IN THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS.  LEFT THE EXPIRATION OF THIS HIGH WIND WATCH AT 02/06Z...
BUT KEPT THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS WATCH FROM 01/15Z TO 02/06Z.  DESPITE
THE DIFFERENCE...THINK BOTH MOUNTAIN RANGES COULD SEE 40 TO 50 MPH
WITH GUSTS OVER 75 MPH.  A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...AND MUCH OF WEST TEXAS ALONG AND NORTH
OF A MARFA...ALPINE AND FORT STOCKTON LINE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  THE
ONLY DETRIMENTS TO THESE STRONGER WINDS BEING REALIZED WILL BE A
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT THAT IS NOT TIGHT ENOUGH FOR SUCH WINDS
AND THE AMOUNT OF CLOUD COVER THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION AHEAD OF
THE APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH.  WILL ALLOW LATER SHIFTS TO ASSESS AS
WE NEAR THE EVENT.  THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CUTOFF BY THURSDAY MORNING
AND PASS BY OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE.  ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL DROP
INTO THE AREA...AND HAVE INCLUDED A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE
WESTERN LOW ROLLING PLAINS IN IT/S WAKE.  CONSIDERING THE PATTERN OF
LATE HAVE SIDED WITH THE SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTHWARD SOLUTIONS OF THE
NAM AND ECMWF...HENCE THE SLIGHT CHANCE.  THINK THERE WILL STILL BE
MUCH DRY AIR AT THE SURFACE FOR ANY PRECIPITATION THAT DEVELOPS TO
OVERCOME TO GO WITH ANY HIGHER POPS.

TEMPERATURES WILL COOL AGAIN THURSDAY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH AMBIENT
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING AS THE SAME PROCESS AS ABOVE REPEATS AHEAD
OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH THAT WILL DIG MAYBE A BIT FURTHER WEST THAN
WEDNESDAYS SYSTEM.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO WARM BACK ABOVE
NORMAL FRIDAY...WHILE INCREASED WINDS SATURDAY COULD RESULT IN WINDY
CONDITIONS AND INCREASED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS SATURDAY.  MODELS ARE
AT ODDS OVER THE TIMING OF THE NEXT FRONT IN THE SUNDAY AND MONDAY
TIME FRAME.  HAVE GONE WITH THE SLOWER FRONTAL ARRIVAL...WHICH WOULD
KEEP SUNDAY WARM...BUT DROP MONDAYS HIGHS BELOW MEXMOS GUIDANCE.
PROSPECTS OF RAINFALL STILL LOOK SLIM THROUGH DAY 7.

FIRE WEATHER...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS WEST TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
SHIFT EASTWARD THIS AFTERNOON AS A SURFACE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
REDEVELOPS ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. VERY DRY
AIR WILL REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY...WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE
SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS ACROSS MOST LOCATIONS. THIS DRY AIR COMBINED
WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND 70S OVER
THE PLAINS WILL RESULT IN MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
OVER JUST ABOUT ALL AREAS. WIND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG ACROSS
THE PLAINS TODAY...WITH 20 FT SPEEDS GENERALLY REMAINING IN THE
10-15 MPH RANGE...WITH A FEW GUSTS OVER 20 MPH. HOWEVER...SLIGHTLY
STRONGER MID LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND WILL
UPGRADE THE PREVIOUS FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING ACROSS
BOTH MOUNTAINS RANGES TODAY.

WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO WEDNESDAY AROUND THE BASE OF A DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH
THAT WILL BE LOCATED NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. THESE STRONGER
MID LEVEL WINDS WILL BE FORCED DOWNWARD ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND
DAVIS MOUNTAIN RANGES. HIGH WINDS COMBINED WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL LIKELY BRING EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS TO BOTH MOUNTAIN RANGES WEDNESDAY. WINDY AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS WILL ALSO LIKELY BRING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL BUT THE PRESIDIO VALLEY...THE BIG BEND REGION AND TERRELL
COUNTY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WE WILL CONTINUE THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH
FOR THESE LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY. IF PRESENT FORECAST TRENDS
CONTINUE...THESE FIRE WEATHER WATCHES WILL MORE THAN LIKELY BE
UPGRADED TO RED FLAG WARNINGS OVER THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM
     ROSWELL/LNZ.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS
     NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

TX...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...
     CRANE...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARFA PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...
     PECOS...REAGAN...REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...
     SCURRY...UPTON...VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...
     WINKLER.

     RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...GUADALUPE
     MOUNTAINS.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY
     NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA.

&&

79
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 12:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1254 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-011800-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
1254 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2009 /1154 AM MDT TUE MAR 31 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THROUGH EARLY
EVENING TONIGHT. WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COMBINED WITH SINGLE DIGIT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALLOW FOR QUICK GROWTH AND SPREAD OF
ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES. ALL EFFORTS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT
ANY ACCIDENTAL FIRE STARTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
STRONG WESTERLY WINDS COMBINED WITH VERY DRY SINGLE DIGIT
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AND CONTINUED HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL
ALLOW ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES TO SPREAD AND GROW RAPIDLY. ALL
EFFORTS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT ANY ACCIDENTAL FIRE STARTS AS
EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

HIGH WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 75 MPH ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS BOTH THE DAVIS AND GUADALUPE MOUNTAIN RANGES ON
WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS TRAVEL THROUGH BOTH AREAS IS
ANTICIPATED...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE UTILIZING HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

ELSEWHERE...VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE LEA COUNTY
NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MID AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...THE PERMIAN
BASIN...AND THE MARFA PLATEAU WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WESTERLY WINDS
OF 25 TO 35 MPH...WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE EDDY COUNTY
PLAINS AND THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR AS SUSTAINED WINDS IN EXCESS OF
40 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH ARE LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 4:40 AM CDTRed Flag WarningMAF17 hr
Mar 31, 2:46 PM CDTWind AdvisoryMAFEddy, Lea43 hr

Nearby

Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2009Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2009Every red flag warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.