Alert archive / Texas / Red Flag Warnings in 2009
Red Flag Warning 23, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this red flag warning at Mar 29, 2009, 2:09 PM CDT for 19 counties in Texas. It took effect at Mar 30, 2009, 11:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 10 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 29, 2009, 2:09 PM CDT (19:09 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 30, 2009, 11:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 30, 2009, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Counties Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Crane County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Ector County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Howard County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 7 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 8 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4028 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 209 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 231 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WWUS84 KMAF 291909 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT/9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER... .DRY AIR IS WELL ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND WILL GENERALLY HOLD THROUGH THE NIGHT. 20 FT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND HIGHER IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH. THEREFORE THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ON MONDAY CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WEST WINDS WILL FURTHER AID IN THE DRYING OF THE AIR AND LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITIES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY. CONCERNS ARE FURTHER COMPLICATED BY A WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND THE NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. NMZ114-TXZ258-301530- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0600Z/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 109 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INTO THE EVENING. MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED MONDAY...EXCEPT THAT THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND DURATION WILL LONGER. WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. && $$ NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-301530- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0300Z/ SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY- ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS- 209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /109 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN AND NEAR THE SINGLE DIGITS ALONG WITH HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER HAVE RESULTED IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIMILAR CONDITIONS AGAIN ON MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND HIGHER GUSTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. && $$ TXZ080-301530- /O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ MARFA PLATEAU- 209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 20 FOOT WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS NEARING 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON MONDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. && $$
4 follow-up statements
000 WWUS84 KMAF 300324 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... .RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT AS HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER AND STRONG WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WEST WINDS WILL AID IN THE DRYING OF THE AIR RESULTING IN A LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT. NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-301500- /O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY- ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- PECOS- 1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /924 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED... 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION ON MONDAY DUE TO THE DURATIONS OF WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS. AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. && $$ NMZ114-TXZ258-301500- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 924 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY... 20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED MONDAY...EXCEPT THAT THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND DURATION WILL LONGER. WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. && $$ TXZ080-301500- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ MARFA PLATEAU- 1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY... 20 FOOT WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS NEARING 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON MONDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. && $$
000 WWUS84 KMAF 301120 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 620 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN... SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... .CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AS LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINE WITH STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE THIS EVENING DUE TO NOCTURNAL COOLING AND THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT. THE POTENTIAL FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY. MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. NMZ114-TXZ074-258-302000- /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0025.090331T2000Z-090401T0200Z/ /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 620 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /520 AM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AS WEST WINDS OF 30 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH COMBINE WITH RH/S OF 10 TO 15 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH COMBINE WITH RH/S BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. TODAY AND WEDNESDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-302000- /O.NEW.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1800Z-090402T0400Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/ SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY- ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU- 620 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /520 AM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AS WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH COMBINE WITH RH/S AROUND 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. TODAY AND WEDNESDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
000 WWUS84 KMAF 301654 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1154 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... .CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY AREA WIDE AS LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINE WITH STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO IS NOW INCLUDED IN THE RED FLAG WARNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING TONIGHT. CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE THIS EVENING DUE TO NOCTURNAL COOLING AND THE ARRIVAL OF A COLD FRONT. THE POTENTIAL FOR ENHANCED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY. MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM TRACKS THROUGH THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. TXZ079-081-082-310000- /O.EXB.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0000Z/ PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- 1154 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AS WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH COMBINE WITH CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. TODAY AND WEDNESDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ NMZ114-TXZ074-258-310100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0025.090331T2000Z-090401T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 1154 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /1054 AM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AS WEST WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 700 MPH COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 10% AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH COMBINE WITH RH/S BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 45 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. TODAY AND WEDNESDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-310100- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1800Z-090402T0400Z/ SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY- ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU- 1154 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /1054 AM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS ANTICIPATED TODAY AS WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. A POTENTIALLY VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION BOTH TODAY AND WEDNESDAY IN RESPONSE TO THE DURATION AND INTENSITY OF THE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER PATTERN. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
000 WWUS84 KMAF 301931 RFWMAF URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 231 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR VERY WINDY CONDITIONS...CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THROUGH EARLY EVENING TONIGHT... ...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND THE UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER... .EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS PREVAIL ACROSS ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO THIS AFTERNOON AS A STORM SYSTEM CONTINUES AFFECT THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. VERY STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS IN COMBINATION WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH LEVELS WILL ALLOW FOR RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH OF ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES. 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BEGIN TO RESURFACE AGAIN ON TUESDAY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS AS 20 FOOT WINDS ONCE AGAIN INCREASE. EVEN MORE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED BY WEDNESDAY ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEMS BEGINS TO IMPACT THE AREA. NMZ114-TXZ074-258-310345- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0025.090331T2000Z-090401T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1500Z-090402T0400Z/ GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 231 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /131 PM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY REMAINS ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS WESTERLY 20 FOOT WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 70 MPH COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 10% AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES WILL BE CAPABLE OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS WEST WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH COMBINE WITH RH/S BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL TO VERY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF WEST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH COMBINING WITH VERY LOW RH/S AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-075-080-310345- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0200Z/ /O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0026.090401T1800Z-090402T0400Z/ SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY- ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND- GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-PECOS-MARFA PLATEAU- 231 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 /131 PM MDT MON MAR 30 2009/ ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. A CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY REMAINS ONGOING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 45 MPH COMBINE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS BELOW 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY 20 FOOT WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH. STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH VALUES TO PRODUCE CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$ TXZ079-081-082-310000- /O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090331T0000Z/ PRESIDIO VALLEY-BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL- 231 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2009 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING. A CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY REMAINS ONGOING THIS AFTERNOON AS WESTERLY 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH COMBINE WITH CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS. ANY NEW OR EXISTING FIRES WILL BE CAPABLE OF RAPID SPREAD AND GROWTH AN ALL EFFORTS SHOULD BE MADE TO PREVENT ACCIDENTAL FIRE STARTS. ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY 20 FOOT WINDS INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH. STRONG 20 FOOT WINDS WILL LIKELY COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT RH VALUES TO PRODUCE CRITICAL TO EXTREME FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE RED FLAG WARNINGS. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 29, 12:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 29, 12:13 PM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1213 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009
.DISCUSSION...
SEE DISCUSSION BELOW...
&&
.AVIATION...
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY DUE TO A LEE
TROUGH TO OUR NORTHWEST. CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM ACROSS THE AREA AND
DECREASE BY MONDAY MORNING. LOW LEVEL JET OF 40 TO 55KT WILL SETUP
OVER THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN AND LOW ROLLING PLAINS OVERNIGHT
KEEPING WINDS AT 10 TO 15KTS ACROSS THESE AREAS. WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO 20 TO 25KTS ACROSS MOST AREAS BY 15Z ON MONDAY AS A
SURFACE LOW MOVES INTO THE TEXAS PANHANDLE INCREASING THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
18Z MONDAY.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 635 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009/
DISCUSSION...
SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.
AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTH AND INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH BY MID TO LATE MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING. JUST SOME INCREASE IN CIRRUS CLOUDS EXPECTED TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
12
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009/
DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN QUITE PROGRESSIVE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS WEEK. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE
AREA...FIRST TODAY AND MONDAY...THEN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
MORNING...AND AGAIN LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. WITH EACH
SYSTEM...AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY THROUGH
THE CWA...SCOURING OUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND COOLING AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES BACK TOWARDS CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS.
CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO BETWEEN SYSTEMS...WITH ONE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM LIFTING
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVING
RAPIDLY INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST EARLY THIS MORNING. IT IS THIS
NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM CURRENTLY LOCATED ACROSS WASHINGTON STATE AND
OREGON THAT WILL AFFECT OUR WEATHER TODAY AND MONDAY.
AS THIS STORM SYSTEM MOVES RAPIDLY INTO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ASSOCIATED SURFACE
CYCLOGENESIS LEE OF THE ROCKIES WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
DOWNSLOPE SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO..THE
WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST TEXAS. THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AN 850 MB THERMAL RIDGE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE COUNTY WARNING AREA IS ANTICIPATED BY LATER THIS AFTERNOON...
WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE 9-11 DEGREES C WARMER THAN
YESTERDAY. RESULTING HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE WELL
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR OVER MUCH OF
THE AREA. IN ADDITION...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS...AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS...AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH
FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA LATER TODAY. PLEASE SEE THE FIRE WEATHER SECTION
BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS RELATED TO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS TODAY AND
MONDAY.
WRF MOUNTAIN WAVE SIGNATURE CROSS SECTIONS ALSO INDICATE THE
POTENTIAL FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF HIGH WINDS FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS...BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH MOST OF
MONDAY. AT THE MOMENT...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT ADJACENT AREAS WILL
BE AFFECTED. FOR NOW...WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE HIGH WIND WARNING
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
FIRE WEATHER...
NO CHANGES PLANNED TO THE CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING TODAY AND THE
WATCH FOR MONDAY. INCREASING ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TODAY WILL DEVELOP A
LEE LOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS WITH A SURFACE TROUGH
EXTENDING SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST TEXAS/NEW MEXICO BORDER. BEST
SURFACE GRADIENT WILL BE IN THE EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN TODAY WITH
DECENT CONFIDENCE THAT 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE SUSTAINED FOR AT LEAST
3 HOURS. ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS 20 FOOT WINDS WILL BE BORDERLINE
CLOSER TO THE SURFACE TROUGH...HOWEVER MOS GUIDANCE FREQUENTLY
UNDERESTIMATES CONTRIBUTIONS FROM THE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT
WITH DEEP MIXING EXPECTED. RH/S SHOULD HAVE NO PROBLEM REACHING
15 PERCENT OR BELOW ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. BY 03Z TONIGHT
THE LOW LEVEL JET SHOULD TRANSPORT ENOUGH MOISTURE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE PERMIAN BASIN TO ELEVATE RH/S ABOVE 15 PERCENT. FURTHER
WEST RH/S MAY REMAIN BELOW 15 PERCENT THROUGH MIDNIGHT BUT 20 FOOT
WINDS WILL DECREASE BELOW 20 MPH.
WILL CONTINUE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR MOST OF THE REGION MONDAY DUE
TO FURTHER INCREASE IN WIND FIELDS AS THE NEXT SOUTHERN STREAM
SYSTEM APPROACHES. EXTREMELY CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE
AS 20 FOOT SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH DEVELOP IN MUCH
OF THE PLAINS WITH EXTREME FIRE DANGER AND RH/S NEAR 10 PERCENT.
NOCTURNAL COOLING AND A COLD FRONT SHOULD ALLOW RH/S TO RISE ABOVE
15 PERCENT EARLY MONDAY EVENING.
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY
NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF
EDDY COUNTY.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ.
TX...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...
GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA
PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY
NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING
ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.
&&
79Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 29, 1:18 PM CDT, 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 118 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-301830- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 118 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /1218 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS AS LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE SLOW TO INCREASE. ALSO WINDS WILL BE SLOW TO WEAKEN AND WINDS WILL STILL BE NEAR 20 MPH FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER DARK. A RED FLAG WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE LOWER TRANS PECOS...MARFA PLATEAU AND PRESIDIO VALLEY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT. HIGH WINDS ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS... ESPECIALLY GUADALUPE PASS BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND LAST INTO THE NIGHT. IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS THESE HIGH WINDS WILL BE MOST FAVORED ABOVE 6000 FT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 TO 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THOSE TRAVELING THROUGH MOUNTAINS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AS GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY ACROSS MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO DUE TO STRONG WINDS...VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER AND RH/S DROPPING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT. WINDS WILL INCREASE FURTHER THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS MONDAY AND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED. ALSO WINDIER CONDITIONS WILL SPREAD FARTHER EAST MONDAY AND VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...INCLUDING THE VAN HORN AREA...THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...AND PARTS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN. THE STRONGER WINDS IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WILL BE IN THE VAN HORN AREA...THE UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND THE WESTERN PERMIAN BASIN WHERE GUSTS OF 45 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. GUST OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2:58 PM CDT | Wind Advisory | MAF | Loving, Ward, Winkler | 28 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in Texas, 2009Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2009Every red flag warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.