Red Flag Warning 22, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 291025
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
525 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE GUADALUPE AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND
UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND
WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

.DRY AIR IS HOLDING IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA AND AS WINDS
INCREASE TODAY IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. ON MONDAY CRITICAL
TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN
ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WEST WINDS
WILL FURTHER AID IN THE DRYING OF THE AIR AND EXTENDED DURATIONS
OF LOW HUMIDITIES ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE
WINDIEST DAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MONDAY AND CONCERNS INCLUDE A COLD
FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WIND SHIFT MOVING ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

NMZ114-TXZ258-292000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.090329T1700Z-090330T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
425 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS MORNING TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH THIS EVENING. MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED MONDAY...
EXCEPT THAT THE WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND DURATION WILL GREATER
WHILE POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY EXTEND CONCERNS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-292000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.090329T1700Z-090330T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-
525 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /425 AM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/
TODAY TO 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MID EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING.

20 FOOT WINDS IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH ALONG WITH CRITICALLY LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH
TO VERY FIRE DANGER ACROSS ALL OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY.
POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIMILAR CONDITIONS
AGAIN ON MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

TXZ080-292000-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-
525 AM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. 

20 FOOT WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH ALONG WITH CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS NEAR SINGLE DIGITS AND HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE
DANGER WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 291909
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT/9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE
DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...AND FOR THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.DRY AIR IS WELL ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND WILL
GENERALLY HOLD THROUGH THE NIGHT. 20 FT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND
HIGHER IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO PERSIST INTO THE EVENING IN
ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING TO THE NORTH. THEREFORE
THE RED FLAG WARNING FOR TODAY WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING
HOURS. ON MONDAY CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND WEST WINDS WILL FURTHER AID IN THE DRYING OF THE
AIR AND LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITIES ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY.
CONCERNS ARE FURTHER COMPLICATED BY A WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH A
COLD FRONT THAT IS EXPECTED TO PASS ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
AND THE NORTHWEST PERMIAN BASIN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

NMZ114-TXZ258-301530-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0600Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
109 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT MONDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING
REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT. 

20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS INTO THE 
EVENING. MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED MONDAY...EXCEPT THAT THE
WINDS WILL BE STRONGER AND DURATION WILL LONGER. WIND GUSTS OVER
50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD
BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-301530-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0300Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-
209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /109 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT /9 PM MDT/
THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/ TO
9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER
IN EFFECT. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT
/9 PM MDT/ THIS EVENING. 

20 FOOT WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS IN AND NEAR THE SINGLE DIGITS ALONG WITH HIGH TO
VERY FIRE DANGER HAVE RESULTED IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
TODAY. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SIMILAR
CONDITIONS AGAIN ON MONDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH
AND HIGHER GUSTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

TXZ080-301530-
/O.UPG.KMAF.FW.A.0024.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-
209 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND/ODESSA HAS ISSUED A RED
FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT MONDAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

20 FOOT WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS NEARING 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT
IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
MONDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS84 KMAF 300324
RFWMAF

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT FOR THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG
WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT MONDAY FOR THE PERMIAN BASIN...
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS...THE MARFA PLATEAU...THE GUADALUPE
AND DAVIS MOUNTAINS...AND UPPER TRANS PECOS FOR VERY DRY AIR AND
VERY WINDY CONDITIONS ALONG WITH VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS UNTIL
MIDNIGHT MDT AS HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE SLOW TO RECOVER AND STRONG
WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT. CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD
FRONT. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND WEST WINDS WILL AID IN THE
DRYING OF THE AIR RESULTING IN A LONG DURATION OF LOW HUMIDITIES
ON MONDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE MONDAY
RESULTING IN A WIND SHIFT.

NMZ115-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-301500-
/O.EXP.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ-GAINES-DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-
ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-
GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
PECOS-
1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009 /924 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009/

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM CDT /10 AM MDT/
TO 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ MONDAY...
...RED FLAG WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL 
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION ON MONDAY
DUE TO THE DURATIONS OF WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY LEVELS. 

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

&&

$$

NMZ114-TXZ258-301500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0022.000000T0000Z-090330T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN NF/LNZ-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
924 PM MDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT...
...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT
MONDAY...

20 FOOT WINDS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ALONG WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND CONTINUED HIGH TO VERY FIRE DANGER
WILL RESULT IN CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MORE OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED MONDAY...EXCEPT THAT THE WINDS WILL
BE STRONGER AND DURATION WILL LONGER. WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AND THIS COULD
BE A VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND
INTENSITY OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

TXZ080-301500-
/O.CON.KMAF.FW.W.0023.090330T1600Z-090331T0200Z/
MARFA PLATEAU-
1024 PM CDT SUN MAR 29 2009

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM CDT
MONDAY...

20 FOOT WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH ALONG WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
LEVELS NEARING 10 PERCENT AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER WILL RESULT IN
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON
MONDAY. WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AVOID THE USE OF OPEN FLAMES OR ANY ACTIVITIES THAT MAY GENERATE
SPARKS. ACCIDENTAL IGNITIONS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GROW
QUICKLY INTO DANGEROUS WIND-DRIVEN WILDFIRES.

MONDAY HAS ESPECIALLY HIGH CONCERNS AND THIS COULD BE A VERY
DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER SITUATION DUE THE DURATION AND INTENSITY
OF THE FORECAST WEATHER.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
218 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER FLOW TO BECOME MORE ZONAL OVERNIGHT AS THE DEEP UPPER-LEVEL
LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR YESTERDAY/S WEATHER CONTINUES TO EXIT INTO THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY SLIDE
SOUTHEASTWARD INTO CENTRAL TEXAS WHICH WILL ALLOW WINDS TO BEGIN
VEERING TO THE SOUTH. FORECAST MODELS INDICATE A STRENGTHENING H85
JET OVERNIGHT OF 20-25KTS...HOWEVER GFS/WRF BUFR SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
FAIRLY GOOD DECOUPLING POTENTIAL OVERNIGHT. FEEL CONFIDENT WITH
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ALOFT AND WEAK WINDS...THAT OPTIMAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS WILL EXIST. HAVE GENERALLY GONE WITH THE COOLER
MET NUMBERS IN ACCORDANCE TO ABOVE THINKING. THE BEGINNINGS OF A
WELL PRONOUNCED WARM-UP WILL COMMENCE BY SUNDAY AS A DEEP PACIFIC
TROUGH CONTINUES TO DIG ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST/NORTHERN
ROCKIES. WELL PRONOUNCED LEESIDE TROUGHING TO BECOME MORE FIRMLY
ESTABLISHED ALONG THE ROCKEY MOUNTAIN FRONT RANGE THANKS IN PART
INCREASING MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW. LEESIDE TROUGH WILL LIKELY EXTEND
SOUTHWARD INTO FAR WEST TX...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW EXPECTED TO THE
WEST AND SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW TO THE EAST. IN ANY EVENT...A BUILDING
H85 THERMAL RIDGE WILL BEGIN TAKING SHAPE ACROSS THE AREA...ALLOWING
TEMPS TO CLIMB TO ABOVE AVERAGE VALUES ONCE AGAIN. HIGH WIND
CONCERNS RESURFACE BY SUNDAY EVENING AS H70 WESTERLY FLOW
INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO THE DIGGING TROUGH. HAVE DECIDED TO
UPGRADE THE INHERITED HIGH WIND WATCH TO A WARNING BEGINNING AT
00Z MON. ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAPS FOR THE AREA ON MONDAY AHEAD OF
THE STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL BEGIN PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA
EARLY MONDAY EVENING. GFS/WRF MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THE POSITION OF THE FRONT BY 00Z TUE WITH THE FRONT
JUST TO OUR NORTH...HOWEVER THE 00Z ECMWF HAS THE POSITION FURTHER
SOUTH. FOR NOW...HAVE DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE WRF/GFS SUGGESTION
OF A FURTHER NORTHWARD POSITION. FRONT TO PLOW THROUGH THE AREA
MON NIGHT/EARLY TUE...ALLOWING FOR A COOLER DAY ACROSS THE REGION
ON TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFF TO THE EAST.

EXTENDED (WED-SAT)

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD AS A SERIES OF UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS TO THE NORTH OF
THE REGION. FIRST IS THE SERIES OF SYSTEMS TO INFLUENCE THE REGION
BY LATE WED AS A DEEP POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH TRANSLATES THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. CONSIDERABLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN MEDIUM
RANGE PROGS WITH REGARDS TO THE STRENGTH OF THE WAVE...WITH 00Z
ECMWF SOLUTIONS MAINTAINING ONLY A WEAK HINT OF THE FEATURE. 06/12Z
GFS PROGS ON THE OTHER HAND DIG A WELL DEVELOPED TROUGH THROUGH THE
AREA. IN ANY EVENT...SFC PROGS FROM BOTH SOLUTIONS ALONG WITH 12Z
CANADIAN GEM GUIDANCE SEEM TO HAVE DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE POSITION
OF THE SURFACE REFLECTION SOMEWHERE ACROSS THE RED RVR VLY BY 00Z
THU. COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BEGIN MOVING THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THU
MORNING HOWEVER THE 00Z ECMWF SEEMS TO HANG THE FRONT UP ACROSS THE
CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE WHILE THE GFS PROGRESSES THE FEATURE SOUTHWARD.
FOR NOW WILL ALLOW BOUNDARY TO SINK SOUTHWARD BASED ON THE STRENGTH
OF THE MOST RECENT STORM SYSTEMS. COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA ON THU AS A RESULT...HOWEVER COOLER VALUES WILL ONLY BE SHORT
LIVED AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY EXITS TO THE EAST AND LEESIDE
TROUGHING AGAIN BECOMES ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE ROCKY MOUNTAIN FRONT
RANGE. THUS...SOUTHERLY WARM ADVECTION FLOW EXPECTED TO COMMENCE BY
THU NIGHT/EARLY FRI WITH THE RE-ESTABLISHMENT OF A 50KT H85 LLJ.
THIS WILL ALLOW A WELL PRONOUNCED H85 THERMAL RIDGE TO TAKE HOLD OF
THE AREA BY FRI AND THUS HAVE DECIDED TO WARM TEMPS UP SEVERAL
DEGREES FROM INHERITED VALUES. 06Z GFS SUGGESTED SLIGHTLY COOLER H85
TEMPS HOWEVER NEW 12Z GUIDANCE HAS ARRIVED WITH VERY SIMILAR VALUES
AS THOSE SUGGESTED BY THE 00Z ECMWF. NEXT STRONG UPPER DISTURBANCE
TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE REGION BY EARLY SATURDAY AS A DEEP TROUGH
SETTLES ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. GFS IS QUITE A BIT FASTER
WITH THIS FEATURE SUGGESTING TROUGH AXIS WILL RESIDE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS BY 12Z SAT. MEANWHILE...SLOWER/LESS PROGRESSIVE
ECMWF MAINTAINS FEATURE FURTHER WEST ACROSS THE FOUR CORNERS REGION
DURING THE SAME TIME FRAME. HAVE DECIDED TO TAKE A BLEND OF BOTH
FEATURES WITH REGARDS TO HIGH TEMPS ON SAT IN AGREEMENT WITH
EXPECTED HPC FRONTAL POSITIONS BY 12Z SAT.

.FIRE WEATHER...
AS SFC TROF DEVELOPS IN ERN NM LOW LEVEL THERMAL RIDGE WILL AMPLIFY
ALONG SAID FEATURE AND TEMPS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR 8-10 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. MEANWHILE 5KFT-10KFT MSL WINDS WILL INCREASE IN
RESPONSE TO SFC LOW FORMING IN SE COLORADO AND MID/UPPER TROF
NEARING THE 4 CORNERS REGION. COMBINATION OF PRESSURE FALLS AND
MIXING (WARM TEMPS) ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUFFICIENT TO BRING WINDS TO
20-25 MPH ACRS MOST OF THE PLAINS/PB...STRONGER IN MTNS ESPECIALLY
GDP MTNS AND DAVIS ABOVE 6KFT. VERY LOW DWPNT AIR ISN/T GOING
ANYWHERE AND WITH TEMPS SO WARM MIN RH/S WILL BE WELL BELOW 15 PCT.
WILL UPGRADE TO RED FLAG WARNING THIS AFTERNOON.

CRITICAL/EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WX CONDITIONS WILL EXTEND INTO
MONDAY AND WITH AFOREMENTIONED 4 CORNERS TROF PASSING TO THE N
EXPECT THAT WINDS WILL INCREASE IN SPEED AND AERIAL COVERAGE. IN
GENERAL 7H/85H SPEED MAXIMA IS FCST TO BE JUST N OF MAF/S AREA AT
00Z. HOWEVER SECONDARY MAXIMA ARE ACRS THE AREA. FCST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE WELL MIXED LAYER FROM KROW...TO SE OF KMAF...AND WITH
MET/MAV GUIDANCE ALL SHOWING WINDS OVER 25KTS IT LOOKS LIKE THE REAL
DEAL. ALSO OF INTEREST IS A PACIFIC COLD FRONT AS SEEN IN 85H
THERMAL/WIND FIELD THAT WILL MOVE THRU SE NM/NW PB LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON BRINGING A WIND SHIFT FROM W TO NW...WINDS MAY INCREASE
FURTHER WITH FROPA THUS POSSIBLY EXTENDING CRITICAL FIRE WX
CONDITIONS INTO THE EVENING. WILL LEAVE FIRE WEATHER WATCH OUT. IF
WIND IN MOS GUIDANCE VERIFIES THIS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO HAVE A
HIGH IMPACT ON FIRE MANAGEMENT AS AERIAL EXTENT/DURATION/INTENSITY
WOULD ALIGN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              35  81  51  80  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                31  84  52  77  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  40  80  54  86  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           42  88  55  86  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          41  75  49  69  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   30  81  49  74  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   23  79  39  78  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    33  83  51  82  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  35  84  52  83  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    33  90  51  86  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ...SOUTHEAST PLAINS/BLM ROSWELL/LNZ.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY
     COUNTY.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS NP/LINCOLN
     NF/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 10 PM CDT SUNDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
     AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...GLASSCOCK...HOWARD...
     LOVING...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...
     REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... ANDREWS...BORDEN...CRANE...
     DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...DAWSON...ECTOR...GAINES...
     GLASSCOCK...GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...HOWARD...LOVING...MARFA
     PLATEAU...MARTIN...MIDLAND...MITCHELL...PECOS...REAGAN...
     REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS...SCURRY...UPTON...VAN
     HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR...WARD...WINKLER.

     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 6 PM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT SUNDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

&&

32/49

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
215 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-291915-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
215 PM CDT SAT MAR 28 2009 /115 PM MDT SAT MAR 28 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS RETURN ON SUNDAY AS LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITY LEVELS IN COMBINATION WITH INCREASING 20 FOOT WINDS
RESULT IN HIGH TO VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR ALL AREAS EXCEPT THE LOWER
TRANS PECOS AND PRESIDIO VALLEY. POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERY SUNDAY
NIGHT WILL SET THE STAGE FOR MORE CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER MONDAY AS WINDS MAY BE EVEN STRONGER.

HIGH WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY
GUADALUPE PASS BEGINNING LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...WITH CONDITIONS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 35 TO 40 MPH
WITH GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. GUSTY WINDS WILL INCREASE
IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH
POSSIBLE BY MONDAY. THOSE TRAVELING THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS ON US
62/180 SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION AS GUSTY WINDS AND DANGEROUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND