High Wind Warning 36, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 301106
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
506 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT GUADALUPE PASS EARLY THIS
MORNING... 

.NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
GUADALUPE PASS. THE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE LATER THIS
MORNING. 

TXZ258-301500-
/O.CON.KMAF.HW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-091130T1500Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PINE SPRINGS
406 AM MST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS
MORNING...

A HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM MST THIS
MORNING. 

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE AT GUADALUPE
PASS BEFORE SUBSIDING LATER THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 301501
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
901 AM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT GUADALUPE PASS TODAY...

.LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY ACROSS THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR GUADALUPE PASS. A SLOW
DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS IS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. 

TXZ258-302100-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-091130T2100Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PINE SPRINGS
801 AM MST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55
MPH WILL CONTINUE NEAR GUADALUPE PASS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DECREASE THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

000 
WWUS74 KMAF 302038
NPWMAF

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
238 PM CST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT GUADALUPE PASS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

.LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS...ESPECIALLY NEAR
GUADALUPE PASS. A SLOW DECREASE IN WIND SPEEDS IS EXPECTED THIS
EVENING.

TXZ258-010000-
/O.EXT.KMAF.HW.W.0036.000000T0000Z-091201T0000Z/
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PINE SPRINGS
138 PM MST MON NOV 30 2009

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM MST THIS
AFTERNOON...

LOCALLY STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 55
MPH WILL CONTINUE NEAR GUADALUPE PASS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND
SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE THIS EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
246 PM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

.DISCUSSION...
COMPLICATED WEATHER SCENARIO ON TAP THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. A
SIGNIFICANT UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER BAJA THIS AFTERNOON HAS
YET TO BEGIN SIGNIFICANT EASTWARD PROGRESS...MAKING IT DIFFICULT
TO PINPOINT THE FORECAST...PARTICULARLY WITH RESPECT TO THE
AVAILABILITY OF COLD AIR AND MOISTURE AS THIS SYSTEM PASSES. THERE
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A HIGHER DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST
UNTIL THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS UPPER LOW IS MORE DETERMINED.

NEVERTHELESS...MODELS ARE CURRENTLY IN DECENT AGREEMENT AT THIS
POINT CONCERNING BOTH TIMING AND TRACK. THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCES AT
THIS POINT APPEAR TO BE THE AMOUNT OF COLD AIR AVAILABLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM. THE NAM MODEL ALREADY SEEMS SIGNIFICANTLY TOO WARM IN LOW
LEVELS BASED ON SNOWFALL ALREADY SEEN TODAY AT QUEEN AND TATUM NEW
MEXICO. THE WARM LAYER JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE DEPICTED IN NAM BUFR
SOUNDINGS APPARENTLY DOES NOT EXIST TO THE DEGREE SHOWN. HAVE
CONSEQUENTLY CHOSEN TO PUT MORE FAITH IN THE GFS BUFR SOUNDINGS
FOR DETERMINATION OF PRECIPITATION TYPE FOR THIS PACKAGE.

THOUGH MINOR DISTURBANCES IN FLOW AHEAD OF UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL
LIKELY PRODUCE AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN OR SHOWERS...MOST AREAS SHOULD
REMAIN DRY OVERNIGHT. AREAS FURTHER WEST WILL SEE MORE SIGNIFICANT
PRECIPITATION BEGIN TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW BEGINS TO
APPROACH. SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN THE UPPER ELEVATIONS OF THE
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT...BUT PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO
START OUT TOO LIGHT FOR SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS. HOWEVER...THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE GUADALUPE PASS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HIGH WINDS THROUGH DAYBREAK MONDAY. A HIGH WIND WARNING WILL BE
EFFECT THROUGH DAYBREAK. A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE IN THE
HIGH PLAINS ADJACENT TO THE MOUNTAINS AND ALSO IN THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT.

DURING THE DAY MONDAY...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL
DEVELOP IN THE MOUNTAINS. A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS
IN EFFECT FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.
A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CULBERSON COUNTY...THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS AND EDDY COUNTY WHERE TEMPERATURES MAKE THE THREAT OF
HEAVY SNOWFALL LESS CERTAIN AT PRESENT...YET A SUFFICIENT THREAT
STILL EXISTS.

THOUGH CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION ARE LIKELY TO KEEP TEMPERATURES
SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER THAN GUIDANCE SHOWS ON MONDAY...LOW LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO STAY TOO WARM FOR SNOW IN THE
PLAINS THROUGH MUCH OF MONDAY NIGHT. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW
CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY EAST...LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP ACCOMPANIED BY INCREASING PRECIPITATION RATES
INTO THE PLAINS. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL IS POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...EXCEPT NEAR THE RIO
GRANDE VALLEY WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL BE TOO WARM. PRECIPITATION
WILL WIND DOWN TUESDAY NIGHT OVER THE NORTHEAST ZONES AS THE LOW
PULLS AWAY.

THOUGH CURRENT PACKAGE DROPS FORECAST TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE
TUESDAY DUE TO CLOUDINESS...PRECIPITATION AND LIFT PROVIDED BY
UPPER LOW...TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE MARGINAL AND WILL BE A
SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN THE AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL THAT OCCURS ACROSS
THE AREA. FURTHER MONITORING OF THE WEATHER SITUATION WILL BE
REQUIRED...AND ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS WILL BE ISSUED AS THE SITUATION
BECOMES BETTER DEFINED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX              33  44  31  36  /  20  20  40  60
CARLSBAD NM                32  36  32  37  /  40  40  70  50
DRYDEN TX                  45  46  34  46  /  30  40  60  40
FORT STOCKTON TX           36  40  33  37  /  30  40  60  40
GUADALUPE PASS TX          27  31  28  32  /  40  50  70  50
HOBBS NM                   32  39  31  36  /  30  30  50  60
MARFA TX                   32  33  27  36  /  40  40  60  40
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    33  41  30  36  /  30  30  50  60
ODESSA TX                  33  41  31  36  /  30  30  50  60
WINK TX                    36  40  31  37  /  30  30  60  50

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM MST TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... EDDY COUNTY PLAINS.

TX...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 AM MST MONDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 5 AM MONDAY TO 5 AM MST TUESDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS.

     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE MONDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA...
     VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR.

&&

01/05

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
401 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-292000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
401 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009 /301 AM MST SUN NOV 29 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NORTHEAST WINDS OF 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT THROUGH MID MONDAY MORNING THROUGH GUADALUPE PASS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL COMBINE WITH A SLOW MOVING STORM SYSTEM
ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TO PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX OF RAIN...
SLEET AND SNOW ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF
5 TO 10 INCHES MIXED WITH SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND
THE HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW MIXED WITH SLEET
WILL BE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO
PLAINS...DAVIS MOUNTAINS AND MARFA PLATEAU.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA MOVES ACROSS WEST TEXAS
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACCUMULATING SNOWS WILL LIKELY
SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE TRANS PECOS AND PERMIAN BASIN OF
WEST TEXAS. A FEW INCHES OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
LOCATIONS TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND