Severe Thunderstorm Warning 44, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WWUS53 KLSX 081517
SVSLSX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1017 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

MOC093-179-081545-
/O.CON.KLSX.SV.W.0044.000000T0000Z-090508T1545Z/
REYNOLDS MO-IRON MO-
1017 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1045 AM CDT
FOR IRON AND REYNOLDS COUNTIES...

AT 1013 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM VULCAN TO LESTERVILLE TO BIXBY...
MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  IRONTON...GLOVER...ARCADIA...BELLEVIEW...PILOT KNOB...CHLORIDE...
  HOGAN AND GRANITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE. THIS IS
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH NOT IMMEDIATELY
LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF
SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL
INTERIOR ROOM.

&&

LAT...LON 3716 9105 3720 9114 3725 9114 3732 9119
      3741 9119 3742 9123 3750 9123 3751 9132
      3759 9133 3759 9117 3773 9115 3773 9065
      3764 9066 3763 9055 3727 9056 3727 9073
      3717 9074 3714 9078 3707 9078 3705 9097
TIME...MOT...LOC 1517Z 266DEG 50KT 3729 9063 3748 9076
          3764 9102

$$

BRITT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
425 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/425 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009/

A ZONAL FLOW AT THE MID LEVELS WILL PREVAIL THRU THE WEEKEND AND
THIS USUALLY POINTS TO AN ACTIVE WX PATTERN THIS TIME OF YEAR IF
GIVEN ENOUGH OPPORTUNITIES FOR UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT...AND THAT
APPEARS TO BE THE CASE THIS TIME AROUND WITH AN MCV EXPECTED TO
PASS THRU PRIMARILY THIS MORNING...ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROF TO
DELIVER A GLANCING BLOW TO THE FAR NRN FA LATER TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY...AND ANOTHER SERIES OF DISTURBANCES THAT WILL PASS THRU
MAINLY ON SUNDAY.

FOR TODAY...MAIN ATTENTION TURNS TO MCS OVER SERN AND SCNTRL KS
THAT IS EXPECTED TO DRIVE EWD PER THE FORWARD PROP CORFIDI
VECTORS AND ALSO WHERE BEST MUCAPE AND H850 MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
IS EXPECTED TO SET UP. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN NUMEROUS TSRA FOR
AREAS S OF THE MO RIVER IN MO AND S OF I-70 IN IL FOR MAINLY THE
MORNING HOURS. HAVE LEFT TOKEN CHC POPS FOR AREAS FURTHER N...AS
AREA OF PCPN OVER ERN NEB EXPECTED TO FADE BEFORE IT REACHES
HERE...BUT PCPN MAY ALSO SPILL OVER TO THE N FROM THE EXPECTED SRN
MO MCS AS IT RUMBLES THRU MAINLY THIS MORNING. PREFERRED WARMEST
MOS IN THE NRN FA...AND AOB THE COOLEST MOS IN THE SRN FA WHERE
MCS IMPACT WILL BE THE GREATEST AND MOST PROLONGED.

CDFNT WILL PUSH THRU THE AREA TONIGHT AND THIS WILL ULTIMATELY SHUNT
THE BETTER PCPN CHCS TO THE SE OF THE FA. BY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT...LARGELY WENT DRY OVER THE FA AS MOISTURE WILL BE AVERAGE
AND INSTABILITY AND LIFT WILL FOR THE MOST PART BE ABSENT. BY
SUNDAY ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL SLIDE THRU AND BRING WITH IT A BIT
MORE MOISTURE ALOFT. LACK OF INSTABILITY AT MID LEVELS AND
MOISTURE RETURN AT THE SFC...HOWEVER...SHOULD PRECLUDE THUNDER AND
SO JUST WENT WITH SHRA FOR PCPN-TYPE WHILE EDGING POPS TO CHC
CATEGORY FOR MOST AREAS.

SERIES OF WEAK BUT COOLER AIRMASSES ALONG WITH SOME COMBINATION OF
GENERAL CLOUDINESS AND/OR RAIN CHCS OVER THE WEEKEND WILL KEEP
TEMPS ON THE COOL SIDE.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
/1227 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009/

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...PRIMARY AVIATION THREAT CONTINUES TO BE
CONVECTION ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE MISSOURI RIVER/I-70 CORRIDOR.
THINK MOST AREAS NORTH OF THIS LINE SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE
CONVECTION THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT. THINK FOG IS LIKELY
AFTER FOG CLEARS BEFORE SUNRISE. MOST AREAS SHOULD STAY IN MVFR
RANGE...BUT IFR IS POSSIBLE UP NORTH WHERE MORE COOLING IS LIKELY.

MORE CONVECTION LOOKS LIKELY FOR FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. COULD SEE RAIN AS FAR NORTH AS THE MISSOURI
RIVER...BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH IN TIMING YET TO NAIL DOWN IN
TERMINAL FORECASTS. ANOTHER AREA OF CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSOURI/WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING IN THE VICINITY OF AN ADVANCING COLD
FRONT. THINK ANY STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE SCATTERED IN NATURE
SO HAVE ONLY MENTIONED CB IN THE KUIN TERMINAL.

CARNEY

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
440 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-091200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
440 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70...AND THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THIS AREA AS WELL. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR SECTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
AND FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70 CAN EXPECT
LESSER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON
CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION
CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

HEADING INTO TONIGHT...THE BEST CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
SOUTH AND EAST OF ST. LOUIS. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TONIGHT.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG PARTS OF THE ILLINOIS
RIVER...WITH MODERATE FLOODING AT CHESTER ON THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.

MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE
ILLINOIS RIVER...WITH MODERATE FLOODING AT CHESTER ON THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY...MAINLY FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 70. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SEVERE
WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
802 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 AM     HAIL             5 S BLAND               38.23N  91.63W
05/08/2009  E1.50 INCH       GASCONADE          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901833

SIPPRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
816 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HAIL             1 W BOURBON             38.15N  91.27W
05/08/2009  E1.00 INCH       CRAWFORD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT HIGHWAY 44 MILE MARKER 217

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901835

SIPPRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
822 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     HAIL             BOURBON                 38.15N  91.25W
05/08/2009  E1.00 INCH       CRAWFORD           MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            AMATEUR RADIO OPERATOR REPORTED 1.00 INCH HAIL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901836

PRZYBYLINSKI

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
856 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 AM     FLASH FLOOD      9 ENE FREEBURG          38.37N  91.77W
05/08/2009                   OSAGE              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TWO FEET OF WATER OVER HIGHWAY 89...4 MILES NORTH OF
            BELLE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901837

BYRD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
905 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0905 AM     HAIL             VIBURNUM                37.72N  91.13W
05/08/2009  E1.00 INCH       IRON               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901838

SIPPRELL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
937 AM CDT FRI MAY 08 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0934 AM     HAIL             POTOSI                  37.94N  90.78W
05/08/2009  E2.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TRAINED SPOTTER IN POTOSI REPORTED BASEBALL SIZE HAIL
            AT THIS TTIME (9...35 AM CDT)

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901839

PRZYBYLINSKI