River Flood Warning 71, NWS St. Louis, MO

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 290139
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
839 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE ...BLACK RIVER... NEAR
ANNAPOLIS AFFECTING REYNOLDS COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC179-300139-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-090430T0312Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.090428T1827Z.090428T2145Z.090429T0312Z.NO/
839 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY.
* AT 8:15 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   04/29  04/30  05/01  05/02  05/03

BLACK RIVER
  ANNAPOLIS         8    8.07       7.3    5.5    4.9    4.6    4.5

000 
WGUS83 KLSX 291401
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
901 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS AFFECTING REYNOLDS COUNTY


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS WILL BE THE LAST STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT
ALONG THE BLACK RIVER...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC179-291431-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0071.000000T0000Z-090430T0312Z/
/ANNM7.1.ER.090428T1827Z.090428T2145Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
901 AM CDT WED APR 29 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK RIVER NEAR ANNAPOLIS.
* AT  8:15 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 7.9 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   04/30  05/01  05/02  05/03  05/04

BLACK RIVER
  ANNAPOLIS         8    6.71       5.5    5.1    4.9    4.8    4.8

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1246 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/438 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2009/
CDFNT EXTDD FM NR STL SW TO UNO ATTM WITH SHRA AND A FEW TSRA AHD OF
IT FM NR ELLINGTON MO TO SALEM IL WHERE LOW-MID LVL WAA CONTD ALONG
AXIS OF SWLY LLJ. MDLS ALSO WERE SHOWING UPR LVL DIVERGENCE ACRS
PTNS OF SERN MO AND SRN IL IN RGT ENTRANCE REGION OF ULJ MAX OVER
THE GRT LKS REGION. WILL CONT MAINLY CHC POPS TDA AND TGT OVER THE
SERN PTN OF THE CWA AS THIS CDFNT WILL SLOW ITS SEWD PROGRESS...
EXTDG FM SERN IL SW THRU NRN AR BY 00Z WED. MDLS CONT TO SPIT OUT
LGT QPF SE OF STL TDA AND TGT. MAX TEMPS TDA WILL BE COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY AS NWLY WNDS BHND THE CDFNT HAVE BROUGHT COOLER AIR INTO
MUCH OF THE CWA EARLY THIS MRNG. LOW LVL CLOUDS WILL ALSO HINDER
SOLAR INSOLATION TDA. THE CLRG LINE ADVCTG SEWD THRU NWRN MO ATTM
WILL CONT TO DROP SEWD THRU THE NRN AND WRN PTN OF THE CWA THIS
MRNG...BUT THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF DIURNAL CUMULUS AND
STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS DVLPG IN THE WAKE OF THE CLRG LN AS THE MDLS
INDICATE PLENTY OF LOW LVL MOISTURE PRESENT TDA...ALSO THE SFC WNDS
WILL VEER ARND TO A E-NELY DIRECTION THIS AFTN HINDERING THE CLRG.
LOW LVL CLOUDS WILL CONT TGT...ANY AREAS WITH PARTIAL CLRG SHOULD
HAVE STRATUS AND FOG DEVELOPMENT LT TGT. THE THREAT OF PCPN SHOULD
SHIFT BACK N-NEWD THRU THE CWA ON WED AS THIS WK FNT BGNS TO MOVE
BACK NWD AS A WRMFNT. MDLS ARE ALSO FCSTG A WK SHRTWV TO MOVE NEWD
THRU NRN MO WED EVNG WHILE A STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ TRANSLATES
NEWD THRU THE CWA WED NGT. THE NAM MDL SPREADS HIGHER K INDICES
NEWD THRU THE CWA WED AFTN AND EVNG WITH K INDICES INCRSG INTO
THE LWR TO MID 30S WED NGT ACRS MOST OF THE CWA. THE WRMFNT SHOULD
PUSH N-NE OF THE CWA BY THU BUT A CDFNT WILL BE APPROACHING FM THE
NRN PLAINS AS A STG MID LVL LOW MOVES NEWD THRU THE NRN PLAINS.
THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AND MDL INCONSISTENCY WITH THE
TIMING OF THIS CDFNT BUT IT APRS THAT IT WILL MOVE SLOWLY SEWD
THRU THE CWA THU NGT AND FRI WITH THE CONTD THREAT OF SHRA/TSRA
ALONG AND AHD OF IT.

GKS

&&

.AVIATION...
/1241 PM CDT TUE APR 28 2009/
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...MAIN ISSUE IS WHAT TO DO WITH THE LOW CLOUDS.
WITH NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW I AM NOT OPTIMISTIC THERE WILL BE A
LOT OF IMPROVEMENT. CIGS IN THE AREA ARE STILL BELOW 010. PILOT
REPORT OVER STL HAD A DECK FROM 09 - 20 AND MORE ABOVE THAT. LATEST
VISSIBLE IMAGERY DOES SHOW A BIT OF A HOLE TO TEH SW DEVELOPING
BUT EVEN THEIR THE CIG IS STILL 015. DID BRING UP COU AND UIN TO
025 FOR A WHILE BUT AM STARTING TO RETHINK THAT FOR UIN. AFTER
COORDINATION WITH CWSU HAVE LEFT STL NO HIGHER THAN 012.

JPK

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
&&

WFO LSX

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
536 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-291045-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
536 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI AND SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS...SOUTH AND EAST OF ST LOUIS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

MODERATE FLOODING CONTINUES ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER. PLEASE SEE
THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT AS A STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR
THE EASTERN OZARKS AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS AS ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM
PASSES TO THE SOUTH.

MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS
RIVER. PLEASE SEE THE APPROPRIATE FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

GKS