Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 31, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 9, 2009Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2009, 8:09 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 12, 2009, 4:16 AM CDT. It was in force for 5 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2009, 8:09 PM CDT (01:09 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 12, 2009, 4:16 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 17, 2009, 11:07 AM CDT
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Moderate

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Old Monroe (OMNM7).

Action stage
22 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
27 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514705, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 100109
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
809 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER IN ADDITION TO AN AVERAGE OF 1.5 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC113-110109-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090311T2018Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.2.ER.090311T2018Z.090313T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
809 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE 
  WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 PM THE RIVER STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 17.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
  CREST NEAR 28.4 FEET FRIDAY MORNING. 

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/10  03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24    E17.6     19.4   22.3   27.1   28.4   27.9
14 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 101409
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT INCLUDE A 3
TO 4 INCH STORM TOTAL ENDING THIS MORNING...

HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-111409-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T1021Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T0000Z.090314T1021Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC111-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090315T0834Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090311T0000Z.090314T0834Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.8 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.


$$

MOC113-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0032Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.2.ER.090312T0032Z.090313T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE 8:15 AM STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 19.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0030.090310T1342Z-090312T2149Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090310T1109Z.090311T0000Z.090311T2149Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.5 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.


$$

MOC127-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090315T0336Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T1200Z.090314T0336Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:01 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.8 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.93      19.2   18.3   16.7   11.7    8.2

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.02      18.1   16.3   13.6   10.6    8.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E19.1      21.9   25.8   27.0   26.7   26.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   14.55      14.7   10.2    7.6    6.4    6.2

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.68      13.8   12.4   10.7    8.6    5.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 110052
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON RAINFALL AMOUNTS UPWARDS TO ONE HALF
INCH TODAY IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL 
DAYS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-120052-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090313T1054Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090312T1054Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC111-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T0600Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-090312T1727Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090310T1109Z.090310T2115Z.090311T1727Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, IS 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC113-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0421Z-090318T0959Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0421Z.090313T1200Z.090316T2159Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 18...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MARCH 18.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC127-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0700Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T1800Z.090313T0700Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.10      15.7   10.8    7.7    6.0    6.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   18.32      18.3   16.3   14.1    8.9    6.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   17.00      14.0    8.5    5.7    5.1    4.9

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E19.60      21.1   25.2   26.0   25.8   25.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.17      12.5   10.9    9.0    6.3    4.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 111352
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 
  
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC111-121352-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1800Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.2 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC111-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090314T0036Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090313T0036Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.


$$

MOC113-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0430Z-090318T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0430Z.090313T1200Z.090317T0959Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 18...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MARCH 18TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* AT 7:30 AM THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.9 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 26.8 FRIDAY MORNING AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE NEXT WEDNESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090313T0900Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090312T0900Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.83      18.1   14.1    8.9    6.4    5.7

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   17.21      13.2    9.2    7.3    6.6    5.9

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E20.9      25.3   26.8   26.2   25.6   25.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.39       9.3    7.6    5.9    4.2    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 120119
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-130119-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1700Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC111-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090315T0834Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090314T0834Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC113-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0916Z-090317T1559Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0916Z.090313T0600Z.090316T0359Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.1 FEET FRIDAY AND 
  THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MODERATE FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0700Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T0700Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.61      18.1   14.1    8.9    6.4    5.7

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   17.02      16.5   13.6   10.6    8.3    6.8

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E22.30      24.5   26.1   25.7   24.8   23.7

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.53      11.0    9.0    6.3    4.2    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 121717
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY
  LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...

  ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA AFFECTING MORGAN AND PIKE COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING PIKE AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN AFFECTING CALHOUN AND JERSEY COUNTIES
  MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD AFFECTING JEFFERSON AND ST. LOUIS 
  COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION
EVENTS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC009-131717-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLGI2.3.ER.090311T2200Z.090319T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...THE LOCK WALL IS COMPLETELY OVERTOPPED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE EARTHEN PART OF THE DAM IS OVERTOPPED.

$$

ILC137-149-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI2.3.ER.090304T0645Z.090319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 435.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 432.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 441.0 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 441.0 FEET...FLOOD FIGHTING ACTIVITIES BEGIN AT BIG   
  SWAN LAKE AND DAM
* IMPACT...AT 440.7 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO BE MET OR 
  EXCEEDED ON AVERAGE ONCE EVERY 5 YEARS.
* IMPACT...AT 440.4 FEET...MEREDOSIA LAKE ROAD OVERTOPPED
* IMPACT...AT 440.2 FEET...LOW ROADS IN FLORENCE OVERTOPPED
* IMPACT...AT 440.0 FEET...CARGILL COMPANY IN FLORENCE BEGINS FLOOD 
  FIGHTING ACTIVITIES
* IMPACT...AT 438.0 FEET...MAIN ROAD IN VALLEY CITY OVERTOPPED


$$

ILC149-171-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.2.ER.090215T2125Z.090320T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...COMMERCIAL BUILDING IS FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...ROAD TO NORBUT FISH AND WILDLIFE AREA 
  FLOODED.

$$

ILC013-083-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.090311T1052Z.090320T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...THE FERRY SERVICE IS INTERRUPTED
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...THE RIVER ROAD IN BEDFORD BECOMES FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  UNPROTECTED AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS.


$$

ILC009-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-090315T2120Z/
/RIPI2.2.ER.090311T0430Z.090313T1200Z.090314T2120Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...TOWNSHIP ROAD, DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE ON      
  THE RIGHT BANK, BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  10,000 ACRES ARE 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL 
  DAMAGES BEGIN.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW.

$$

MOC113-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090313T1200Z.090315T2159Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT NOON THURSDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26 FEET ON FRIDAY. THE RIVER   
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC099-189-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0037.090313T0600Z-090319T1030Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.090313T0600Z.090315T1200Z.090318T1030Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MARCH 19...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC073-139-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-090313T1800Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.090312T1800Z.090312T1800Z.090312T1800Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

MOC127-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T1630Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090310T2115Z.090313T1630Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17

ILLINOIS RIVER
  LA GRANGE LD T   23   24.0      25.3   26.6   27.5   28.1   28.5
  MEREDOSIA        432  435.5     436.8  438.0  439.1  439.8  440.3
  VALLEY CITY      11   15.5      16.7   17.9   18.8   19.4   20.1
  HARDIN           25   26.4      26.9   27.5   28.1   28.7   29.1

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   23.5      24.5   23.2   18.8   12.4   10.2

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E25.1     25.8   25.4   24.4   23.4   22.2

MERAMEC RIVER
  ARNOLD           24   20.6      25.0   26.8   27.5   26.9   25.5

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22  E21.9      21.5   19.8   18.3   16.9   13.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.7      10.1    6.6    4.2    3.7    3.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 130159
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK AND
ASSOCIATIVE RUNOFF...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-140159-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090313T1200Z.090314T1912Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED 24.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.2 FEET FRIDAY MORNING AND
  THEN BEGIN TO FALL.

$$

MOC111-140158-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T0037Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1700Z.090314T0037Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC127-140158-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0916Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T0916Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E24.70      25.2   24.4   22.8   21.8   21.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.92      15.2    8.9    6.4    5.7    5.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.83       9.0    6.3    4.2    3.7    3.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 131616
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1116 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACK WATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-141616-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T1030Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090313T1800Z.090314T2230Z.NO/
1116 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 25.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SATURDAY EVENING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17  03/18

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E25.3      24.7   23.1   22.4   22.2   21.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 141303
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
803 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACK WATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-151303-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T1030Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090314T1800Z.090314T2230Z.NO/
803 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SATURDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 24.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/15  03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E24.7      23.1   22.4   22.2   21.5   20.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 150201
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
900 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATIONAND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-160200-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090317T1630Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T0600Z.090316T0430Z.NO/
900 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED 25.3 FEET
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. 

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/15  03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E25.3      24.9   23.6   22.5   21.6   20.8
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 151428
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
928 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACK WATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-161428-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090317T1930Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T1800Z.090316T0730Z.NO/
928 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE RIVER STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 24.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24    E24.9     23.7   22.6   21.6   20.7   19.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 160135
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
835 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACK WATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-170135-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090318T0000Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T1520Z.090316T1200Z.NO/
835 PM CDT SUN MAR 15 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:20 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  MONDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   24.90      24.0   22.9   21.7   20.7   19.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 161535
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1035 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACK WATER EFFECTS FROM THE 
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-171535-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090318T0600Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T1520Z.090316T1800Z.NO/
1035 AM CDT MON MAR 16 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 24.3 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E24.3      23.2   22.1   21.1   19.9   18.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 170239
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
939 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF BACKWATER EFFECTS FROM THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-180231-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090318T0231Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T1520Z.090316T1431Z.NO/
939 PM CDT MON MAR 16 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10:20 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/17  03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   24.90      23.2   22.1   21.1   19.9   18.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 171607
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1107 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FROM THIS FLOODING EVENT...

&&

MOC113-171637-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090318T0231Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090315T1520Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1107 AM CDT TUE MAR 17 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE.
* NO FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* AT 7 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 23.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO NEAR 22.4 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/18  03/19  03/20  03/21  03/22

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E23.6      22.4   21.2   19.8   18.5   17.9

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 4:24 PM CDT, 3 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 4:24 PM CDT, 3 hours 45 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
424 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/424 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009/

MODELS ARE IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT THRU MID WEEK ON MASS FIELDS AS
EWD TRANSVERSING LONGWAVE H500 TROF OVER THE WRN CONUS TAKES A SWIPE
AT THE MID MS VALLEY BEFORE IT RETREATS INTO CANADA. TWO SHORTWAVES
OF INTEREST TO IMPACT THE AREA IN THE MEANTIME...WITH A SUBTLE WAVE
MOVING THRU TONIGHT COINCIDENT WITH A SFC WRMFNT...AND WILL ALSO BE
AT THE VANGUARD OF RICH AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE THAT CAN CLEARLY
BE SEEN ON WV IMAGERY FROM THE ERN PAC. THE SECOND WAVE WILL THEN BE
THE GLANCING BLOW DELIVERED ON LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY EVENING
COINCIDENT WITH A STRONG CDFNT AT THE LO LEVELS.

60F DEWPOINT AIR IS MASSING AT THE BORDER OF MO/AR...AND WITH
LIFTING OF WRMFNT OVER NRN AR NOW BEGINNING...THIS AIR SHOULD BE
OVERSPREADING THE FA BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING. WELL BEFORE
THEN...DEEP MOISTURE AT THE MID LEVELS AND JUST OFF THE SFC WILL
INUNDATE THE AREA...AS PWATS RISE TO 1.5 INCHES OR 300PCT OF NORMAL.
COMBO OF THIS RICH MOISTURE AND A SLOWLY NWD LIFTING WRMFNT AND
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL DEVELOP AND FOCUS SHRA/TSRA ACROSS
MAINLY THE NRN HALF OF THE FA LATER THIS EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. HAVE CONTINUED THE FFA IN THE NRN FA...WHERE HIGH
RAINFALL POTENTIAL INTERSECTS WITH ALREADY MOSTLY SATURATED GROUND
FROM PREVIOUS RAINS.

THE BEST SVR POTENTIAL THRU LATE TONIGHT WILL BE ALONG THE SRN
PERIPHERY OF THIS DEVELOPING RAINFALL AREA...WHICH COULD EXTEND S OF
THE I-70 CORRIDOR.

LEFTOVER CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE THRU TUESDAY MORNING OVER THE NRN
FA...AND WHILE WE SHOULD SEE A BREAK IN THE STRONG/SVR TSRA
POTENTIAL FROM ABOUT MID MORNING TUESDAY THRU MID AFTERNOON
TUESDAY...CDFNT AND STRENGTHENING BROAD SCALE LIFT WILL IGNITE A NEW
ROUND OF TSRA BY LATE TUES AFTN AND THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THRU
LATE TUESDAY EVENING. STRONG SHEAR...STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE NEAR
FRONT AND RICH MOISTURE WILL ALLOW A NEW ROUND OF STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL THEN BE FOLLOWED BY STRONG GUSTY WINDS
BEHIND THE CDFNT...NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS WE SAW A COUPLE DAYS
AGO...BUT COMPARABLE.

A PERIOD OF QUIET WX WILL THEN FOLLOW AS LARGE COOL CANADIAN HI PRES
BUILDS IN AND DOMINATES THE REGION THRU THURSDAY.

FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD (THURSDAY NIGHT - MONDAY)...MODELS IN A FAIR
AMOUNT OF DISAGREEMENT OVER THIS PERIOD...BUT MORE STEADY ENSEMBLES
AND BETTER VERIFYING ECMWF USED FOR GUIDANCE OVERALL. LOOK FOR WEAK
H500 RIDGE TO MOVE ACROSS THE FA ON SATURDAY...WHICH WILL ALSO
SIGNAL THE BEGINNING OF THE END OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE
CANADIAN SFC HI PRES. MID LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE SWLY FOR SUNDAY AS
A SHORTWAVE MOVES THRU ON MONDAY WITH A DEEP LONGWAVE TROF
DEVELOPING OVER THE CNTRL CONUS FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE NEXT WEEK. KEPT
THE FORECAST DRY FOR THE MOST PART...BUT PLACED TOKEN 20PCT POPS IN
FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS PATTERN SHIFTS TO A WETTER ONE FOR A BRIEF
PERIOD. TEMPS WILL BEGIN THE PERIOD BELOW NORMAL...BUT ARE EXPECTED
TO RECOVER TO SEASONAL LEVELS DURING THE WEEKEND.

TES

&&

.AVIATION...
/1255 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009/

FOR THE 18Z TAFS...LOW LEVEL STRATUS HAS SLOWLY ERODED...BUT REMAINS
OVER KUIN AS OF FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME. IN THE MEANTIME...MID AND
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS LOW-MID LEVEL WAA
INCREASES OVER THE CWA. ALSO...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
SOUTHWESTERN MO SINCE TAFS WERE ISSUED...SO WILL NEED TO ADD
MENTION TO KCOU IN AN AMENDMENT IN THE NEAR FUTURE.
OTHERWISE...MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK SHOULD LOWER TONIGHT AND TSRA ARE
ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA ESPECIALLY OVER PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEASTERN MO INTO WEST CENTRAL IL AS A WARM
FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA AND AS AN INTENSIFYING LLJ
BRINGS INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK INTO THE AREA. INCLUDED
TSRA IN THE TAFS LATER THIS EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. TAF SITES ALONG I-70 CORRIDOR SHOULD SEE A BREAK IN THE
PCPN DURING THE MORNING HOURS TOMORROW UNTIL A VIGOROUS COLD FRONT
SLIDES THROUGH LATE TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

BYRD

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR AUDRAIN-KNOX-LEWIS-
     MARION-MONROE-RALLS-SHELBY.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR ADAMS IL-BROWN IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 4:05 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
405 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-101200-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
405 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
REGION...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR...
AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD. THESE STORMS WILL TEND TO FOCUS
THE MOST OVER AREAS IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS...WHERE HEAVY RAINFALL IS A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY AND A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...PLEASE
REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
AREAWIDE. THE SEVERE THREAT WILL PRIMARILY BE FOR LARGE HAIL THIS
EVENING...BUT EVOLVE INTO PRIMARILY A DAMAGING WIND THREAT TOWARDS
DAYBREAK. AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...EITHER.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO
THE LATEST STORM PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE ONCE AGAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE REGION...AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES EASTWARD. INITIALLY THESE
STORMS WILL FOCUS THE MOST OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WHERE THE LEFTOVER WARM FRONT WILL EXIST...
AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO THE WATCH PRODUCT.

IN ADDITION...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
AREAWIDE. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
ON CONVECTIVE WATCHES...PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST STORM
PREDICTION CENTER WATCH PRODUCTS.

WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES
THROUGH. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE WITH SOME GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE...MAINLY FROM LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH OVERNIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

TES

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 9, 3:10 PM CDT, 4 hours 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
310 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     TSTM WND GST     5 NNE ELSBERRY          39.24N  90.75W
03/08/2009  E90 MPH          PIKE               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRAIGHT LINE WINDS PUSHED HOME OFF PILINGS AND REMOVED
            ALL ROOFING MATERIAL FROM ADJACENT HOME. STORM WITNESSED
            BY EM DIRECTOR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901612

TES
Local storm report, Mar 9, 7:35 PM CDT, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
735 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 NNW BLOOMSDALE        38.10N  90.27W
03/08/2009                   STE. GENEVIEVE     MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE CONSTRUCTION CRANE BLOWN DOWN...CORRECTION FOR
            LOCATION AND TIME

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME...LOCATION...REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901611

TRUETT
Local storm report, Mar 9, 7:37 PM CDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
737 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 AM     HAIL             10 NW BLOOMSDALE        38.11N  90.35W
03/08/2009  E1.50 INCH       JEFFERSON          MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901613

TRUETT
Local storm report, Mar 9, 7:41 PM CDT, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
741 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1020 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 W SHIRLEY             37.92N  91.04W
03/08/2009                   WASHINGTON         MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            TREE DAMAGE ALONG HIGHWAY B

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901614

TRUETT
Local storm report, Mar 9, 7:43 PM CDT, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
743 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 AM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NNW CHERRYVILLE       37.93N  91.33W
03/08/2009                   CRAWFORD           MO   NWS STORM SURVEY

            ROOF DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOME

&&

EVENT NUMBER LSX0901615

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 8:03 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion33 hr
Mar 9, 10:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles9 days
Mar 9, 10:08 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis4 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.