Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2009
River Flood Warning 269, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 23, 2009, 8:52 PM CST for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Dec 25, 2009, 8:40 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2009, 8:52 PM CST (02:52 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 25, 2009, 8:40 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 24, 2009, 9:25 PM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Marion County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 13.84 ft at Dec 25, 2009, 8:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 11 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 16 ft
- Major stage
- 22 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WGUS43 KLSX 240252
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
852 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
NORTH RIVER AT ...PALMYRA AFFECTING ...MARION COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON 1.3 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN
PREDICTED.
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS CHANGE.
SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE
PASSAGE.
THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER
CASE/
&&
MOC127-250252-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0269.091225T0318Z-091226T1851Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.091225T0318Z.091225T1200Z.091225T1851Z.NO/
852 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A
* FLOOD WARNING FOR
THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* FROM THURSDAY TO FRIDAY.
* AT 8:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TOMORROW EVENING
AND THEN RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET FRIDAY MORNING AND FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA
INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
$$
&&
FLD LATEST 7AM FORECAST
LOCATION STG OBS STG 12/24 12/25 12/26 12/27 12/28
NORTH RIVER
PALMYRA 13 5.67 7.2 14.3 9.4 6.2 5.42 follow-up statements
000
WGUS83 KLSX 241612
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1012 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN
MISSOURI...
NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPWARDS OF 1.50 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION RECEIVED THE PAST 24 HOURS...WITH AN ADDITIONAL 1.00
INCH FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.
SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE
PASSAGE.
THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER
CASE/
&&
MOC127-251612-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0269.091225T1440Z-091226T2217Z/
/PALM7.1.ER.091225T1440Z.091225T1800Z.091225T2217Z.NO/
1012 AM CST THU DEC 24 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* FROM FRIDAY MORNING TO SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE
TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY FRIDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER
WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA
INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO
FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE. MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.
$$
&&
FLD LATEST 7AM FORECAST
LOCATION STG OBS STG 12/25 12/26 12/27 12/28 12/29
NORTH RIVER
PALMYRA 13 8.62 12.6 10.6 6.9 5.6 5.2000
WGUS83 KLSX 250326
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
925 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSOURI...
NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS WILL BE THE LAST FLOOD STATEMENT WRITTEN FOR THIS POINT.
THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER
CASE/
&&
MOC127-250355-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0269.000000T0000Z-091226T2217Z/
/PALM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
925 PM CST THU DEC 24 2009
THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA.
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 9.2 FEET
TOMORROW EVENING.
$$
&&
FLD LATEST 7AM FORECAST
LOCATION STG OBS STG 12/25 12/26 12/27 12/28 12/29
NORTH RIVER
PALMYRA 13 8.12 8.2 8.0 5.7 5.1 5.1What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 23, 8:50 PM CST, 2 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 8:50 PM CST, 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
850 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009
.UPDATE...
/850 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009/
EDGED MIN TEMPS OVERNIGHT UP A LITTLE BIT...OTHERWISE FORECAST
LOOKS TO BE RIGHT ON THE MONEY. MOST AREAS EXPERIENCING A BREAK IN
THE ACTION NOW BUT SMALL CLUSTER OF TSRA MOVING INTO CNTRL MO ATTM
AND HAS RESULTED IN SMALL HAIL REPORTS BEING RECEIVED. THE NEXT
MAJOR SLUG OF RAINFALL AND IMBEDDED TSRA IS DEVELOPING NOW IN AR
AND WILL PUSH NWD INTO THE FA AFTER MIDNIGHT AND IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THRU THURS MORNING AT LEAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
VALUES...AND COMBINED WITH ANTECEDENT CONDS...COULD VERY WELL LEAD
TO SOME FFW ISSUANCES.
NEW 00Z NAM IS INTRIGUING AT BEST...AND DISTURBING AT LEAST...
WITH DEF ZONE QUITE A BIT FARTHER E INTO ERN MO THAN PREVIOUS
RUNS. WILL NEED TO WAIT AND SEE IF THIS IS AN OUTLIER OR A TREND
OVERNIGHT AND ACT ACCORDINGLY. IF TRUE...COULD SEE SEVERAL INCHES
OF SNOW EARLY CHRISTMAS MORNING.
TES
&&
.DISCUSSION...
/318 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009/
LOTS OF QUESTIONS WITH THIS FORECAST INCLUDES THE THREAT OF
FLOODING...ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. HAVE FOLLOWED
ALONG WITH A BLEND OF THE LATEST ECMWF/NAM GUIDANCE WHICH FALL IN
THE MIDDLE OF THE OTHER GUIDANCE. GFS SUFFERS FROM CONVECTIVE
FEEDBACK THE NEXT FEW DAYS WHICH IS REFLECTED IN ITS QPF FIELDS.
IT ALSO HAS TROUBLE PHASING THE TWO UPPER LOWS BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
THE CANADIAN GEM IS ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE MODEL SUITE WITH THE
TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW...THOUGH NOT AS FAR EAST AS IT DID ON THE
00Z RUN.
REGARDING THE FLOODING POTENTIAL...SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN CENTRAL
MISSOURI AND SOUTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS HAVE ALREADY SEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF RAINFALL. FLOOD WATCH HAS ALREADY BEEN EXPANDED TO INCLUDE THE
REMAINING CENTRAL MO COUNTIES AND WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH TOMORROW
EVENING. ADDITONAL SHRA/TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED TO THE SOUTHWEST AND
WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION THIS EVENING. MODELS STILL SHOW
IMPRESSIVE FORCING AND UNSEASONABLY HIGH PWATS ADVECTING INTO THE
AREA THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM 1.5-2 OVER CNTRL/NERN MO TO OVER 2.5 IN SERN MO/S CNTRL
ILLINOIS WHERE THE LOW LEVEL FORCING WILL BE MORE FOCUSED.
WINDS WILL CERTAINLY PICK UP IN THE WARM SECTOR TOMORROW...WITH
SUSTAINED WINDS IN THE 15 TO 30 MPH RANGE3 WITH SOME HIGHER
GUSTS. NOT QUITE ENOUGH TO REQUIRE AN ADVISORY SO WILL HIT THE
WORDING HARD IN THE HWO. COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CWA FROM
WEST TO EAST ON THURSDAY EVENING AND PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND
FROPA WILL REMAIN TIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE COLD AIR
ADVECTION.
WINTER WISE...RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST AS THE
FRONT PASSES THROUGH TOMORROW NIGHT. THE BEST MID LEVEL FORCING AND
850 MB LOW TRACK CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL BE A TIGHT
GRADIENT OF SNOWFALL OVER CENTRAL MO. LOOKS LIKE ADVISORY CRITERIA
SNOW WILL STAY JUST WEST OF THE CWA DURING THIS PERIOD. MAY STILL
SEE 1-2 INCHES TOMORROW NIGHT INTO FRIDAY ON THE EASTERN EDGE OF
THE DEFORMATION ZONE. STILL LOOKS LIKE A DECENT SET UP FOR SNOW
SHOWERS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY TO THE NORTH OF I-70 CONSIDERING THE
STEEP LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW LEVELS IN ADDITION TO THE ABUDANT
MOISTURE AND CYCLONIC CURVATURE.
HAVENT CHANGED THE FORECAST MUCH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS I EXPECT THERE
STILL WILL BE LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES AS UPPER LOW
REMAINS IN RELATIVELY CLOSE PROXIMITY TO US THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
BEFORE IT LIFTS NEWD. RIDGING THEN BUILDS IN PROVIDING DRY WEATHER
FOR AT LEAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY. BOTH THE ECMWF/GEFS MEAN ARE
SHOWING ANOTHER TROUGH REACHING THE MIDWEST BY WEDNESDAY...BUT
LACK OF DECENT MODEL CONTINUITY AND BLOCKINESS OF THE UPPER
PATTERN OVER THE WEEKEND TELLS ME TO KEEP FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.
BRITT
&&
.AVIATION...
/603 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009/
FOR THE 00Z TAFS...CIGS TO REMAIN IFR/LIFR THROUGH TAF FORECAST
PERIOD AT ALL LOCATIONS. MAIN ISSUE IS VSBYS WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN
FROM TIME TO TIME AND EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS WHICH WILL BECOME
GUSTY LATER TONIGHT AND THROUGH TOMORROW.
BYRD
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR AUDRAIN-BOONE-CALLAWAY-
COLE-CRAWFORD-FRANKLIN-GASCONADE-IRON-JEFFERSON-KNOX-LEWIS-
LINCOLN-MADISON-MARION-MONITEAU-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-OSAGE-
PIKE-RALLS-REYNOLDS-SHELBY-ST. CHARLES-ST. FRANCOIS-ST.
LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-STE. GENEVIEVE-WARREN-WASHINGTON.
IL...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-BROWN
IL-CALHOUN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-JERSEY IL-
MACOUPIN IL-MADISON IL-MARION IL-MONROE IL-MONTGOMERY IL-
PIKE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL-WASHINGTON IL.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, Dec 23, 3:52 PM CST, 5 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 352 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-241215- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS- SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE- CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN- ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON- ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS- 352 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BRING HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES TONIGHT. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE THE FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE WHICH COULD CAUSE FLOODING IF IT FALLS ON GROUND THAT IS ALREADY SATURATED OR STILL FROZEN. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE THE FLOOD WATCH. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CAUSE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SAME STORM SYSTEM MAY BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL BETWEEN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. HOLIDAY TRAVELERS SHOULD FREQUENTLY CHECK FOR UPDATED FORECASTS THE NEXT FEW DAYS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ANY FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. && FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1 BRITT
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Dec 23, 8:05 PM CST, 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 805 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009 MOZ041-047-240300- BOONE MO-MONITEAU MO- 805 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN BOONE AND NORTHERN MONITEAU COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CST... AT 802 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CALIFORNIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE... ASHLAND... COLUMBIA... JAMESTOWN... EASLEY... MIDWAY... KLIEVER... SANDY HOOK... WILTON... LUPUS... MCBAINE... IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. TES
Local storm report, Dec 23, 8:28 PM CST, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
828 PM CST WED DEC 23 2009
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0755 PM HAIL CLARKSBURG 38.66N 92.67W
12/23/2009 E0.25 INCH MONITEAU MO PUBLIC
&&
EVENT NUMBER LSX0900432
BYRDThe office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 8:32 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Jefferson | 49 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:04 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 53 hr |
| Dec 23, 11:31 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Audrain, Pike, Ralls | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 3:56 AM CST | Winter Storm Watch | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Knox, Lewis and 6 more | 11 hr |
| Dec 24, 5:41 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Pike, Ralls | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 11:31 AM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Ralls | 6 hr |
| Dec 24, 1:48 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Iron, Madison, Reynolds, Sainte Genevieve, Saint Francois, Washington | 8 hr |
| Dec 24, 5:45 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LSX | Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 6 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.