Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 23, NWS St. Louis, MO

March 9, 2009Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2009, 11:39 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Mar 10, 2009, 1:45 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2009, 11:39 AM CDT (16:39 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 10, 2009, 1:45 AM CDT
Expired
Mar 14, 2009, 7:59 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Flood severity
Minor

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Fabius River near Taylor (TAYM7). The gauge peaked at 12.24 ft at Mar 10, 2009, 8:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate5101503/0903/1003/1103/1203/1303/1403/15
Action stage
8 ft
Minor stage
10 ft
Moderate stage
14 ft
Major stage
19 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05500000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS43 KLSX 091640
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1139 AM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A FLOOD 
WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI... 

   SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN 
PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING 
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC127-101639-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0023.090310T0112Z-090314T1200Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0112Z.090311T0000Z.090313T1200Z.NO/
1139 AM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ST LOUIS HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR 
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE TO 
  RISE TO NEAR 12.8 FEET BY TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$


&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/10  03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    8.72      11.1   12.6   10.8    9.5    6.4
11 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 100058
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
758 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UPWARDS OF AROUND 3 INCHES OF 
PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN 
OVER THE PAST 48 HOURS WITH AN AVERAGE OF 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION 
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS...

HEAVY RAINS COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE EVEN HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.  

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION 
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-110057-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090315T0920Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090312T0600Z.090314T0920Z.NO/
758 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 17.7 FEET BY TUESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC111-110058-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T1140Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090312T1200Z.090314T1140Z.NO/
758 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 19.7 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-110057-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.090310T0645Z-090315T0600Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.090310T0645Z.090312T0000Z.090314T0600Z.NO/
758 PM CDT MON MAR 09 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:30 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.9 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY AND 
  CREST NEAR 14.0 FEET BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/10  03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   15.61      17.5   17.2   18.0   14.5   10.6

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   14.73      15.9   19.1   19.7   18.5   11.9

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    8.89      10.2   13.4   12.8   11.0    8.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 101409
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THAT INCLUDE A 3
TO 4 INCH STORM TOTAL ENDING THIS MORNING...

HEAVY RAIN COULD CAUSE RIVER LEVELS TO RISE HIGHER THAN PREDICTED.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-111409-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T1021Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T0000Z.090314T1021Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 19.7 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC111-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090315T0834Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090311T0000Z.090314T0834Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.0 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 18.8 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.


$$

MOC113-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0032Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.2.ER.090312T0032Z.090313T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* THE 8:15 AM STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 19.1 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 22.0 FEET TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0030.090310T1342Z-090312T2149Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090310T1109Z.090311T0000Z.090311T2149Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 17.5 FEET THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.


$$

MOC127-111408-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090315T0336Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T1200Z.090314T0336Z.NO/
909 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8:01 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 13.8 FEET TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.8 FEET...3000 ACRES ARE FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.93      19.2   18.3   16.7   11.7    8.2

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.02      18.1   16.3   13.6   10.6    8.3

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E19.1      21.9   25.8   27.0   26.7   26.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   14.55      14.7   10.2    7.6    6.4    6.2

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.68      13.8   12.4   10.7    8.6    5.9
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 110052
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...

 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS BASED ON RAINFALL AMOUNTS UPWARDS TO ONE HALF
INCH TODAY IN ADDITION TO ACCUMULATED RAINFALL OVER THE PAST SEVERAL 
DAYS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-120052-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090313T1054Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090312T1054Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.1 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.

$$

MOC111-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.2.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T0600Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 18.9 FEET BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT WEDNESDAY. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE NEAR
  THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-090312T1727Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.090310T1109Z.090310T2115Z.090311T1727Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH RIVER AT PALMYRA
* UNTIL THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...AGRICULTURAL LAND ALONG THE LEFT BANK BEGINS
  FLOODING NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 341, NORTH OF PALMYRA, IS 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  LEFT BANK BEGINS 
  TO FLOOD NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MARION COUNTY RD 341 NORTH OF PALMYRA 
  INUNDATED. SIGNIFICANT AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING...RIGHT BANK.
* IMPACT...AT 13.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 333, EAST OF PALMYRA, BEGINS TO 
  FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

MOC113-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0421Z-090318T0959Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0421Z.090313T1200Z.090316T2159Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 18...THE FLOOD 
WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MARCH 18.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING AND CREST NEAR 26.0 FEET EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC127-120051-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0700Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T1800Z.090313T0700Z.NO/
752 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:30 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.2 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 13.0 FEET BY 
  WEDNESDAY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...COUNTY HIGHWAY 310 FLOODS JUST WEST OF 
  HIGHWAY 61-24.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/11  03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   18.10      15.7   10.8    7.7    6.0    6.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   18.32      18.3   16.3   14.1    8.9    6.4

NORTH RIVER
  PALMYRA          13   17.00      14.0    8.5    5.7    5.1    4.9

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E19.60      21.1   25.2   26.0   25.8   25.4

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   12.17      12.5   10.9    9.0    6.3    4.2
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 111004
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
504 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF UP TO 2 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
THE PAST 24 HOURS AND NO PRECIPITATION FORECAST IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-121004-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T0200Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1800Z.090314T0200Z.NO/
504 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.5 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.

$$

MOC111-121003-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090313T1700Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090312T1700Z.NO/
504 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.3 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.

$$

MOC127-121003-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090313T1500Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090312T1500Z.NO/
504 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  4:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW LATE MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.54      19.6   17.2   14.8    9.6    7.1

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   17.34      17.1   12.0    8.2    6.5    6.6

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.53      11.5    9.7    7.3    5.5    4.4
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 111352
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

..THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI..
 
  
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS SITUATION
AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/


MOC111-121352-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1800Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO NEAR 20.2 FEET THIS AFTERNOON
  AND FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS DOWNSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 15.7 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS UPSTREAM OF BRIDGE 
  NEAR THE GAGE.


$$

MOC111-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090314T0036Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090313T0036Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL FRIDAY EVENING.
* AT 7:30 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.2 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 17.6 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOWS AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 17.1 FEET...RIGHT BANK BEGINS FLOODING AT THE GAGE.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...CROP DAMAGE BEGINS NEAR MONTICELLO.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...LEFT BANK OVERFLOW DEVELOPS AT THIS HEIGHT 
  TOWARD MONTICELLO.


$$

MOC113-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0430Z-090318T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0430Z.090313T1200Z.090317T0959Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MARCH 18...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM THIS EVENING TO WEDNESDAY MARCH 18TH.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* AT 7:30 AM THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED AT 20.9 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE TO 26.8 FRIDAY MORNING AND FALL 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE NEXT WEDNESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-121351-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090313T0900Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090312T0900Z.NO/
852 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 8 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TOMORROW.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.83      18.1   14.1    8.9    6.4    5.7

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   17.21      13.2    9.2    7.3    6.6    5.9

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E20.9      25.3   26.8   26.2   25.6   25.0

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.39       9.3    7.6    5.9    4.2    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 120119
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE 

  NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING 


THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

MOC111-130119-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090314T2308Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1700Z.090313T2308Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET. 
* MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC111-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-090315T0834Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.090308T2102Z.090310T1845Z.090314T0834Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE NORTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL LATE SATURDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.0 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC113-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.090312T0916Z-090317T1559Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.090312T0916Z.090313T0600Z.090316T0359Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* AT 7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 22.3 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26.1 FEET FRIDAY AND 
  THEN BEGIN TO FALL.
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...RIGHT BANK OVERFLOWS.  MODERATE FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.


$$

MOC127-130118-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0700Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T0700Z.NO/
819 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  7:30 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/12  03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   19.61      18.1   14.1    8.9    6.4    5.7

NORTH FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            11   17.02      16.5   13.6   10.6    8.3    6.8

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E22.30      24.5   26.1   25.7   24.8   23.7

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.53      11.0    9.0    6.3    4.2    3.7
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 121717
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...ILLINOIS...
 
  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY
  LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY
  MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE AFFECTING GASCONADE AND MONTGOMERY 
  COUNTIES
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...

  ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW AFFECTING BROWN COUNTY
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA AFFECTING MORGAN AND PIKE COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY AFFECTING PIKE AND SCOTT COUNTIES
  ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN AFFECTING CALHOUN AND JERSEY COUNTIES
  MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD AFFECTING JEFFERSON AND ST. LOUIS 
  COUNTIES 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF THE RECENT HEAVY PRECIPITATION
EVENTS...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING
SITUATION AND ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS 
CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

ILC009-131717-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/NLGI2.3.ER.090311T2200Z.090319T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT LA GRANGE LD TW
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 24.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 23.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE IS REACHED
* IMPACT...AT 20.5 FEET...THE LOCK WALL IS COMPLETELY OVERTOPPED.
* IMPACT...AT 16.5 FEET...THE EARTHEN PART OF THE DAM IS OVERTOPPED.

$$

ILC137-149-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MROI2.3.ER.090304T0645Z.090319T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT MEREDOSIA
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:15 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 435.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 432.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 441.0 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 441.0 FEET...FLOOD FIGHTING ACTIVITIES BEGIN AT BIG   
  SWAN LAKE AND DAM
* IMPACT...AT 440.7 FEET...THIS LEVEL IS EXPECTED TO BE MET OR 
  EXCEEDED ON AVERAGE ONCE EVERY 5 YEARS.
* IMPACT...AT 440.4 FEET...MEREDOSIA LAKE ROAD OVERTOPPED
* IMPACT...AT 440.2 FEET...LOW ROADS IN FLORENCE OVERTOPPED
* IMPACT...AT 440.0 FEET...CARGILL COMPANY IN FLORENCE BEGINS FLOOD 
  FIGHTING ACTIVITIES
* IMPACT...AT 438.0 FEET...MAIN ROAD IN VALLEY CITY OVERTOPPED


$$

ILC149-171-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/VALI2.2.ER.090215T2125Z.090320T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT VALLEY CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 11.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 20.9 FEET BY 
  THURSDAY EVENING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 18.0 FEET...COMMERCIAL BUILDING IS FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...ROAD TO NORBUT FISH AND WILDLIFE AREA 
  FLOODED.

$$

ILC013-083-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HARI2.1.ER.090311T1052Z.090320T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ILLINOIS RIVER AT HARDIN
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 26.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 25.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 29.5 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING THEN BEGIN FALLING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...THE FERRY SERVICE IS INTERRUPTED
* IMPACT...AT 27.0 FEET...THE RIVER ROAD IN BEDFORD BECOMES FLOODED
* IMPACT...AT 25.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  LOWLAND FLOODING OF 
  UNPROTECTED AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS.


$$

ILC009-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-090315T2120Z/
/RIPI2.2.ER.090311T0430Z.090313T1200Z.090314T2120Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE LA MOINE RIVER AT RIPLEY
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 23.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 24.5 FEET BY 
  FRIDAY MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...TOWNSHIP ROAD, DOWNSTREAM OF THE GAGE ON      
  THE RIGHT BANK, BEGINS TO FLOOD.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING BEGINS.  10,000 ACRES ARE 
  FLOODED.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  FARMLAND FLOODING AND RURAL 
  DAMAGES BEGIN.
* IMPACT...AT 17.0 FEET...BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW.

$$

MOC113-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T2159Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090313T1200Z.090315T2159Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT NOON THURSDAY THE ESTIMATED STAGE WAS 25.1 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 26 FEET ON FRIDAY. THE RIVER   
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY SUNDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 24.0 FEET...INITIAL FLOODING UPSTREAM.  MINOR FLOODING 
  BEGINS.
* IMPACT...AT 23.5 FEET...MINOR AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS TO FLOOD.

$$

MOC099-189-131716-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0037.090313T0600Z-090319T1030Z/
/ARNM7.1.ER.090313T0600Z.090315T1200Z.090318T1030Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MERAMEC RIVER NEAR ARNOLD
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO THURSDAY MARCH 19...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT 10:45 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.6 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AND 
  CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 27.5 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING. THE RIVER 
  WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

$$

MOC073-139-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-090313T1800Z/
/GSCM7.1.ER.090312T1800Z.090312T1800Z.090312T1800Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MISSOURI RIVER AT GASCONADE
* UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  7:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 (ESTIMATED) FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

MOC127-131716-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T1630Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090310T2115Z.090313T1630Z.NO/
1217 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...THE FLOOD WARNING 
CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 11:30 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE FRIDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.
* IMPACT...AT 10.5 FEET...COUNTY ROAD 117 WEST OF TAYLOR FLOODS.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17

ILLINOIS RIVER
  LA GRANGE LD T   23   24.0      25.3   26.6   27.5   28.1   28.5
  MEREDOSIA        432  435.5     436.8  438.0  439.1  439.8  440.3
  VALLEY CITY      11   15.5      16.7   17.9   18.8   19.4   20.1
  HARDIN           25   26.4      26.9   27.5   28.1   28.7   29.1

LA MOINE RIVER
  RIPLEY           22   23.5      24.5   23.2   18.8   12.4   10.2

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24   E25.1     25.8   25.4   24.4   23.4   22.2

MERAMEC RIVER
  ARNOLD           24   20.6      25.0   26.8   27.5   26.9   25.5

MISSOURI RIVER
  GASCONADE        22  E21.9      21.5   19.8   18.3   16.9   13.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.7      10.1    6.6    4.2    3.7    3.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 122005
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
305 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK AND
ASSOCIATIVE RUNOFF...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC111-132005-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T0000Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1700Z.090314T0000Z.NO/
305 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC127-132004-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0710Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T0710Z.NO/
305 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 2:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY.


$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   17.51      14.8    9.1    6.6    5.9    5.3

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   11.37       8.8    5.6    4.2    3.7    3.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 130159
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSOURI...
 

  CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE AFFECTING LINCOLN COUNTY 

  MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING AFFECTING LEWIS COUNTY 

  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK AND
ASSOCIATIVE RUNOFF...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION AND ISSUE 
FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC113-140159-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-090316T0712Z/
/OMNM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.090313T1200Z.090314T1912Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CUIVRE RIVER AT OLD MONROE
* UNTIL LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.
* AT 8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS ESTIMATED 24.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 24.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 25.2 FEET FRIDAY MORNING AND
  THEN BEGIN TO FALL.

$$

MOC111-140158-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0016.000000T0000Z-090315T0037Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.090308T2028Z.090311T1700Z.090314T0037Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER NEAR EWING
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 16.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  FRIDAY EVENING.

$$

MOC127-140158-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T0916Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T0916Z.NO/
859 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
* AT  8:30 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  EARLY FRIDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 11.0 FEET...BOTH BANKS BEGIN TO OVERFLOW LOW LEVEL 
  FARMLANDS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/13  03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17

CUIVRE RIVER
  OLD MONROE       24  E24.70      25.2   24.4   22.8   21.8   21.1

MIDDLE FABIUS RIVER
  EWING            12   16.92      15.2    8.9    6.4    5.7    5.1

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10   10.83       9.0    6.3    4.2    3.7    3.5
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 131613
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1113 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS FLOOD WARNING IS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS OF
THE FABIUS RIVER BASIN EARLIER THIS WEEK ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION AND 
ISSUE FOLLOW UP STATEMENTS AS CONDITIONS OR FORECASTS CHANGE.

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE CARS...TRUCKS OR SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES 
THROUGH FLOODED AREAS.  THE WATER MAY BE TOO DEEP TO ALLOW FOR SAFE 
PASSAGE.

THIS PRODUCT ALONG WITH ADDITIONAL WEATHER AND STREAM INFORMATION IS 
AVAILABLE AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=LSX /LOWER 
CASE/

&&

MOC127-141613-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T1900Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.090313T1900Z.NO/
1113 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...
THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:30 AM FRIDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 9.5 FEET...FLOOD STAGE.  MINOR FLOODING BEGINS.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/14  03/15  03/16  03/17  03/18

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    9.97       6.2    4.2    3.7    3.5    3.3
000 
WGUS83 KLSX 141259
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
759 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSOURI...
 
  SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR AFFECTING MARION COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

.THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT FOR THIS FLOODING EVENT...

&&

MOC127-141329-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-090314T1900Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.090310T0716Z.090311T0100Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
759 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE SOUTH FABIUS RIVER NEAR TAYLOR.
* AT 7:30 AM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.0 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.5 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL TO 3.9 FEET BY SUNDAY MORNING.

$$

&&
                   FLD  LATEST              7AM FORECAST
LOCATION           STG  OBS STG   03/15  03/16  03/17  03/18  03/19

SOUTH FABIUS RIVER
  TAYLOR           10    5.03       3.9    3.7    3.5    3.3    3.2

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 6:58 AM CDT, 4 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 6:58 AM CDT, 4 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
658 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...
/318 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009/
NEXT FEW DAYS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BUSY WEATHERWISE WITH CONCERNS
ABOUT FLASH FLOODING...SEVERE WEATHER AND STRONG GRADIENT WINDS.
WILL BE ISSUING A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR NERN MO AND PART OF W
CNTRL IL FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY
GOOD AGREEMENT THAT TROUGH ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE UPPER MIDWEST ON TUESDAY NIGHT. WHILE GFS IS THE DEEPEST WITH
THIS SHORTWAVE...IT HAS SUPPORT FROM THE CANADIAN GEM AND ITS
TIMING OF THE SURFACE FRONT LINES UP PRETTY WELL WITH THE REST OF
THE MODELS. SO HAVE USED A BLEND OF THE NAM/GFS FOR THIS FORECAST.

HAVE REMOVED POPS FOR THIS MORNING AND SCALED BACK TO CHANCE POPS
TO COVER JUST CNTRL AND NERN MO/W CNTRL IL THIS AFTERNOON WHERE
925-850 MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL BE
INCREASING. HAVE INCREASED TO CATEGORICAL POPS AND ADDED MENTION
OF HEAVY RAINFALL OVER NERN MO/W CNTRL IL TONIGHT WHERE SFC-850MB
MOISTURE CONVERGENCE WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY ALONG DEVELOPING
LOW LEVEL TROUGH UNDER BROAD LARGE SCALE ASCENT. PWATS WILL REACH
1.25 INCHES OR GREATER WHICH IS OVER TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL. WILL KEEP HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT GOING UNTIL MIDDAY TUESDAY
WHEN PWATS BEGIN TO DROP AS DRIER MID LEVEL AIR MOVES IN.

SPC HAS MOST OF CWA IN SLIGHT RISK THROUGH TUESDAY.  CHANCES FOR
SEVERE WEATHER WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS INSTABILITY BEGINS.  SPC
SREF MUCAPES WILL EXCEED 500 J/KG WITH DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN THE
50-70KT RANGE...SO THERE IS A RISK OF WIND PRODUCING MCS ALONG THE
WNW-ESE ORIENTED WARM FRONT IN ADDITION TO ISOLATED LOW TOPPED
SUPERCELLS.  SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES UNTIL THE SURFACE FRONT MOVES
THROUGH ON TUESDAY WITH SREF MEDIAN MUCAPES IN THE 500-1000
J/KG...BUT ANY BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WOULD CAUSE MORE INSTABILITY
THAT CURRENTLY FORECAST. STRENGTH OF MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND ORIENTATION
OF FRONT TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW SUGGESTS POTENTIAL FOR A LINE ALONG
THE FRONT...BUT VERY STRONG LOW AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUGGESTS
THAT THERE WILL BE SOME SUPERCELLS.

SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE BY THIS EVENING AND WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT AS PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS AROUND DEEPENING SURFACE LOW.  WILL MENTION THESE WINDS IN
THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK.

BRITT

&&

.AVIATION...
/642 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009/
FOR THE 12Z TAFS...LOW LVL STRATUS CLOUDS ARND 900-1700 FT HAS
DIPPED SWD INTO STL EARLY THIS MRNG. THIS CLOUD CVR WILL LIKELY
ALSO GET INTO SUS EARLY THIS MRNG BUT SHOULD REMAIN JUST N OF COU.
AS THE SFC WNDS BCM SELY AS THE SFC RDG MOVES WELL E OF THE CWA
THIS CLOUD CVR SHOULD BGN ADVCTG NEWD LTR THIS MRNG. ALSO THE SRN
EDGE OF THE CLOUD SHIELD SHOULD DISSIPATE WITH DAYTIME HTG AND
MIXING LTR THIS MRNG AND AFTN. MID LVL CLOUDINESS SHOULD SPREAD
NEWD THRU THE TAF SITES THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVNG AS LOW-MID LVL
WAA INCRS OVER THE CWA. THIS MID LVL CLOUD DECK SHOULD LWR TGT AND
TSRA ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO DVLP ACRS THE AREA ESPECIALLY OVER PTNS
OF CNTRL AND NERN MO INTO W CNTRL IL AS A WRMFNT LIFTS NEWD THRU
THE AREA AND AS AN INTENSIFYING LLJ BRINGS INCRSG LOW LVL MOISTURE
NWD BACK INTO THE AREA. INCLUDED TSRA IN THE TAF FCSTS LTR THIS
EVENING AND DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS.

GKS

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     AUDRAIN-KNOX-LEWIS-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-SHELBY.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     ADAMS IL-BROWN IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 4:35 AM CDT, 7 hours 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
435 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-100945-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX-LEWIS-
SHELBY-MARION-MONROE-RALLS-PIKE-BOONE-AUDRAIN-MONITEAU-COLE-OSAGE-
CALLAWAY-MONTGOMERY-LINCOLN-GASCONADE-WARREN-ST. CHARLES-FRANKLIN-
ST. LOUIS-ST. LOUIS CITY-JEFFERSON-CRAWFORD-WASHINGTON-
ST. FRANCOIS-STE. GENEVIEVE-IRON-MADISON-REYNOLDS-
435 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS THIS
AFTERNOON...AND THEN BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
TONIGHT. THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS MAY PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL THAT COULD CAUSE
FLASH FLOODING. REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH PRODUCT FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR MUCH OF
THE AREA TONIGHT. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH
AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORMS MAY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF
NORTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
ENTIRE AREA ON TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA.
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE DEEPENS AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
MIDWEST. SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE 15 TO 25 MPH
RANGE WITH SOME GUSTS EXCEEDING 35 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION SEE OUR
WEBPAGE AT (LOWERCASE)... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LSX/?N=HWO1

BRITT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 10:16 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLewis8 days
Mar 8, 10:16 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion8 days
Mar 8, 10:16 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion8 days
Mar 8, 10:16 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion10 days
Mar 8, 10:16 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXRalls9 days
Mar 9, 4:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Knox, Lewis, Marion, Monroe, Ralls and 1 more27 hr
Mar 9, 1:45 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike9 days
Mar 9, 1:45 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXPike10 days
Mar 9, 1:45 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln10 days
Mar 9, 1:45 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXSaint Charles13 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.