Tornado Warning 40, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 202144
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
544 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INC043-061-202153-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-090920T2200Z/
HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-
544 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN FLOYD AND NORTHERN HARRISON
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM HAS MOVED OUT OF THESE COUNTIES AND NO LONGER POSES A 
THREAT.

LAT...LON 3841 8588 3840 8597 3840 8599 3841 8601
      3841 8609 3841 8611 3850 8605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 230DEG 17KT 3842 8601

$$

INC019-175-202200-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-090920T2200Z/
WASHINGTON IN-CLARK IN-
544 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EDT FOR WESTERN
CLARK AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTIES...

AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MARTINSBURG...OR
20 MILES NORTHWEST OF LOUISVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  STARLIGHT AROUND 555 PM EDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORK BENCH OR
OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE IN A BASEMENT. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY...BATHROOM...OR CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY. AVOID WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3841 8588 3840 8597 3840 8599 3841 8601
      3841 8609 3841 8611 3850 8605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 230DEG 17KT 3842 8601

$$

AL

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 202149
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
549 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INC019-175-202159-
/O.CAN.KLMK.TO.W.0040.000000T0000Z-090920T2200Z/
WASHINGTON IN-CLARK IN-
549 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR WESTERN CLARK AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED AND NO LONGER 
APPEAR TORNADIC. HOWEVER STRONG STORMS WITH WEAK ROTATION REMAIN IN 
THE AREA. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LOCAL MEDIA OR NOAA WEATHER RADIO.

LAT...LON 3841 8588 3840 8597 3840 8599 3841 8601
      3841 8609 3841 8611 3850 8605
TIME...MOT...LOC 2149Z 230DEG 17KT 3844 8598

$$

AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
207 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND MONDAY)...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WERE
CURRENTLY SPREADING NORTH/NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.
THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THIS
PRECIPITATION WAS DEVELOPING IN RESPONSE TO A MID LEVEL TROUGH
NOSING INTO WESTERN WESTERN KY/TN ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
SOUTHWARD INTO AR AND MS. AHEAD OF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH...MOISTURE
WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO THE REGION AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD
BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AS MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ROTATE
NORTHWARD FROM MS/TN.

THE 12Z NAM INITIALIZED VERY WELL AND SO FAR SEEMS TO BE VERIFYING
QUITE WELL THIS AFTERNOON. THE 12Z GFS ALSO INITIALIZED PRETTY WELL
BUT IT WAS APPARENT THAT IT WAS SUFFERING FROM SOME FEEDBACK ISSUES
SO WILL RELY MORE ON THE NAM SOLUTION FOR TONIGHT INTO MONDAY.
THEREFORE...RAIN CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH
SOME OF THE RAIN BEING HEAVY AT TIME. ALTHOUGH THE AREA HAS ALREADY
SEEN RAINFALL VALUES OF AROUND ONE AND A HALF INCHES...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA...MOST LOCATIONS ARE
STILL WELL BELOW FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY
FLOODING SO NO WATCHES ARE PLANNED AS THE GROUND CAN STILL TAKE
QUITE A BIT OF WATER.

THE MID LEVEL TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED VORT MAX WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
OVERNIGHT PROPAGATING THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIP FROM AREAS WEST OF
INTERSTATE 65 BEFORE MIDNIGHT TO SOUTHERN INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KY AFTER MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...THE NAM DOES INDICATE A SHORTWAVE
IMPULSE MIGRATING THROUGH THE FLOW AND WIDESPREAD RAIN COULD FALL
ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA THROUGH THE NIGHT IF THIS IN FACT DOES OCCUR.
THEREFORE...WILL GENERALLY KEEP THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST AND SHIFT THEM EASTWARD TOWARD MONDAY MORNING AS THE WHOLE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND MID LEVEL FLOW BEGINS TO
WEAKEN AND TURN MORE WESTERLY GREATLY DIMINISHING THE CHANCE OF RAIN
JUST AFTER THE END OF THE SHORT TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL LIKELY BE SIMILAR TODAY AND DID NOT
MAKE TOO MANY CHANGES THERE...JUST LOWERED TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO IN
SOME LOCATIONS. OVERNIGHT TEMPS TONIGHT WILL ONLY FALL INTO THE
UPPER 60S.

.LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

AT THE BEGINNING THIS FORECAST PERIOD (00Z TUESDAY) ALL SHORT AND
MEDIUM MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH A DEEPENING CLOSED UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER WESTERN NEBRASKA AND A DOWN STREAM RIDGE
EXTENDING FROM THE GULF COAST STATES NORTH INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. IN
THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE A BRISK SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL KEEP GULF MOISTURE
STREAMING NORTH INTO THE REGION ON THE BACK SIDE OF HIGH PRESSURE
ANCHORED OFF THE EAST COAST. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA
AND HEAVIER RAIN WILL BE ENDING WITH A LULL IN PRECIPITATION
OVERNIGHT MONDAY. A SECOND SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TUESDAY
AND CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. SO WE WILL CONTINUE
TO MENTION CHANCE POPS DURING THE PERIOD. PERCEPTIBLE WATER VALUES
DURING THIS PERIOD WILL REMAIN BETWEEN 1.5 AND 1.75 INCHES SO
SHOWERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.

LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO UPPER 60S WITH HIGHS
FROM THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...

THE OPERATIONAL GFS CONTINUES TO TRY TO SHIFT THE AFOREMENTIONED
WESTERN UNITED STATES UPPER LOW WEST WHILE THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN
MODELS AND ENSEMBLES BASICALLY HOLD IT IN THE VICINITY OF WESTERN
NEBRASKA AND COLORADO. TOWARD THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD THE LOW
WILL OPEN UP AND SHIFT TO THE EAST BUT WITH THE GFS SOLUTION
BEGINNING FURTHER WEST IT WILL TAKE LONGER BEFORE THE UPPER TROUGH
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT
ECMWF SOLUTION WHICH IS WETTER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER. SO THAT MEANS
WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION LOW CHANCE POPS THROUGH THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THE MIDDLE OF SEPTEMBER.

&&

.AVIATION...

WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA THE REST OF TODAY AND
THIS EVENING BEFORE ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAIN MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION AGAIN TONIGHT.  EXPECT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN MVFR
TO IFR WITH CIGS BOUNCING BETWEEN 1 TO 3 KFT WITH POSSIBLE VFR CIGS
UP TO 4 KFT BRIEFLY. VSBYS WILL REMAIN VFR EXCEPT IN AREAS OF PRECIP
WHERE THEY COULD FALL AS LOW AS 1 TO 2 SM WITH BR. RAIN AND OVERCAST
SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE TAF PERIOD.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...LS
LONG TERM....JA
AVIATION.....LS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
334 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-211945-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
334 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009 /234 PM CDT SUN SEP 20 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. UP TO ANOTHER INCH OF RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS POSSIBLE. ASIDE FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY
BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE IN THE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. HEAVY
RAIN AND OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE.

LS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
349 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INZ083-089-202030-
DUBOIS-PERRY-
349 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING
OVER SOUTHERN DUBOIS COUNTY...

AT 245 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SANTA CLAUS...OR 21 MILES NORTH OF
ROCKPORT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE MILE.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR JOHNSBURG AROUND 400 PM EDT.
  NEAR ST. HENRY AROUND 405 PM EDT.
  NEAR HUNTINGBURG AIRPORT AROUND 410 PM EDT.
  NEAR FERDINAND AROUND 425 PM EDT.
  NEAR BRETZVILLE AROUND 430 PM EDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

NF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
421 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INZ084-089-202045-
CRAWFORD-PERRY-
321 PM CDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH GUSTY WINDS AFFECTING PERRY COUNTY AND
HEADED INTO CRAWFORD COUNTY...

AT 317 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF SANTA CLAUS...OR 30 MILES
NORTHEAST OF ROCKPORT...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 50 MPH
ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR BANDON AROUND 325 PM CDT.
  NEAR DOOLITTLE MILLS AROUND 330 PM CDT.
  NEAR ST. CROIX AROUND 435 PM EDT.
  NEAR WEST FORK AROUND 440 PM EDT.
  NEAR SULPHUR SPRINGS AROUND 445 PM EDT.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
74 AND 86.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE AWARE THAT A GUST FRONT PRECEDING THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF ANY RAIN.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
447 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INZ076-077-084-089-090-KYZ025-202130-
CRAWFORD-HARRISON-MEADE-ORANGE-PERRY-WASHINGTON-
447 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
STRONG WINDS OVER NORTHERN MEADE COUNTY KENTUCKY WESTERN CRAWFORD
COUNTY IN INDIANA...

AT 445 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ENGLISH TO 14 MILES
WEST OF BRANDENBURG...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
AROUND ONE INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
MILE...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 45 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS WILL BE...
  NEAR ETHEL AROUND 455 PM EDT.
  NEAR TEMPLE AROUND 500 PM EDT.
  NEAR PILOT KNOB AROUND 505 PM EDT.
  NEAR WYANDOTTE AROUND 510 PM EDT.
  NEAR VALEENE AROUND 515 PM EDT.
  NEAR MILLTOWN AROUND 520 PM EDT.

THESE STORMS WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 86 AND 92.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

&&

AL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
458 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0448 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LEAVENWORTH             38.20N  86.35W
09/20/2009  M2.50 INCH       CRAWFORD           IN   CO-OP OBSERVER

            RAINFALL 2.50 INCHES SINCE 10 AM THIS MORNING... MOST
            OF WHICH FELL IN THE LAST TWO HOURS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER LMK0900117

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
525 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

INZ084-090-KYZ025-202200-
CRAWFORD-HARRISON-MEADE-
525 PM EDT SUN SEP 20 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN...AND
GUSTY WINDS OVER CRAWFORD AND HARRISON COUNTIES IN INDIANA AND
WESTERN MEADE COUNTY KENTUCKY...

AT 523 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF CORYDON...OR 28 MILES WEST OF
LOUISVILLE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

FREQUENT DEADLY LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
AROUND TWO INCHES PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN ONE
HALF MILE...AND GUSTY WINDS OF AROUND 40 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE...
  NEAR WHITE CLOUD AROUND 530 PM EDT.
  NEAR CORYDON AROUND 535 PM EDT.
  NEAR FRENCHTOWN AROUND 545 PM EDT.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN INDIANA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
105 AND 92.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING. EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON LOCAL
ROADWAYS. DRIVERS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND TURN ON THEIR HEADLIGHTS IF
ENCOUNTERING HEAVY RAINS.

IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND
STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS RADIO...
WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE ON THE INTERNET...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER
UPDATES AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

NF