Tornado Warning 3, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 112007 RRB
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
307 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

KYC137-112030-
/O.CON.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090211T2030Z/
LINCOLN KY-
308 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM EST FOR NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY...

AT 305 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO.  THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MCKINNEY...OR
ABOUT 21 MILES WEST OF MOUNT VERNON...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  RURAL EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY AT 320 PM EST

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORK BENCH OR
OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE IN A BASEMENT. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY, BATHROOM, OR CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY. AVOID WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EST WEDNESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND EASTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3759 8462 3748 8449 3741 8478 3748 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2008Z 254DEG 43KT 3748 8466

$$

MJ

000 
WWUS53 KLMK 112029
SVSLMK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
329 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

KYC137-112039-
/O.EXP.KLMK.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090211T2030Z/
LINCOLN KY-
329 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WILL BE ALLOWED 
TO EXPIRE AT 330 PM EST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM EST WEDNESDAY EVENING 
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND EASTERN KENTUCKY.  SHOWERS WITH 
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF 
LINCOLN COUNTY FOR THE NEXT 30 TO 60 MINUTES.  HOWEVER...STRONG 
GUSTY WINDS WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND 
THIS EVENING.

LAT...LON 3759 8462 3748 8449 3741 8478 3748 8483
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 254DEG 43KT 3754 8438

$$

MJ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

MESO UPDATE...

SEVERAL REPORTS OF DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS CWA WITHIN A NARROW SQUALL
LINE WHICH CONTAINS A 2-3 MINUTE BURST OF WIND.  THE LINE IS RACING
NE AT 45 MPH...WITH A COUPLE OF S SEGMENTS ON THE LINE WHICH HAVE
INCREASED ROTATION IN THEM.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR COUNTIES IN THE TOR WATCH FROM WEST TO
EAST...AND WE EXPECT THE NARROW LINE TO CLEAR ALL OF OUR COUNTIES BY
515 PM EST.

BEHIND THE LINE...THE UPPER LOW IS PRODUCING ELEVATED CONVECTION
OVER CENTRAL IL. THE DRY SLOT IS PRODUCING 40-60 MPH WINDS...WITH A
GUST TO 64 MPH WIND GUST AT PAH AT 2 PM EST. WE EXPECT THESE WINDS
TO AFFECT THE I 65 CORRIDOR BETWEEN 430 AND 830 PM AND ALONG I 75
CORRIDOR FROM 530 TO 10 PM EST.

IT APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE VERY ISOL SHRA WITH THE DRY
SLOT...WITH THE MOST CONCENTRATED CONVECTION WITH THE UPPER LOW
WHERE IS THERE IS VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES.

.NEAR TERM (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

NO CHANGES TO THE FCST EXCEPT FOR THE NEW TORNADO WATCH FOR THE
ENTIRE CWA...FOR A NARROW LINE OF THIN CONVECTION THAT HAS WEAK
THERMODYNAMICS...BUT HIGH KINEMATICS.  PAH IS ISSUING SVRS FOR THE
SRN EDGE OF THE FAST MOVING LINE...WITH EMBEDDED BOOKEND VORTICIES
WHICH COULD CAUSE ISOL QUICK TORNADO SPINUPS AS THE LINE MOVES
EAST.  THERE IS A STRONG POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS WITH TREE AND
PROPERTY DAMAGE ALONG WITH SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES...BUT LACK OF
INSTABILITY COULD LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR MUCH LIGHTNING...BUT EVEN
A LINE OF SHRA WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO MIX DOWN 60+ MPH WINDS.

GRADIENT WINDS WILL CONTINUE WITH 25-35 MPH AND GUSTS TO 50+.
THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND BE
STRONGEST WITH AND AFTER A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE INTO
THE WESTERN COUNTIES THROUGH NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...THROUGH I-65
FROM 1PM-3PM EST AND THROUGH INTERSTATE 75 230PM-5PM EST.

THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...

WINDS WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG BEHIND THE THIN SQUALL LINE AS DECENT
COLD AIR ADVECTION AND RESULTING SUBSIDENCE WILL MIX WINDS OF 25-40
MPH AND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH TO THE SURFACE INTO THIS EVENING. TIMING
OF THE HIGH WIND WARNING COVERS THIS WELL AND WILL CONTINUE THE
HIGHLIGHT THROUGH 10PM EST WEDNESDAY AS IT CURRENTLY EXISTS.

WINDS DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 10PM EST BUT REMAIN IN THE 15-30 MPH
RANGE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

ZONAL FLOW WILL COVER THE WHOLE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE COUNTRY
THURSDAY AS A STRONG JET WILL BISECT THE CONUS FROM CALIFORNIA
THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE DEEP CYCLONE THAT BROUGHT THE
STRONG WINDS WEDNESDAY WILL FILL AS IT MOVES TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND.
YET ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF COLD TROUGHS WILL MOVE ASHORE THE
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST EARLY THURSDAY. EVENTUALLY...THIS FEATURE
WILL BECOME CAUGHT UP IN THE FAST ZONAL FLOW AND BRING SOME RAIN TO
THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY.

BREEZY WINDS EARLY THURSDAY WILL EASE UP SOMEWHAT DURING THE
AFTERNOON AS PRESSURE GRADIENT RELAXES ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE
DAY. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH THURSDAY WILL DIMINISH AND BECOME
LIGHT EARLY FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE. LIGHT WINDS FRIDAY WILL
BECOME SOUTHEAST EARLY SATURDAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE
WEST.

WITH AIR OF PACIFIC ORIGIN ARRIVING EARLY FRIDAY BEHIND THE
DEPARTING STORM...TEMPERATURES BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL STAY
MILD. HIGHS THURSDAY THROUGH PERHAPS SATURDAY SHOULD IN A BROAD
SENSE RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S NORTH THROUGH THE UPPER 50S CLOSE TO
TENNESSEE. WITH WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP LOW
PRESSURE DEPARTING QUICKLY LATE WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL
DEVELOP BY THURSDAY MORNING...CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY MORNING. SOME
MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS THE
NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES.

BOTH THE GFS AND THE NEW ECMWF SHOW A JET MAX PUNCHING EAST ACROSS
THE TENNESSEE VALLEY SATURDAY MORNING. LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH
LIFT IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THIS JET WILL LIKELY MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION SATURDAY. THE NAM FORECAST IS FARTHER NORTH AND THE DEEPEST
WITH THIS CYCLONE...MOVING A A 998MB LOW ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA
AROUND 12Z SATURDAY.  PREFERRED ARE THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS...WHICH
FORECASTS A WEAKER LOW MOVING EASTWARD ALONG/NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64.
ALL MODELS SHOW ACTIVE CONVECTION LATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ALONG THE
GULF STATES ALONG A RETURNING SURFACE FRONT. THIS WILL RESTRICT
MOISTURE TRANSPORT NORTH AND WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LIKELY
PRECIPITATION...BUT RELATIVELY LIGHT QPF AMOUNTS SATURDAY.

SOUTHEAST WINDS SATURDAY WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES MILD UNTIL COLDER
AIR ARRIVES LATE WHEN WINDS SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AS THE SURFACE
LOW PASSES EAST. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL LINGER
SUNDAY...KEEPING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE COOLER GFS HINTS AT A RAIN
SNOW MIX ACROSS THE NORTH SUNDAY. FOR NOW...WILL NOT CHANGE THE
ONGOING FORECAST SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION (18Z TAFS)...

WINDS CONTINUE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO AVIATION THROUGHOUT THE EARLY
TAF PERIOD AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
APPROACH AND MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS ALREADY GUSTING TO NEAR
40KTS...AND GUSTS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE AFTN TO AROUND 50KTS. A
THIN LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS ALSO WILL IMPACT ALL TAF SITES DURG THE
AFTN WITH POTENTIAL GUSTS EXCEEDING 50KTS AHEAD/ALONG LINE WHICH IS
MOVG JUST AHEAD OF THE CDFNT.

&&

.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY 12Z WEDNESDAY TO 03Z
THURSDAY.
IN...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA 12Z WEDNESDAY TO
03Z THURSDAY.
&&

WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE

SHORT TERM...JDK/JDG
LONG TERM....JSD
AVIATION.....JDK
MESO.........JDG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1145 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-120930-
ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-
CRAWFORD IN-PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-
BRECKINRIDGE KY-MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-
JEFFERSON KY-OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-
SCOTT KY-HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-
FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY-NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-
MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY-LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-
GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY-EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-
TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY-WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-
ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY-ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-
CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY-
1145 AM EST WED FEB 11 2009 /1045 AM CST WED FEB 11 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

VERY WINDY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS FROM 55 TO
60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE.

IN ADDITION...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS LINE HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS EXCEEDING 60 MPH. IN ADDITION...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON.

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT PEAK WIND GUSTS AND ANY INSTANCES
OF WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
227 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0140 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GLASGOW                 37.00N  85.92W
02/11/2009                   BARREN             KY   BROADCAST MEDIA

            GUTTERS WERE BLOWN OFF A HOME.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00251

MRC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
244 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

KYZ036-040>042-047>049-055>057-066-067-078-082-112030-
BOURBON-BOYLE-CASEY-CLARK-CLINTON-FAYETTE-GARRARD-JESSAMINE-LINCOLN-
MADISON-MERCER-RUSSELL-SCOTT-WOODFORD-
244 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

...EXPECT 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS AHEAD OF A LINE OF STORMS...

AT 243 PM EST/143 PM CST/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ROUGHLY ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM LAWRENCEBURG TO LIBERTY TO JAMESTOWN MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

AHEAD OF THE LINE...YOU CAN EXPECT WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. WHEN THE
LINE COMES THROUGH YOU CAN EXPECT BRIEF HEAVY RAIN WITH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE HALF INCH PER HOUR REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO
LESS THAN ONE MILE...AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 50 TO 60 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 64 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
101 AND 98.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT INTERSTATE 75 IN KENTUCKY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
104 AND 99.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT THE BLUEGRASS PARKWAY BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 68
AND 72.

BE AWARE THAT A GUST FRONT PRECEDING THESE STORMS WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WELL BEFORE THE ARRIVAL OF ANY RAIN. BE
PREPARED...COME INDOORS INSIDE A STEADY STRUCTURE.

JDG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
255 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CAMPBELLSVILLE          37.35N  85.35W
02/11/2009                   TAYLOR             KY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREES AND POWER LINES WERE DOWNED IN THE CITY. THERE
            WERE SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES THROUGH TAYLOR COUNTY.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00252

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
258 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1207 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BURKESVILLE             36.79N  85.37W
02/11/2009                   CUMBERLAND         KY   DISPATCH

            TREES WERE DOWNED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00253

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
259 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST COLUMBIA                37.10N  85.31W
02/11/2009  M60 MPH          ADAIR              KY   MESONET

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00254

MRC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
302 PM EST WED FEB 11 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HARRODSBURG             37.77N  84.85W
02/11/2009                   MERCER             KY   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            TREES DOWNED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER 00255

MRC