Small Craft Advisory 11, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1059 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2009

.UPDATE...
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE SPREADING NE ACRS THE AREA THIS MORNING.
RADAR MOSAIC INDICATING A BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION TO THE
SW...BUT EXPECT MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS
SHORTWAVE MOVING ACRS THE AREA WITH A 110 TO 120 KNOT JET ENTERING
THE WRN GULF. AT THE SFC...COLD FRONT EXTENDS ACRS CENT OK INTO
WRN TX. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SRLY WINDS CONTINUE TO USHER IN
WARMER AIR AND MOISTURE. TEMPS AT 16Z RANGE FM LOWER 60S SWRN
ZONES TO MID 50S CENT LA. CURRENT ZONES LOOK TO BE ON TRACK WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 60S AND CHC POPS OVER LAND INCREASING TO
LIKELY OVER THE CSTL WATERS WHERE BETTER DYNAMICS EXIST. ONLY
CHANGES WERE TO HOURLY TEMP AND DEWPOINT GRIDS IN KEEPING WITH
CURRENT TRENDS...BUT SEE NO NEED TO UPDATE TEXT PRODUCTS THIS
MORNING. 24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 425 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2009/

DISCUSSION...
PATCHES OF LIGHT RAIN ARE MOVING OUT OF THE COASTAL WATERS AND
FALLING ACROSS THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND
PARISHES OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA. THIS MOISTURE IS MOVING UP FROM
THE SOUTH TEXAS COAST AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF A HIGH PRESSURE AREA
ANCHORED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ON MONDAY. SHOWERS WILL
INCREASE IN AREA COVERAGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY WITH
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN YESTERDAY DUE TO
CLOUD COVER AND RAIN COOLED AIR.

DRIER AIR TO SPILL IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH A
COOL DRY WORK WEEK ON TAP.

LAKE CHARLES RECORDED THE SECOND DRIEST JANUARY WITH .41 INCHES OF
RAINFALL. RECORDS DATE BACK TO 1893. THE DRIEST JANUARY OCCURRED
IN 1928 WITH .37 INCHES.

BEAUMONT REPORTED THE FIFTH DRIEST JANUARY WITH .74 INCHES OF
RAINFALL. RECORDS DATE BACK TO 1915. 1928 WAS BEAUMONTS DRIEST
JANUARY WITH .17 INCHES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  67  51  59  38  64 /  50  60  30   0   0
KBPT  68  50  60  37  66 /  50  60  30   0   0
KAEX  66  46  55  33  62 /  40  60  40   0   0
KLFT  67  51  59  37  63 /  50  60  50   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
340 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2009

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-020945-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
340 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL MOVE THROUGH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
RAIN ENDING BY THE NOON HOUR ON MONDAY WITH DRIER AIR FILTERING
IN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. DRY AND COOL FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

K. KUYPER

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