Red Flag Warning 1, NWS Lake Charles, LA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
531 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2009

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. THE MAIN AVIATION CONCERN IS STRONG GUSTY
NORTH WINDS...WHICH WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH DURING THE
AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. 24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 401 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2009/

SYNOPSIS...
A MINNESOTA HIGH WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD INTO TEXAS. THIS COLD SYSTEM WILL
SLOWLY SWING EAST...REACHING THE GREAT LAKES BY TUESDAY...THUS INDUCING
A RETURN FLOW BY WEDNESDAY.

FURTHER-UP...A LOW INDEX WAVE PATTERN WILL BE FOUND IN THE MIDLATITUDE
WESTERLIES...RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN AND AN EVOLVING TROUGH OVER
THE MIDWEST. THIS WAVE PATTERN WILL TRAVEL EAST...WITH THE WARM
RIDGE PROPAGATING INTO LOUISIANA ON WEDNESDAY.

DISCUSSION...
COLD START THIS MORNING...WIND CHILLS WERE RUNNING FROM THE LOWER
TO MID 20S ACROSS THE PINEY HILLS AND LAKES REGION...TO THE UPPER
20S AT THE COAST.

AN UNFILTERED FEBRUARY SUN WILL BE IN PLACE...WITH THE RADIATIONAL
WARMING PARTIALLY OFFSET BY ONGOING ADVECTIVE COOLING. THE
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE RUNNING ABOUT 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL....
WHILE THE AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL BE RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL.

IN ADDITION...THE PERSISTENT BLUE NORTHERS WILL KEEP THE AFTERNOON
BOUNDARY LAYER WELL MIXED. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT
FOR COASTAL SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

FOR TONIGHT...THE UNSEASONABLY COLD WEATHER CONTINUES...WITH THE
COLDEST AIR FOUND ALONG AND EAST OF THE I-49 CORRIDOR.

MARINE...
BLUE NORTHERS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPEDE THE FLOOD RACE. THE ACTUAL
TIDES WILL BE RUNNING FROM 1 TO 2 FEET BELOW THE PREDICTED TIDES.
A LOW WATER ADVISORY WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
KLCH  56  34  59  38  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
KBPT  57  35  62  39  66 /   0   0   0   0   0
KAEX  53  29  55  33  63 /   0   0   0   0   0
KLFT  54  32  57  35  63 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: IBERIA...LOWER ST. MARTIN...ST. MARY...VERMILION.

TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
     INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM LOWER
     ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA EXTENDING FROM
     20 NM TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: CALCASIEU LAKE...COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO
     HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM
     INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM...SABINE LAKE...
     VERMILION BAY...WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX
     EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL
     CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
405 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2009

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-
TXZ180>182-201-215-216-021200-
SABINE LAKE-CALCASIEU LAKE-VERMILION BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON, LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY,
LA OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CAMERON, LA TO HIGH ISLAND, TX EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA TO CAMERON, LA EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO INTRACOASTAL CITY, LA
EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM-VERNON-RAPIDES-AVOYELLES-BEAUREGARD-
ALLEN-EVANGELINE-ST. LANDRY-CALCASIEU-JEFFERSON DAVIS-ACADIA-
LAFAYETTE-UPPER ST. MARTIN-CAMERON-VERMILION-IBERIA-ST. MARY-
LOWER ST. MARTIN-TYLER-JASPER-NEWTON-HARDIN-JEFFERSON-ORANGE-
405 AM CST SUN MAR 1 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
A LAKE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL MARSHES OF
SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

SMALL CRAFT AND LOW WATERS ADVISORIES WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR MOST
OF TODAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
843 AM CST SUN MAR 01 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 AM     LOW ASTR TIDES   3 SW CAMERON            29.77N 93.34W
03/01/2009                   GMZ450             LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CALCASIEU PASS TIDE GAUGE MALFUNCTIONED DUE TO THE
            EXTREMELY LOW TIDES. ESTIMATED LOWEST TIDE LEVEL WAS
            -2.50 FEET MLLW.

1254 AM     LOW ASTR TIDES   11 SE PECAN ISLAND      29.56N 92.31W
03/01/2009                   VERMILION          LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            FRESHWATER CANAL LOCKS TIDE GAUGE MEASURED LOW TIDE OF
            -3.00 FEET MLLW.

0142 AM     LOW ASTR TIDES   1 E SABINE PASS         29.73N 93.87W
03/01/2009                   GMZ430             LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            SABINE PASS NORTH TIDE GAUGE MEASURED LOW TIDE OF -1.57
            FEET MLLW.

0536 AM     LOW ASTR TIDES   1 NW LAKE CHARLES       30.22N 93.22W
03/01/2009                   CALCASIEU          LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            LAKE CHARLES TIDE GAUGE MEASURED LOW TIDE OF -2.50 FEET
            MLLW.

0724 AM     LOW ASTR TIDES   6 SW CYPREMORT POINT    29.71N 91.85W
03/01/2009                   GMZ435             LA   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            CYPREMORT POINT TIDE GAUGE MEASURED LOW TIDE OF -2.73
            FEET MLLW.

&&

SHAMBURGER