Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2009

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Jackson, MS

January 5, 2009Carroll County, Leflore County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Jan 5, 2009, 11:00 AM CST for Carroll County, Leflore County, Mississippi. It took effect at Jan 6, 2009, 4:30 PM CST. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 5, 2009, 11:00 AM CST (17:00 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 6, 2009, 4:30 PM CST
Expired
Jan 8, 2009, 6:48 PM CST
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Carroll County, MS, Leflore County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 136 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yalobusha River at Whaley (YWGM6).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS44 KJAN 051700
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1100 AM CST MON JAN 05 2009


...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A FLOOD WARNING
FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI... 

  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES

SEVERAL ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE AREA DURING
THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL ALONG THE 
YALOBUSHA RIVER.

SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

MSC015-083-062300-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0002.090107T0800Z-000000T0000Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090107T0800Z.090108T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1100 AM CST MON JAN 05 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A 

* FLOOD WARNING FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 10:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  19.8 MON 10 AM  20.0  21.2  22.0  22.0 THU 06 AM

$$
9 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 060123
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
723 PM CST MON JAN 05 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...

 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC015-083-070723-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.090107T1200Z-090109T1947Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090107T1200Z.090108T1200Z.090109T0447Z.NO/
723 PM CST MON JAN 05 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING TO FRIDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING 
  IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY THURSDAY 
  MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  19.8 MON 06 PM  19.9  21.0  22.0  22.0 THU 06 AM

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 061555
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
955 AM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 

SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

MSC163-072155-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090106T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 29.8 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 31.0 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 31.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK IS FLOODING IS OCCURRING 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  29.8 TUE 06 AM  30.7  30.2  29.9  31.0 TUE 12 PM

$$

MSC015-083-072154-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.090107T0300Z-090111T0300Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090107T0300Z.090108T0600Z.090110T1200Z.NO/
955 AM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* FROM THIS EVENING TO SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 20.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TONIGHT AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 22.0 FEET BY THURSDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.0 FEET
  ON FEB 11 2006.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  20.4 TUE 09 AM  21.4  22.0  21.6  22.0 THU 06 AM

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 062231
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
431 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 

SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

MSC015-083-080431-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.090106T2230Z-090111T1200Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T1200Z.090110T2100Z.NO/
431 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO SUNDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 22.5 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND IS OCCURRING.
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 22.4 FEET
  ON DEC 8 2004.
&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.4 TUE 03 PM  22.5  22.4  21.9  22.5 WED 06 AM

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 070114
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
714 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

 
  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC163-080714-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090111T1800Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090107T0600Z.090111T0300Z.NO/
714 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK IS FLOODING IS OCCURRING 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  30.7 TUE 06 PM  30.7  30.2  29.8  30.5 WED 12 AM

$$

MSC015-083-080713-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T0000Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T1200Z.090110T0900Z.NO/
714 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND IS OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.7 TUE 06 PM  22.5  22.2  21.7  22.5 WED 06 AM

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 070131
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
731 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI..

  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC163-080731-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090111T1800Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090107T0600Z.090111T0300Z.NO/
731 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL SUNDAY AFTERNOON...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.8 FEET BY 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK IS FLOODING IS OCCURRING 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  30.7 TUE 06 PM  30.7  30.2  29.8  30.8 WED 12 AM

$$

MSC015-083-080730-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090111T0000Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T1200Z.090110T0900Z.NO/
731 PM CST TUE JAN 06 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.7 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY 
  TOMORROW MORNING. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY 
  MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 23.0 FEET...MINOR FLOODING OF LOWLAND AND AGRICULTURAL 
  LAND IS OCCURRING.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   WED   THU   FRI CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.7 TUE 06 PM  22.5  22.2  21.7  22.5 WED 06 AM

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 071606
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1006 AM CST WED JAN 07 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 
  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 

SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

MSC015-083-082205-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090112T0300Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090108T0600Z.090111T1200Z.NO/
1006 AM CST WED JAN 07 2009

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  9:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 22.5 FEET BY 
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.9 WED 09 AM  22.5  22.1  21.4  22.5 THU 12 AM

$$

MSC163-082206-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090106T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.6 FEET BY THIS
  AFTERNOON.  

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  30.5 WED 06 AM  30.6  30.6  30.3 30.6 WED NOON        

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 080115
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
715 PM CST WED JAN 07 2009



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN MISSISSIPPI...

 
  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC163-090715-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-090112T1630Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090106T2000Z.090112T0130Z.NO/
715 PM CST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK FLOODING IS OCCURRING 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  30.4 WED 06 PM  30.3  30.2  30.0     FALLING        

$$

MSC015-083-090715-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1700Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T2000Z.090109T0200Z.NO/
715 PM CST WED JAN 07 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT 6:00 PM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.9 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   THU   FRI   SAT CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.9 WED 06 PM  21.7  20.5  19.0     CRESTING        

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 081530
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
930 AM CST THU JAN 08 2009

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...
 
  YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY AFFECTING YAZOO COUNTY 
  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES 

SAFETY MESSAGE... DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT (USE LOWER CASE LETTERS) 
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

MSC163-092130-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/YZOM6.1.ER.090106T0832Z.090109T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM CST THU JAN 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YAZOO RIVER AT YAZOO CITY
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  6:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 30.5 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 29.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 30.8 FEET BY 
  SATURDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 29.0 FEET...MINOR OVER BANK IS FLOODING IS OCCURRING 
  ALONG THE RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

LOWER YAZOO RIVER
YAZOO CITY      29  30.5 THU 06 AM  30.7  30.8  30.7  30.8 SAT 06 AM

$$

MSC015-083-091259-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1259Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T2000Z.090108T2159Z.NO/
930 AM CST THU JAN 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY
* UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS CANCELLED.
* AT  8:00 AM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.4 FEET. 
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 21.0 FEET...LOWLAND FLOODING IS OCCURRING NEAR THE 
  RIVER.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.4 THU 08 AM  20.0  18.5  17.4     FALLING        

$$
000 
WGUS84 KJAN 090048
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
648 PM CST THU JAN 08 2009


...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVER IN MISSISSIPPI...
 

  YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY AFFECTING CARROLL AND LEFLORE COUNTIES


SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER 
COVERS ROADWAYS THE WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. PLEASE USE 
EXTREME CAUTION IF VENTURING NEAR RIVERBANKS. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND 
IMMEDIATELY SHOULD RISING WATER THREATEN YOUR SAFETY. REMEMBER...TURN
AROUND, DONT DROWN

THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED, 
COMBINED WITH RAINFALL THAT IS FORECAST TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT 12 
HOURS.

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

MSC015-083-090118-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-090109T1259Z/
/YWGM6.1.ER.090106T1916Z.090107T2000Z.090108T2339Z.NO/
648 PM CST THU JAN 08 2009

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE YALOBUSHA AT WHALEY.
* AT 6:00 PM THURSDAY THE STAGE WAS 21.0 FEET. 
* THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 5:39 PM THURSDAY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 21.0 FEET. 
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO 19.4 FEET BY SATURDAY
  MORNING.


&&


              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 6AM       CREST
LOCATION       STG   STG DAY  TIME   FRI   SAT   SUN CREST DAY  TIME

YALOBUSHA RIVER
WHALEY          21  21.0 THU 06 PM  20.4  19.4  18.6     FALLING        

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jan 5, 7:13 AM CST, 3 hours 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 7:13 AM CST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
713 AM CST MON JAN 5 2009

.SHORT TERM...MAIN FOCUS IS ON THE UPCOMING HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING
POTENTIAL AND SVR WX RISK ACROSS THE E HALF FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HRS.
AS ALWAYS THE CASE...COMPLEX WEATHER PATTERN IS EVOLVING AS THE CWA
HAS A COLD FRONT SLOWLY MOVING ACROSS THE I-59 CORRIDOR THIS
MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS THE FAR SE PORTIONS OR JUST
OUT OF THE CWA LATER TODAY AND THEN BEGIN TO WASH OUT ACROSS THE SE
AREAS BY AFTERNOON AND INTO EVENING. BEFORE THEN...AREA FROM NATCHEZ
TO MERIDIAN AND POINTS S WILL SEE AREAS OF DENSE FOG. WILL HAVE AN
ADV GOING FOR THAT UNTIL 10 AM. EXACTLY WHERE THIS STALLING OF THE
FRONT OCCURS AND HOW QUICKLY ITS EROSION TAKES PLACE WILL HAVE
DRAMATIC IMPACTS ON TEMPS. I DO KNOW ONE THING IS THAT THE NW
PORTIONS WILL BE SUBSTANTIALLY COOLER THAN THE SE OVER THE NEXT
24-36 HRS. GUID IS DECENT AND HAVE GENERALLY FOLLOWED. HOWEVER...I
DID LOWER TEMPS ACROSS THE NW WHERE WE USUALLY SEE THE COLD AIR
LINGER...ESPECIALLY WHEN PRECIP FALLS INTO THE AIRMASS.

BESIDES THE STALLED FRONT...THE OTHER KEY FEATURE IS THE S/W OVER
THE SW CONUS. LOOK FOR THIS S/W TO QUICKLY SHIFT E TODAY AND PHASE
WITH A N STREAM TROUGH. THIS WILL EVOLVE INTO A POWERFUL LONGWAVE
TROUGH THAT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION ON TUE INTO TUE NIGHT. BY
THIS AFTERNOON...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BEGIN TO RESPOND IN EARNEST TO
FALLING HGHTS MOVING ACROSS TX. THIS WILL RESULT IN INCREASING
ISENTROPIC ASCENT OVER THE AREA BY AFTERNOON AND WE SHOULD SEE A
GOOD DEAL OF PRECIP DEVELOP AND SPREAD ACROSS THE CWA. OVERALL THIS
WILL BE LIGHT/MOD TYPE PRECIP. THERE MAY BE JUST ENOUGH ELEVATED
INSTABILITY IN THE FAR W TO SUPPORT A BIT OF THUNDER...BUT NOT A
GREAT DEAL.

BY TONIGHT...THE STRONG WAA WILL CAUSE OUR SFC FRONT TO BACK UP A
BIT AND LIKELY DISSECT THE CWA IN HALF...GENERALLY ALONG THE TRACE
CORRIDOR. AS MID LEVEL HGHTS FALL FURTHER INTO EARLY TUE...WE WILL
SEE A FEW SFC WAVE DEVELOP ALONG THE SFC FRONT AND SUPPORT A FEW
WAVE OF HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG AND NW OF THE SFC BOUNDARY. THE MAIN
SFC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN ALONG THE STALLED FRONT TUE INTO TUE
AFTERNOON. THE AREA WILL SEE AROUND 150 METER HGHT FALLS...POSSIBLY
MORE...OCCUR BY TUE EVENING. THIS IS THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE INTENSE
FORCING WE WILL SEE ON TUE WHICH WILL SUPPORT THE WIDESPREAD RAIN
EVENT AND SVR STORMS.

FOR THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT...THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
HAVE 1.5 TO 1.6 PWATS WHICH IS AT LEAST 300% ABV THE NORM. COMBINE
THAT WITH INTENSE FORCING AND WE HAVE THE RECIPE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND
FLOODING. THE RAINFALL WILL LIKELY BE PRETTY EFFICIENT AND AREAS
ALONG AND N/NW OF THE SFC FRONT SHOULD SEE 2-4 IN. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3-6 WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. SINCE THE RAIN EVENT ON
DEC 10/11...THE AREA HAS NEVER REALLY DRIED OUT AND IF WE ADD THESE
KINDS OF RAINS TO IT...WE WILL END UP WITH FLOODING ISSUES. THUS A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR TONIGHT/TUE.

AS FOR THE SVR POTENTIAL...LOOKING FOR ANOTHER HIGH SHEAR LOW
INSTABILITY EVENT. FORCING WILL BE INTENSE AND THE SHEAR WILL BE
EXTREMELY HIGH AS WE SEE VERY LARGE HGHT FALLS AND A DEEPENING SFC
LOW OVER THE AREA. 0-1 KM SHEAR WILL BE 35-45 KTS WITH THE 0-6 KM
DEEP LAYER SHEAR 65-70 KTS. STARTING TUE...THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIP LOOKS TO BE POST FRONTAL BUT BY MIDDAY...THE STRONGER ASCENT
WILL BE SHIFTING E AND WE SHOULD START SEEING A SQUALL LINE TAKE
SHAPE AND A QLCS EVOLVE GENERALLY FOR AREAS E OF I-55. BASED ON THE
ORIENTATION OF THE WINDS...BOWING ELEMENTS SHOULD QUICKLY MOVE TO
THE NNE AS THE LINE MOVE E A TAD SLOWER. DMG WIND AND TORNADOES WILL
BE THE MAIN RISK WITH THE FOCUS MAINLY ALONG AND E OF A LINE FROM
BROOKHAVEN TO STARKVILLE. SOME SVR COULD BE ON THE SIGNIFICANT SIDE
WITH A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO AND WIND GUSTS >75 MPH.  /CME/

.LONG TERM...THINGS QUIET DOWN SIGNIFICANTLY TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH. A DRIER AIR MASS BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE REGION
BUT THE DRIEST AIR HOLDS OFF UNTIL THE SECOND LOBE OF THE SURFACE
LOW PIVOTS THROUGH AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEALTHY LOW LEVEL COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN A SHARP 850 MB TEMPERATURE TROUGH THAT WILL
TRAP LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THE DEEP LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES IN LATE TUESDAY NIGHT TO MAINTAIN A
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN...MAINLY OVER NRN ZONES...THROUGH EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TRENDED TOWARD SLIGHTLY COOLER ENSEMBLE TEMPS FOR
WED AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT DUE TO STRENGTH OF THE LONG WAVE TROUGH.
SUNSHINE WILL RETURN BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN THE UPPER TROUGH
LIFTS OUT AND THE 850 MB TEMP TROUGH IS ERODED TO ALLOW MOISTURE TO
MIX OUT. LOW LEVEL RIDGING WILL DEVELOP TO MAINTAIN FAIR SKIES
THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND ALLOW WARMER TEMPERATURES
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM FRIDAY IN INCREASING
LOW LEVEL SWLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM.

SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES CONTINUE FOR NEXT WEEKEND. THE EURO
REMAINS THE SLOWER SOLUTION BUT GFS MOS WAS FOLLOWED FOR FRIDAY
SINCE IT MATCHES THE LOWEST ENSEMBLE MEMBER AND KEEPS FRIDAY DRY.
CONFIDENCE IS LOW FOR THE WEEKEND FORECAST AT THIS TIME. THE SLOWER
EURO SOLUTION LOOKS MORE REASONABLE OVER THE DEEPER FASTER GFS BUT
THE EURO REMAINS THE OUTLIER AMONG THE EXTENDED MODELS INCLUDING THE
CANADIAN AND ENSEMBLE SOLUTIONS. THE EURO IS JUST BEGINNING TO
ADVECT A COOLER AIR MASS INTO THE REGION SUNDAY WHILE THE GFS HAS
SHIFTED THE COOLER HIGH EWD AND IS ALREADY SETTING UP WARM AIR
ADVECTION AT LOWER LEVELS. FOLLOWED GFS MOS FOR NOW CONSIDERING
GENERAL EXTENDED MODEL CONSENSUS AND FACT THAT ITS NUMBERS GENERALLY
COINCIDE WITH THE ENSEMBLE NUMBERS FAVORING THE SLOWEST MEMBERS
SOLUTION. 03

&&

.AVIATION...ROUGH CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS THERE
IS A STALLING FRONT ACROSS THE SE PORTION OF THE CWA. LIFR TO IFR
CEILINGS ARE PREVAILING THIS MORNING AND WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
PERIOD. THE LOWEST VIS AREA IS ACROSS THE S/SE PORTIONS WERE AREAS
OF DENSE FOG EXISTS. THIS AREA SHOULD IMPROVE TO MVFR CONDITIONS
TOWARD MIDDAY AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT ACROSS THAT AREA. THE REST OF
THE SITE WILL REMAIN IN TOUGH CONDITIONS. WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL
ALSO DEVELOP LATER TODAY WHICH WILL ALSO HELP TO KEEP CONDITIONS IN
THE LIFR TO IFR RANGE. HEAVIER PRECIP WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE NW/N
HALF LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       53  53  60  41 /  96  99 100  79
MERIDIAN      59  57  67  43 /  92  90 100  97
VICKSBURG     46  46  53  39 /  97 100 100  63
HATTIESBURG   67  61  70  49 /  89  72 100  72
NATCHEZ       50  50  55  40 /  95  97 100  57
GREENVILLE    41  41  46  41 / 100 100 100  67
GREENWOOD     45  45  50  39 / 100 100 100  81

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR MSZ018-019-025>045-047>050-053.

     DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MSZ051-052-
     055>058-060>066-072>074.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

SHORT TERM: CME
LONG  TERM: 03
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 5, 6:16 AM CST, 4 hours 44 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
616 AM CST MON JAN 5 2009

LAZ024-026-MSZ030>033-037>039-043>046-048>066-072>074-061230-
CATAHOULA-CONCORDIA-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
616 AM CST MON JAN 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE NATCHEZ TRACE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MID MORNING FOR AREAS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A NATCHEZ TO MERIDIAN LINE. A SURFACE FRONT HAS
STALLED ACROSS THIS AREA AND IS HELPING TO GENERATE AREAS OF DENSE
FOG WITH VISIBILITIES AT OR BELOW 1/2 MILE. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
BY LATE MORNING.

WIDESPREAD RAINS WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION BY TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF A SAINT JOSEPH LOUISIANA TO JACKSON TO
MACON MISSISSIPPI LINE. THESE AREAS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AS A
POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT PUSH ACROSS THE AREA. THE SEVERE
WEATHER RISK IS FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A BROOKHAVEN TO
STARKVILLE LINE. A SQUALL LINE IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND BRING THE
RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES...MAINLY BETWEEN 10 AM AND 6
PM.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AS RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ACCUMULATE. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE FOCUSED MAINLY
NORTH OF A SAINT JOSEPH LOUISIANA TO JACKSON TO MACON MISSISSIPPI
LINE. THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES FROM TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...NO
ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-025-MSZ018-019-025>029-034>036-
040>042-047-061230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-
CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
616 AM CST MON JAN 5 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD RAINS WILL DEVELOP BY AFTERNOON AND SPREAD ACROSS THE
REGION BY TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT
ACROSS AREAS MAINLY NORTH OF A SAINT JOSEPH LOUISIANA TO JACKSON TO
MACON MISSISSIPPI LINE. THESE AREAS COULD SEE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN
BY SUNRISE TUESDAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AS
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACCUMULATE. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
FOCUSED MAINLY NORTH OF A SAINT JOSEPH LOUISIANA TO JACKSON TO MACON
MISSISSIPPI LINE. THESE LOCATIONS SHOULD SEE WIDESPREAD 2 TO 4 INCHES
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES FROM TONIGHT INTO
TUESDAY.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...NO
ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

CME

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 5, 3:12 AM CSTDense Fog AdvisoryJANAdams, Clarke, Covington, Forrest, Franklin, Jasper and 10 more7 hr
Jan 5, 4:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAdams, Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Claiborne and 34 more38 hr
Jan 5, 10:58 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes9 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2009Every river flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.