Flash Flood Warning 53, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 162128
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
428 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSC163-162137-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-090516T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
YAZOO MS-
428 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN YAZOO
COUNTY...

LAT...LON 3327 8991 3326 8991 3306 9031 3305 9037
      3306 9039 3310 9036 3332 9007

$$

MSC051-162145-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0053.000000T0000Z-090516T2145Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOLMES MS-
428 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 445 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN HOLMES COUNTY...

AT 427 PM CDT...ANOTHER LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL 
EXTENDED FROM ISOLA TO DUCK HILL. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE 
WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THORNTON AND
TCHULA

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
TWO HOURS. WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3327 8991 3326 8991 3306 9031 3305 9037
      3306 9039 3310 9036 3332 9007

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1100 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GOTTEN AN EARLY START
TODAY AND ARE QUICKLY BLOSSOMING ON RADAR THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS
ARE RATHER JUICY THIS MORNING WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S AND
LOWER 70S. MORNING RAOB INDICATED RATHER MOIST CONDITIONS AS WELL
WITH PWATS AROUND 1.6 INCHES. INSOLATION AND LINGERING OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES FROM RECENT STORMS LIKELY ARE ENHANCING CONVECTION THIS
MORNING. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY LIES ACROSS THE NW DELTA REGION AND
EXPECT MORE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO GET GOING ALONG THIS.

FOR THE REST OF TODAY...LOOKING FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING COLD FRONT WHICH APPEARS TO BE DRAPED ACROSS NORTHERN
ARKANSAS INTO NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO LOOK TO
AFFECT THE REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE CHANCE FOR
SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS.

FOR THE UPDATE...RAISED HIGHS TODAY A COUPLE OF DEGREES FOR GLH AND
GWO GIVEN RECENT OBSERVATIONS. THEY ARE SITTING JUST SHY OF THE
PREVIOUSLY FORECASTED HIGH NOW...SO BUMPED UP A COUPLE OF DEGREES. THIS
MAY NOT WORK OUT GIVEN SCATTERED SHOWERS BUT IF THEY CAN CLEAR OUT
AFTER A THUNDERSTORM...THEY WILL LIKELY HEAT UP QUICKLY. OTHERWISE...NO
CHANGES NECESSARY AND UPDATED PRODUCTS ALREADY OUT. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS BKN-OVC FROM 2-4K FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA. WILL BRIEFLY SEE LOWER CIG/VSBY FLIGHT CATEGORIES IN
PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL MVFR CIGS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT./40/03

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

28/03/40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023-MSZ018-019-025>030-032-034>037-
040>042-047-171945-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-
ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

LAZ024>026-MSZ031-033-038-039-043>046-048>066-072>074-171945-
CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-
ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-
JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
231 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI
AND NORTHEAST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SUNDAY

ONE OR TWO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM
ENTERPRISE LA TO JACKSON TO COLUMBUS...AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT
WILL TRACK SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS. SEVERE STORMS
WILL PRODUCE NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH.
OTHERWISE...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH. PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FLOODING OF
ROADWAYS AND LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS. STORM CHANCES WILL END AS THE COLD FRONT PASSES. THE COLD
FRONT MAY STALL OVER SOUTHERN AREAS OVERNIGHT...MAINTAINING THE
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN AND STANDING WATER ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM NATCHEZ TO QUITMAN THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

03

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1129 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ030-161710-
CLAY MS-
1129 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...STRONG STORM IN NORTHERN CLAY COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER MONTPELIER AT 1129 AM CDT...
MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN CLAY COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1211 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ065-161740-
COVINGTON MS-
1211 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED JUST NORTHEAST OF COLLINS AT 1211 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN COVINGTON COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1256 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ032-033-161845-
OKTIBBEHA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
1256 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...CLUSTER OF STORMS MOVING THROUGH CHOCTAW COUNTY...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTH OF REFORM AT 1256 PM
CDT...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CHOCTAW AND WESTERN OKTIBBEHA COUNTIES SHOULD
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
135 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ031-033-161925-
LOWNDES MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-
135 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

A LARGE CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO
DIME SIZE HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER LOWNDES AND
OKTIBBEHA COUNTIES AT 134 PM CDT...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN OKTIBBEHA AND LOWNDES COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THESE STORMS
CLOSELY.

JC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
138 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ040-041-161845-
SHARKEY MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
138 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING SHARKEY AND ISSAQUENA COUNTIES...
A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE
HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED FROM ROLLING FORK TO 10 MILES
WEST OF VALLEY PARK AT 137 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN ISSAQUENA AND SHARKEY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THESE
STORMS CLOSELY.

OLB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
155 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

MSZ031-039-161925-
LOWNDES MS-NOXUBEE MS-
155 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM IN NORTHEAST NOXUBEE COUNTY

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED OVER BIGBEE VALLEY AT 156 PM CDT...
MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS INTENSIFYING AND COULD BECOME SEVERE RAPIDLY.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN NOXUBEE AND SOUTH CENTRAL LOWNDES COUNTIES
SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.

JC