Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2009

Flash Flood Warning 155, NWS Jackson, MS

October 12, 2009Bolivar County, Issaquena County, Washington County, Mississippi; Chicot County, Arkansas

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Oct 12, 2009, 9:29 AM CDT for Bolivar County, Issaquena County, Washington County, Mississippi; Chicot County, Arkansas. It was in force for 5 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Oct 12, 2009, 9:29 AM CDT (14:29 UTC)
Expired: Oct 12, 2009, 2:30 PM CDT
In force: 5 hr
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Chicot County, AR, Bolivar County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Washington County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 163 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Oct 12, 11:30 AM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Dermott, AR	SEVERAL STREETS CLOSED THROUGHOUT TOWN DUE TO WATER COVERING ROADWAYS.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 121 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 154 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 448 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 215 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 301 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KJAN 121429
FFWJAN
ARC017-MSC011-055-151-121630-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0155.091012T1429Z-091012T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
929 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...DERMOTT...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 1130 AM CDT

* AT 929 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN 6 MILES EAST OF LAKE       
  VILLAGE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.        
  ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF AN INCH...HAVE  
  OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  MCMILLAN CORNER

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 9123 3351 9118 3344 9123 3345 9118
      3351 9117 3347 9112 3343 9120 3339 9118
      3346 9105 3333 9114 3325 9110 3328 9104
      3322 9109 3315 9109 3314 9120 3305 9112
      3301 9116 3302 9145 3356 9145 3352 9127

$$

BK

4 follow-up statements

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 121539
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

ARC017-MSC011-055-151-121630-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0155.000000T0000Z-091012T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHICOT AR-BOLIVAR MS-WASHINGTON MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
1039 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA...NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN BOLIVAR AND CHICOT COUNTIES...

AT 1037 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN 6 MILES 
EAST OF LAKE VILLAGE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING TO THE NORTHEAST AT 25 
MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO 
INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST THREE HOURS.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MCMILLAN CORNER AND DERMOTT

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT 
45 MINUTES WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE INCH POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 9123 3351 9118 3344 9123 3345 9118
      3351 9117 3347 9112 3343 9120 3339 9118
      3346 9105 3333 9114 3325 9110 3328 9104
      3322 9109 3315 9109 3314 9120 3305 9112
      3301 9116 3302 9145 3356 9145 3352 9127

$$

BK

000 
WGUS54 KJAN 121617
FFWJAN
ARC017-MSC011-055-151-121930-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0155.000000T0000Z-091012T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1117 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN BOLIVAR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...
  CHICOT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...LAKE VILLAGE...EUDORA...DERMOTT...
  EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...

* UNTIL 230 PM CDT

* AT 1116 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED
  THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN 6 MILES EAST OF LAKE       
  VILLAGE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. ESTIMATED     
  RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO INCHES...HAVE         
  OCCURRED IN THE PAST THREE HOURS.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  MCMILLAN CORNER

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
THREE HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 9123 3351 9118 3344 9123 3345 9118
      3351 9117 3347 9112 3343 9120 3339 9118
      3346 9105 3333 9114 3325 9110 3328 9104
      3322 9109 3315 9109 3314 9120 3305 9112
      3301 9116 3302 9145 3356 9145 3352 9127

$$

BK

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 121812
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
112 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

ARC017-MSC011-055-151-121930-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0155.000000T0000Z-091012T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHICOT AR-BOLIVAR MS-WASHINGTON MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
112 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 230 PM CDT FOR
EXTREME NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA...NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN BOLIVAR AND CHICOT COUNTIES...

AT 111 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
DETECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN NEAR 
CROSSETT. THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. ESTIMATED 
RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO TWO INCHES...HAVE 
OCCURRED IN THE PAST HOUR.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
MCMILLAN CORNER AND DERMOTT

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT 
HOUR AND A HALF WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO INCHES POSSIBLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3356 9123 3351 9118 3344 9123 3345 9118
      3351 9117 3347 9112 3343 9120 3339 9118
      3346 9105 3333 9114 3325 9110 3328 9104
      3322 9109 3315 9109 3314 9120 3305 9112
      3301 9116 3302 9145 3356 9145 3352 9127

$$

BK

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 121923
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
223 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

ARC017-MSC011-055-151-121932-
/O.EXP.KJAN.FF.W.0155.000000T0000Z-091012T1930Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CHICOT AR-BOLIVAR MS-WASHINGTON MS-ISSAQUENA MS-
223 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 230 PM CDT FOR EXTREME
NORTHWESTERN ISSAQUENA...NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON...EXTREME
SOUTHWESTERN BOLIVAR AND CHICOT COUNTIES...

THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT BROUGHT THE HEAVY RAIN HAVE MOVED 
EAST OF THE AREA.

LAT...LON 3356 9123 3351 9118 3344 9123 3345 9118
      3351 9117 3347 9112 3343 9120 3339 9118
      3346 9105 3333 9114 3325 9110 3328 9104
      3322 9109 3315 9109 3314 9120 3305 9112
      3301 9116 3302 9145 3356 9145 3352 9127

$$

BK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 12, 7:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 12, 7:15 AM CDT, 2 hours 14 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
715 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

.UPDATED...HAVE ISSUED A FLOOD WATCH FOR NWRN ZONES FOR TODAY.
PERSISTENT RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN MINOR STREET FLOODING IN CHICOT
AND LOWNDES SOUNTY THIS MORNING. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE
IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY BY EARLY AFTERNOON BUT STEADY MODERATE
RAINS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING...RESULTING IN THE
POSSIBILITY OF MORE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OVER NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI BEFORE RAINFALL TRENDS
DOWN.

&&

.SHORT TERM...WET WEATHER WILL BE THE RULE IN THE SHORT TERM.
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL CURRENTLY ACROSS NRN ZONES WILL DECREASE IN
COVERAGE AS THE BACK EDGE OF THE SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE AREA BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. 850 MB WIND FLOW WILL ALSO DECREASE AND VEER TO THE
W/SW TODAY TO DECREASE LIFT ACROSS THE BOUNDARY TODAY.
HOWEVER...WILL SEE HIGH RAIN CHANCES BEFORE THE SHORTWAVE LIFTS
THROUGH AND HAVE INCREASED POPS OVER MAV VALUES FOR TODAY OVER NRN
ZONES. HIGH RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FROM THE SOUTH TODAY AS THE
WARM FRONT LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF THE COAST THIS MORNING SHIFTS
NWD. EXPECT DEEPENING MOISTURE IN THE WARM SECTOR THAT RESULTS OVER
SRN ZONES FOR INCREASING 850 MB THETAE VALUES BUT LIMITED LAPSE
RATES. EXPECT A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF
CONVECTION OVER SRN ZONES THIS AFTERNOON BUT SEVERE CONVECTION IS
NOT LIKELY. THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SLIPS BACK SWD TONIGHT. WEAK
SURFACE RIDGING DROPS INTO THE MID MS VALLEY REDUCING PW VALUES OVER
THE AREA.

WEAK WAVES WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION...PUSHING
THROUGH WEAK UPPER RIDING THAT DEVELOPS OVER THE AREA TUESDAY. 850
MB FLOW WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM UPSTREAM AND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LIFT NWD
AGAIN INTO THE REGION. WILL SEE INCREASING MOISTURE AND INCREASING
ISENTROPIC LIFT TUESDAY AND HAVE FOLLOWED SLIGHTLY WETTER POPS OVER
LATEST MAV GUIDANCE. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES 2 INCHES OR HIGHER ACROSS THE AREA
WHEN THE SRN FRINGES OF THE NEXT WAVE SWEEP THROUGH.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...SURFACE FRONT WILL CONTINUE
TO EXTEND ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WITH
A STRONG SHORT WAVE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW EXITING THE AREA BY
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO EXTEND ACROSS
THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH SHOWERS CONTINUING ALONG THE BOUNDARY
INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE GFS/EURO/NAM ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL FINALLY MAKE A PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS THE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS AND
BEGINS TO MOVE EAST. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE ON THURSDAY
WITH PWATS ABOVE 2 INCHES OVER MOST OF THE AREA. WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL
FLOW ACROSS THE AREA...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS STORMS
TRAIN ALONG THE BOUNDARY. ML CAPES OF 2000-2500 J/KG AND DECENT
SPEED SHEAR WILL SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND AHEAD OF
THE BOUNDARY...SO WILL CONTINUE THE MENTION OF THIS IN THE HWO.

A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY ON FRIDAY BEFORE MUCH DRIER AIR
MOVES IN DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY WITH PWATS FALLING DOWN NEAR 0.5
INCH. ALONG WITH IT WILL BE MUCH COOLER AIR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
60S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THE GFS/EURO INDICATE H925 TEMPS BELOW
3C OVER MUCH OF THE AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING...BUT WITH THE WINDS
REMAINING UP THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH MIXING TO KEEP TEMPS UP A BIT
BUT STILL WELL BELOW WHAT MEX GUIDANCE INDICATES. SATURDAY WILL BE
COOL WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S ACROSS THE
AREA. GFS/EURO INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE HIGH WILL SHIFT OVER THE
AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND THIS SHOULD ALLOW THE WINDS TO CUT OFF AND
THUS OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL AGAIN BE COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S
IN THE NORTH TO LOW 40S IN THE SOUTH. MADE SIGNIFICANT CUTS TO MEX
GUIDANCE HIGHS AND LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE HIGH SHIFTS TO THE
EAST ON MONDAY AND SOUTHEASTERLY WARMER FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE
ARKLAMISS./15/

&&

.AVIATION...WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CIGS THIS MORNING WITH BKN-OVC DECKS
BELOW 500 FEET. AREAS OF MVFR VSBYS ALSO ACROSS THE AREA IN HEAVIER
RAINFALL. CIGS/VSBY WILL IMPROVE AFTER 10 AM WHEN THE BACK EDGE OF A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN AND DECREASES RAINFALL COVERAGE OVER
NRN ZONES. WILL SEE WIDESPREAD MVFR BKN-OVC DECKS FROM 1K-3K FEET
THIS AFTERNOON WITH INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FROM THE SOUTH WHEN A
WARM FRONT LIFTS INLAND. ISOLATED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS S OF INTERSTATE 20. RAIN CHANCES
WILL DECREASE TONIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT DROPS BACK SWD OVERNIGHT.
WILL SEE WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CIGS LATE TONIGHT WITH OCNL MVFR VSBYS
IN FOG...LOCALLY LOWER IN SHOWERS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       75  64  80  70 /  97  54  74  78
MERIDIAN      74  62  80  67 / 100  47  58  79
VICKSBURG     76  63  79  70 /  92  57  83  77
HATTIESBURG   78  68  83  69 /  92  44  64  57
NATCHEZ       77  66  81  72 /  99  72  86  67
GREENVILLE    71  59  75  67 /  98  37  78  85
GREENWOOD     70  59  76  67 /  98  35  67  85

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
MSZ018-019-025>037-040>042.

LA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009.

AR...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

03/15

Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 12, 7:22 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
722 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

LAZ015-016-023>026-MSZ038-039-043>066-072>074-131230-
RICHLAND-MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-
RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-
JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
722 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERSISTENT PERIODS OF RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN PONDING WATER ON
ROADWAYS AND IN LOW LYING AREAS TODAY...ESPECIALLY OVER AREAS NORTH
OF INTERSTATE 20. RAIN AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE ARKLAMISS TODAY. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL TRACK ACROSS
AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS MORNING AND AN ADVANCING WARM
FRONT WILL MAINTAIN RAIN CHANCES OVER THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. RAINFALL WILL DECREASE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCAL FLOODING ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT INLAND DURING THE DAY AND
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW UP AND OVER THE BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND ISOLATED STRONG STORMS.

ON THURSDAY...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. INSTABILITY AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 BRINGING MORE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING TO THESE AREAS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>037-040>042-131230-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-ISSAQUENA-
SHARKEY-YAZOO-
722 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

PERSISTENT PERIODS OF RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN FLOODING TODAY OVER
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI TODAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS
ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM BASTROP TO YAZOO CITY TO COLUMBUS. THE
PRIMARY FLOODING RISK WILL OCCUR THROUGH NOON. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE
WILL TRACK ACROSS AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20 THIS MORNING AND AN
ADVANCING WARM FRONT WILL MAINTAIN RAIN CHANCES OVER THE ENTIRE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAINFALL WILL DECREASE TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCAL FLOODING ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS CURRENTLY IN
PLACE. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 20. A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT INLAND DURING THE DAY AND
INCREASING SOUTHERLY FLOW UP AND OVER THE BOUNDARY WILL RESULT IN
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND ISOLATED STRONG STORMS.

ON THURSDAY...A VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION. INSTABILITY AND STRONG WINDS ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL RESULT IN A CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 BRINGING MORE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING TO THESE AREAS.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

03

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Oct 12, 4:27 AM CDT, 5 hours 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
427 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

MSZ030-031-033-121035-
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-
427 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

...PONDING WATER POSSIBLE IN CONTINUING RAINFALL ACROSS NORTHEAST...

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS
MORNING. WITH HOURLY RAINFALL RATES AROUND ONE HALF AN INCH PER
HOUR...PERSISTENT RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS
AND IN LOW LYING AREAS THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS
AROUND ONE INCH CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH 8 AM.

PEOPLE IN OKTIBBEHA...LOWNDES AND CLAY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THESE
CONDITIONS CLOSELY.

OLB

Local storm report, Oct 12, 7:46 AM CDT, 1 hour 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
746 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0400 AM     HEAVY RAIN       COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
10/12/2009  U0.00 INCH       LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR STREET FLOODING

&&

BURSE

Local storm report, Oct 12, 7:48 AM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
748 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 AM     HEAVY RAIN       LAKE VILLAGE            33.32N 91.28W
10/12/2009  U0.00 INCH       CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR FLOODING ON COUNTY ROADS AND HIGHWAY 65

&&

BURSE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 12, 7:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	JAN	Attala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 12 more	9 hr
Oct 12, 8:24 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Washington	7 hr
Oct 12, 9:03 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	JAN	Neshoba	7 days
Oct 12, 9:43 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Bolivar, Leflore, Sunflower	3 hr
Oct 12, 10:18 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	JAN	Clay	5 days
Oct 12, 10:18 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	JAN	Noxubee	7 days
Oct 12, 10:29 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Carroll, Grenada, Montgomery	3 hr
Oct 12, 7:25 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Chicot	2 hr
Oct 12, 11:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	JAN	Ashley	5 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2009 Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2009 Every flash flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.