Alert archive / Mississippi / Flash Flood Warnings in 2009

Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Jackson, MS

February 27, 20096 counties in Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this flash flood warning at Feb 27, 2009, 4:03 PM CST for 6 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 12 hr. 6 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2009, 4:03 PM CST (22:03 UTC)
Expired
Feb 28, 2009, 3:41 AM CST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Choctaw County, MS, Clay County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Webster County, MS

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Feb 27, 4:13 PM CSTFLASH FLOODStarkville, MSREED ROAD 1/2 MILE NORTH OF HWY 182 CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
Feb 27, 5:48 PM CSTFLASH FLOODColumbus, MSSEVERAL ROADS WITHIN COLUMBUS HAVE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
Feb 28, 1:27 AM CSTFLASH FLOODEupora, MSNUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS ARE CLOSED ACROSS THE COUNTY.
Feb 28, 1:27 AM CSTFLASH FLOODMathiston, MSFOUR FEET OF WATER IS IN A HOUSE. WATER IS ALMOST UP TO THE WINDOWS.
Feb 28, 1:36 AM CSTFLASH FLOODWest Point, MSNUMEROUS ROADS ACROSS THE COUNTY ARE CLOSED DUE TO WATER COVERING THE ROADS.
Feb 28, 3:13 AM CSTFLASH FLOODColumbus, MSSEVERAL ROADS IN COLUMBUS AND IN THE COUNTY HAVE WATER COVERING THEM. ON SOME ROADS THE ASPHALT IS BROKEN DUE TO WATER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 6 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 10 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2009-02-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 454 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2009-02-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
454 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
593 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KJAN 272203
FFWJAN
MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280000-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FF.W.0014.090227T2203Z-090228T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
403 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...WEST POINT...
  LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS AFB...COLUMBUS...
  OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STARKVILLE...

* UNTIL 600 PM CST

* AT 357 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED
  FLOODING IN THESE COUNTIES. VERY HEAVY RAIN WAS DETECTED
  IN THE REGION...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. ESTIMATED RADAR   RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF FIVE TO SIX INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE 
PAST FOUR HOURS.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
  SESSUMS...PALA ALTO...MULDROW...TIBBEE...BENT OAK...WAVERLY...
  KOLOLA SPRINGS...STEENS AND CALEDONIA

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

MRM
8 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 272257
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
457 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280000-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-WEBSTER MS-MONTGOMERY MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
457 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CST FOR
NORTHERN CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...
WEBSTER...LOWNDES AND CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 451 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE REPORTED FLOODING
OVER THE WARNED AREA. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE 
ORDER OF FIVE TO SEVEN INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST SIX HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MONTPELIER

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
TWO HOURS. WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

MRM
000 
WGUS54 KJAN 272344
FFWJAN
MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280200-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
544 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...WEST POINT...
  LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS AFB...COLUMBUS...
  OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STARKVILLE...

* UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 538 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS HAVE REPORTED FLOODING
IN THE WARNED AREA. RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS WITH
HEAVY RAINFALL MOVING OVER THE WARNED AREA.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON 
THE ORDER OF FIVE TO SEVEN INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST EIGHT 
HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANTEE.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
TWO HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

MRM
000 
WGUS54 KJAN 280148
FFWJAN
MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280500-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
748 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...WEST POINT...
  LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS AFB...COLUMBUS...
  OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STARKVILLE...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CST

* AT 745 PM CST...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLOODING
OF SOME ROADS IN THE WARNED AREA. VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO CROSS THE REGION. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF FIVE TO SEVEN INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN 
THE PAST NINE HOURS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANTEE.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT
THREE HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY.
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.
FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

MRM
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 280338
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
938 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280500-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-WEBSTER MS-MONTGOMERY MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
938 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR
NORTHERN CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...
WEBSTER...LOWNDES AND CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 931 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF 1 TO 2 INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST 
TWO HOURS. THIS IS ON TOP OF THE 3 TO 5 WHICH HAS FALLEN DURING THE 
DAY.

POCKETS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA 
FOR THE NEXT TWO HOURS. WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES 
POSSIBLE. MORE HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN 11 PM AND 3 
AM WHICH COULD BRING AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 3 INCHES.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROAD. MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

CME
000 
WGUS54 KJAN 280448
FFWJAN
MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280800-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1048 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...WEST POINT...
  LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS AFB...COLUMBUS...
  OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STARKVILLE...

* UNTIL 200 AM CST

* AT 1042 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED  
  HEAVY RAIN FROM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.   
  ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO             
  INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST TWO HOURS. THIS IS IN ADDITION  
  TO THE 4 TO 7 INCHES WHICH HAS FALLEN DURING THE DAY. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANTEE.

VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT 
THREE HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH 
2 AM.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES AN HOUR CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE CITY OF COLUMBUS INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS: THE MASONIC SUBDIVISION ALONG MAGBY CREEK...AREAS ALONG THE
LUXIPALILA CREEK FROM CBDG CONTINUANCE SOUTH OF MAIN AND WEST OF
COLUMBUS...SOUTH OF 182. THE MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
INCLUDING 15TH STREET AT COLLEGE STREET...LOCATIONS ALONG MOORES
CREEK...AND THE COLUMBUS BRICK DETENTION POND.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

JC
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 280724
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
124 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280800-
/O.CON.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-WEBSTER MS-MONTGOMERY MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
124 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CST FOR
NORTHERN CHOCTAW...OKTIBBEHA...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...
WEBSTER...LOWNDES AND CLAY COUNTIES...

AT 117 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO 
DETECT HEAVY RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL 
AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF TWO INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST TWO 
HOURS.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MONTPELIER

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA THROUGH 2 AM WITH 
AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. WITH THE THREAT FOR 
CONTINUED RAINFALL...THIS WARNING MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED. REPORTS 
IN WEBSTER COUNTY INDICATE THAT NUMEROUS COUNTY ROADS ARE CLOSED DUE 
TO WATER. IN ADDITION...A HOUSE IS REPORTED TO HAVE FOUR FEET OF 
WATER IN IT. 

RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES AN HOUR CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE CITY OF COLUMBUS INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS: THE MASONIC SUBDIVISION ALONG MAGBY CREEK...AREAS ALONG THE
LUXIPALILA CREEK FROM CBDG CONTINUANCE SOUTH OF MAIN AND WEST OF
COLUMBUS...SOUTH OF 182. THE MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
INCLUDING 15TH STREET AT COLLEGE STREET...LOCATIONS ALONG MOORES
CREEK...AND THE COLUMBUS BRICK DETENTION POND.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

JC
000 
WGUS54 KJAN 280753
FFWJAN
MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-281100-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
153 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN CHOCTAW COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL
  MISSISSIPPI...
  WEBSTER COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
  CLAY COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...WEST POINT...
  LOWNDES COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...COLUMBUS AFB...COLUMBUS...
  OKTIBBEHA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF STARKVILLE...

* UNTIL 500 AM CST

* AT 146 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED   
  HEAVY RAIN FROM A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WARNED AREA.   
  ESTIMATED RADAR RAINFALL AMOUNTS...ON THE ORDER OF ONE TO THREE    
  INCHES...HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST TWO HOURS. THIS IS IN ADDITION  
  TO THE 4 TO 7 INCHES THAT FELL ON FRIDAY. LAW ENFORCEMENT HAS      
  REPORTED NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED IN BOTH CLAY AND WEBSTER COUNTIES   
  DUE TO HIGH WATER. IN ADDITION...FOUR FEET OF WATER IN A RESIDENCE 
  HAS BEEN REPORTED NEAR MATHISON IN WEBSTER COUNTY. 

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO MANTEE.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER THE WARNED AREA FOR THE NEXT THREE 
HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO THREE INCHES POSSIBLE. 

RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES AN HOUR CAN CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING IN AND AROUND THE CITY OF COLUMBUS INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
AREAS: THE MASONIC SUBDIVISION ALONG MAGBY CREEK...AREAS ALONG THE
LUXIPALILA CREEK FROM CBDG CONTINUANCE SOUTH OF MAIN AND WEST OF
COLUMBUS...SOUTH OF 182. THE MISSISSIPPI UNIVERSITY FOR WOMEN
INCLUDING 15TH STREET AT COLLEGE STREET...LOCATIONS ALONG MOORES
CREEK...AND THE COLUMBUS BRICK DETENTION POND.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF HIGHWAYS
AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO
FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD.FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES AND MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

JC
000 
WGUS74 KJAN 280941
FFSJAN

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
341 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

MSC019-025-087-097-105-155-280951-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-090228T1100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLAY MS-LOWNDES MS-WEBSTER MS-MONTGOMERY MS-OKTIBBEHA MS-CHOCTAW MS-
341 AM CST SAT FEB 28 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELED FOR NORTHERN CHOCTAW...
OKTIBBEHA...EXTREME EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY...WEBSTER...LOWNDES AND
CLAY COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE AREA AND ONLY LIGHT RAIN 
REMAINS.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS
MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3330 8833 3346 8947 3370 8950 3373 8931
      3373 8919 3375 8918 3375 8903 3376 8894
      3379 8893 3382 8873 3381 8871 3369 8871
      3369 8849 3367 8847 3370 8837 3375 8831
      3374 8825

$$

JC

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Feb 27, 3:49 PM CST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 27, 3:49 PM CST, 14 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

...SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN RISK TO CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT...

...DISCUSSION...FIRST OFF THIS AFTERNOON...IM GOING TO GO AHEAD AND
REMOVE SMITH...JASPER...CLARKE...AND JONES COUNTIES FROM TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 38 AS A RESULT OF DECREASED ACTIVITY DUE TO A STRONG
CAPPING OVER THE AREA.  TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 38 HOWEVER WILL
CONTINUE UNTIL 02Z FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE
20 CORRIDOR.

THE COLD FRONT THATS BEEN THE MAIN FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR TODAYS
ACTIVITY HAS MADE LITTLE PROGRESS SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON.  AS A
RESULT...MOST OF THE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN CONCENTRATED IN THE VICINITY
OF THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR.  SOME ACTIVITY HAS TRIED TO BREAK OUT
ACROSS THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR...BUT DUE TO THE CAPPING OVER
CENTRAL PORTION OF THE AREA...NOTED ON THE 18Z KJAN RAOB...THINGS
HAVE STRUGGLED TO GET GOING FURTHER SOUTH TO THIS POINT.

FOR TONIGHT...DESPITE THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND THE FAVORABLE
POSITION IN THE UPPER UPPER JET...THATS AIDED IN CONVECTION EARLIER
THIS MORNING AND DURING THE AFTERNOON...MY FEELING IS THAT WITH
ENOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINING OVER THE FORECAST AREA...COUPLED WITH
INCREASED FORCING AS THE LARGER TROUGH SWINGS EAST INTO THE REGION
CAUSING THE NOW NEARLY STATIONARY COLD FRONT TO BEGIN TO ACCELERATE
THROUGH THE AREA...WE COULD STILL SEE AT MINIMUM SOME ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TONIGHT AS ACTIVITY BASICALLY
CONGEALS INTO A SQUALL LINE AND SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE AREA.  LAPSE
RATES ARENT EXPECTED TO BE AS STEEP AS THEY HAD BEEN...BUT AGAIN
WITH GOOD FORCING AND INSTABILITY...AND WITH DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR
REMAINING ADEQUATE ENOUGH...IT STILL APPEARS AS THOUGH LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN OVER AREAS MAINLY
NORTH OF A LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO MACON THROUGH
TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ALONG HIGHWAY 82 BETWEEN WINONA AND COLUMBUS.
SEVERAL INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS THIS AREA THIS
AFTERNOON RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING.  UNTIL THE FRONT ACTUALLY
BEGINS TO MAKE ITS SOUTHEASTWARD PUSH...LOCATIONS WITHIN THE
PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED AREA...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
TRAIN ACROSS THE SAME AREA WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN
LOCALIZED...TO PERHAPS WIDESPREAD...FLOODING ACROSS THIS AREA.  AS A
RESULT...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO BETTER REFLECT
CURRENT RADAR TRENDS AND THINKING THROUGH TONIGHT.

AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA
OVERNIGHT...ANY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL QUICKLY COME TO AN END
BEHIND IT. /19/

SATURDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE PULLING
AWAY FROM EASTERN MISSISSIPPI SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK...BUT THERE
STILL MAY BE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR A FEW POTENT STORMS NEAR THE I-59
CORRIDOR AFTER DAYBREAK AND BEFORE 10 AM. INSTABILITY WILL NOT BE
HIGH...BUT WIND SHEAR WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED CELLS...SO
THIS POTENTIAL WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED.

THE REST OF THE SATURDAY SHOULD FEATURE A LOT OF CLOUDS...GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS...AND PERHAPS SOME LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS.
WINDS (AT LEAST IN UPPER DELTA SECTIONS) MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO
NECESSITATE A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...BUT I WILL LET SUBSEQUENT SHIFT
HANDLE THAT. TEMPERATURES MAY TEND TO DROP DURING THE DAY IN A FEW
PLACES WITH VERY COOL HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.

THE REALLY INTERESTING WEATHER WILL COME IN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
EARLY SUNDAY AS THE PREVIOUSLY MENTIONED UPPER LOW COMES PLOWING
SOUTH IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY. MODELS HAVE REACHED A GOOD CONSENSUS
THAT THE SYSTEM WILL DIG STRONGLY DOWN INTO OUR REGION...BUT WILL
NOT MAKE IT TO THE GULF COAST. THIS PUTS LOCATIONS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF A CLEVELAND TO DE KALB LINE IN MISSISSIPPI IN THE ZONE OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW POTENTIAL. SOME LIGHT SNOW (PERHAPS MIXED WITH
RAIN AT TIMES) MAY FALL SOUTH OF THIS LINE...BUT ACCUMULATIONS ARE
NOT ANTICIPATED. AT THIS POINT IT SEEMS POSSIBLE THAT ACCUMULATIONS
UP TO TWO INCHES MAY BE POSSIBLE UP IN THE GOLDEN
TRIANGLE...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...WITH MAYBE AN
INCH TO A DUSTING ELSEWHERE IN THE DEFINED AREA. WITH SUCH A SMALL
AREA OF THE CWA SHOWING THE BEST POTENTIAL (AND STILL SOME
UNCERTAINTY WITH THE UPPER LOW TRACK) I WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY
SORT OF WATCHES OR ADVISORIES. HOWEVER...SUBSEQUENT SHIFTS WILL HAVE
TO STRONGLY CONSIDER THIS IN AT LEAST THE FAR NORTHEAST PORTION OF
THE ARKLAMISS IF MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THEIR SOLUTIONS.

THE REST OF THE FORECAST WAS ESSENTIALLY UNCHANGED AND I HAVE POSTED
THE RELEVANT PORTIONS OF THE PREVIOUS LONG RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
BELOW. /BB/

BEGINNING SUNDAY THE AREA WILL SEE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER
THROUGH AT LEAST AROUND THURSDAY OR SO. COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
IS EXPECTED TO SET UP OVER THE ARKLAMISS REGION THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF THE WORK WEEK WITH WEAK CAA PERSISTING THROUGH THIS
TIME.  THIS WILL BE REFLECTED IN TEMPERATURES WITH LOWS THROUGH THE
FIRST PART OF THE WORK WEEK AROUND OR A FEW DEGREES BELOW FREEZING.
HIGH TEMPERATURES SUNDAY WILL REMAIN IN THE MIDDLE 50S OR
LOWER...WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY THOUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK THE AREA SHOULD
SEE A DECENT WARM UP.  THERE WILL BE A DECENT UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION.  AND THE SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA. THIS WILL BRING RETURN FLOW TO THE ARKLAMISS
REGION TO GIVE MUCH WARMER TEMPERATURES BY THE END OF THE WORK WEEK
WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S AND INTO THE MIDDLE 70S EXPECTED. HAVE WENT
AHEAD AND RAISED TEMPERATURES BY A COUPLE DEGREES FOR MOST SITES FOR
HIGHS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO
ENSEMBLE GUI VALUES. MODELS ARE IN A BIT OF DISAGREEMENT AS TO WHEN
RAIN WILL RETURN TO THE ARKLAMISS REGION...BUT AT THIS TIME IT LOOKS
AS IF THE AREA SHOULD REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY...POSSIBLY
LONGER INTO THE WEEKEND./14/

&&

.AVIATION...THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE TRYING TO TIME THE CONVECTION
TODAY AND THE TIME OF FRONTAL PASSAGE. THIS WILL BE A TOUGH CALL AS
A LARGE WINDOW OF TIME WILL EXIST WHERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR
SITES ALONG AND N OF I-20. THE WORST OVERALL CONDITIONS FOR FLYING
THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD BE FROM GLH TO GTR. VIS MAY FALL BELOW TO
AOB 1SM IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN. AWAY FROM STORM ACTIVITY...VFR TO
OCCASIONAL MVFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR FOR MOST SITES.  COLDER AIR WILL
MOVE IN AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LOOK FOR WIDESPREAD IFR CEILINGS TO
DEVELOP AS A RESULT OF OVERRUNNING MOISTURE.  SITES GLH AND GWO WILL
HAVE THE LONGEST DURATION OF IFR CONDITIONS AS THEY WILL BE CLOSEST
TO THE FRONT. IFR TO MVFR CEILINGS WILL REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE TIME
UNTIL SUNDAY WITH SOME LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AS WELL. THERE COULD
ALSO BE SOME LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING OVER THE NE HALF OF THE AREA SAT
NIGHT.  ALL CONDITIONS SHOULD IMPROVE BY SUN AFTERNOON. /DH/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       52  52  30  49 / 100  35  23   2
MERIDIAN      56  57  30  48 /  91  51  41  13
VICKSBURG     51  52  31  50 / 100  23  15   0
HATTIESBURG   60  64  34  54 /  80  55  17   1
NATCHEZ       53  54  32  53 /  90  27   0   0
GREENVILLE    46  44  30  48 / 100  28  32   1
GREENWOOD     46  45  29  47 / 100  37  45  10

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 3 AM CST SATURDAY FOR MSZ018-019-025>039.

LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

19/BB/DH
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 27, 3:42 PM CST, 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

MSZ018-019-025>039-282145-
BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-
LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-
WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS AND
OTHER STORM CLUSTERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...BETWEEN
QUARTER AND GOLF BALL SIZE. OTHER RISKS WILL COME FROM DAMAGING WINDS
AND POSSIBLE TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT
OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL...DUE TO THE REPETITIVE
NATURE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE SAME AREA...SEVERAL
LOCATIONS ACROSS THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING
LOCALIZED FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON. UNTIL THE FRONT BEGINS TO MAKE ITS
PUSH FURTHER TO THE SOUTH LATER TONIGHT...LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN ACROSS THE AREA. AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF A
LINE FROM GREENVILLE TO MACON LOOK TO HAVE THE GREATEST POTENTIAL TO
SEE AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN THROUGH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

LIGHT SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
FOR AREAS MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF A CLEVELAND TO DEKALB LINE.
AT THIS TIME...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD REMAIN AT OR BELOW AN
INCH. AS RESULT...A WINTER WEATHER WATCH OR ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED
FOR PORTIONS OF THIS AREA FOR SATURDAY NIGHT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
CHECK BACK FOR LATER FORECASTS CONCERNING THIS POSSIBLE WINTER
WEATHER EVENT.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-MSZ040>052-282145-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS
THE AREA THIS EVENING AND INTO TONIGHT. ISOLATED SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION THROUGH THE
EVENING. LARGE HAIL...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOS WILL ALL
BE POSSIBLE FROM ANY SUPERCELL STORMS THAT OCCUR.

THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE AREA...THE ACTIVITY WILL CONGEAL INTO A SQUALL
LINE IN WHICH ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

LAZ023>026-MSZ053>066-072>074-282145-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-
SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-
JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
342 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
AND SOUTH MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY

AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM MAY BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20
TONIGHT AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IF ONE CAN DEVELOP...IT
WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE AND BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE
HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS. HOWEVER...A TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. THE BEST TIME FRAME FOR ANY SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THIS AREA WILL BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
OTHERWISE...ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

19

In the hours before

Local storm report, Feb 27, 2:02 PM CST, 2 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
202 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY-61 ARE COVERED WITH
            WATER NEAR DOWNTOWN CLEVELAND.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 2:13 PM CST, 1 hour 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
213 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RULEVILLE               33.72N 90.55W
02/27/2009                   SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN RULEVILLE WESTWARD ALONG STATE
            HIGHWAY-8 TOWARDS CLEVELAND.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 3:09 PM CST, 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
309 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 182 IN STARKVILLE

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 3:10 PM CST, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
310 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     HAIL             2 N BENOIT              33.68N 91.01W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   PUBLIC

            AT LEAST PENNY SIZED HAIL COVERING THE LAWN. A FEW STONES
            COULD HAVE BEEN LARGER.

0630 AM     HAIL             3 SW BOYLE              33.67N 90.76W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0702 AM     HAIL             1 S ITTA BENA           33.49N 90.32W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0720 AM     HAIL             3 W CLEVELAND           33.74N 90.78W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0740 AM     HAIL             3 N DREW                33.85N 90.53W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0745 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER COVERING HIGHWAY 51.

0757 AM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST POINT              33.61N 88.64W
02/27/2009                   CLAY               MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS DOWN.

0803 AM     HAIL             4 W HAMBURG             33.23N 91.87W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

0820 AM     HAIL             1 S CALEDONIA           33.67N 88.33W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL NEAR WOLF ROAD.

0825 AM     HAIL             1 N CROSSETT            33.14N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0830 AM     HAIL             PORTLAND                33.24N 91.51W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

0831 AM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SE COLUMBUS           33.43N 88.32W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN NEAR NEW HOPE.

0850 AM     HAIL             2 NW EUDORA             33.14N 91.29W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       CHICOT             AR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NICKEL SIZED HAIL.

0855 AM     HAIL             2 N EUDORA              33.15N 91.26W
02/27/2009  E1.25 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HALF-DOLLAR SIZED HAIL.

0919 AM     HAIL             1 S LAMONT              33.52N 91.08W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL

0919 AM     HAIL             2 N CROSSETT            33.16N 91.97W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       ASHLEY             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0950 AM     HAIL             2 ESE SHAW              33.59N 90.74W
02/27/2009  E0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   PUBLIC

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

0957 AM     HAIL             5 E SHAW                33.60N 90.68W
02/27/2009  M0.75 INCH       SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PENNY SIZED HAIL.

1113 AM     FLASH FLOOD      COLUMBUS                33.51N 88.40W
02/27/2009                   LOWNDES            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            PORTIONS OF 2 ROADS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER...COLLEGE
            STREET AND MILITARY RD.

1130 AM     HAIL             5 SSE KOSCIUSKO         33.00N 89.54W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       ATTALA             MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

1145 AM     HAIL             10 W NOXAPATER          32.99N 89.24W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE LOBUTCHA COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1150 AM     HAIL             2 N CLEVELAND           33.77N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME SIZED HAIL AT THE CLEVELAND AIRPORT.

1200 PM     HAIL             4 NW NOXAPATER          33.03N 89.11W
02/27/2009  E0.50 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED IN THE SHALLOW COMMUNITY IN WESTERN WINSTON
            COUNTY.

1205 PM     HAIL             MCMILLAN CORNER         33.39N 91.31W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       CHICOT             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

1205 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS STREETS ARE FLOODED.

1220 PM     HAIL             4 E LOUISVILLE          33.12N 88.99W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       WINSTON            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORTED ON THE EAST SIDE OF LOUISVILLE

1235 PM     HAIL             1 N GREENVILLE          33.40N 91.05W
02/27/2009  E1.75 INCH       WASHINGTON         MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL REPORTED AT GREENVILLE AIRPORT.

1252 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009                   OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            STANDING WATER AND STREET FLOODING ALONG YATES STREET
            NEAR HIGHWAY 12 BY THE STARKVILLE HEALTH DEPARTMENT
            BUILDING.

1252 PM     HAIL             MINTER CITY             33.75N 90.29W
02/27/2009  E0.25 INCH       LEFLORE            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

0102 PM     HAIL             3 NE SHAW               33.63N 90.73W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL

0105 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S CLARKSON            33.62N 89.15W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            ROAD FLODDING ALONG CLARKSON RD SOUTH OF TOWN.

0130 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GRENADA                 33.78N 89.81W
02/27/2009                   GRENADA            MS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            STREET FLOODING IN A 5-6 BLOCK AREA OF CENTRAL GRENADA.

            STANDING WATER WAS LOCATED ON FAIRGROUND RD. AND PLUM RD.

0145 PM     FLASH FLOOD      DUCK HILL               33.63N 89.71W
02/27/2009                   MONTGOMERY         MS   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SEVERAL ROADS FLOODED WITHIN THE COMMUNITY OF DUCK HILL
            AND SURROUNDING LOW LYING AREAS.

0200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CLEVELAND               33.74N 90.73W
02/27/2009                   BOLIVAR            MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL ROADS AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAY-61 ARE COVERED WITH
            WATER NEAR DOWNTOWN CLEVELAND.

0210 PM     FLASH FLOOD      RULEVILLE               33.72N 90.55W
02/27/2009                   SUNFLOWER          MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL STREETS FLOODED IN RULEVILLE WESTWARD ALONG STATE
            HIGHWAY-8 TOWARDS CLEVELAND.

0300 PM     HAIL             STARKVILLE              33.46N 88.82W
02/27/2009  E0.88 INCH       OKTIBBEHA          MS   PUBLIC

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED ALONG HIGHWAY 182 IN STARKVILLE

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 3:25 PM CST, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
325 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BELLEFONTAINE           33.65N 89.31W
02/27/2009                   WEBSTER            MS   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL ROADS UNDER WATER IN TOWN OF BELLEFONTAINE IN
            NORTHERN WEBSTER COUNTY.

&&

JALLEN
Local storm report, Feb 27, 3:28 PM CST, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
328 PM CST FRI FEB 27 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0225 PM     HAIL             5 E MACON               33.11N 88.47W
02/27/2009  E1.00 INCH       NOXUBEE            MS   PUBLIC

            QUARTER SIZED HAIL LOCATED 5 MILES EAST OF MACON OFF
            HIGHWAY 14.

&&

JALLEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 27, 3:37 AM CSTFlash Flood WatchJANAttala, Bolivar, Carroll, Choctaw, Clay, Grenada and 19 more23 hr
Feb 27, 5:54 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar40 min
Feb 27, 6:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower30 min
Feb 27, 7:14 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANGrenada2 hr
Feb 27, 7:16 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower44 min
Feb 27, 7:43 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANCarroll, Grenada, Leflore, Sunflower47 min
Feb 27, 7:44 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Lowndes46 min
Feb 27, 8:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes22 min
Feb 27, 8:26 AM CSTTornado WarningJANLowndes20 min
Feb 27, 8:29 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWashington61 min
Feb 27, 9:11 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWashington29 min
Feb 27, 9:17 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANHumphreys, Sharkey, Washington43 min
Feb 27, 9:27 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower48 min
Feb 27, 10:40 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Montgomery, Oktibbeha, Webster3 hr
Feb 27, 11:24 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANAttala36 min
Feb 27, 11:36 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar, Sunflower39 min
Feb 27, 11:39 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWinston28 min
Feb 27, 12:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANWashington38 min
Feb 27, 12:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLeflore, Sunflower25 min
Feb 27, 12:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar52 min
Feb 27, 12:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANGrenada14 hr
Feb 27, 1:21 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANChoctaw, Clay, Lowndes, Oktibbeha, Webster3 hr
Feb 27, 1:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar22 min
Feb 27, 1:40 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Montgomery2 hr
Feb 27, 1:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANNoxubee31 min
Feb 27, 2:07 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower113 min
Feb 27, 2:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANChoctaw, Webster32 min
Feb 27, 2:12 PM CSTTornado WarningJANNoxubee33 min
Feb 27, 2:15 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningJANAttala, Holmes8 days
Feb 27, 2:29 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Oktibbeha46 min
Feb 27, 2:38 PM CSTTornado WarningJANNoxubee22 min
Feb 27, 3:42 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANCarroll, Montgomery2 hr
Feb 27, 3:54 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANBolivar, Leflore, Sunflower111 min
Feb 27, 4:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Noxubee, Winston42 min
Feb 27, 4:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANClay, Oktibbeha39 min
Feb 27, 4:50 PM CSTTornado WarningJANKemper25 min
Feb 27, 5:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANOktibbeha28 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2009Every flash flood warning in 2009

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.