Flash Flood Warning 3, NWS Northern Indiana

000 
WGUS73 KIWX 160406
FFSIWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1206 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

INC017-181-160745-
/O.CON.KIWX.FF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-090516T0745Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CASS IN-WHITE IN-
1206 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 AM EDT FOR CASS
COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA...AND WHITE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST
INDIANA...

AT 1200 AM EDT...MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WAS STILL FALLING ACROSS THE 
WARNED AREAS...WHERE 1.5 TO 3.0 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. 
CASS COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED A CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS 
NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF STATE ROUTE 17 AND 400 N...WITH WATER 
FLOWING OVER THE ROADWAY. THERE HAS ALSO BEEN MULTIPLE REPORTS OF 
HIGH WATER ON ROADS WITH STALLED VEHICLES. THE RAIN WILL CONTINUE 
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH AN ADDITIONAL HALF INCH TO AN 
INCH OF RAIN EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO GEORGETOWN...
FLETCHER...SITKA...NORWAY...TWELVE MILE...NEW WAVERLY...LUCERNE...
ADAMSBORO...HOOVER...METEA...LEASES CORNER...LAKE CICOTT...LEE...
INDIANA BEACH...IDAVILLE...HEADLEE...BUFFALO...BELL CENTER...
WOLCOTT...ROYAL CENTER...REYNOLDS...MONTICELLO...MONON...
LOGANSPORT...DUNKIRK AND BURNETTSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

IF YOU HAVE FLOODING TO REPORT...YOU CAN CALL YOUR LOCAL LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY FOR RELAY TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

&&

LAT...LON 4085 8700 4092 8699 4091 8617 4057 8617
      4057 8637 4070 8639 4070 8652 4074 8653
      4074 8674 4072 8677 4057 8678 4058 8710
      4084 8711

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
400 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON

VERY COMPLICATED FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM WITH FORECAST MODELS
BEING TRUMPED BY MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE INFLUENCES. VERY RICH
MOISTURE LADEN BL OVER SOUTHERN MO/IL/IN CONTINUING TO SLOWLY
ADVECT NORTH INTO THE REGION IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF A RATHER POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE DAKOTAS.
PROFILER DATA AND WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CONFIRMS SEVERAL WEAK TO
MODERATE SOUTHERN STREAM IMPULSE ADVANCING AHEAD OF THE
AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH. STRENGTHENING LL BAROCLINIC ZONE
IN PLACE ACROSS NORTHERN MO/IL/IN...IS CONTINUING TO SUPPORT RATHER
IMPRESSIVE CONVECTIVE GROWTH...MAINLY OVER MO/IL WHERE INSTABILITY
IS MAXIMIZED. CONVECTIVELY INDUCED LL CIRCULATIONS HAVE RIDDLED THE
WARM FRONTAL ZONE SUPPORTING ENHANCEMENT OF THE LL WIND FIELD ACROSS
IL/IN...AND ALLOWING ENHANCEMENT OF STRATIFORM RAIN. ALL OF THESE
PROCESSES COMBINED WITH STEADY REINFORCEMENT OF THE LL COLD POOL HAVE
ACTED TO RETARD NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT...THROWING A
CURVE TO MODEL FORECASTS. THE ONLY FORECAST MODELS WITH A SMALL
SEMBLANCE OF CURRENT CONDITIONS ARE THE 12Z GFS 09Z SREF...WHICH WAS
THE PREFERRED GUIDANCE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD.

MID LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL BE ONGOING THROUGH THIS EVENING AS THE
NORTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH APPROACHES THE REGION. LL THETA-E
ADVECTION COMBINED WITH COOLING ALOFT THROUGH LARGE SCALE ASCENT WILL
SUPPORT INCREASED INSTABILITY WITH MU CAPES APPROACHING 1000 K/JG BY
LATE EVENING. MCS/MCV/S UPSTREAM ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
ADVANCE EAST TRENDING NORTH SOME AS THE LL WARM FRONT TRIES TO
SURGE NORTH WITH INCREASED FLOW. DO LIKE THE RAPID DEEPENING OF
THE SFC LOW AS IT DEVELOPS AND PROPAGATES NE ALONG THE LL
BAROCLINIC ZONE. GIVEN AMPLE LATENT HEAT RELEASE THROUGH CONVECTION
PROCESS AND THE APPROACH OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS UPPER
TROUGH...EXPECT SFC PRESSURE FALLS TO REV UP...SUPPORTING A RATHER
MODERATELY STRONG SFC LOW BY LATE TONIGHT. THIS WOULD SUPPORT
H925-H85 WINDS OF 50 TO 65 KNOTS...WITH VERY INTENSE THETA-E ADV
INTO THE FA. GIVEN H5 CONTOURS/H85-H3 BULK SHEAR VECTORS/AND
EXPECTED PLACEMENT OF LL FORCING PER COLD POOL MODIFIED SFC
BOUNDARY...AM CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN ACROSS
THE NW AS PRECIP WATER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR 1.65 INCHES BY
EARLY SAT. THIS COMBINED WITH ADDED ASCENT FROM MCS/MCV PROCESSES
WOULD SUPPORT POCKETS OF INTENSE CONVECTION...LENDING TO VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL RATES. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE 1.5 TO 2 INCHES IN
SOME AREAS. GIVEN HEAVY RAINFALL OF LATE AND RISING RIVERS HAVE
OPTED FOR AN AREAL FLOOD WATCH.

CONCERN NUMBER TWO IS THE POSSIBILITY FOR SCT DAMAGING WINDS WITH ANY
STRONG CONVECTIVE CLUSTER. FORECAST MODELS HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY
PROGGING VERY STRONG LL FLOW WITH 40 TO 60 KNOTS IN THE 0.5-4 KFT
LAYER. ALTHOUGH CAPE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED...PRECIP LOADING AND
A WELL MIXED BL AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WOULD SUPPORT A HEIGHTENED
RISK FOR STRONG SFC GUSTS...ESPECIALLY IN THE PRESENCE OF 40 KNOTS
OF 0-3 KM BULK SHEAR. HAVE CONTINUED WITH GUSTY WIND MENTION. BEST
CHANCE FOR STRONG WIND GUST WILL REMAIN OVER THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE
FA WHERE LL FLOW/INSTABILITY/AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING WILL BE
MAXIMIZED.

PRECIP WILL TREND EAST SAT MORNING...AND CLEARING WILL ENSUE IN THE
NW AS MUCH DRIER AIR PUSHES IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. TEMPS WILL
SLOWLY REBOUND INTO THE LOWER-MID 60S IN THE NW...BUT STRONG CAA
WILL LIMIT DIURNAL RISES.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

THE 6 AND 12Z GFS HAVE INTRODUCED A SHIFT TOWARDS A MORE ECMWF-LIKE
PATTERN IN THE SECOND HALF OF THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WHICH IS
SOMEWHAT AT ODDS WITH OUR PREVIOUS THINKING AND HAS ADDED SOME
UNCERTAINTY TO THIS PORTION OF THE FORECAST.

THE PRIMARY FEATURE CONTROLLING OUR WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
WILL BE AN ANOMALOUS EASTERN US TROUGH WITH T850 AT OR BELOW
FREEZING SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  FOR NEXT WEEK...RIDGING OVER
THE WESTERN US...AND A DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER NORTHERN CANADA WILL
PULL EAST AND INTRODUCE A STRONG ZONAL FLOW ALOFT OVER THE US
CANADIAN BORDER.  PREVIOUS GFS RUNS HAD INDICATED THAT THE WESTERN
US RIDGING WOULD BE SUBSTANTIAL ENOUGH TO KEEP ANY COLD AIR
INTRUSIONS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN VORTEX AT BAY.
HOWEVER...THE ABOVE MENTIONED 6/12Z SIMULATIONS AS WELL AS THE ECMWF
PAINT A STRONGER CANADIAN VORTEX...WHICH IS ABLE TO PUSH THE PRIMARY
BAROCLINIC ZONE FURTHER SOUTH.  WHILE THE GFS ENSEMBLES STILL MOSTLY
POINT TO THE OLDER GFS SOLUTION...EXPECT THAT GIVEN THIS MARKED
TREND IN THE OPERATIONAL RUN THAT THE LOWER RESOLUTION ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS WILL EVENTUALLY START HEADING TOWARDS THIS SOLUTION AS
WELL.  THIS COULD SPELL A SOMEWHAT COOLER AND MORE UNSETTLED WEEK
FOR OUR AREA.  WILL CERTAINLY GIVE CONSISTENCY SOME WEIGHT HERE
HOWEVER AND ONLY TAKE A STEP IN THE DIRECTION OF TODAY/S /AND
OVERNIGHTS/ MODEL TRENDS.

THE PERIOD WILL START ON THE CHILLY SIDE WITH T850 RIGHT AROUND THE
FREEZING MARK.  WINDS LOOK JUST A TAD LIGHTER FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
THAN THEY DID YESTERDAY SO HAVE LOWERED LOWS SLIGHTLY AND ADDED
PATCHY FROST MENTION WITH LOWS GENERALLY IN THE UPPER 30S TO AROUND
40.

WITH THE ABOVE MENTIONED T850 TEMPS...HIGHS MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH 60
ON SUNDAY EVEN WITH FULL SUN.  GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE 3-5F ABOVE
THE DRY ADIABATIC SURFACE TEMP EXPECTED 55.  WITH FULL SUN...COULD
DO A LITTLE BETTER THAN THIS...BUT HAVE TWEAKED TEMPS DOWN JUST A
TAD FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TO WHAT STILL LOOKS LIKE AN
OPTIMISTIC 60.

SUNDAY NIGHT CONTINUES TO LOOK CHILLY AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON DEWPOINTS
WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AND WITH THE SURFACE HIGH
CRESTING OVERHEAD OVERNIGHT...RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS APPEAR
NEARLY IDEAL.  GUIDANCE HAS ALL COME IN LOWER TODAY AND SEEMS VERY
REASONABLE.  HAVE LOWERED OUR GRIDS ACCORDINGLY WITH ALL AREAS IN
THE MID OR UPPER 30S AND EXPANDED FROST MENTION TO NEARLY ALL OF THE
AREA.  STILL CAN/T RULE OUT SOME HIGH CLOUDS AT THIS RANGE
/SOMETHING THE MODELS HAVE A HARD TIME WITH AT ANY TIME RANGE/...SO
WHILE CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN PATCHY-WIDESPREAD FROST...A
FREEZE...WHILE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHERN AREAS...WOULD BE A MUCH LOWER
CONFIDENCE SCENARIO.

FOR MONDAY-TUESDAY WE/LL SEE DRY CONDITIONS AND A MODERATING TREND.
AS THE EASTERN TROUGH LIFTS AND THE SOUTHWESTERN CONUS RIDGE TRIES
TO BUILD EAST.  WITH T850 WARMING TO AROUND +4C ON MONDAY AND +10C
ON TUESDAY...SHOULD SEE HIGHS IN THE MID 60S MONDAY INCREASING TO
THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S ON TUESDAY.

THE FORECAST GETS TOUGHER FOR THE MID/LATE WEEK PERIOD.  NOW...BOTH
THE GFS/ECMWF ADVERTISE A CANADIAN COLD FRONT PUSHING SOUTH TOWARDS
THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. MOISTURE/INSTABILITY OUT AHEAD OF THE
BOUNDARY DO NOT LOOK THAT IMPRESSIVE...BUT THE ECMWF HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT IN BRINGING IN SOME SHRA WITH THIS FRONT...WITH THE GFS
NOW IN GOOD AGREEMENT.  WILL INTRODUCE SOME CHC POPS OVER THE
NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA TUESDAY NIGHT BUT AT THIS POINT KEEP
MENTION OF THUNDER OUT OF THE FORECAST.

FOR WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY...THE ABOVE MENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BE IN OUR
GENERAL VICINITY WITH IT/S POSITION BEING HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
EVENTUAL STRENGTH OF THE HUDSON BAY VORTEX. THE ECMWF KEEPS THE
BOUNDARY /ALBEIT A RELATIVELY WEAK ONE/ JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH
COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH THE GFS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA
WITH NEAR OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS.  WILL HAVE TO LET THE FORECAST
TREND TOWARDS CLIMATOLOGY AT THIS RANGE WITH THIS UNCLEAR SIGNAL AND
WITH NO CLEAR FORCING FOR PRECIPITATION IN OUR AREA...WILL HOLD OFF
ON ANY POPS AT THIS RANGE.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TAFS/
WARM FRONT SITUATED JUST SOUTH OF THE FA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
SCT SHRA THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH BETTER PRECIP CHANCES
OVERNIGHT. STRATIFORM PRECIP AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE FA WILL
SUPPORT RESTRICTIONS DOWN TO 2SM IN HEAVIER RA WITH CIGS EXPECTED
TO BE LIMITED TO 2KFT AT THIS TIME UNTIL DEEPER MOISTURE ARRIVES.
BETTER FORCING COUPLED WITH INCREASED INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT
THUNDERSTORMS AND RESTRICTIONS DOWN TO IFR CATEGORIES WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF LIFR IN HEAVY RAIN THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE FA. EXPECT WINDS
TO VEER SW WITH PASSAGE OF THE WARM FRONT AND INCREASE WITH VERY
STRONG FLOW LOCATED JUST OFF THE SFC TO H8.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE FA SAT MORNING WITH IMPROVING
FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER...GUSTY NW WINDS ARE
EXPECTED...WITH SFC GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS LIKELY.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT /7 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING THROUGH
     SATURDAY MORNING FOR INZ003>006-008-012>017-020-022>024.

MI...FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
     FOR MIZ077>080.

OH...NONE.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR LMZ043-
     046.

&&

SHORT TERM...JC
LONG TERM...ARNOTT
AVIATION...JC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
458 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-160900-
LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-
PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-
MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN-
CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE-
HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND...
MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA...
KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...
WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW...
WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE...
MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH...
NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR...
BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES...
BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...
STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON...
ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA...
PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA
458 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009 /358 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO...
SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR BOTH HEAVY RAINFALL AND SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS TO BE
LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY EVENING WEST OF INTERSTATE 69. ADDITIONAL
STORMS ARE LIKELY OVERNIGHT WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN AND
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDDAY
SATURDAY....MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 31. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...HOWEVER THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
AND STRONG WIND GUSTS.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FROST ACROSS EXTREME NORTHERN INDIANA
AND SOUTHWESTERN MICHIGAN ON SATURDAY NIGHT.

ON SUNDAY NIGHT...A MORE WIDESPREAD FROST APPEARS POSSIBLE
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN INDIANA...NORTHWEST OHIO...AND SOUTHWEST
MICHIGAN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX

LMZ043-046-160900-
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI-
458 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF
SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. THE
STORMS MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY WIND GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

&&

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
804 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

INZ013-015-020-022-023-160100-
CASS IN-FULTON IN-MIAMI IN-PULASKI IN-WHITE IN-
804 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

AT 800 PM EDT/700 PM CDT/...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WOLCOTT...OR 27
MILES SOUTHWEST OF RENSSELAER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR INTENSIFICATION SO BE PREPARED FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  MONTICELLO...
  WOLCOTT...
  BROOKSTON...
  MONON...
  BADGER GROVE...
  SMITHSON...CHALMERS AND LEE...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 65 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 186 AND 198.

GUSTY WINDS MAY CAUSE SMALL BRANCHES TO BE BLOWN DOWN...AND LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS
TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

LAT...LON 4084 8711 4085 8698 4092 8698 4092 8692
      4116 8693 4115 8609 4059 8592 4058 8637
      4070 8638 4071 8652 4076 8654 4075 8676
      4058 8677 4058 8709
TIME...MOT...LOC 0002Z 246DEG 28KT 4058 8735 $$

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
849 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

INZ026-027-033-034-160115-
ADAMS IN-BLACKFORD IN-JAY IN-WELLS IN-
849 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

AT 845 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DUNKIRK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

UP TO PEA SIZE HAIL...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND
BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...
  HARTFORD CITY...
  PORTLAND...
  PENNVILLE AND MONTPELIER...
  COMO...
  TRENTON AND BLAINE...
  CENTER...
  FIAT AND BALBEC...

STAY AWAY FROM HIGH OBJECTS OUTDOORS SUCH AS TREES.

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM EDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR NORTHERN INDIANA AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

LAT...LON 4032 8522 4039 8522 4039 8540 4081 8523
      4065 8480 4063 8479 4057 8479 4031 8513
      4031 8521
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 206DEG 30KT 4037 8527 $$

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
901 PM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

..TIME..    ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE..    ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION.. ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0856 PM     HAIL             DUNKIRK                 40.38N  85.21W
05/15/2009  M0.70 INCH       JAY                IN   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL FELL FOR APPROXIMATELY 1 MINUTE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER IWX0902589

MCS