Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Lincoln, IL

000 
WGUS73 KILX 140828
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
328 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-141230-
/O.CON.KILX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-090514T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-CLAY-JASPER-CRAWFORD-EFFINGHAM-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-
328 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 AM CDT FOR 
SOUTHWESTERN CLARK...SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND...EFFINGHAM...
EFFINGHAM...CRAWFORD...JASPER...CLAY...LAWRENCE AND RICHLAND 
COUNTIES...

AT 323 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES
THE VERY HEAVY RAINS HAVE SHIFTED TO OUR EAST EARLY THIS MORNING.
HOWEVER...THE FLASH FLOOD THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. RAINFALL TOTALS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
RANGED FROM 2 TO LOCALLY 4 INCHES WHICH HAS CAUSED MANY RIVERS...CREEKS
AND STREAMS TO GO INTO FLOOD. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ALTAMONT...ANNAPOLIS...BEECHER CITY...
BIBLE GROVE...BIRDS...BOGOTA...BRIDGEPORT...CALHOUN...CHAUNCEY...
CLAREMONT...CLAY CITY...DIETERICH...DUNDAS...EATON...EDGEWOOD...
EFFINGHAM...FLAT ROCK...FLORA...HARDINVILLE...HAZEL DELL...HIDALGO...
HUTSONVILLE...INGAHAM...IOLA...LAWRENCEVILLE...LOUISVILLE...
MONTROSE...NEW HEBRON...NEWTON...NOBLE...OBLONG...OLNEY...
PALESTINE...PARKERSBURG...ROBINSON...SAILOR SPRINGS...SCHNELL...
SHUMWAY...STE. MARIE...SUMNER...TEUTOPOLIS...WATSON...WEST LIBERTY...
WHEELER...WILLOW HILL AND XENIA

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3864 8762 3858 8766 3858 8814 3860 8815
      3862 8870 3892 8870 3892 8881 3921 8881
      3920 8762 3918 8762 3914 8766 3907 8759
      3873 8752

$$

SMITH

000 
WGUS73 KILX 141206
FFSILX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
706 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

ILC023-025-033-035-049-079-101-159-141216-
/O.CAN.KILX.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-090514T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RICHLAND-LAWRENCE-CLAY-JASPER-CRAWFORD-EFFINGHAM-CUMBERLAND-CLARK-
706 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL HAS BEEN CANCELLED
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CLARK...SOUTHERN CUMBERLAND...EFFINGHAM...
CRAWFORD...JASPER...CLAY...LAWRENCE AND RICHLAND COUNTIES...

THE FLOODING HAS RECEDED AND NO LONGER POSES A SIGNIFICANT THREAT.

LAT...LON 3864 8762 3858 8766 3858 8814 3860 8815
      3862 8870 3892 8870 3892 8881 3921 8881
      3920 8762 3918 8762 3914 8766 3907 8759
      3873 8752

$$

AUTEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1214 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 851 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009
ONGOING CONVECTION PRODUCING A LINE OF STORMS AHEAD OF A SLOWLY
ADVANCING COLD FRONT. PLENTY OF PRECIP ALREADY TODAY...AND MORE ON
THE WAY. CONTINUING THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. SEVERAL UPDATES ANTICIPATED TO UPDATE FOR SEVERE WEATHER
WATCH CANCELLATIONS AS THE WEATHER MOVES THROUGH. OTHER THAN
THAT... FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED 1209 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009
ONCE THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS OF CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY DIE
DOWN...THE FORECAST QUIETS CONSIDERABLY TO A WESTERLY
WIND...SLOWING INTO THE MORNING HOURS...AND SCT/BKN CIRRUS. IN THE
SHORTER TERM...FAST MOVING LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG WINDS
AND LLVL WS ASSOCIATED UNTIL THE COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH...WITH
SOME SCT TS BEHIND THE MAIN LINE. CLEARING EXPECTED IN THE 08Z TO
11Z TIME FRAME...BACK TO VFR CONDITIONS.

HJS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
ISSUED 231 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

ACTIVE WEATHER AFFECTING CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS SO FAR
TODAY...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.5 TO 3 INCHES FAIRLY
COMMON...PRIMARILY EAST OF I-55. RAIN WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM
FRONT LIFTING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA...AND HAD BECOME MORE
SCATTERED IN NATURE BY MID AFTERNOON. WELL DEFINED MCV MOVING
NORTHEAST FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...WITH THUNDERSTORMS
INCREASING IN THAT AREA.

MAIN FORECAST ISSUES ARE IN THE SHORT TERM...WITH SEVERE WEATHER
CHANCES TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

MAIN SYNOPTIC COLD FRONT EXTENDED FROM NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA TO
THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AT MID AFTERNOON. INSTABILITY INCREASING
ACROSS MISSOURI AND WESTERN ILLINOIS...IN THE WARM SECTOR AND
WHERE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS WERE LOCATED. LIFTED INDICES AT
18Z WERE APPROACHING -5 IN THE WESTERN CWA AND WERE EVEN LOWER IN
MISSOURI...WHILE CAPES WERE RISING INTO THE 4-DIGIT RANGE. 18Z
SOUNDING FROM LINCOLN STILL SHOWED A DECENT AMOUNT OF
CAPPING...BUT THIS SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN..WHICH IT HAS ALREADY
DONE FURTHER WEST. THUNDERSTORMS PROGGED TO CONTINUE INCREASING
INTO THE EVENING...WITH MODELS SHOWING THE FRONT NEAR I-55 AROUND
MIDNIGHT AND CLEARING THE SOUTHEAST CWA JUST AFTER SUNRISE.
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF INCHES OF RAIN...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE I-70 CORRIDOR. DUE TO THIS AND THE EARLIER
RAINFALL...WILL ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS EAST OF I-55 THROUGH
7 AM THURSDAY.

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FRONT PUSHING TO AROUND THE OHIO
RIVER BY THURSDAY EVENING...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE
MIDWEST. HOWEVER...FRONT EXPECTED TO RETREAT NORTHWARD TO AROUND
I-80 BY LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDER CHANCES TO INCREASE AGAIN
IN THE WARM SECTOR AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT...AS ANOTHER
COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE AREA.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

NORTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED TO SET UP EARLY IN THE WEEK...WITH MAIN
STORM TRACK TO REMAIN NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA. FORECAST WILL BE
DRY DURING THIS PERIOD.

GEELHART

&&

.ILX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR ILZ038-042>046-
051>057-061>063-066>068-071>073.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
321 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

ILZ027-036-040-041-047-049-050-142030-
CASS-FULTON-KNOX-MASON-MORGAN-SCHUYLER-SCOTT-
321 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE ILLINOIS RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...THEN WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD TO THE I-55 CORRIDOR LATE THIS EVENING. ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH THE
STORMS...ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF
QUARTER-SIZED...WINDS GREATER THAN 60 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...AGGRAVATING
ONGOING FLOODING ISSUES IN THE AREA.

THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...PRIMARILY FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM.

ILZ028>031-037-048-142030-
MARSHALL-MENARD-PEORIA-STARK-TAZEWELL-WOODFORD-
321 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE ILLINOIS RIVER VALLEY THIS EVENING...THEN WILL
SPREAD EASTWARD TO THE I-55 CORRIDOR LATE THIS EVENING. ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH THE
STORMS...ENHANCING THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF
QUARTER-SIZED...WINDS GREATER THAN 60 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES.
IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...AGGRAVATING
ONGOING FLOODING ISSUES IN THE AREA.

THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...PRIMARILY FROM 4 PM TO 11 PM.

ILZ038-042>046-051>057-061-142030-
CHAMPAIGN-CHRISTIAN-COLES-DE WITT-DOUGLAS-EDGAR-LOGAN-MACON-
MCLEAN-MOULTRIE-PIATT-SANGAMON-SHELBY-VERMILION-
321 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE I-55 CORRIDOR THIS EVENING...THEN SPREAD EAST INTO
EASTERN ILLINOIS LATE THIS EVENING. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS WILL BE
FAVORABLE TO SUPPORT ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH THE STORMS...ENHANCING
THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF QUARTER- SIZED...WINDS
GREATER THAN 60 MPH...AND A FEW TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY...AGGRAVATING ONGOING FLOODING
ISSUES IN THE AREA. THE STORMS WILL PUSH INTO EAST-CENTRAL
ILLINOIS BY LATER THIS EVENING.

THE ILLINOIS RIVER WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...PRIMARILY FROM 5 PM TO 12 AM.

ILZ062-063-066>068-071>073-142030-
CLARK-CLAY-CRAWFORD-CUMBERLAND-EFFINGHAM-JASPER-LAWRENCE-RICHLAND-
321 PM CDT WED MAY 13 2009

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SMALL HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE LIKELY WITH THE STORMS. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL
DEVELOP AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE TO THE SOUTHWEST THIS
EVENING...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THE STORMS BEING DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. LARGE HAIL IN EXCESS OF QUARTER-
SIZED AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS
WILL PUSH INTO INDIANA SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
INTO THE REGION FOR THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS EVENING AFTER 5 PM.

25

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1254 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 AM     TORNADO          SHELBYVILLE             39.41N 88.80W
05/14/2009                   SHELBY             IL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN...DAMAGE TO PROPANE TANKS AMD
            GARAGE. REPORT FROM COUNTY SHERIFF AND CHANNEL 3
            NEWSCASTER.

&&

AJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
1258 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1223 AM     TSTM WND GST     1 SE HOMER              40.02N 87.95W
05/14/2009  E75 MPH          CHAMPAIGN          IL   MESONET

            SHED DESTROYED, POSSIBLE HOUSE DAMAGE.

&&

AJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
111 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 AM     TSTM WND DMG     RANKIN                  40.46N 87.90W
05/14/2009                   VERMILION          IL   MESONET

            TREE BLOWN INTO A HOUSE IN RANKIN. ESTIMATED WIND GUST OF
            70 MPH. SWOP.

&&

AJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
114 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1155 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELWIN                   39.78N 88.96W
05/13/2009                   MACON              IL   MESONET

            PATIO FURNITURE BLOWN ACROSS HWY 51 AT ELWIN. SWOP.

&&

AJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
122 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1227 AM     TORNADO          3 E SHELBYVILLE         39.41N 88.75W
05/14/2009                   SHELBY             IL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            AT LAKE SHELBYVILLE REPORTS RECEIVED OF A 3 FOOT DIAMETER
            TREE UPROOTED. CAMPERS DESTROYED. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN
            AREA.

0108 AM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWMAN                  39.80N 87.99W
05/14/2009                   DOUGLAS            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTS OF 1 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN. SPOTTER NUMBER
            9019.

&&

AJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL
134 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 AM     TSTM WND DMG     NEWMAN                  39.80N 87.99W
05/14/2009                   DOUGLAS            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            UPDATE...SEVERAL TREES DOWN BETWEEN 6 AND 10 INCHES IN
            DIAMETER. SPOTTER NUMBER 9019.

&&

AJ