Tornado Warning 29, NWS Wilmington, OH

000 
WWUS51 KILN 192259
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
659 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

OHC089-192315-
/O.CON.KILN.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090619T2315Z/
LICKING OH-
659 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY...

AT 659 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR FALLSBURG...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN LICKING
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PLEASE REPORT TORNADOES...FUNNEL CLOUDS...STRONG WINDS OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN
YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4021 8217 4012 8218 4011 8219 4023 8228
      4024 8224 4023 8218 4023 8217
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 323DEG 29KT 4019 8219

$$

HAWBLITZEL

000 
WWUS51 KILN 192314
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
714 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

OHC089-192324-
/O.EXP.KILN.TO.W.0029.000000T0000Z-090619T2315Z/
LICKING OH-
714 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN LICKING COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
715 PM EDT...

THE THUNDERSTORM IS EXITING THE AREA INTO COSHOCTON AND MUSKINGUM 
COUNTIES...THEREFORE THE TORNADO WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

PLEASE REPORT PREVIOUS TORNADOES...WIND DAMAGE OR HAIL TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772.

LAT...LON 4021 8217 4012 8218 4011 8219 4023 8228
      4024 8224 4023 8218 4023 8217
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 323DEG 29KT 4010 8210

$$

HAWBLITZEL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
347 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL PULL A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THIS FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
SIGNIFICANT H5 S/W TO DROP THRU THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT AND ACROSS
THE FA BETWEEN BETWEEN 06Z AND 12Z. 18Z ILN SOUNDING WAS SHOWING A
VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WITH AN LI OF -11 AND CAPE 5400
J/KG...HOWEVER THERE IS A SMALL MID LEVEL CAP. 40-50KT H8 JET
WILL PROVIDE GOOD FORCING BEGINNING AROUND 00Z AND PEAKING AROUND
06Z. EXPECT AN MCS TO DEVELOP OVR THE MS VALY LATER THIS
AFTN/EVENING AND ROLL EWD THRU IL/IN INTO NRN OH BETWEEN 03Z-
06Z...TAPPING THE REMAINING INSTABILITY. EXPECT THIS COMPLEX TO
PUSH QUICKLY EASTWARD. QUESTION IS HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL AFFECT.
KEPT BEST POPS I-70ISH NWD...BUT DID DROP LIKELY POPS TO THE OH
RIVER. KEPT MENTION OF PSBL SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...BUT CANT
RULE OUT HAIL OR POSSIBLY A TOR.

ISSUED FFA TO COVER ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS MCS.

TEMP WISE...RAN CLOSE TO MAV NUMBERS FOR LOWS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
HAVE THE MCS EXITING THE WRN FA AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD.
KEPT POPS IN THE S/SE THRU 15Z AS CDFNT DRAGS THRU.

SUBSIDENCE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE MCS WITH HIGH PRESSURE...SO DRIED
OUT THE FCST FOR SAT AFTN. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE SLIDES ACRS THE
REGION SAT NGT INTO SUN.

WEAK WRMFNT TRIES TO PUSH IN LATE SUN NGT. KEPT FCST DRY SUN NGT
FOR NOW...BUT POPS MAY BE NEEDED IN THE W AT A LATER TIME.

TRENDED FOR THE COOLER MAV GUIDANCE TOMORROW. THEN WENT A MAV/MET
BLEND FOR TEMPS SAT NGT THRU SUN NGT.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL UNITED STATES ON MONDAY WILL
WORK VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH AXIS TRYING TO NOSE
UP INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES. MODELS ARE HINTING AT THE
POSSIBILITY OF SOME SHORT WAVE ENERGY RIDING OVER THE TOP OF THE
RIDGE AND TRYING TO DROP DOWN INTO OUR AREA MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
ALTHOUGH WILL KEEP MEASURABLE PCPN OUT OF THE FORECAST ATTM...THIS
MAY EVENTUALLY WARRANT SOME LOW CHANCE POPS FOR MONDAY OR TUESDAY.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE AREA THROUGH
THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK...AND THIS WILL LEAD TO A CONTINUATION
OF TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. LOOKS LIKE A WEAK COLD
FRONT MAY DROP DOWN TOWARD THE AREA ON FRIDAY...POSSIBLY WASHING OUT
SOMEWHERE IN THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. WILL THEREFORE GO AHEAD AND
INCLUDE A 20 POP FOR THIS LATE IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SCATTERED CUMULUS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING. A FEW STORMS ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. BUT AT THIS
POINT IT APPEARS THAT THEY WILL BE ISOLATED. MAIN CONCERN IS
POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO COME THROUGH THE AREA
OVERNIGHT. STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ESPECIALLY IN TIMING. THUS USED
VCTS FOR THE TIME BEING. BUT AVIATION INTERESTS SHOULD MONITOR
FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS CLOSELY. ENVIRONMENT IS FAVORABLE FOR A
LARGE SWATH OF DAMAGING WINDS. AFTER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX PASSES
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS WITH WESTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE REST OF THE
TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...NO SIG WX EXPECTED.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
     MORNING FOR OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074.
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SITES
NEAR TERM...SITES
SHORT TERM...SITES
LONG TERM...JGL
AVIATION...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ060>063-070>073-077>082-
088-201000-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-
SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-
PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-
HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO-
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN
KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO
AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE MIDWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. THIS COMPLEX WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY.

HEAT INDICES AROUND 100 DEGREES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 8
PM...WHEN TEMPERATURES WILL COOL OFF AND HEAT INDICES WILL DROP AS
WELL. PEOPLE WITH RESPIRATORY PROBLEMS AND OTHER HEALTH AILMENTS
MIGHT WANT TO LIMIT THEIR TIME OUTDOORS EARLY THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074-201000-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
HOCKING-
358 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT.

A VERY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP ACROSS THE MIDWEST LATE TODAY AND MOVE INTO THE REGION
OVERNIGHT. THIS COMPLEX WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BRING
WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS. LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE A POSSIBILITY.

ALSO...VERY HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO POSSIBLY THREE INCHES IS POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.